Cutoff/status: 2026-07-18; LAC issued a qualifying offer, but Mathurin has not accepted it or signed a new contract. He is an RFA, not a confirmed member of the 240-minute base. NBA qualifying-offer tracker · Los Angeles Clippers
Baseline and conditional projection
Across Indiana and LA, Mathurin played 54 games at 30.0 MPG and averaged 17.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.2 blocks, 1.4 threes and 2.2 turnovers on .430/.869 shooting. His 26-game LAC three-point rate was only 20.7%, which is regressed toward the larger career sample rather than copied forward. ESPN statistics
| GP | MPG | FG% | FT% | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65* | 29.0* | .440 | .865 | 1.4 | 17.5 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 |
*Portable line conditional on signing and retaining a top-eight role.
Fantasy translation
- Nine-category: conditional rank 105-155; scoring and FT impact help, but FG%, low stocks and turnovers suppress balanced value.
- Points: conditional rank 80-130, materially better than nine-cat because free-throw volume and scoring carry more weight.
- Dynasty: rank 90-140. Hashtag's July crowd board placed him 113th and still labeled him LAC, a useful market expectation but not proof of contract completion. Hashtag
Role and scenarios
- Low: a prolonged RFA stalemate, sign-and-trade, or crowded return leaves him below 22 minutes.
- Base: re-signs and plays 29 minutes as the first scoring wing off the bench or a spot starter.
- High: Leonard leaves, no equivalent usage arrives and Mathurin reaches 32 minutes with 20-plus points.
Correction 2026-07-18: this desk now states an explicit return probability rather than leaving the conditional unweighted. A return to LA is put at roughly 75-80%. The qualifying offer was tendered and not withdrawn before the July 13 deadline, LA holds Bird rights and right of first refusal, the front office has said it aims to re-sign him, he has said he wants to stay, reporting places his market near three years and $50M, and LA deliberately left a standard roster spot open after signing Baba Miller. The zero-minute base allocation is therefore the verified-contract state, not the modal outcome, and readers should discount Wagler, Sanders and Jordan Miller accordingly. Hoops Rumors RFA tender · SI on the open roster spot, 2026-07-14
The base Clippers rotation still assigns him zero because roster truth precedes role forecasting. If he signs, a 22-29-minute role must come out of Wagler, Sanders, Jordan Miller, Dunn and Dick—not appear on top of 240. Official game notes also show right-toe injury recovery absences in March. Official Clippers game notes
Confidence
| Roster | Minutes | Rate | Availability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low | Low | Medium-high | Medium |
Career record
Pre-NBA: Born in Montreal, June 19, 2002; joined NBA Academy Latin America in Mexico City in 2018 as its first Canadian-born player, then Arizona for two seasons. Freshman 2020-21: 26 games, 10.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, 1.2 assists in 25.0 minutes on .471/.418/.846, Pac-12 All-Freshman Team. Sophomore 2021-22: 37 games, 17.7 points, 5.6 rebounds, 2.5 assists on .450/.369/.764, Pac-12 Player of the Year, first-team All-Pac-12, Pac-12 Tournament Most Outstanding Player, and consensus second-team All-American. Draft: 2022, first round, sixth overall by Indiana; no draft-night trade.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | 20 | IND | 78 | 28.5 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | .434 | .828 | 1.9 |
| 2023-24 | 21 | IND | 59 | 26.1 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | .446 | .821 | 1.6 |
| 2024-25 | 22 | IND | 72 | 29.8 | 16.1 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | .458 | .831 | 1.9 |
| 2025-26 | 23 | TOT | 54 | 30.0 | 17.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | .430 | .869 | 2.2 |
| Career | 263 | 28.6 | 16.2 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | .442 | .838 | 1.9 |
The 2025-26 split: 28 games with Indiana (24 starts), 31.8 MPG, 17.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 2.1 threes on .433/.372/.884; 26 games with the Clippers (one start), 28.0 MPG, 17.4 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 1.0 steals, 0.7 threes on .426/.207/.858. He was traded on February 5, 2026 with Isaiah Jackson, two firsts and a second for Ivica Zubac and Kobe Brown. The scoring rate survived the move intact; the three-point shooting did not.
Fantasy history: Season-end nine-category ranks are not verifiable from public sources for any of Mathurin's four seasons, so none are asserted. The categorical shape has been consistent since his rookie year and explains why he has never been a strong nine-cat asset despite scoring 16-plus every season: free-throw percentage in the .820-.870 range on genuinely high volume is his one elite category, and it is the only one. Steals sit at 0.6-0.8, blocks at 0.2, assists under 2.5, threes at a flat 1.3-1.4, and field-goal percentage has cleared .450 exactly once. Turnovers at 1.9 career and 2.2 last season are an active cost. Points leagues rate him materially higher than nine-cat and always have, because free-throw volume converts to raw points there and the missing stocks are not penalized — the dossier's conditional 80-130 points versus 105-155 categories is the right relative gap, and it is a structural feature of the profile, not a one-year artifact.
Durability: 78, 59, 72, 54. The 2023-24 season ended on March 9, 2024 with a torn labrum in the right shoulder that required surgery and cost him the rest of the year including Indiana's playoff run. The 2025-26 absences trace to a right toe injury that cost him close to a month with the Pacers, then resurfaced after the trade and cost four more games with the Clippers; that injury was still being managed in March. Two of four seasons have finished under 60 games, and the toe issue in particular is the kind that recurs on a wing whose value depends on driving volume. Treat 65-70 games as the honest planning number rather than 78.
Trajectory: Mathurin's four seasons show a steady scorer whose efficiency has moved around without a clear trend and whose secondary skills have barely moved at all. He has scored between 14.5 and 17.8 points per game every year, and per 36 minutes that band is roughly 20 to 21 — meaning the small year-over-year gains are almost entirely minutes, not rate improvement. The genuine developments are rebounding, up from 4.1 to a stable 5.3-5.5 since 2024-25, and free-throw shooting, up to a career-best .869 last season on his usual heavy draw rate. The genuine problem is the jump shot: .323, .374, .340, then .372 with Indiana and .207 on shrunken volume with the Clippers, which is a small enough post-trade sample to be noise but is consistent with a player who has never been a reliable off-ball shooter and whose value collapses when he is not the one initiating. He turns 24 in June 2026, which is still inside the improvement window, but four years of flat per-36 production argues the ceiling is a high-volume second-unit scorer rather than a first option. For 2026-27 the contract situation dominates: the skill profile is portable and the counting stats travel, but a role under 26 minutes puts him near replacement level in categories.
Career sources: ESPN career stats, StatMuse season-by-season, Wikipedia — Bennedict Mathurin, Sports-Reference college stats
Open questions
- Does Mathurin accept the qualifying offer, sign long-term, receive an offer sheet, or leave via sign-and-trade?
- If he returns, does he start or lead the second unit?
- Was the post-trade three-point collapse contextual noise or a role warning?