The Fantasy Basketball Encyclopedia

Player Dossier Β· Memphis Grizzlies

AJ Johnson

AJ Johnson remains a young development guard, but inefficient 2025-26 shooting and a likely Memphis roster exit make him a watchlist dynasty name rather than a redraft option.

Player card

2026-27 projection

State GP MPG FG% (FGA) FT% (FTA) 3PM PTS REB AST STL BLK TO
Memphis base 0 0 β€” β€” β€” β€” β€” β€” β€” β€” β€”
Retained branch 20 8 .350 (3.0) .800 (0.6) 0.3 3.1 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.6

Nine-category/points: no 2026-27 redraft value at base. Dynasty: very deep athletic-upside stash, but a third professional season must produce efficiency and playmaking growth soon.

Range and risks

The official transaction and live roster establish current status, while July reporting strongly anticipates a departure. The model does not interpret age alone as fantasy upside after a .324 shooting season. NBA.com, updated 2026-07-09 Β· Sports Illustrated / Memphis On SI, 2026-07-09

Confidence

Component Label Reason
Roster Low Leading cut/trade candidate.
Minutes Low Outside base and contingent rotations.
Rate Medium 48 games establish current weakness; development variance remains.
Availability High No current medical restriction found.

Sources

Career record

Pre-NBA: Skipped college (originally a Texas commit) for the NBL Next Stars program β€” Illawarra Hawks 2023-24: 26 games, 2.9 PPG, 1.3 RPG in 7.7 MPG on a championship team; drafted on athletic projection, not production. Draft: 2024, Round 1, Pick 23, Milwaukee Bucks.

Season Age Team GP MPG PTS REB AST STL BLK 3PM FG% FT% TO
2024-25 20 MIL 7 6.3 2.9 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 .421 .500 0.6
2024-25 20 WAS 22 27.0 9.1 2.4 3.1 0.5 0.1 1.0 .381 .886 1.4
2025-26 21 WAS 25 8.6 2.8 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.3 .325 .750 0.7
2025-26 21 DAL 23 10.4 3.9 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 .323 .893 0.5
Career β€” β€” 77 14.2 4.9 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 .357 .857 0.8

Durability: No injury flags in two seasons β€” the low game counts are role-driven (rookie DNPs in Milwaukee, tanking-team auditions in Washington, bench spot in Dallas). Trajectory: The record shows a rare early opportunity already spent: Washington gave him 27 minutes and 11 starts as a 20-year-old post-Kuzma-trade rookie (9.1 PPG, 3.1 APG on .381 FG), then his shooting collapsed to .324 across Washington and Dallas in 2025-26 and the role shrank to spot minutes. Now on his fourth organization in three years, he enters 2026-27 as a leading Memphis cut/trade candidate with a zero-minute base role. He becomes fantasy-relevant only in dynasty, and only if a patient team retains him and league-average finishing or three-point efficiency finally appears alongside 16+ minutes. Career sources: ESPN career stats, Wikipedia, Basketball-Reference international stats.

Open questions