2026-27 fantasy basketball rankings — 2026-27 Fantasy Basketball Encyclopedia

Up: 2026-27 Fantasy Basketball Encyclopedia

Board contract

Reference league: 12 teams; FG%, FT%, 3PM, PTS, REB, AST, STL, BLK, TO; H2H; per-active-game value. The exact order is an editorial median, not ADP and not a claim that adjacent players are meaningfully separated.
PG band: a causal low-to-high rank range across plausible role, rate, ratio-volume, and build states. It is not the minimum and maximum rank found on the web and is not a statistical confidence interval.
Availability / proxy: G = no specific current gate; Y = active or expected but discounted; O = unrestricted camp/contact clearance pending; R = no safe opener assumption; X = team, contract, trade, or administrative uncertainty. The number is projected GP from the dossier. A is the current availability-adjusted model band.
Critical totals warning: A is not a true totals rank. The current export scales per-game z-value by sqrt(GP/82); it does not multiply every primitive category by GP and recompute the league distribution. Treat it as directional availability pressure only.
Risk: Stable, Managed, Volatile, and Speculative summarize the weakest high-leverage roster, minutes, rate, ratio, or availability component. The linked dossier contains the actual scenario tree.
Ratio limitation: many dossiers still lack explicit FGA and FTA, and the current parser has used proxy volume in those cases. This board editorially discounts obvious ratio outliers, but it should not be called a fully reproducible mathematical ranking until makes and attempts are complete.

What the public market can and cannot establish

As of the cutoff, no clean public post-draft 2026-27 top-200 nine-category board or defensible ADP dataset existed. The following sources are anchors with native labels, not votes in a fake consensus:

Source	Native format and date	Legitimate use here
Dan Titus / NBA.com early top 10	Cross-format first-round view, Apr. 14; pre-draft	Establishes the early Jokic/Wembanyama/SGA/Doncic cluster and next-star group
ESPN way-too-early Top 150	H2H points, Apr. 14; pre-draft	Role/volume comparator only; never treated as category rank
Rotoworld industry mock	Ten-team, eight-category, six rounds, May 7	One room’s selections; turnovers omitted and rosters later changed
Adam King industry mock	Forty-eight picks, Jul. 18; scoring not restated in the post	Fresh price-discovery snapshot, not ADP
Alex Barutha rough Top 100	Personal ten-second gut check, Jul. 14; format unstated	Current analyst sentiment and disagreement flags
June/July category mock: R1, R2, R3–4	One 12-team, 48-pick category-oriented room	Best complete early multi-round category artifact; still one room
RotoWire rookie guide and FantasyPros rookie ranks	Post-draft rookie analysis	Rookie role and translation priors, not all-player ranks
Hashtag dynasty, Fantrax Kessler outlook, Basketball Monster release thread	Dynasty board; one-player outlook; projection product not yet open	Context only. None is a public 2026-27 redraft Top 200

Yahoo’s public prerank page still belonged to the closed 2025 game; CBS, official RotoWire, FantasyPros veteran ranks, Hashtag redraft, and old Fantrax boards remained 2025-26 or mixed-vintage. Dynatyze’s redraft-labelled page also contained future draft-pick assets and behaved like a dynasty hybrid. They are excluded from numerical aggregation. The supplied Old Man Squad video and SportsEthos “do not draft” videos are cost-sensitive qualitative overlays, not ordered ranks.

Calibration calls

Top four: Wembanyama, Jokić, Gilgeous-Alexander, and Dončić are the only stable multi-source opening cluster. Their internal order is category/build preference, not consensus math.
Jalen Johnson: the mechanical ratio-limited table undersold him, while four current/early boards placed him 8–11. The editorial board restores his oversized assist/rebound engine to No. 9.
High-rate versus draft price: Leonard, Davis, Embiid, Irving, Curry, and Porziņģis remain high on the per-game board; their availability and roster risk appear beside them rather than being silently baked into the rank.
Walker Kessler: the raw internal z-score put him seventh, but the Lakers desk says 30–50, current mocks place him 37–46, and Fantrax expects a fourth-round-or-later price despite second/third-round upside. No. 39 is the calibrated balanced-build median.
Rookies: Flagg is the only rookie inside the top 24. Boozer, Dybantsa, Wilson, and Peterson are spread across the middle rounds because their NBA roles can be credible while their percentages, turnovers, and defensive rates remain wide.
Unsigned-player handling: LeBron James is No. 59 only on his conditional signs-for-a-contender line. The X flag and speculative label preserve the zero-team baseline; do not spend that rank before a contract and team-minute reconciliation.

Master top 200

A bands are availability-pressure buckets from the current proxy, not true aggregate-stat ranks. Category abbreviations in the rationale describe the projected shape; they are not position-eligibility claims.

Tier 1 — league-defining engines

Rk	Player	Team	PG band	Availability / A proxy	Risk	Concise rationale
1	Victor Wembanyama	SAS	1–3	G · 68 GP · A1–12	Stable	BLK/PTS/REB engine; no modeled hard drain.
2	Nikola Jokić	DEN	1–3	G · 66 GP · A1–12	Stable	AST/PTS/REB engine; TO drag.
3	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKC	2–5	G · 70 GP · A1–12	Stable	PTS/AST/STL engine; no modeled hard drain.
4	Luka Dončić	LAL	2–6	G · 66 GP · A1–12	Stable	PTS/AST/3s engine; TO drag.

Tier 2 — first-round anchors

Rk	Player	Team	PG band	Availability / A proxy	Risk	Concise rationale
5	Tyrese Maxey	PHI	5–12	G · 68 GP · A1–12	Stable	PTS/3s/STL engine; no modeled hard drain.
6	Cade Cunningham	DET	5–14	G · 66 GP · A13–24	Stable	AST/PTS/STL engine; TO drag.
7	Kawhi Leonard	LAC	5–20	Y/X · 60 GP · A1–12	Speculative	PTS/STL/3s engine; no modeled hard drain. Team/contract branch.
8	Jayson Tatum	BOS	5–18	O · 72 GP · A1–12	Volatile	PTS/3s/AST engine; TO drag. Availability-sensitive.
9	Jalen Johnson	ATL	7–18	G · 68 GP · A13–24	Stable	AST/PTS/REB engine; TO drag.
10	Anthony Edwards	MIN	7–16	G · 68 GP · A13–24	Stable	PTS/3s/STL engine; no modeled hard drain.
11	Scottie Barnes	TOR	8–20	G · 74 GP · A13–24	Stable	AST/PTS/BLK engine; no modeled hard drain.
12	Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIA	5–22	Y · 60 GP · A13–24	Managed	PTS/REB/AST engine; TO/FT drag. Availability-sensitive.

Tier 3 — second-round anchors and high-rate medical bets

Rk	Player	Team	PG band	Availability / A proxy	Risk	Concise rationale
13	Tyrese Haliburton	IND	8–24	O · 66 GP · A1–12	Volatile	AST/3s/STL engine; REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
14	Stephen Curry	GSW	8–25	Y · 52 GP · A13–24	Volatile	3s/PTS/FT engine; BLK/REB drag. Extreme availability tail.
15	Anthony Davis	WAS	8–35	O · 50 GP · A25–48	Volatile	BLK/REB/STL engine; 3s drag. Extreme availability tail.
16	Karl-Anthony Towns	NYK	12–28	G · 68 GP · A13–24	Stable	REB/PTS/FT engine; no modeled hard drain.
17	Donovan Mitchell	CLE	12–28	G · 70 GP · A13–24	Stable	PTS/3s/STL engine; BLK drag.
18	Chet Holmgren	OKC	12–30	G · 67 GP · A1–12	Stable	BLK/REB/FG engine; AST drag.
19	Cooper Flagg	DAL	10–32	G · 72 GP · A1–12	Stable	PTS/STL/AST engine; no modeled hard drain.
20	Trey Murphy III	NOP	14–35	G · 68 GP · A1–12	Stable	3s/PTS/STL engine; no modeled hard drain.
21	Joel Embiid	PHI	12–45	Y · 44 GP · A25–48	Volatile	PTS/BLK/REB engine; STL drag. Extreme availability tail.
22	LaMelo Ball	MIN	15–40	Y · 62 GP · A25–48	Managed	AST/3s/PTS engine; BLK/FG drag. Availability-sensitive.
23	Kevin Durant	HOU	14–38	G · 66 GP · A25–48	Managed	PTS/FT/3s engine; no modeled hard drain. Availability-sensitive.
24	Jamal Murray	DEN	18–36	G · 66 GP · A13–24	Stable	PTS/3s/AST engine; no modeled hard drain.

Tier 4 — early core

Rk	Player	Team	PG band	Availability / A proxy	Risk	Concise rationale
25	Austin Reaves	LAL	20–48	G · 67 GP · A13–24	Stable	PTS/AST/3s engine; TO drag.
26	Devin Booker	PHX	18–45	G · 66 GP · A25–48	Stable	PTS/AST/FT engine; BLK/TO drag.
27	Evan Mobley	CLE	15–35	G · 68 GP · A25–48	Managed	BLK/REB/PTS engine; FT drag. Build-sensitive.
28	Lauri Markkanen	UTA	20–48	G · 65 GP · A13–24	Stable	PTS/3s/FT engine; no modeled hard drain.
29	James Harden	CLE	20–50	G/X · 64 GP · A49–84	Speculative	AST/PTS/3s engine; TO/FG drag. Team/contract branch.
30	Trae Young	WAS	20–45	O · 62 GP · A49–84	Volatile	AST/PTS/3s engine; TO/BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
31	Josh Giddey	CHI	24–55	O · 72 GP · A49–84	Volatile	AST/REB/STL engine; TO drag.
32	Amen Thompson	HOU	18–55	G · 76 GP · A25–48	Stable	STL/REB/FG engine; 3s drag.
33	Kyrie Irving	DAL	20–55	O · 60 GP · A25–48	Volatile	PTS/3s/FT engine; BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
34	Derrick White	BOS	25–55	G · 76 GP · A13–24	Managed	3s/BLK/FT engine; FG drag. Build-sensitive.
35	Jalen Brunson	NYK	25–55	O · 70 GP · A25–48	Volatile	PTS/AST/3s engine; BLK/REB drag.
36	Jaren Jackson Jr.	UTA	25–65	O · 63 GP · A49–84	Volatile	BLK/PTS engine; no modeled hard drain. Availability-sensitive.
37	Jalen Duren	DET	25–60	G/X · 68 GP · A25–48	Speculative	REB/FG engine; 3s drag. Team/contract branch.
38	Bam Adebayo	MIA	28–60	G · 72 GP · A25–48	Stable	REB/STL engine; no modeled hard drain.
39	Walker Kessler	LAL	28–55	G · 65 GP · A1–12	Managed	BLK/REB/FG engine; 3s/FT drag. Build-sensitive.
40	Jalen Williams	OKC	25–70	O/R · 58 GP · A25–48	Speculative	PTS/AST/STL engine; no modeled hard drain. Availability-sensitive.
41	Jaylen Brown	PHI	30–60	G · 67 GP · A49–84	Stable	PTS/3s engine; TO drag.
42	Alperen Şengün	HOU	28–60	G · 70 GP · A49–84	Managed	PTS/AST/REB engine; 3s/FT drag. Build-sensitive.
43	Paolo Banchero	ORL	35–75	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Stable	PTS/AST/REB engine; TO drag.
44	Domantas Sabonis	SAC	35–75	O · 62 GP · A49–84	Volatile	REB/AST/FG engine; 3s/BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
45	Deni Avdija	POR	32–70	G · 70 GP · A49–84	Stable	PTS/AST engine; TO drag.
46	Desmond Bane	ORL	35–70	G · 78 GP · A25–48	Stable	PTS/3s/STL engine; no modeled hard drain.
47	Brandon Miller	CHA	30–80	R · 62 GP · A25–48	Speculative	3s/PTS/FT engine; no modeled hard drain. Availability-sensitive.
48	Kon Knueppel	CHA	40–70	G · 78 GP · A25–48	Stable	3s/PTS/FT engine; BLK drag.

Tier 5 — middle-round core

Rk	Player	Team	PG band	Availability / A proxy	Risk	Concise rationale
49	Michael Porter Jr.	BKN	38–80	O · 65 GP · A25–48	Volatile	3PM/PTS strength; no modeled hard drain.
50	Franz Wagner	ORL	40–80	O/R · 58 GP · A49–84	Volatile	PTS/AST engine; no modeled hard drain. Availability-sensitive.
51	Dejounte Murray	NOP	42–80	Y · 64 GP · A49–84	Managed	AST/STL engine; BLK drag.
52	OG Anunoby	NYK	45–80	G · 64 GP · A25–48	Stable	STL/3s engine; no modeled hard drain.
53	Matas Buzelis	CHI	40–80	G · 75 GP · A49–84	Stable	BLK/3s engine; no modeled hard drain.
54	Darius Garland	LAC	38–80	G · 62 GP · A49–84	Stable	AST/PTS/3s engine; REB/BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
55	Alex Sarr	WAS	45–85	O · 64 GP · A49–84	Volatile	BLK/REB engine; FT drag. Build-sensitive.
56	Jalen Suggs	ORL	45–90	Y · 60 GP · A49–84	Managed	STL/AST/3s engine; REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
57	Onyeka Okongwu	ATL	45–80	G · 72 GP · A49–84	Stable	BLK/REB engine; no modeled hard drain.
58	Cameron Boozer	MEM	45–90	G · 72 GP · A49–84	Volatile	REB/PTS engine; no modeled hard drain. Rookie translation.
59	LeBron James	FA	35–80	Y/X · 58 GP · A49–84	Speculative	AST/PTS/REB engine; TO/FT drag. Team/contract branch.
60	Reed Sheppard	HOU	50–95	G · 78 GP · A25–48	Stable	STL/3s engine; REB/FG drag.
61	Donovan Clingan	POR	50–90	G · 72 GP · A25–48	Managed	BLK/REB/FG engine; FT/STL drag. Build-sensitive.
62	Zach Edey	MEM	50–105	O · 57 GP · A49–84	Volatile	BLK/REB/FG engine; 3s/STL drag. Availability-sensitive.
63	Dyson Daniels	ATL	45–90	G · 74 GP · A49–84	Managed	STL/AST engine; FT/3s drag. Build-sensitive.
64	Tyler Herro	MIL	50–90	Y · 60 GP · A49–84	Managed	PTS/3s/FT engine; BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
65	Immanuel Quickley	TOR	50–95	O · 68 GP · A49–84	Volatile	AST/3s/STL engine; BLK drag.
66	Naz Reid	CHA	50–95	G · 73 GP · A49–84	Stable	3s/REB engine; no modeled hard drain.
67	Keyonte George	UTA	45–90	O · 68 GP · A49–84	Volatile	PTS/AST/3s engine; BLK/TO drag.
68	Paul George	BOS	50–100	Y · 55 GP · A49–84	Managed	STL/3s/FT engine; no modeled hard drain. Availability-sensitive.
69	Payton Pritchard	BOS	55–95	G · 78 GP · A25–48	Stable	3s/PTS/AST engine; BLK drag.
70	Nickeil Alexander-Walker	ATL	55–100	G · 74 GP · A25–48	Stable	3s/PTS/STL engine; REB drag.
71	Mark Williams	PHX	55–110	O/R · 55 GP · A49–84	Speculative	FG/REB/BLK engine; 3s/AST drag. Availability-sensitive.
72	Mikal Bridges	NYK	55–95	G · 80 GP · A25–48	Stable	low TO/STL engine; REB drag.
73	Jarrett Allen	CLE	60–105	G · 67 GP · A49–84	Managed	FG/REB/BLK engine; 3s/FT drag. Build-sensitive.
74	Keegan Murray	SAC	55–105	O · 68 GP · A49–84	Volatile	BLK/low TO/3s engine; AST drag.
75	Coby White	CHA	60–105	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Stable	PTS/3s/AST engine; BLK drag.
76	AJ Dybantsa	WAS	60–100	G · 74 GP · A121–156	Volatile	STL/PTS engine; no modeled hard drain. Rookie translation.
77	De'Aaron Fox	SAS	55–100	G · 70 GP · A49–84	Stable	AST/PTS/STL engine; BLK/REB drag.
78	VJ Edgecombe	PHI	55–100	G · 72 GP · A49–84	Stable	STL/PTS engine; no modeled hard drain.
79	Caleb Wilson	CHI	65–115	G · 70 GP · A121–156	Volatile	BLK/REB engine; FT drag. Rookie translation.
80	Zion Williamson	NOP	65–120	Y · 60 GP · A85–120	Managed	PTS/FG engine; 3s/FT drag. Availability-sensitive.
81	Pascal Siakam	IND	60–105	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Stable	PTS/REB engine; FT drag.
82	Ryan Rollins	MIL	65–115	G · 70 GP · A49–84	Stable	STL/AST/3s engine; no modeled hard drain.
83	Kel'el Ware	MIL	65–115	G · 74 GP · A25–48	Managed	REB/BLK/low TO engine; AST drag. Minutes path.
84	Damian Lillard	POR	60–125	O · 58 GP · A49–84	Volatile	3s/PTS/AST engine; BLK/REB drag. Availability-sensitive.

Tier 6 — build shapers

Rk	Player	Team	PG band	Availability / A proxy	Risk	Concise rationale
85	Kristaps Porziņģis	GSW	60–125	Y · 54 GP · A25–48	Volatile	BLK/3s/FT engine; STL drag. Extreme availability tail.
86	Jaden McDaniels	MIN	65–110	G · 70 GP · A49–84	Stable	BLK/STL engine; no modeled hard drain.
87	Ausar Thompson	DET	55–125	G · 71 GP · A49–84	Managed	STL/BLK/FG engine; FT/3s drag. Build-sensitive.
88	Stephon Castle	SAS	60–120	G · 72 GP · A85–120	Stable	AST/STL engine; BLK/TO drag.
89	Cedric Coward	MEM	70–120	G · 70 GP · A85–120	Stable	PTS/FT engine; no modeled hard drain.
90	Darryn Peterson	UTA	70–125	G · 72 GP · A121–156	Volatile	STL/PTS engine; BLK drag. Rookie translation.
91	Ayo Dosunmu	MIN	66–116	G · 68 GP · A49–84	Stable	FT/PTS engine; BLK/REB drag.
92	John Collins	DET	67–117	G · 67 GP · A49–84	Stable	BLK/FG engine; AST drag.
93	Daniel Gafford	DAL	68–118	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Managed	BLK/FG/low TO engine; 3s/AST drag. Minutes path.
94	Andrew Wiggins	MIA	69–119	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Stable	3s/PTS engine; no modeled hard drain.
95	Brandin Podziemski	GSW	70–120	G · 76 GP · A49–84	Stable	3s/STL engine; BLK drag.
96	Brandon Ingram	TOR	71–121	O · 67 GP · A85–120	Volatile	PTS/AST engine; no modeled hard drain.
97	Ivica Zubac	IND	72–122	G · 66 GP · A85–120	Managed	REB/FG/BLK engine; 3s/STL drag. Build-sensitive.
98	Kyshawn George	WAS	73–123	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Stable	3s/BLK engine; no modeled hard drain.
99	Devin Vassell	SAS	74–124	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Stable	low TO/3s engine; no modeled hard drain.
100	De'Anthony Melton	GSW	75–125	Y · 62 GP · A85–120	Managed	STL/3s engine; FG/REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
101	Rudy Gobert	MIN	76–126	G · 69 GP · A85–120	Managed	FG/BLK/REB engine; FT/3s drag. Build-sensitive.
102	Herb Jones	NOP	77–127	G · 66 GP · A85–120	Managed	STL/low TO engine; PTS/REB drag. Build-sensitive.
103	Norman Powell	CHI	78–128	G · 66 GP · A85–120	Stable	3s/PTS engine; BLK/REB drag.
104	Nic Claxton	CHI	79–129	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Managed	BLK/FG/REB engine; 3s/FT drag. Build-sensitive.
105	Fred VanVleet	HOU	80–130	O · 62 GP · A85–120	Volatile	AST/STL/3s engine; FG/REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
106	Zach LaVine	SAC	81–131	G · 62 GP · A85–120	Stable	3s/FT/PTS engine; REB/BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
107	Yaxel Lendeborg	GSW	82–132	G · 73 GP · A85–120	Volatile	STL/BLK engine; no modeled hard drain. Rookie translation.
108	Keon Ellis	BKN	83–133	G · 72 GP · A85–120	Managed	STL/low TO engine; REB/PTS drag. Minutes path.
109	Neemias Queta	BOS	84–134	G · 72 GP · A85–120	Managed	FG/BLK/low TO engine; 3s/AST drag. Minutes path.
110	Dereck Lively II	DAL	85–135	Y · 38 GP · A85–120	Speculative	BLK/FG/low TO engine; 3s/PTS drag. Extreme availability tail.
111	Jimmy Butler III	GSW	86–136	Y · 30 GP · A85–120	Speculative	STL/PTS engine; BLK/3s drag. Extreme availability tail.
112	Miles Bridges	PHX	87–137	G · 70 GP · A85–120	Stable	PTS/3s engine; no modeled hard drain.
113	Isaiah Hartenstein	OKC	88–138	G · 58 GP · A85–120	Managed	FG/REB engine; 3s/FT drag. Availability-sensitive.
114	Derik Queen	NOP	89–139	G · 78 GP · A85–120	Stable	REB/BLK engine; 3s drag.
115	CJ McCollum	ATL	90–140	G · 70 GP · A85–120	Stable	3s/PTS engine; REB drag.
116	Day'Ron Sharpe	BKN	91–141	G · 68 GP · A85–120	Managed	FG/REB engine; 3s/FT drag. Build-sensitive.
117	Julius Randle	BKN	92–142	G · 70 GP · A85–120	Stable	PTS/REB engine; BLK/TO drag.
118	Collin Murray-Boyles	TOR	93–143	G · 72 GP · A85–120	Managed	BLK/FG/STL engine; 3s/FT drag. Build-sensitive.
119	Ajay Mitchell	OKC	94–144	G · 61 GP · A85–120	Managed	FT/STL engine; REB/BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
120	Quentin Grimes	LAL	95–145	G · 72 GP · A85–120	Stable	3s/FT engine; REB drag.

Tier 7 — standard-roster depth

Rk	Player	Team	PG band	Availability / A proxy	Risk	Concise rationale
121	Ace Bailey	UTA	86–156	G · 74 GP · A121–156	Managed	3s/PTS engine; no modeled hard drain.
122	Josh Hart	NYK	87–157	G · 68 GP · A121–156	Managed	REB/AST engine; BLK/FT drag.
123	Ty Jerome	MEM	88–158	G/X · 58 GP · A49–84	Speculative	AST/3s/FT engine; BLK/REB drag. Team/contract branch.
124	Cason Wallace	OKC	89–159	G · 76 GP · A85–120	Managed	STL/low TO engine; REB/PTS drag.
125	Cameron Johnson	DEN	90–160	G · 58 GP · A85–120	Volatile	low TO/3s engine; no modeled hard drain. Availability-sensitive.
126	Sandro Mamukelashvili	LAL	91–161	G · 72 GP · A85–120	Managed	low TO/FG engine; no modeled hard drain.
127	Ja Morant	POR	92–162	G · 60 GP · A121–156	Volatile	AST/PTS engine; TO/BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
128	Julian Champagnie	SAS	93–163	G · 78 GP · A121–156	Volatile	low TO/3s/FT engine; AST drag. Minutes path.
129	Moussa Diabaté	CHA	94–164	G · 72 GP · A121–156	Volatile	FG/REB/BLK engine; 3s/FT drag. Minutes path.
130	Myles Turner	MIL	95–165	G · 65 GP · A121–156	Volatile	BLK/low TO engine; AST/STL drag. Minutes path.
131	Egor Dëmin	BKN	96–166	G · 67 GP · A121–156	Volatile	3s/AST engine; FG/REB drag. Build-sensitive.
132	Christian Braun	DEN	97–167	G · 63 GP · A121–156	Volatile	low TO/FG engine; BLK drag. Availability-sensitive.
133	Tobias Harris	SAS	98–168	G · 65 GP · A121–156	Volatile	low TO/FT engine; no modeled hard drain. Minutes path.
134	Toumani Camara	POR	99–169	G · 76 GP · A121–156	Managed	STL/3s engine; FT drag.
135	Jabari Smith Jr.	HOU	100–170	G · 74 GP · A121–156	Managed	low TO strength; no modeled hard drain.
136	Saddiq Bey	NOP	101–171	G · 68 GP · A121–156	Managed	low TO/FT engine; BLK/AST drag.
137	Tre Jones	CHI	102–172	G · 70 GP · A121–156	Volatile	STL/low TO/AST engine; BLK/REB drag. Minutes path.
138	Collin Gillespie	PHX	103–173	G · 72 GP · A121–156	Volatile	3s/FT engine; BLK/REB drag. Build-sensitive.
139	Isaiah Joe	DET	104–174	G · 72 GP · A121–156	Volatile	3s/low TO/FT engine; BLK/REB drag. Minutes path.
140	Andrew Nembhard	IND	105–175	G · 66 GP · A121–156	Managed	AST/FT engine; BLK/REB drag.
141	Tari Eason	HOU	106–176	G · 66 GP · A121–156	Volatile	STL/low TO engine; AST/FG drag. Build-sensitive.
142	PJ Washington	DAL	107–177	G · 66 GP · A121–156	Managed	BLK/REB engine; FT/AST drag.
143	Keaton Wagler	LAC	108–178	G · 70 GP · A121–156	Volatile	3s/PTS engine; BLK/FG drag. Rookie translation.
144	Santi Aldama	DAL	109–179	G · 62 GP · A121–156	Volatile	low TO/REB engine; FT drag. Availability-sensitive.
145	Morez Johnson Jr	DAL	110–180	G · 70 GP · A121–156	Volatile	BLK/FG/low TO engine; 3s/AST drag. Rookie translation.
146	Mikel Brown Jr.	BKN	111–181	G · 68 GP · A121–156	Volatile	role-specific counting stats strength; FG%/BLK drag. Rookie translation.
147	Malik Monk	SAC	112–182	G · 68 GP · A121–156	Managed	3s/FT engine; REB drag.
148	Peyton Watson	DEN	113–183	G · 62 GP · A121–156	Volatile	BLK/low TO engine; AST drag. Availability-sensitive.
149	Max Christie	DAL	114–184	G · 74 GP · A121–156	Managed	3s/FT/low TO engine; REB drag.
150	Jakob Poeltl	TOR	115–185	G · 60 GP · A121–156	Volatile	FG/low TO/REB engine; 3s/FT drag. Availability-sensitive.
151	Dillon Brooks	PHX	116–186	G · 64 GP · A121–156	Managed	3s/PTS engine; BLK/AST drag.
152	Jeremiah Fears	NOP	117–187	G · 78 GP · A121–156	Managed	STL/PTS engine; REB/FG drag.
153	Grayson Allen	CHA	118–188	G · 58 GP · A121–156	Volatile	3s/FT engine; BLK/REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
154	Bennedict Mathurin	LAC	119–189	G · 65 GP · A121–156	Managed	FT/PTS engine; BLK drag.
155	Jrue Holiday	POR	120–190	G · 62 GP · A157–200	Volatile	AST/STL engine; BLK/REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
156	Darius Acuff Jr.	SAC	121–191	G · 72 GP · A157–200	Volatile	role-specific counting stats strength; FG%/BLK drag. Rookie translation.

Tier 8 — replacement and watch pool

Rk	Player	Team	PG band	Availability / A proxy	Risk	Concise rationale
157	Anthony Black	ORL	117–197	G · 70 GP · A157–200	Speculative	STL/AST engine; REB drag.
158	RJ Barrett	TOR	118–198	G · 67 GP · A157–200	Speculative	PTS/3s engine; BLK/FT drag.
159	Derrick Jones Jr.	LAC	119–199	G · 62 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO strength; no modeled hard drain.
160	Shaedon Sharpe	POR	120–200	G · 64 GP · A157–200	Speculative	STL/PTS engine; BLK/REB drag.
161	Naji Marshall	DAL	121–201	G · 70 GP · A157–200	Speculative	STL/low TO engine; BLK drag.
162	Aaron Nesmith	IND	122–202	G · 62 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/3s engine; AST/REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
163	Gui Santos	GSW	123–203	G · 72 GP · A157–200	Speculative	STL/PTS engine; BLK drag.
164	Robert Williams III	POR	124–204	Y · 52 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FG/BLK/low TO engine; 3s/PTS drag. Extreme availability tail.
165	Collin Sexton	LAL	125–205	G · 68 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FT/PTS engine; BLK/REB drag. Minutes path.
166	Jaylon Tyson	CLE	126–206	G · 72 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/3s engine; no modeled hard drain.
167	Josh Minott	BKN	127–207	G · 65 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/STL engine; AST/PTS drag. Minutes path.
168	Kelly Oubre Jr.	IND	128–208	G · 62 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO strength; no modeled hard drain.
169	Jalen Green	PHX	129–209	G · 61 GP · A157–200	Speculative	3s/PTS engine; BLK/FG drag. Availability-sensitive.
170	Jusuf Nurkic	UTA	130–210	G · 58 GP · A157–200	Speculative	REB/STL engine; FT/3s drag. Availability-sensitive.
171	Draymond Green	GSW	131–211	G · 62 GP · A157–200	Speculative	AST/STL engine; PTS/FT drag. Team/contract branch.
172	Davion Mitchell	MIA	132–212	G · 72 GP · A157–200	Speculative	AST/STL engine; BLK/REB drag. Build-sensitive.
173	Max Strus	CLE	133–213	G · 65 GP · A157–200	Speculative	3s/low TO engine; BLK/STL drag.
174	Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	134–214	G · 68 GP · A121–156	Speculative	low TO strength; no modeled hard drain.
175	Kris Dunn	LAC	135–215	G · 72 GP · A157–200	Speculative	STL/low TO engine; PTS/BLK drag. Minutes path.
176	Jaime Jaquez Jr	MIL	136–216	G · 72 GP · A157–200	Speculative	AST/FG engine; BLK/3s drag. Minutes path.
177	Miles McBride	NYK	137–217	G · 64 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/3s engine; REB/BLK drag. Minutes path.
178	Brook Lopez	LAC	138–218	G · 66 GP · A157–200	Speculative	BLK/low TO engine; STL/AST drag. Minutes path.
179	Mitchell Robinson	BOS	139–219	G · 58 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FG/low TO/BLK engine; FT/3s drag. Availability-sensitive.
180	Al Horford	GSW	140–220	Y · 50 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/BLK engine; PTS/STL drag. Extreme availability tail.
181	De'Andre Hunter	SAC	141–220+	G · 64 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FT/low TO engine; BLK/AST drag.
182	Paul Reed	DET	142–220+	G · 65 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FG/low TO engine; 3s/PTS drag. Minutes path.
183	Cam Spencer	MEM	143–220+	G · 68 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FT/low TO engine; BLK/REB drag. Minutes path.
184	Ryan Kalkbrenner	CHA	144–220+	G · 66 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FG/BLK/low TO engine; 3s/PTS drag. Minutes path.
185	Karlo Matković	NOP	145–220+	G · 58 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/FG/BLK engine; STL/PTS drag. Availability-sensitive.
186	Bobby Portis	MIA	146–220+	G · 68 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/REB engine; BLK/STL drag. Minutes path.
187	Sam Merrill	CLE	147–220+	G · 66 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/3s/FT engine; BLK/REB drag. Minutes path.
188	Isaiah Stewart	MEM	148–220+	G · 64 GP · A157–200	Speculative	BLK/low TO/FG engine; STL/AST drag. Minutes path.
189	Deandre Ayton	WAS	149–220+	G · 68 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FG/low TO engine; 3s/STL drag. Minutes path.
190	Isaiah Jackson	LAC	150–220+	G · 64 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FG/BLK/low TO engine; 3s/AST drag. Minutes path.
191	Alex Caruso	OKC	151–220+	G · 58 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/STL engine; PTS/REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
192	Anfernee Simons	PHI	152–220+	G · 60 GP · A201+	Speculative	FT/low TO/3s engine; BLK/REB drag. Availability-sensitive.
193	Jaylen Wells	MEM	153–220+	G · 72 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO/3s engine; BLK/REB drag.
194	Hannes Steinbach	CHA	154–220+	G · 70 GP · A157–200	Speculative	FG/low TO engine; 3s/AST drag. Rookie translation.
195	Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	155–220+	G · 68 GP · A201+	Speculative	role-specific counting stats strength; FG% drag.
196	Nikola Vucevic	ORL	156–220+	G · 62 GP · A157–200	Speculative	low TO strength; no modeled hard drain.
197	Kingston Flemings	ATL	157–220+	G · 70 GP · A201+	Speculative	role-specific counting stats strength; FG%/BLK drag. Rookie translation.
198	Terrence Shannon Jr.	MIN	158–220+	G · 70 GP · A201+	Speculative	low TO strength; BLK drag.
199	Hugo Gonzalez	BOS	159–220+	G · 76 GP · A201+	Speculative	low TO/STL engine; PTS/FT drag. Minutes path.
200	Pelle Larsson	MIA	160–220+	G · 72 GP · A201+	Speculative	low TO/FG engine; BLK/REB drag. Minutes path.

How to draft from it

In games-cap formats or leagues with generous IL, start with the per-game rank and tolerate more Y/O/R; in weekly lineups or shallow benches, use the GP and availability column aggressively.
Do not compare two build-sensitive players by exact rank alone. Giannis, Thompson, Daniels, Kessler, Gobert, Mobley, Clingan, and Şengün can move a full tier in coherent punt builds.
Ranks 157–200 are the replacement/watch pool, not automatic 12-team holds. Prefer a specialist who fixes a current category or an upside path that can be cut quickly.
There is no current ADP column because no defensible public post-draft sample exists. Use ADP and draft market desk to compare isolated mock prices without relabelling them as market averages.

Update gates

Regenerate the board after a material signing, trade, suspension decision, medical clearance, camp rotation, or projection-input repair. Before calling the next version quantitative, complete FGM/FGA and FTM/FTA for every ranked player, freeze a comparison population, recompute true totals from primitives, and add sourced platform position eligibility. The player and team projections must be updated before the rank moves.

Open questions

Where does LeBron James sign, and how does that destination change his conditional No. 59 line?
Which of Tatum, Haliburton, Davis, Irving, Miller, Jalen Williams, Wagner, and Mark Williams receives unrestricted camp clearance?
Which final signings or trades resolve Leonard, Duren, Harden, Ty Jerome, and the most volatile secondary rotations?
When will the first season-stamped, sample-disclosed 2026-27 category ADP and a public Basketball Monster projection set become available?
How much do complete shot-attempt volume, platform eligibility, and a true primitive-stat totals calculation change the top 200?