2026-27 projection
| GP | MPG | FG% (FGA) | FT% (FTA) | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 28 | .445 (10.8) | .720 (2.6) | 1.6 | 13.2 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
The 2025-26 baseline was 14.2/7.0/1.8 with 1.0 steal, 1.1 blocks, 1.4 threes, 45.0% FG, and a damaging 68.7% FT in 56 games. The desk expects a modest FT rebound but slightly less volume.
Fantasy translation
- Nine-category: late-round multi-category forward, especially in punt-FT or builds that need blocks without a center.
- Points: fringe standard-league pick; scoring and assists are too ordinary unless minutes rise.
- Dynasty: stable age-27 contributor, but not insulated from a trade or Morez/Aldama growth.
Role, floor, ceiling, uncertainty
- Median role: 28-minute starting/closing forward who defends larger matchups and spaces selectively.
- Floor: a trade to a lower-minute role or 23 MPG behind Aldama/Morez; roughly 10/5 with one stock.
- Ceiling: 32 MPG, 15/7 with 2.5 combined stocks and improved threes.
- Transaction risk: public speculation has treated Washington as movable, but no verified destination is modeled. A trade could help or hurt depending on role.
Sources
- P. J. Washington 2025-26 statistics — 56-game nine-category baseline; accessed July 18, 2026.
- NBA Dallas roster — official current roster; accessed July 18, 2026.
- Dallas roster and minutes ledger — official team notes underlying roster/stat checks; accessed July 18, 2026.
Career record
Pre-NBA: Kentucky, two seasons (2017-19). As a freshman he averaged 10.8 points, 5.7 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocks on .519/.238/.606. He returned for a sophomore year and became a lottery prospect: 15.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 0.8 steals and 1.2 blocks on .522/.423/.663, earning first-team All-SEC and third-team All-American honors. The three-point jump from .238 to .423 on real volume is what moved him up boards. Draft: 2019, first round, 12th overall, Charlotte Hornets; no draft-night trade.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | 21 | CHA | 58 | 30.3 | 12.2 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 | .455 | .647 | 1.6 |
| 2020-21 | 22 | CHA | 64 | 30.5 | 12.9 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | .440 | .745 | 2.0 |
| 2021-22 | 23 | CHA | 65 | 27.2 | 10.3 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.7 | .470 | .716 | 1.3 |
| 2022-23 | 24 | CHA | 73 | 32.6 | 15.7 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.0 | .444 | .730 | 1.5 |
| 2023-24 | 25 | CHA/DAL | 73 | 30.4 | 12.9 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | .437 | .683 | 1.3 |
| 2024-25 | 26 | DAL | 57 | 32.2 | 14.7 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | .453 | .722 | 2.1 |
| 2025-26 | 27 | DAL | 56 | 31.0 | 14.2 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | .450 | .687 | 1.7 |
| Career | 446 | 30.6 | 13.3 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | .448 | .705 | 1.6 |
The 2023-24 row is the combined line. Split: 44 games in Charlotte at 29.2 minutes for 13.6 points, 5.3 rebounds, 2.2 assists on .446/.324/.713, then 29 games in Dallas after the February 8, 2024 trade at 32.2 minutes for 11.7 points, 6.2 rebounds, 1.5 assists on .421/.314/.627. Scoring and assists fell in Dallas; rebounds and steals rose. That split is the cleanest evidence of what a lower-usage role does to his line.
Fantasy history: Season-end nine-category per-game ranks are not verifiable from the sources available here for any individual season, so no year-by-year figure is asserted. The structural read holds across seven seasons: he is a late-round multi-category forward whose value is built on the rare one-steal/one-block combination from a forward slot plus 1.4-2.0 threes, and whose free-throw percentage is a persistent drag — a career .705 on roughly 2.5-3 attempts is a small but real weekly negative, and the .687 in 2025-26 was worse. He is materially better in punt-FT builds than in balanced ones. Points leagues rate him lower than categories, because the stocks that carry his nine-cat case are worth comparatively little there and his scoring has never cleared 16 per game.
Durability: 58 games (2019-20), 64, 65, 73, 73, 57, 56 (2025-26). He has cleared 70 games twice, both in Charlotte, and has now had back-to-back seasons in the mid-50s since becoming a Dallas starter. 2024-25 lost roughly seven games to a sprained right ankle, with the trouble concentrated in the second half. 2025-26 involved a recurrence of right ankle sprains — including one suffered in pregame warmups before a Clippers game, landing on a loose ball — and his season ended with a left elbow sprain. The pattern is many small absences rather than one catastrophic injury, which is easier to plan around but has still cost him roughly 25 games a year for two straight years.
Trajectory: Washington's per-minute scoring has been essentially flat since 2022-23 — 17.3 points per 36 in Charlotte's high-usage version, 16.4 and 16.5 in Dallas — which tells you the 15.7 peak was minutes and shot volume, not a leap. What genuinely changed in Dallas is rebounding: 4.9 per game in 2022-23 became 7.8 and 7.0, a real positional shift toward playing bigger next to guard-heavy lineups. The 2025-26 concern is the three-point line, where he fell from .381 to .325 on reduced attempts; his career mark of .354 sits between those, and the sophomore-year Kentucky evidence says the true talent is closer to league average than to either extreme, so expect regression upward. At 28 for most of 2026-27 he is at the end of the plateau rather than in decline, and the contract through 2029-30 means the risk to his line is a Dallas frontcourt logjam or a trade, not aging. The history says he holds his rates in whatever minutes he gets; the question is only how many.
Career sources: ESPN career stats, Wikipedia, Sports Illustrated: warmup ankle injury vs. Clippers, FOX Sports injury log
Open questions
- Is Washington still on Dallas when camp opens?
- Can his FT% return toward his career level?
- Does May close with Washington, Aldama, or Morez beside Flagg?