2026-27 projection
| GP | MPG | FG% | FT% | 3PM | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 18.0 | .455 | .820 | 1.7 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 |
- 9-cat: 160-225; points: top 150-210; dynasty: 180-260.
- Role: reserve scoring wing in Utah's projected rotation.
- 2025-26 baseline: 75 games, 23.5 minutes, 14.9 points, 3.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists, and 2.2 threes on .460/.826 shooting, but only 0.9 combined steals and blocks. ESPN Utah stats, accessed 2026-07-18
Fantasy thesis
Sensabaugh is extension-eligible and enters a contract season, yet Peterson and a healthy Bailey compress his usage. Hashtag ranks him 228th in analyst dynasty. Utah-specific July discussion likewise places him inside the likely top nine but behind the five starters and primary bigs; that is sentiment, not role confirmation. Hashtag dynasty, accessed 2026-07-18 · Utah rotation discussion, 2026-07-14
Ceiling: wins 24 minutes and sixth-man scoring volume, becoming a points/threes streamer. Floor: a single-digit healthy-night role and weak defensive stats make him waiver-only.
Correction 2026-07-18: the team desk previously modelled Sensabaugh at 9 healthy-night minutes, below Collier and barely above Okogie. He is raised to 17 (11 SF, 6 SG), reconciling the grid with the 18.0 MPG carried here and with his 2025-26 record — 75 games at 23.5 minutes and 14.9 points on .460/.826, the third-highest scoring average on the roster, and the listed backup small forward on the post-signing depth chart. StatMuse 2025-26 line
Career record
Pre-NBA: One season at Ohio State (2022-23), born October 30, 2003, listed at 6-6, 235. He averaged 16.3 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.2 assists in 24.5 minutes across 33 games on .480/.405/.830, coming off the bench for much of the year, and was named third-team All-Big Ten and to the Big Ten All-Freshman Team. Florida Mr. Basketball in 2022. Draft: 2023, first round, 28th overall, Utah.
| Season | Age | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | FG% | FT% | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 20 | UTA | 32 | 18.3 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | .390 | .902 | 1.5 |
| 2024-25 | 21 | UTA | 71 | 20.2 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | .459 | .890 | 1.5 |
| 2025-26 | 22 | UTA | 75 | 23.5 | 14.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.2 | .460 | .826 | 1.7 |
| Career | 178 | 21.2 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.0 | .450 | .851 | 1.6 |
Durability: 32, 71 and 75 games. The rookie total was suppressed by rotation status and Salt Lake City assignments rather than a single injury, and availability has climbed since — 146 of a possible 164 games over the last two seasons.
Trajectory: A clean three-year scoring progression, and the efficiency moved with it: 39.0% from the field as a rookie, then 45.9% and 46.0%, with three-point volume settling at 2.2 makes a game and free-throw shooting in the mid-80s. He posted a 43-point game against Chicago on January 14, 2026. The problem for fantasy is the shape, not the scoring — 3.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 0.9 combined stocks in 23.5 minutes means the entire value is points, threes and FT%, and 1.7 turnovers eats into it. He enters a contract year as a rookie-scale extension candidate on a rebuilding roster that has added Darryn Peterson and expects a healthy Ace Bailey, both of whom want the same wing possessions. He is a points-league and threes streamer at the projected 18 minutes, and a genuine top-150 nine-cat piece only if he gets back above 25 minutes — which realistically requires Utah trading a wing or Bailey missing time again.
Career sources: ESPN career stats · Wikipedia · StatMuse 2025-26 line · NBA player page
Open questions
- Does Utah extend Sensabaugh or showcase him for a trade?
- Can he raise his steal rate enough to create 9-cat value without 15 points?