Information cutoff: 2026-07-18. Projection is the encyclopedia model, not copied consensus.
Role and baseline
- 2025-26: 20 games, 31.3 MPG; 20.4 points, 11.1 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.7 blocks on .506 FG and .728 FT.
- Health: a left-hand/finger ligament injury against Utah on January 8 2026 was treated without surgery, after earlier calf and groin trouble. He never returned. Washington acquired him February 5 and shut him down within days rather than risk further injury on an eliminated team, so he has not played an NBA game since January 8 2026 and has never appeared in a game for the Wizards. April reporting had him cleared for limited individual on-court work with a two-week re-evaluation; no formal clearance has been reported since. By opening night he will be roughly ten months without competitive basketball.
- 2026-27 base role: starting big, secondary offensive hub and closing five; 28 base minutes split 16 at power forward and 12 at center. Likely dual PF/C fantasy eligibility.
| GP | MPG | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 28 | 0.4 | 18.8 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | .520 | .755 | 2.0 |
Correction 2026-07-18: base GP lowered from 50 to 44, and the minute split changed from 28 PF / 0 C to 16 PF / 12 C. The 50-game figure was set without weighting the fact that Davis never returned after the trade — the relevant prior is a 20-game season ended by an injury managed conservatively that still consumed the rest of the year, plus a ten-month layoff and an age-33 season. On position: FanSided and Heavy both project him at centre outright while SI has him at the four, so a zero-centre assumption was unsupported in either direction; the split also raises his rebound and block rates modestly relative to a pure-four role. CBS · FanSided lineup projection
Fantasy dossier
- 9-cat: top-15 per-game projection through FG%, rebounds and elite stocks. FT% volume and scarce threes are the weaker categories; games played is the dominant risk.
- Points: elite when active, but totals can land outside the top 50 if Washington manages him aggressively.
- Dynasty: roughly top 60-80 because he enters an age-33 season with a long injury ledger and a rebuilding team that can shut down veterans.
- Build note: Sarr/Ayton absorb most center work, so the 28-minute base is intentionally below Davis's historical star workload. He is also a live March shutdown candidate on a team with no incentive to push a 33-year-old through a lost season — the same logic Washington applied in February 2026.
Floor, median and ceiling
- Floor: fewer than 40 games, repeated maintenance and a totals-league bust.
- Median: 44 games at first-round rates but only middle-round cumulative output.
- Ceiling: 60-plus healthy games, more center minutes and a top-10 per-game finish.
Evidence trail
NBA career statistics · Wizards acquisition · CBS — trade and season shutdown · Yahoo — out for remainder of season · NBA non-surgical hand update · NBA April player update · July community 9-cat board
Career record
Pre-NBA: Kentucky, one season (2011-12), SEC. He averaged 14.2 points, 10.4 rebounds and 4.7 blocks on .623 from the field, and set the NCAA freshman single-season blocks record with 186. Kentucky went 38-2 and won the national title. His award haul is close to unprecedented for a freshman: consensus National Player of the Year, Wooden Award, Naismith Award, AP Player of the Year, NABC Defensive Player of the Year, USBWA National Freshman of the Year, NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player, unanimous first-team All-American, plus SEC Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year and Freshman of the Year. In the title game he posted 6 points, 16 rebounds, 5 assists, 6 blocks and 3 steals — a line that describes the player he became better than the scoring average does. His college assist, steal and free-throw rates could not be verified from the sources reachable here and are omitted rather than estimated. Draft: 2012, first round, 1st overall, New Orleans Hornets; no draft-night trade.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-13 | 19 | NOH | 64 | 28.8 | 13.5 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | .516 | .751 | 1.4 |
| 2013-14 | 20 | NOP | 67 | 35.2 | 20.8 | 10.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0.0 | .519 | .791 | 1.6 |
| 2014-15 | 21 | NOP | 68 | 36.1 | 24.4 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0.0 | .535 | .805 | 1.4 |
| 2015-16 | 22 | NOP | 61 | 35.5 | 24.3 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | .493 | .758 | 2.0 |
| 2016-17 | 23 | NOP | 75 | 36.1 | 28.0 | 11.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | .505 | .802 | 2.4 |
| 2017-18 | 24 | NOP | 75 | 36.4 | 28.1 | 11.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | .534 | .828 | 2.2 |
| 2018-19 | 25 | NOP | 56 | 33.0 | 25.9 | 12.0 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | .517 | .794 | 2.0 |
| 2019-20 | 26 | LAL | 62 | 34.4 | 26.1 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 | .503 | .846 | 2.5 |
| 2020-21 | 27 | LAL | 36 | 32.3 | 21.8 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | .491 | .738 | 2.1 |
| 2021-22 | 28 | LAL | 40 | 35.1 | 23.2 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 0.3 | .532 | .713 | 2.1 |
| 2022-23 | 29 | LAL | 56 | 34.0 | 25.9 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | .563 | .784 | 2.2 |
| 2023-24 | 30 | LAL | 76 | 35.5 | 24.7 | 12.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 0.4 | .556 | .816 | 2.1 |
| 2024-25 | 31 | LAL/DAL | 51 | 33.5 | 24.7 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | .516 | .775 | 2.2 |
| 2025-26 | 32 | DAL | 20 | 31.3 | 20.4 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | .506 | .728 | 2.1 |
| Career | 807 | 34.4 | 24.0 | 10.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.5 | .522 | .793 | 2.0 |
The 2024-25 row is combined because he was traded midseason in the Luka Dončić deal: 42 games with the Lakers and 9 with Dallas. The Dallas portion was materially worse and worth separating — roughly 20.0 points and 10.1 rebounds on .461 shooting and .688 from the line across those 9 games, against a much stronger Lakers line before the move. Treat the Dallas sub-sample as noise from a player arriving injured, not as a new level. Note also that across his entire 367-day Dallas tenure he played 29 of a possible 81 regular-season games.
Fantasy history: Verified season-end 9-category ranks are not retrievable from the sources reachable here, so no per-season numbers are asserted. The category identity has been stable for a decade and is legible from the table. He wins blocks outright — 2.0 or better in eleven of fourteen seasons — wins rebounds, and wins field-goal percentage in most years, while contributing a genuinely useful steal rate for a big and essentially nothing in threes. Free-throw percentage has been the swing category: an asset in the .80-.85 seasons (2014-15, 2016-17, 2017-18, 2019-20, 2023-24) and a drag in the .71-.76 seasons, on high volume either way, which makes him harder to pair than his blocks suggest. The recurring pattern across his career is that his per-game rank has run far ahead of his total-season rank, and in the years he played 36, 40, 51 and 20 games that gap was severe enough to sink rosters built around him. Points-league shape tracks the category shape closely — the scoring and rebounding carry both — with the difference that points formats do not punish the bad free-throw seasons or reward the blocks as heavily.
Durability: 64, 67, 68, 61, 75, 75, 56, 62, 36, 40, 56, 76, 51, 20. He has never played 82 games; his career high is 76 and he has cleared 70 games three times in fourteen seasons. The 2025-26 season is the worst of the ledger and the sequence matters: he appeared in only 15 of Dallas's first 31 games, missing time with a left calf strain after an injury against Golden State, then hurt his groin in the Christmas Day game and missed two contests before returning January 1 against Philadelphia, then injured his left hand against Utah on January 8, 2026. That hand injury — ligament damage — ended his season at 20 games. The reporting conflict on that injury is now resolvable. ESPN reported he was expected to undergo surgery and miss several months including the rest of the season; Dallas stated he would not need surgery and would be re-evaluated in roughly six weeks, and Davis publicly disputed the surgery reports himself. The team's no-surgery version was the accurate one. It did not change the outcome, and that is the part worth carrying forward — a hand injury managed conservatively on a six-week timeline still consumed the entire remainder of his season, and he never returned. What should carry into 2026-27 is that 2025-26 involved three separate soft-tissue or structural problems in different body parts within roughly six weeks, which is the signature of an accumulating rather than an unlucky injury profile.
Trajectory: The peak is behind him and it is worth being precise about which parts have decayed. The scoring peak was 2016-17 and 2017-18 at 28 points a game in New Orleans on 36 minutes; he has not approached that since, and 2025-26's 23.5 points per 36 is the lowest full-role rate of his prime-onward career. But the two categories that actually define his fantasy value have held up far better than the scoring: he rebounded 12.6, 11.6 and 11.1 in the last three seasons, the best sustained rebounding stretch of his career, and the blocks only broke below 2.0 in 2025-26 on a 20-game sample. That distinction matters, because a declining scorer who still gets you 11 rebounds and 2 blocks on good field-goal percentage remains a first-round per-game asset; a declining shot-blocker does not. The genuine warning signs are the free-throw line, which has slipped to .775 and .728 in the last two years after sitting near .816 in 2023-24, and the fact that his last two seasons produced 51 and 20 games. Entering an age-33 season on a rebuilding Washington team with Sarr and Ayton available to absorb center minutes, the aging curve and the roster context point the same direction: the rates should stay close to first-round quality, the minutes should come down, and the risk of a late-season shutdown on a non-competitive team is a real and separate hazard on top of the injury history. Draft the per-game production, price the totals pessimistically, and do not build a roster that needs him to play 60 games.
Career sources: ESPN career stats · StatMuse career stats by season · Wikipedia — Anthony Davis · NCAA.com — Davis college stats and moments · WFAA — Davis's Mavericks injury timeline · NBA.com — Davis expected to miss six weeks, no hand surgery · NBC Sports — Davis disputes surgery report, re-evaluation in six weeks
Open questions
- Is Davis fully cleared for contact and unrestricted camp work?
- How often does he play center alongside Dybantsa/George rather than power forward beside Sarr or Ayton?
- Is Washington competitive enough to avoid a late-season shutdown?