Team: Indiana Pacers · PF/C · Age 32 · Base role: second option and 32-minute starter
Projection card
| GP | MPG | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 32.0 | 1.5 | 21.2 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | .505 | .735 | 1.9 |
Nine-category: top 45-75 per game, with points, FG%, rebounds and across-the-board neutrality more valuable than any scarce category. Points: top 50-75. Dynasty: top 55-90, appropriate for a 32-year-old win-now forward.
Why the line looks like this
Siakam averaged 24.0/6.6/3.8 with 1.1 steals in 62 games while carrying the 2025-26 offense; his FT% fell to 69.3% on 6.1 attempts. In 2024-25 alongside Haliburton he produced 20.2/6.9/3.4 on 51.9% FG. The base projection regresses usage and FT% between those states while preserving starter minutes. Basketball Reference Pacers · Pacers 2024-25 review
Hashtag's July crowd placed Siakam 44th and its dynasty page 59th. The encyclopedia is slightly cooler because it separates his no-Haliburton 2025-26 rate from his 2026-27 role. Hashtag crowd · Hashtag dynasty
Redraft, dynasty, and scenarios
- Redraft: a stable fifth/sixth-round target in 12-team 9-cat; he fits balanced and punt-FT builds better than stocks-hungry teams.
- Dynasty: contender hold; rebuilding teams should sell before age decline becomes the dominant market story.
- Floor: 58-62 games, 19 points and another sub-72% FT year if the 2025-26 leg/wrist issues recur.
- Ceiling: 74 games, 22 points, 7 rebounds and a 75% FT rebound; top-40 totals value.
Confidence
| Roster | Minutes | Rates | Availability |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | High | High | Medium |
Career record
Pre-NBA: New Mexico State, 2013-14 through 2015-16 (redshirted 2013-14 with injury after arriving from Cameroon via Basketball Without Borders Africa and a Texas prep year). Redshirt freshman 2014-15: 12.8 points, 7.7 rebounds, 1.8 blocks in 30.8 minutes over 34 games, leading the WAC at 57.2% from the field and taking WAC Freshman of the Year. Sophomore 2015-16: 20.3 points, 11.6 rebounds, 2.2 blocks in 34.5 minutes over 34 starts, unanimous WAC Player of the Year, national leader with 27 double-doubles. College career line 16.6 points and 9.7 rebounds on 55.1% FG, 71.1% FT, 17.6% from three across 68 games. Draft: 2016, first round, 27th pick, Toronto Raptors. He spent much of his rookie year with Raptors 905 and won the 2017 D-League championship and Finals MVP.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | 22 | TOR | 55 | 15.6 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | .502 | .688 | 0.6 |
| 2017-18 | 23 | TOR | 81 | 20.7 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | .508 | .621 | 0.8 |
| 2018-19 | 24 | TOR | 80 | 31.9 | 16.9 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | .549 | .785 | 1.9 |
| 2019-20 | 25 | TOR | 60 | 35.2 | 22.9 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | .453 | .792 | 2.5 |
| 2020-21 | 26 | TOR | 56 | 35.8 | 21.4 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | .455 | .827 | 2.3 |
| 2021-22 | 27 | TOR | 68 | 37.9 | 22.8 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | .494 | .749 | 2.7 |
| 2022-23 | 28 | TOR | 71 | 37.4 | 24.2 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | .480 | .774 | 2.4 |
| 2023-24 | 29 | TOR/IND | 80 | 33.2 | 21.7 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | .536 | .732 | 1.8 |
| 2024-25 | 30 | IND | 78 | 32.7 | 20.2 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.6 | .519 | .734 | 1.4 |
| 2025-26 | 31 | IND | 62 | 33.2 | 24.0 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.7 | .484 | .693 | 2.2 |
| Career | 691 | 31.4 | 18.5 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | .497 | .754 | 1.8 |
The 2023-24 split: 39 games in Toronto at 22.2/6.3/4.9 on 52.2% FG and 75.8% FT, then 41 games in Indiana after the January trade at 21.3/7.8/3.7 on 54.9% FG and 69.9% FT. The move cut his assists and his free-throw rate but raised his efficiency and his rebounding — the shape of the Pacers version of him was visible immediately.
Fantasy history: season-end 9-category per-game ranks are not published free for most of these years, so treat specific numbers with suspicion. What is defensible from the raw lines: 2021-22 and 2022-23 were his two best category seasons, with the assists (5.3 and 5.8) and steals (1.3, 0.9) that made him a genuine early-round piece; 2023-24 and 2024-25 were mid-round seasons where the efficiency held but the assists and the counting-stat volume fell; 2025-26 rose in points and threes but gave the gains back through a 69.3% FT mark on real volume and 2.2 turnovers. Specific season-end ranks are not verified. In points leagues he grades materially better than in categories throughout — he has never been a blocks or steals source, and his value is concentrated in points, rebounds and field goal percentage, all of which points formats reward without penalty for the weak free-throw and turnover columns.
Durability: 55, 81, 80, 60, 56, 68, 71, 80, 78, 62. The 2019-20 and 2020-21 dips are partly schedule (both were shortened seasons) and partly a groin issue in 2019-20; a June 2021 shoulder surgery cost him the start of 2021-22, and a 2022-23 adductor strain accounted for most of that year's absences. He was close to iron-man across 2023-24 and 2024-25 at 80 and 78 games. The 2025-26 total of 62 came from a right knee sprain that cost six games, a left ankle roll (with a back tweak in the same game) against Charlotte, and a wrist problem that combined with the knee to limit him to six appearances in March. None of these are structural, but three separate lower-body and hand issues in one age-31 season is the reason the availability grade in this dossier is not high.
Trajectory: The real leap was 2018-19, when Kawhi Leonard's arrival pushed Siakam into a scoring role he had never held and he jumped from 7.3 to 16.9 points and won Most Improved Player. The second and larger leap, 2019-20 through 2022-23, was usage handed to him by default after Leonard left — he peaked as a 24-point, 5.8-assist primary in 2022-23 at a punishing 37.4 minutes, and the efficiency (.480/.453/.455 in that stretch) shows what carrying that load cost him. Indiana reversed the trade: fewer minutes, fewer touches, a cleaner shot diet, and field-goal percentages of .549, .519 and .484 that are the best sustained run of his career. The 2025-26 scoring spike to 24.0 was not improvement — it was the Haliburton-less offense forcing volume back onto him, and the FT% and turnover regression are the tell. At 32 with 691 games and two deep playoff runs on the odometer, the aging curve says the efficiency and the rebounding hold longer than the burst; expect the 2024-25 shape rather than the 2025-26 shape once Haliburton is back, which is exactly what the projection card above encodes.
Career sources: ESPN career stats · StatMuse season-by-season · New Mexico State bio · Pacers notes on 2025-26 injuries
Open questions
- How much creation does Siakam keep when both Haliburton and Nembhard are active?
- Was the 2025-26 FT decline role/fatigue noise or a durable change?