Player card
- Team/status: Memphis standard-roster core.
- Position: official roster label G; check PG/SG eligibility.
- Age/experience: 26 during the season; entering NBA Year 3.
- Depth role: second-unit combo guard and spot starter, 15-minute base role.
- 2025-26: 72 GP/20 starts, 23.8 MPG; .473 FG, .940 FT, 2.0 3PM, 11.1 PTS, 2.5 REB, 5.6 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.2 BLK, 1.3 TO. ESPN stats, accessed 2026-07-18
2026-27 base projection
| GP | MPG | FG% (FGA) | FT% (FTA) | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 15 | .468 (5.0) | .920 (1.1) | 1.4 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
Correction 2026-07-18 Trimmed from 19 to 15 base minutes to accommodate Walter Clayton Jr., who was previously carried at zero base minutes despite 24 Memphis games at 25.0 MPG. Spencer's rates are unchanged and his assist profile is if anything undersold elsewhere in this vault: his 2025-26 line of 5.6 assists in 23.8 minutes is roughly 8.5 per 36, which makes him a legitimate punt-build assist streamer at near-zero draft cost rather than a pure shooting specialist.
Nine-category: top 145-205 per game, rising in assists/threes builds. Points: useful injury replacement because assists translate, but low scoring volume caps the baseline. Dynasty: inexpensive hold; more likely a high-functioning role guard than a primary creator.
Range and risks
- Strengths: threes, assists, both percentages and low turnovers.
- Liabilities: low rebounds/stocks and low FT attempt volume.
- Floor/base/ceiling: 12-minute shooting specialist / 19-minute combo guard / 26-minute starter after a guard exit, near 12 points and six assists.
- Branches: Jerome or Pippen leaving raises his playmaking; Clayton/Small development minutes lower it.
The 2025-26 team notes identify Spencer as the NBA FT% leader (.940) and one of the league's best three-point shooters (.449). The model regresses both percentages and reduces minutes because Memphis has more healthy ballhandlers; this is the central difference from a naive repeat projection. Official Grizzlies game notes
Confidence
| Component | Label | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Roster | High | Productive young guard under team control. |
| Minutes | Medium | Strong fit, very crowded guard room. |
| Rate | Medium-high | 72-game baseline, with shooting regression risk. |
| Availability | High | 72 appearances and no current restriction found. |
Sources
- Official Memphis roster — accessed 2026-07-18.
Career record
Pre-NBA: Five college seasons across three schools. Loyola Maryland, 2019-22: 10.0 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 3.1 assists in 23 games as a freshman before a hip injury, earning Patriot League All-Freshman, then 18.9 points as a junior in 2021-22 and first-team All-Patriot League. Rutgers, 2022-23: 13.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, 3.1 assists, and 2.0 steals. UConn, 2023-24: 14.3 points, 4.9 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 1.5 steals in 33.0 minutes, starting all 40 games on .484/.440/.911 shooting, first-team All-Big East, national champion. Sophomore-year and per-season shooting splits at Loyola and Rutgers were not verified and are omitted. Draft: 2024, second round, 53rd overall by Detroit — traded to Memphis on draft night. He signed a two-way contract July 8, 2024, agreed to a two-year, $4.5 million deal on June 30, 2025, and restructured to four years and $10.5 million on July 16, 2025. As a two-way rookie he averaged 20.4 points, 4.6 assists, and 2.6 rebounds for the Memphis Hustle, including a 51-point, 12-three game against Birmingham on December 2, 2024.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 24 | MEM | 25 | 10.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | .415 | 1.000 | 0.2 |
| 2025-26 | 25 | MEM | 72 | 23.8 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.0 | .473 | .940 | 1.3 |
| Career | 97 | 20.3 | 9.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | .466 | .948 | 1.0 |
Three-point percentage was .365 as a rookie and .449 in 2025-26, .438 for his career. The 2025-26 line in this dossier reconciles exactly with ESPN, including the .449 mark.
Fantasy history: With only two seasons and one of them a 25-game two-way sample, there is no meaningful rank history, and no season-end 9-cat finish from Basketball Monster, Hashtag, or the ESPN Player Rater was retrievable — so none is stated. The 2025-26 shape is worth describing precisely because it is unusual: 2.0 threes, 5.6 assists, and both percentages elite, against 2.5 rebounds, 0.7 steals, and 0.2 blocks. That is a four-category contributor with two dead categories and a third (steals) at replacement level. One caveat that supports rather than undercuts the dossier's leader claim: he made 126 free throws on 134 attempts, clearing the NBA's 125-make qualification threshold by exactly one, so the .940 is a legitimate qualified figure rather than a small-sample artifact. Points leagues rate him lower than categories do, because 11.1 points per game is thin and the percentage edges that drive his roto value are worth nothing in a points format; the assists are the only part of the profile that fully translates.
Durability: 25, 72. The 25-game rookie total is a contract artifact, not a health signal — he was on a two-way deal and spent most of the year with the Memphis Hustle. In 2025-26 he missed ten games, driven by recurring lower-back soreness (which cost him three of one four-game stretch), right ankle soreness, and one absence for personal reasons. Nothing structural has been reported, but the back is a recurrence pattern rather than a single event and is the item to track.
Trajectory: The jump from 10.1 to 23.8 minutes explains the raw counting-stat growth, but the per-minute change is the real story and it is concentrated in one place: assists went from 1.4 in 10.1 minutes to 5.6 in 23.8, a rate increase well beyond what minutes alone produce, which means Memphis genuinely handed him second-unit initiation rather than parking him in a corner. The shooting moved with it — .365 to .449 from three on materially higher volume — and that combination of more responsibility with better efficiency is the profile of real second-year development, not a hot streak. The obvious caution is that a .449 three-point season on a career .438 base will regress toward the high .380s or low .400s, and a .940 free throw mark on 134 attempts will regress too, so the percentage categories that carry his value are the least stable part of him. At 26 he is entering the years where a role guard's production is set by opportunity rather than growth, and Memphis has more healthy ballhandlers than it did during his breakout. The history says the skills are real; the risk for 2026-27 is entirely about minutes and about how much of the shooting was a career year.
Career sources: ESPN career stats · Wikipedia · StatMuse free throw totals · NBA G League two-way signing · Memphis Hustle 51-point game
Open questions
- Does Spencer retain primary second-unit creation after the roster is trimmed?
- How much of the .449 three-point season survives regression?