Snapshot
- As of: 2026-07-18. This is an offseason projection, not an official depth chart.
- 2025-26 result: 62-20, second in the West by NBA.com's conference display, Western Conference champion, and a 4-1 NBA Finals loss to New York. The team ranked third in scoring (119.8), second in rebounds (47.0), ninth in assists (28.1), and eighth in opponent scoring (111.5). NBA team page, accessed 2026-07-18
- Coaching: Mitch Johnson remains head coach. NBA team page, accessed 2026-07-18
- Base case: 57-25, a top-three West seed and legitimate championship contender.
- Outcome range: 52-30 if health and guard-role friction cost regular-season efficiency; 64-18 if Victor Wembanyama reaches 32 minutes, the young guards improve as shooters, and the defense remains elite. The realistic postseason band runs from a second-round exit to a championship.
Verified contract roster
The boundary is the NBA transaction log through July 18, not every name still rendered on a lagging roster widget. The log records first-round rookie-scale deals for Jayden Quaintance and Tarris Reed Jr.; two-way deals for Ja'Kobi Gillespie and Maliq Brown; the Tobias Harris signing; the Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin and Julian Champagnie returns; and Wembanyama's extension. Emanuel Miller's February two-way remains the third two-way slot. NBA transactions, accessed 2026-07-18
Standard contracts (14): Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Tobias Harris, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Jayden Quaintance, Tarris Reed Jr., Jordan McLaughlin.
Two-way contracts (3): Ja'Kobi Gillespie, Maliq Brown, Emanuel Miller.
Open roster condition: San Antonio still has one standard slot available. Harrison Ingram and David Jones Garcia appear on some inherited roster surfaces, but neither has a verified 2026-27 contract in the current transaction log; neither is included in this 17-player projection.
Projected depth chart
| Position | Starter | Second unit | Depth/development |
|---|---|---|---|
| PG | De'Aaron Fox | Dylan Harper | Jordan McLaughlin, Ja'Kobi Gillespie (TW) |
| SG | Stephon Castle | Harper / Devin Vassell | Gillespie (TW) |
| SF | Vassell | Keldon Johnson / Carter Bryant | Emanuel Miller (TW) |
| PF | Julian Champagnie | Tobias Harris | Harrison Barnes, Maliq Brown (TW) |
| C | Victor Wembanyama | Luke Kornet | Tarris Reed Jr. |
The starting-five call is an inference, but the weight of evidence sits with continuity. Champagnie started 68 of 82 games in 2025-26, started the Finals, and was re-signed on 2026-06-29 to a three-year, \(45M deal that NBA.com and FOX Sports both describe in starter terms; the only post-free-agency public depth chart projects Fox-Castle-Vassell-Champagnie-Wembanyama with Harris as the backup four and Barnes "strictly a depth piece." [ESPN, 2026-06-29](https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/49219150/sources-julian-champagnie-sign-3-year-45m-deal-spurs) · [Air Alamo projected depth chart, accessed 2026-07-18](https://airalamo.com/spurs-projected-starting-lineup-depth-chart-after-flurry-offseason-moves) Harris signed for two years and \)30.8M — reserve money — and is reported to be slated for a role similar to his Detroit one rather than a promotion. Hoops Rumors, 2026-07-01 The principal alternative remains Harris at the four on natural-power-forward size and rebounding, with Champagnie sliding to the wing.
Correction 2026-07-18: this desk previously projected Harris as the starting four with Champagnie as the second-unit small forward, citing a pre-free-agency L'Equipe framing of the Harris signing. That was wrong on the evidence — Champagnie's 68 starts, Finals starting role and $45M contract, plus the only post-signing public depth chart, all point to Champagnie starting and Harris backing him up. Base case flipped; Harris-starts retained as the named alternative.
Exact healthy-night minute allocation
This is a regulation-only 240-minute allocation. It is a role map, not the season-long MPG forecast below; spot starts and injury absences create minutes for the zero-minute players.
| Slot | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Stephon Castle | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Devin Vassell | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Julian Champagnie | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 27 |
| Victor Wembanyama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 31 |
| Dylan Harper | 18 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Tobias Harris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| Keldon Johnson | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| Luke Kornet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 |
| Carter Bryant | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Harrison Barnes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Position total | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 240 |
Quaintance, McLaughlin and the two-way players are outside the fully healthy 12-man map. Reed's three-minute placeholder is deliberately fragile: he can displace Kornet in athletic matchups, but can also spend long stretches in Austin.
Correction 2026-07-18: the forward minutes were rebuilt. Champagnie moves from 24 to 27 (mostly at the four) and Harris from 24 to 21 on the depth-chart correction above. Carter Bryant rises from 4 to 10: he closed 2025-26 at 15.3 MPG over the final 34 games with 6.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 37.3% from three, and the public depth chart has him contesting Keldon Johnson's wing minutes rather than sitting behind four forwards. Roundtable season recap, accessed 2026-07-18 Johnson absorbs that cost (18 to 14) as the player Bryant is most likely to displace, and Barnes moves 7 to 5 — the same post-free-agency source that seats Champagnie also calls Barnes strictly a depth piece behind Champagnie and Harris. The table still sums to 240 with every position column at 48.
2026-27 fantasy projections
Percentages are projected on the player's expected volume. Rankings are broad draft bands, not false-precision consensus. “Points” is a format-agnostic tier because platform scoring varies; managers should re-run values in their own scoring system.
| Player | GP | MPG | FG% | FT% | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | 9-cat band | Points value | Dynasty band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 68 | 31.0 | .515 | .830 | 2.0 | 26.5 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1-3 | elite first round | 1 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 70 | 30.0 | .480 | .780 | 1.8 | 19.5 | 3.9 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 45-75 | top 40-60 | 45-80 |
| Stephon Castle | 72 | 30.0 | .470 | .750 | 1.4 | 17.5 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 55-85 | top 35-55 | 20-45 |
| Dylan Harper | 72 | 27.0 | .500 | .770 | 1.1 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 75-115 | top 65-90 | 10-25 |
| Devin Vassell | 68 | 28.0 | .445 | .820 | 2.4 | 14.5 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 90-135 | top 100-140 | 90-130 |
| Julian Champagnie | 78 | 27.0 | .440 | .850 | 2.4 | 11.4 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 100-150 | top 140-190 | 220-300 |
| Tobias Harris | 65 | 21.0 | .475 | .860 | 1.1 | 10.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 130-180 | top 150-200 | 180-260 |
| Keldon Johnson | 75 | 16.0 | .505 | .790 | 0.9 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 160-220 | top 175-235 | 220-300 |
| Luke Kornet | 70 | 14.0 | .635 | .780 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 150-220 | top 170-230 | 220-300 |
| Carter Bryant | 65 | 13.0 | .430 | .740 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 190-250 | top 200-260 | 90-180 |
| Harrison Barnes | 50 | 10.0 | .460 | .830 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 240+ | waiver/deep only | 350+ |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 50 | 7.0 | .610 | .700 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 230+ | handcuff only | 180-300 |
| Jayden Quaintance | 5 | 6.0 | .520 | .650 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | no redraft rank | do not draft | 130-240 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 35 | 6.0 | .420 | .850 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 300+ | emergency streamer | 400+ |
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie | 20 | 7.0 | .430 | .800 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 300+ | two-way stash | 280-400 |
| Maliq Brown | 12 | 6.0 | .520 | .650 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 300+ | stocks watchlist | 300-450 |
| Emanuel Miller | 10 | 6.0 | .450 | .750 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 350+ | two-way depth | 400+ |
The returning-player baseline is the 2025-26 ESPN stat table: Wembanyama produced 25.0/11.5/3.1 with 3.1 blocks in only 29.2 minutes; Castle produced 16.7/5.3/7.4; Fox 18.6/3.8/6.2; Harper 11.8/3.4/3.9 in 22.6 minutes; and Champagnie played all 82 games. ESPN team stats, accessed 2026-07-18
Correction 2026-07-18: Champagnie, Harris, Johnson, Bryant, Barnes and Quaintance were re-projected in line with the depth-chart and minute corrections above. Barnes also changes shape rather than only level — 70 GP at 7.0 MPG was internally inconsistent, since players at that workload are DNP-CD candidates appearing in 40-50 games. He is now modelled at 50 GP and 10.0 MPG, which is a bimodal role compressed into one row: roughly 18 MPG if a forward absence opens the rotation, roughly nothing if it does not. He started 52 of 77 games at 25.8 MPG last season, so the downgrade is a role call, not a decline call. Hoops Rumors, 2026-07-08
Fantasy hierarchy and format notes
- Wembanyama is the only format-proof target. Dan Titus ranked him second in his April 2026 early first round and explicitly endorsed 1.01; Hashtag Basketball ranks him dynasty No. 1. NBA/Yahoo early ranks, 2026-04-14 · Hashtag dynasty rankings, accessed 2026-07-18
- Castle is better in points than 9-cat. Seven-plus assists and strong rebounds are offset by high turnovers and below-average free throws. Hashtag's expert dynasty list ranks him No. 40, while its July crowdsourced keeper market is more bullish at No. 24.
- Harper is the dynasty-over-redraft gap. Hashtag places him No. 17 in expert dynasty and No. 14 crowdsourced, but acknowledges patience is required behind two established guards. His postseason role and strong rim efficiency support 27 minutes; a 30-minute starting role requires a Fox move or an unusually small three-guard alignment.
- Fox is a value only after the role discount. His 2025-26 minutes and scoring fell sharply, but efficient 19/6 with steals remains useful. He is a categorical buy only if drafters price the Finals narrative below his stable regular-season role.
- Vassell, Harris and Champagnie cannibalize each other. Vassell offers threes without many turnovers; Harris offers efficient low-volume balance; Champagnie offers threes, rebounds and availability. Champagnie is the one with the starting job and the 82-game history, but none of the three has a safe 30-minute path while the roster is intact.
Role battles
- Third guard: Fox and Castle are projected starters; Harper is projected sixth man and closer. The three together absorb 87 healthy-night minutes, leaving little on-ball work for anyone else.
- Starting four: Champagnie has continuity, 68 starts, the Finals start and the larger contract; Harris has positional logic and self-creation. The loser can still reach 21-24 minutes by backing up both forward spots, so the fantasy gap between the two outcomes is narrower than the starting-job language suggests.
- Back-end wing: Keldon is the established scorer and Bryant is the development priority, and the public read is that Bryant may overtake him early in the season; Barnes is now a depth piece rather than a rotation lock. Their healthy-night allotment is 29 combined minutes, distributed differently than last season.
- Backup center: Kornet's proven screening, rebounding and rim protection give him the floor. Reed's athletic rebounding creates an upside path. Quaintance is not a competitor for 2026-27 minutes at all; his meniscus recovery points to 2027.
Health and transaction watch
- Jayden Quaintance: San Antonio announced successful right-knee surgery on July 15. The procedure was a meniscus repair, and it was a known follow-up to the ACL he tore in February 2025 at Arizona State — the Spurs drafted him 20th knowing it was coming, and complications from that tear had already limited him to four games at Kentucky. He will miss all of training camp and the start of the season; league sources said multiple teams expected the procedure to cost him most of 2026-27, and the early Spurs expectation is that he is not available until some point in 2027. Treat a full redshirt as the base case and do not draft him in redraft. Spurs injury update, 2026-07-15 · Hoops Rumors, 2026-07-16
- De'Aaron Fox: the right high ankle sprain originated in Game 4 of the second round against Minnesota, when Ayo Dosunmu landed on his ankle. He played through it in Games 5 and 6, missed the first two Western Conference Finals games, then reaggravated it in Game 3 when Lu Dort dove for a loose ball. This was a multi-round, production-degrading injury rather than a two-game absence that cleared. San Antonio attributes his Finals collapse to it directly: 18.8 PPG on 46.2% over his first 11 playoff games before the injury, 12.0 PPG on 35.3% after, and 12.8 PPG in the Finals itself, against 18.6 on 48.6% in the regular season. Whether the ankle normalised over the summer is the primary Fox draft risk, not a footnote. NBA Fox report, 2026-05-19 · ESPN, 2026-05-20 · Hoops Rumors, 2026-07
- Dylan Harper: sustained a right-adductor issue in West Finals Game 2, returned and was off the injury report by Game 4. This one is genuinely an offseason monitoring item rather than an active absence. NBA Harper report, 2026-05-21
Correction 2026-07-18: this desk previously grouped Fox with Harper as a resolved two-game West Finals absence and described the injury as "ankle soreness," while the Fox dossier called it a right high ankle sprain. The high ankle sprain is the correct diagnosis and the injury dates to the second round, not the conference finals; per the team it was still suppressing his shooting through the Finals. The health-risk weighting on his 70-GP/30-MPG projection is raised accordingly. - Roster slot: One standard vacancy leaves this entire depth chart exposed to one more veteran addition or a two-way conversion. - Extension/cap signal: Wembanyama signed through 2031-32 and accepted the 25% framework rather than a larger escalator, improving long-term flexibility but not changing his 2026-27 role. NBA/AP, updated 2026-07-12
Ceiling and floor map
| Player | Ceiling trigger | Floor trigger |
|---|---|---|
| Wembanyama | 32+ MPG and another efficiency step: overall No. 1 | conservative minutes or missed games: still top five per game |
| Castle | three-point/FT growth and stable lead-guard reps: top 35 | Harper/Fox absorb creation; FT/TO drag pushes him outside top 90 |
| Harper | starts or closes every game: top 60 | 23-minute reserve role: outside top 120 in 9-cat |
| Fox | ankle fully normalised, healthy 31 MPG and late-game control: top 40 | lingering high-ankle effects on his shooting plus three-guard dilution: outside top 80 |
| Vassell | 30 MPG with defensive-stat rebound: top 80 | Harris/Champagnie squeeze him to low-usage shooting: outside top 150 |
| Harris/Champagnie | winner of starting-four battle: top 110-130 | 20-minute platoon: streamer only |
| Reed | injury-created center role: blocks/rebounds streamer | Austin assignment: no redraft value |
| Quaintance | cleared late and gets development minutes in a decided season: dynasty only | full redshirt, return pushed into 2027: no 2026-27 value |
Sources
- NBA Spurs roster — accessed 2026-07-18.
- NBA player transactions filtered to San Antonio — accessed 2026-07-18.
- NBA 2026 offseason transactions roundup — updated 2026-07-16.
- NBA official 2026 draft profile for San Antonio — accessed 2026-07-18.
- Hashtag Basketball dynasty rankings — accessed 2026-07-18.
- Hashtag crowdsourced keeper rankings — updated 2026-07-18.
Open questions
- Does Mitch Johnson hold Champagnie in the first unit, or does Harris's size and creation win the job in camp?
- Can Harper reach 27-30 minutes without moving Fox or Vassell?
- Did Fox's high ankle sprain fully resolve, or does the post-injury shooting line carry into 2026-27?
- Does Bryant overtake Keldon Johnson early, and does a Keldon trade off the expiring $18M accelerate it?
- Does Quaintance appear at all in 2026-27, or does the meniscus recovery consume the whole year as the Spurs' own 2027 framing implies?
- Who receives the final standard roster spot, and does that player alter the forward or center minute pool?