Team: Indiana Pacers · SG/SF · Age 30 · Base role: 25-minute sixth man and closing-wing candidate
Projection card
| GP | MPG | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 25.0 | 1.4 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | .455 | .765 | 1.1 |
Nine-category: top 115-170 per game, driven by steals without a dominant positive elsewhere. Points: top 130-180. Dynasty: top 220-300; age, role volatility and replaceable archetype outweigh short-term usefulness.
Why the line looks like this
Oubre officially signed a two-year deal July 7 after averaging 14.1 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1.4 steals in 50 games for Philadelphia, with 46.7/36.0/76.6 shooting. Indiana has more healthy perimeter competition, so the model removes 6.5 minutes and scales usage down. official signing · NBA 2025-26 stats · Pacers official social post
The July Hashtag crowd ranked him 169th while still showing PHI. That stale affiliation makes the rank sentiment only; the new role can move it sharply in either direction. Hashtag crowd
Redraft, dynasty, and scenarios
- Redraft: final-round pick in 12-team leagues only if steals are needed; otherwise watch the starting and closing lineups.
- Dynasty: shallow-league sell after any starting streak; he is a hold only for contenders needing cheap volume.
- Floor: 20 minutes, 9 points and fringe steals if Walker/Nesmith close most games.
- Ceiling: starts at 30 minutes and reproduces 14/5 with 1.4 steals; top-100 usefulness.
Confidence
| Roster | Minutes | Rates | Availability |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | Medium-low | Medium-high | Medium |
Career record
Pre-NBA: One season at Kansas (2014-15): 36 games, 27 starts, 21.0 minutes, 9.3 points, 5.0 rebounds, 0.8 assists on .444 FG / .358 3P / .718 FT. Big 12 All-Newcomer Team, All-Big 12 honorable mention; McDonald's All-American and first-team Parade All-American out of high school in 2014. Draft: 2015, first round, 15th overall, Atlanta Hawks; rights traded to Washington on draft night.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | 20 | WSH | 63 | 10.7 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | .427 | .633 | 0.5 |
| 2016-17 | 21 | WSH | 79 | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | .421 | .758 | 0.6 |
| 2017-18 | 22 | WSH | 81 | 27.5 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | .403 | .820 | 1.1 |
| 2018-19 | 23 | WSH/PHX | 69 | 28.0 | 15.2 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | .445 | .775 | 1.5 |
| 2019-20 | 24 | PHX | 56 | 34.5 | 18.7 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.9 | .452 | .780 | 1.5 |
| 2020-21 | 25 | GSW | 55 | 30.7 | 15.4 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | .439 | .695 | 1.3 |
| 2021-22 | 26 | CHA | 76 | 26.3 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | .440 | .667 | 0.9 |
| 2022-23 | 27 | CHA | 48 | 32.3 | 20.3 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 | .431 | .760 | 1.3 |
| 2023-24 | 28 | PHI | 68 | 30.2 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | .441 | .750 | 1.3 |
| 2024-25 | 29 | PHI | 60 | 34.6 | 15.1 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | .470 | .751 | 1.3 |
| 2025-26 | 30 | PHI | 50 | 31.5 | 14.1 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.7 | .467 | .766 | 1.4 |
| Career | 705 | 27.4 | 13.3 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | .440 | .752 | 1.1 |
The 2018-19 row is the Washington-to-Phoenix split: 29 games in Washington (26.0 MPG, 12.9 points) before the December 2018 trade, then 40 games in Phoenix at a much larger role (29.5 MPG, 16.9 points, 1.4 steals, 1.0 blocks). The row above is the combined line.
Fantasy history: Season-end 9-cat ranks from Basketball Monster, Hashtag, or the ESPN Player Rater were not verifiable for individual seasons at time of writing, so no ranks are asserted. The shape is consistent enough to describe without them: from 2018-19 onward Oubre has been a mid-round-to-late-round category asset whose value is carried almost entirely by steals (1.0 to 1.5 every year for eight straight seasons) and scoring volume, and dragged by field goal percentage that sat in the .430s for most of his career and free throw percentage that dipped to .667 and .695 in the Charlotte and Golden State years. The 2022-23 Charlotte season at 20.3 points was his scoring peak; 2024-25 was arguably his best all-around category line given .470 FG, 6.1 rebounds and 1.5 steals. Points-league shape is meaningfully worse than the category shape across his whole career: he has never averaged two assists, and low-assist, moderate-efficiency volume scorers are systematically underpriced by cats and overpriced by points formats — for Oubre it runs the other way, with steals inflating his cats value relative to points.
Durability: GP by season: 63, 79, 81, 69, 56, 55, 76, 48, 68, 60, 50. He has cleared 70 games three times in eleven years and has been under 61 in four of the last five. Named causes: right meniscus tear February 24, 2020 with arthroscopic surgery March 3, 2020 (ended the Phoenix season); torn ligament in the left hand suffered December 29, 2022 with surgery January 5, 2023 (the 48-game Charlotte year); a hit-and-run vehicular incident on November 11, 2023 producing a fractured rib plus hip and right leg injuries (the 68-game Philadelphia year); and in 2025-26 a left knee LCL sprain suffered against Detroit in November 2025 after hyperextending the knee, which cost roughly 15-plus games and was the main driver of the 50-game total. That is a varied rather than chronic injury history — no single recurring site — but the aggregate is a player who has averaged well under a full season for most of his prime.
Trajectory: Oubre's arc peaked between ages 24 and 27 and has been flat-to-slowly-declining since, which is the normal curve for an athletic wing whose value came from burst rather than skill. The genuinely interesting recent development is efficiency: .470 and .467 FG in the last two seasons are the two best marks of his career and a real departure from the .430s he lived in through age 28, most plausibly a shot-diet effect from playing off higher-usage teammates in Philadelphia rather than as a primary. Against that, his three-point percentage has been erratic in both directions — .293 in 2024-25, .360 in 2025-26 — and neither is a stable estimate of true talent, so the 2025-26 shooting line should not be read as a new baseline. The steals rate is the one thing that has not aged: 1.4 and 1.5 in his age-29 and age-30 seasons are the highest of his career, and steals are the last athletic category to decay. Heading into 2026-27 at 31, the history argues for further minutes erosion rather than skill collapse, and Indiana's healthier wing depth means the projection's 25 minutes is the right prior — the risk in his line is role, not decline.
Career sources: ESPN career stats · Wikipedia — Kelly Oubre Jr. · NBA.com — Oubre out with knee injury · NBA.com player page
Open questions
- Is Oubre the sixth man, nominal starter, or matchup closer?
- Can Haliburton improve his shot quality enough to offset lower volume?