2026-27 projection
| GP | MPG | FG% (FGA) | FT% (FTA) | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 24 | .660 (6.4) | .690 (2.7) | 0.0 | 10.5 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Gafford's 2025-26 line was 9.5 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1.1 assists, 0.8 steals, and 1.3 blocks in 21.7 minutes across 55 games, with 65.5% FG and 68.3% FT.
Fantasy translation
- Nine-category: late-round center target, especially in punt-FT. His strong FG% has real weight; zero threes and modest scoring make the blocks/minutes threshold crucial.
- Points: useful center when starting, with a clean injury-upside path if Lively remains out.
- Dynasty: hold at age 27; role could fall quickly if Dallas chooses Morez/Lively as the future or trades Gafford to consolidate the roster.
Role, floor, ceiling, uncertainty
- Median role: 24-minute starting/first center and primary vertical target.
- Floor: 18 MPG in a healthy four-big rotation or after a poor-destination trade.
- Ceiling: 28–30 MPG with 12/9 and 2 blocks while Lively is unavailable.
- Main swings: Lively medical milestones, Morez's NBA readiness, and a possible consolidation trade. No rumored destination is treated as fact.
Sources
- Daniel Gafford NBA player page — official roster/news; accessed July 18, 2026.
- Dallas 2025-26 game notes — official 55-game statistical baseline; accessed July 18, 2026.
- Lively not cleared to run — June 26, 2026 report; accessed July 18, 2026.
Career record
Pre-NBA: Arkansas, two seasons (2017-18 and 2018-19). 11.8 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.2 blocks in 22.6 minutes on .605 shooting and .528 from the line as a freshman; 16.9 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks in 28.7 minutes on .660 and .591 as a sophomore. Made the SEC All-Freshman team in 2018, then first-team All-SEC and the SEC All-Defensive team in 2019. The free-throw problem that has followed him through the NBA was already the defining flaw of his college profile. Draft: 2019, second round, 38th pick, Chicago Bulls.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | 21 | CHI | 43 | 14.2 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | .701 | .533 | 0.7 |
| 2020-21 | 22 | CHI | 31 | 12.4 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | .690 | .659 | 0.7 |
| 2020-21 | 22 | WSH | 23 | 17.7 | 10.1 | 5.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.0 | .681 | .672 | 0.8 |
| 2021-22 | 23 | WSH | 72 | 20.1 | 9.4 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | .693 | .699 | 0.9 |
| 2022-23 | 24 | WSH | 78 | 20.6 | 9.0 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | .732 | .679 | 1.1 |
| 2023-24 | 25 | WSH | 45 | 26.5 | 10.9 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | .690 | .706 | 1.0 |
| 2023-24 | 25 | DAL | 29 | 21.5 | 11.2 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | .780 | .607 | 1.0 |
| 2024-25 | 26 | DAL | 57 | 21.5 | 12.3 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | .702 | .689 | 1.2 |
| 2025-26 | 27 | DAL | 55 | 21.7 | 9.5 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | .655 | .683 | 1.1 |
| Career | 433 | 20.1 | 9.3 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | .702 | .674 | 1.0 |
Two seasons split across teams. He was traded from Chicago to Washington on March 25, 2021 in a three-team deal, and from Washington to Dallas on February 8, 2024 for Richaun Holmes and draft compensation. He signed a three-year, $40.2 million extension with Washington in October 2021 and a three-year, $54 million extension with Dallas in July 2025.
Fantasy history: Season-end nine-category finishes from Basketball Monster or Hashtag were not verifiable in this research pass, and no rank is estimated here. The shape is unambiguous and more useful than a rank would be: he is a two-category anchor with a built-in tax. Field-goal percentage has been .655 or better in all seven seasons and .702 for his career on genuinely meaningful volume, which is among the most valuable single-category contributions in the format, and blocks have sat between 1.1 and 2.2 every year. Free-throw percentage has never reached .710 and sits at .674 career, so he is close to unrosterable in standard nine-cat builds that are not punting free throws, and close to a cornerstone in builds that are. He has never made a three-pointer in an NBA regular season, which is a hard zero in a category rather than a weakness. Points leagues treat him better than categories do in absolute terms, because the free-throw drag disappears and the rebounds and blocks still count, but the modest minutes cap him as a streamer-plus rather than a starter there.
Durability: 43, 54, 72, 78, 74, 57, 55. The middle of the career was reliable; the last two years were not, and the causes are distinct rather than a single chronic issue. In 2024-25 he suffered a Grade 3 MCL sprain of the right knee in the second quarter against Sacramento on February 10, 2025 after a collision with Malik Monk, was ruled out at least six weeks, and did not play again that season. In 2025-26 he rolled his right ankle on the first day of preseason practice, was given a two-to-three week timeline by Jason Kidd, and then re-aggravated it repeatedly through the year in a play-a-few, miss-a-few cycle; he also exited a game against Golden State with a shoulder problem and missed Dallas's final four games with it. Note that the early-career games-played numbers understate his availability, since 2019-20 and 2020-21 were shortened seasons and his rookie-year role was small by choice rather than injury.
Trajectory: The arc peaked in 2023-24 and 2024-25 and turned down last season, and the per-36 numbers say the decline was real rather than a minutes artifact. His minutes were essentially identical in 2024-25 and 2025-26, 21.5 against 21.7, but his scoring fell from 20.6 per 36 to 15.8 and his blocks from 3.0 per 36 to 2.2, while his rebounding held flat at 11.4. Field-goal percentage dropped to .655, a career low by nearly forty points, which for a player whose entire offensive game is dunks and putbacks means the lob volume and the quality of the feeds both fell — the Doncic trade removed the passer who made him a .702 finisher, and neither Irving's availability nor the 2025-26 guard rotation replaced it. The one genuine gain was steals, up from 0.4 to 0.8, which is a small offset. He turns 28 in October, which is neutral for a rim-running big but not helpful given that the athleticism is the entire skill, and the knee and ankle history now runs two seasons deep. For 2026-27 the projection should lean on the categories that survived — rebounds and field-goal percentage — and treat both the blocks and the scoring as needing a role restoration rather than a bounce-back to be recovered; Lively's foot is the variable that decides which way that goes.
Career sources: ESPN career stats · Wikipedia — Daniel Gafford · NBA.com — 2024-25 knee sprain · ESPN — Grade 3 MCL sprain, out six weeks · ESPN — 2025-26 preseason ankle sprain
Open questions
- Does Gafford open camp as the uncontested first center?
- Will Dallas trade him before opening night?
- Can 24 minutes produce 1.5+ blocks consistently?