2026-27 projection
| GP | MPG | FG% | FT% | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 27.0 | .500 | .770 | 1.1 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 |
- Role: sixth man, secondary point guard and likely closer.
- 9-cat: 75-115.
- Points: top 65-90.
- Dynasty: 10-25; Hashtag expert No. 17 and crowdsourced No. 14.
Year-two case
Harper averaged 11.8 points, 3.9 assists and 3.4 rebounds in only 22.6 minutes, shooting 50.5% from the field. He started four times but became more central during the Finals run, demonstrating that reserve status does not imply a low-leverage role. ESPN stats, accessed 2026-07-18
The strongest skill is efficient rim pressure plus passing. The fantasy weaknesses are low three-point volume, only 1.1 projected stocks, and the unresolved Fox-Castle overlap. Scaling his rookie rates to 27 minutes yields the projection without assuming a starting job.
Ceiling, floor and health
- Ceiling: top 60 if he reaches 30 minutes, 17 points and 5.5 assists with better FT volume.
- Floor: outside top 130 if the regular-season rotation holds him near 23 minutes.
- Dynasty ceiling: franchise lead guard if Fox is eventually moved; his current market already prices much of that event.
- Health: Harper exited West Finals Game 2 with a right-leg injury later identified as adductor soreness, returned for Game 3 and was off the Game 4 report. NBA, 2026-05-21 · ESPN, updated 2026-05-22
Hashtag explicitly advises patience because two established guards remain ahead of him; that is the correct separation between redraft and dynasty. Hashtag dynasty, accessed 2026-07-18
Career record
Pre-NBA: Rutgers, one season (2024-25): 29 GP, 32.7 MPG, 19.4 PTS, 4.6 REB, 4.0 AST, 1.4 STL on .484 FG% — Rutgers freshman scoring record (564 points), a triple-double vs. Columbia (first by a Scarlet Knight since 1983), third-team All-Big Ten and Big Ten All-Freshman. Draft: 2025, Round 1, Pick 2, San Antonio Spurs.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | SAS | 69 | 22.6 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | .505 | .756 | 1.4 |
| Career | — | — | 69 | 22.6 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | .505 | .756 | 1.4 |
Durability: 69 of 82 as a rookie with no chronic issue; the only playoff flag was adductor soreness that cost him part of West Finals Game 2 before a Game 3 return.
Trajectory: One season, and it is the good kind of rookie record: .505 FG% from a teenage guard on real rim pressure, a near-2.8:1 assist-to-turnover ratio, and a leverage role that grew through a Finals run despite just four starts. The missing fantasy pieces are three-point volume (0.9 3PM) and stocks. In 2026-27 he is the sixth man and likely closer behind the Fox-Castle pairing; he is already draftable in all formats, and he jumps a full tier — top-60 territory — the moment he clears 30 MPG, whether by earning the starting job or by a Fox trade clearing the lane.
Career sources: ESPN stats · StatMuse 2025-26 season averages · Sports-Reference Rutgers page · Wikipedia
Open questions
- Does Harper start, or merely close, by midseason?
- Can he push three-point volume above four attempts per 30 minutes?