Haven, 13–3, June 29

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

298 nodes: 16 round start, 133 clock, 133 action, 16 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Red · the side the four played on
Anonymous#4d0084	Clove	+14.48%	20	10	0	3,095
SN0RLAX	Breach	+13.48%	20	12	2	3,743
Anonymous#ba1a15	Sage	+4.53%	18	4	7	2,639
Anonymous#13eea8	Reyna	-0.65%	5	10	5	1,443
Anonymous#a9697d	Jett	-7.26%	7	13	3	1,948
Blue · opponents
Anonymous#eb56cc	Chamber	+2.44%	12	14	5	2,435
Anonymous#1d1a47	Reyna	-5.81%	16	14	1	3,002
Anonymous#f4727a	Omen	-5.89%	7	13	4	1,996
Anonymous#bfa1d1	Jett	-6.68%	8	15	2	1,827
Anonymous#5c1462	Gekko	-8.63%	6	14	3	884

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 7 · SN0RLAX · death debit

-4.96% match win probability points
at 4–2
Round 5 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+4.75% match win probability points
at 2–2
Round 1 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+4.13% match win probability points
at 0–0

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	50.5%	+0.48%
18.1s	Clock	—	50.4%	-0.04%
18.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5c1462 → Anonymous#4d0084	47.1%	-3.33%
18.5s	Clock	—	47.1%	-0.02%
18.5s	Kill	Anonymous#bfa1d1 → Anonymous#13eea8	44.2%	-2.91%
19.1s	Clock	—	44.2%	-0.01%
19.1s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#bfa1d1	46.0%	+1.82%
23.5s	Plant	Anonymous#a9697d	46.8%	+0.78%
28.7s	Clock	—	46.9%	+0.16%
28.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a9697d → Anonymous#5c1462	51.0%	+4.06%
29.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f4727a	55.1%	+4.13%
29.4s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → SN0RLAX	51.1%	-4.05%
35.0s	Clock	—	51.2%	+0.14%
35.0s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#ba1a15	45.6%	-5.58%
41.0s	Clock	—	45.9%	+0.28%
41.0s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#a9697d	42.2%	-3.71%
50.3s	Clock	—	42.3%	+0.16%
50.3s	Defuse	Anonymous#eb56cc	41.9%	-0.40%
50.3s	Terminal	—	41.9%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			41.9%	-8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 4,000 · eco
Anonymous#4d0084opening death	-3.82%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.33%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.49%	Sheriff	950	0	0	0
SN0RLAX·	<0.01%	Kill credit+4.13%Death debit-4.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.10%	Classic	700	100	1	104
Anonymous#ba1a15trade	-4.17%	Kill credit+1.82%Death debit-5.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering-0.52%	Ghost	700	100	1	105
Anonymous#13eea8traded	-3.36%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.91%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.44%	Ghost	950	50	0	0
Anonymous#a9697dclutch lost	+1.57%	Kill credit+4.06%Death debit-3.71%Plant+0.78%Defuse·Alive clock+0.38%Centering+0.05%	Ghost	700	100	1	105
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 2,900 · eco
Anonymous#eb56cctrade	+10.62%	Kill credit+9.57%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.40%Alive clock-0.31%Centering+0.96%	Classic	0	800	2	182
Anonymous#1d1a47·	+2.84%	Kill credit+2.97%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.31%Centering+0.18%	Bandit	1,000	0	1	128
Anonymous#f4727atraded	-4.28%	Kill credit+0.41%Death debit-4.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.53%	Classic	650	200	0	78
Anonymous#bfa1d1·	+1.11%	Kill credit+2.91%Death debit-1.82%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering<0.01%	Ghost	500	300	1	135
Anonymous#5c1462opening kill	-0.50%	Kill credit+3.73%Death debit-4.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.15%	Ghost	750	50	1	135

Round 2 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering0–1Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	40.6%	-1.36%
15.4s	Clock	—	40.6%	+0.02%
15.4s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → SN0RLAX	37.7%	-2.92%
16.4s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#ba1a15	35.8%	-1.85%
17.7s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#1d1a47	37.9%	+2.06%
18.4s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#a9697d	35.1%	-2.81%
20.4s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#13eea8	34.3%	-0.75%
22.7s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#eb56cc	34.7%	+0.36%
25.0s	Kill	Anonymous#5c1462 → Anonymous#4d0084	34.0%	-0.73%
25.0s	Terminal	—	33.9%	-0.07%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			33.9%	-8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 5,150 · light
Anonymous#4d0084clutch lost trade	+1.87%	Kill credit+2.42%Death debit-0.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.19%	Sheriff	950	1,400	2	318
SN0RLAXopening death traded	-3.24%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.32%	Ghost	1,600	900	0	0
Anonymous#ba1a15traded	-2.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.20%	Classic	0	2,500	0	0
Anonymous#13eea8traded	-0.83%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.08%	Ghost	700	1,750	0	30
Anonymous#a9697dtraded	-3.12%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.81%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.31%	Marshal	1,900	600	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 5,900 · light
Anonymous#eb56cctraded	+3.55%	Kill credit+3.56%Death debit-0.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.36%	Ghost	1,100	3,600	2	240
Anonymous#1d1a47opening kill	+3.00%	Kill credit+4.77%Death debit-2.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.30%	Bandit	1,900	2,100	2	256
Anonymous#f4727a·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Classic	750	2,950	0	0
Anonymous#bfa1d1·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Ghost	900	2,600	0	0
Anonymous#5c1462trade	+0.81%	Kill credit+0.73%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.08%	Shorty	1,250	2,000	1	108

Round 3 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–2Round leverage0.1542Leverage index0.96×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	31.0%	-2.89%
22.0s	Clock	—	31.2%	+0.23%
22.0s	Kill	Anonymous#13eea8 → Anonymous#1d1a47	34.1%	+2.85%
25.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a9697d → Anonymous#bfa1d1	37.6%	+3.53%
31.5s	Plant	SN0RLAX	38.5%	+0.88%
44.0s	Clock	—	38.7%	+0.23%
44.0s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#4d0084	37.3%	-1.44%
46.0s	Clock	—	37.4%	+0.09%
46.0s	Kill	Anonymous#13eea8 → Anonymous#eb56cc	39.9%	+2.55%
46.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f4727a	41.2%	+1.22%
47.0s	Kill	Anonymous#a9697d → Anonymous#5c1462	41.6%	+0.40%
47.0s	Terminal	—	41.6%	+0.03%
Round total · 16 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			41.6%	+7.71%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 16,050 · half
Anonymous#4d0084traded	-1.59%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.25%	Vandal	3,600	750	0	0
SN0RLAX·	+2.37%	Kill credit+1.22%Death debit·Plant+0.88%Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering+0.15%	Bandit	2,300	1,200	1	156
Anonymous#ba1a15·	+0.12%	Kill credit+0.08%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering-0.08%	Marshal	2,650	2,250	0	0
Anonymous#13eea8opening kill trade	+6.03%	Kill credit+5.40%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering+0.52%	Vandal	4,300	50	2	320
Anonymous#a9697d·	+4.32%	Kill credit+3.86%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering+0.34%	Guardian	3,200	350	2	520
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 23,250 · full
Anonymous#eb56cc·	-1.83%	Kill credit+1.15%Death debit-2.55%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.15%Centering-0.27%	Vandal	4,100	2,900	1	160
Anonymous#1d1a47opening death	-3.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.42%	Vandal	4,800	1,600	0	0
Anonymous#f4727a·	-1.63%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.16%Centering-0.25%	Vandal	4,550	1,900	0	67
Anonymous#bfa1d1·	-4.08%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.50%	Vandal	4,550	1,550	0	80
Anonymous#5c1462clutch lost	-0.40%	Kill credit+0.29%Death debit-0.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.16%Centering-0.13%	Vandal	5,250	1,300	0	136

Round 4 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering1–2Round leverage0.1682Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	46.1%	+4.47%
13.9s	Clock	—	46.1%	+0.02%
13.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#eb56cc	47.4%	+1.30%
23.1s	Kill	Anonymous#bfa1d1 → SN0RLAX	45.4%	-2.01%
24.4s	Plant	Anonymous#ba1a15	46.3%	+0.96%
28.7s	Clock	—	46.4%	+0.08%
28.7s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#1d1a47	48.4%	+1.96%
36.7s	Clock	—	48.4%	+0.07%
36.7s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#f4727a	49.2%	+0.80%
47.7s	Clock	—	49.3%	+0.07%
47.7s	Kill	Anonymous#bfa1d1 → Anonymous#a9697d	48.9%	-0.44%
49.9s	Clock	—	49.0%	+0.11%
49.9s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#5c1462	49.6%	+0.63%
50.8s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#bfa1d1	50.0%	+0.35%
50.8s	Terminal	—	50.0%	+0.04%
Round total · 18 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	+8.41%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,200 · full
Anonymous#4d0084trade	+0.30%	Kill credit+0.28%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	3,800	400	1	160
SN0RLAXopening kill	-0.89%	Kill credit+1.30%Death debit-2.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.19%	Vandal	5,200	3,000	1	169
Anonymous#ba1a15multi kill	+4.40%	Kill credit+3.00%Death debit·Plant+0.96%Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering+0.34%	Vandal	4,600	3,850	3	400
Anonymous#13eea8·	+0.43%	Kill credit+0.39%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,800	3,250	0	80
Anonymous#a9697dtraded	-0.45%	Kill credit+0.07%Death debit-0.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.14%	Guardian	3,800	3,050	0	65
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 8,850 · light
Anonymous#eb56ccopening death	-1.56%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.25%	Classic	1,000	4,000	0	0
Anonymous#1d1a47·	-2.30%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.33%	Sheriff	2,100	2,300	0	0
Anonymous#f4727a·	-1.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.20%	Sheriff	1,950	2,350	0	160
Anonymous#bfa1d1clutch lost	+2.08%	Kill credit+2.45%Death debit-0.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering+0.11%	Marshal	2,000	1,600	2	404
Anonymous#5c1462·	-0.96%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering-0.19%	Bucky	1,800	1,700	0	0

Round 5 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering2–2Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	52.0%	+2.03%
25.0s	Clock	—	52.1%	+0.12%
25.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5c1462	54.4%	+2.30%
31.0s	Plant	Anonymous#13eea8	55.2%	+0.72%
31.5s	Kill	Anonymous#bfa1d1 → Anonymous#4d0084	53.1%	-2.10%
32.3s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#13eea8	47.9%	-5.17%
32.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#1d1a47	52.6%	+4.75%
36.5s	Clock	—	52.9%	+0.26%
36.5s	Kill	Anonymous#a9697d → Anonymous#eb56cc	56.8%	+3.92%
40.7s	Clock	—	56.9%	+0.10%
40.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f4727a	58.2%	+1.25%
41.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#bfa1d1	58.8%	+0.59%
41.2s	Terminal	—	58.8%	+0.05%
Round total · 18 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.8%	+8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 23,450 · full
Anonymous#4d0084·	-2.39%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.31%	Vandal	4,400	2,550	0	0
SN0RLAXmulti kill opening kill	+9.96%	Kill credit+8.89%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering+0.92%	Phantom	4,600	1,900	4	831
Anonymous#ba1a15·	+0.08%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering-0.06%	Vandal	5,200	5,450	0	40
Anonymous#13eea8traded	-4.99%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.17%Plant+0.72%Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.57%	Vandal	4,800	4,850	0	0
Anonymous#a9697dtrade	+4.43%	Kill credit+3.92%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering+0.37%	Vandal	4,450	2,300	1	260
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 18,750 · half
Anonymous#eb56cc·	+1.19%	Kill credit+5.17%Death debit-3.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering+0.05%	Phantom	3,900	2,300	1	228
Anonymous#1d1a47·	-5.38%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.61%	Vandal	4,800	800	0	56
Anonymous#f4727a·	-1.64%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.16%Centering-0.24%	Bucky	2,600	2,400	0	52
Anonymous#bfa1d1clutch lost	+1.42%	Kill credit+2.10%Death debit-0.59%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.16%Centering+0.07%	Vandal	4,050	500	1	280
Anonymous#5c1462opening death	-2.66%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.34%	Judge	3,400	1,000	0	0

Round 6 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–2Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	60.0%	+1.22%
11.7s	Clock	—	60.2%	+0.13%
11.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#eb56cc	62.7%	+2.53%
17.9s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#bfa1d1	64.9%	+2.16%
19.5s	Kill	Anonymous#f4727a → Anonymous#a9697d	63.3%	-1.62%
21.3s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#5c1462	65.8%	+2.53%
22.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f4727a	67.0%	+1.26%
22.4s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → SN0RLAX	66.7%	-0.31%
24.6s	Plant	Anonymous#13eea8	66.9%	+0.21%
34.4s	Clock	—	67.0%	+0.04%
34.4s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#4d0084	66.0%	-0.97%
35.1s	Clock	—	66.0%	+0.02%
35.1s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#1d1a47	67.5%	+1.51%
35.1s	Terminal	—	67.6%	+0.08%
Round total · 20 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			67.6%	+8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,250 · full
Anonymous#4d0084traded	+4.16%	Kill credit+4.69%Death debit-0.97%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.40%	Vandal	4,400	1,800	2	320
SN0RLAXopening kill trade	+3.60%	Kill credit+3.54%Death debit-0.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.34%	Phantom	4,600	4,300	2	546
Anonymous#ba1a15trade	+1.66%	Kill credit+1.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.15%	Vandal	5,200	7,550	1	120
Anonymous#13eea8·	+0.27%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.21%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	5,600	3,750	0	0
Anonymous#a9697dtraded	-1.46%	Kill credit+0.30%Death debit-1.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.17%	Vandal	4,450	4,800	0	120
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 20,400 · full
Anonymous#eb56ccopening death	-2.83%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit-2.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.30%	Vandal	3,900	1,300	0	80
Anonymous#1d1a47clutch lost trade	-0.45%	Kill credit+1.22%Death debit-1.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	4,450	150	2	306
Anonymous#f4727atraded	+0.38%	Kill credit+1.65%Death debit-1.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.02%	Phantom	4,550	1,150	1	257
Anonymous#bfa1d1·	-2.46%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.27%	Vandal	3,700	50	0	0
Anonymous#5c1462·	-2.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.31%	Guardian	3,800	400	0	0

Round 7 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–2Round leverage0.1669Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	70.4%	+2.75%
2.7s	Clock	—	70.4%	+0.04%
2.7s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#a9697d	67.3%	-3.06%
12.5s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#4d0084	62.9%	-4.44%
14.5s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#1d1a47	65.9%	+2.97%
16.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#bfa1d1	69.0%	+3.17%
18.0s	Kill	Anonymous#5c1462 → SN0RLAX	64.1%	-4.96%
18.7s	Clock	—	64.1%	-0.01%
18.7s	Kill	Anonymous#5c1462 → Anonymous#13eea8	60.3%	-3.76%
25.1s	Revive	Anonymous#4d0084	63.4%	+3.13%
25.1s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#5c1462	68.3%	+4.83%
29.0s	Kill	Anonymous#f4727a → Anonymous#ba1a15	62.0%	-6.28%
30.8s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#f4727a	66.7%	+4.75%
34.4s	Clock	—	66.7%	+0.01%
34.4s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#eb56cc	75.8%	+9.00%
34.4s	Terminal	—	76.0%	+0.21%
Round total · 24 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			76.0%	+8.35%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,250 · full
Anonymous#4d0084clutch won multi kill trade traded	+8.37%	Kill credit+11.95%Death debit-4.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.84%	Vandal	4,400	4,150	3	497
SN0RLAX·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,600	3,400	1	117
Anonymous#ba1a15clutch won trade traded	-6.97%	Kill credit·Death debit-6.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.70%	Vandal	5,200	5,400	1	200
Anonymous#13eea8·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	5,600	6,800	0	80
Anonymous#a9697dopening death	-1.39%	Kill credit+1.80%Death debit-3.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.14%	Vandal	4,450	4,050	0	50
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 16,100 · half
Anonymous#eb56ccclutch lost opening kill	-6.62%	Kill credit+3.06%Death debit-9.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.66%	Phantom	4,100	100	1	245
Anonymous#1d1a47·	+4.92%	Kill credit+4.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.49%	Vandal	4,000	150	1	200
Anonymous#f4727a·	+1.69%	Kill credit+6.28%Death debit-4.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.17%	Ares	3,350	1,400	1	160
Anonymous#bfa1d1traded	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Ghost	1,050	2,050	0	145
Anonymous#5c1462trade	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Bulldog	3,600	250	2	290

Round 8 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering5–2Round leverage0.1484Leverage index0.92×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	79.0%	+3.05%
12.5s	Clock	—	79.0%	+0.02%
12.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#eb56cc	80.4%	+1.33%
17.7s	Kill	Anonymous#f4727a → Anonymous#a9697d	78.3%	-2.09%
18.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#bfa1d1	81.0%	+2.73%
19.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f4727a → SN0RLAX	77.9%	-3.09%
22.6s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#1d1a47	81.1%	+3.20%
25.4s	Kill	Anonymous#13eea8 → Anonymous#f4727a	82.8%	+1.70%
29.4s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#5c1462	83.3%	+0.54%
29.4s	Terminal	—	83.4%	+0.05%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			83.4%	+7.42%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,850 · full
Anonymous#4d0084·	+0.60%	Kill credit+0.54%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.06%	Vandal	4,400	6,400	1	160
SN0RLAXopening kill	+1.08%	Kill credit+4.06%Death debit-3.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.11%	Phantom	4,600	2,200	2	287
Anonymous#ba1a15·	+3.55%	Kill credit+3.20%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.36%	Vandal	4,600	4,200	1	160
Anonymous#13eea8·	+1.89%	Kill credit+1.70%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.19%	Vandal	4,800	4,850	1	154
Anonymous#a9697d·	-2.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.23%	Vandal	4,450	6,050	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 14,050 · half
Anonymous#eb56ccopening death	-0.79%	Kill credit+0.62%Death debit-1.33%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.08%	Marshal	1,350	1,850	0	101
Anonymous#1d1a47·	-3.55%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.36%	Sheriff	2,100	1,850	0	0
Anonymous#f4727atrade	+3.18%	Kill credit+4.56%Death debit-1.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.32%	Phantom	4,650	450	2	374
Anonymous#bfa1d1traded	-3.04%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.30%	Vandal	4,050	1,050	0	0
Anonymous#5c1462clutch lost	-0.60%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.06%	Marshal	1,900	1,950	0	0

Round 9 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering6–2Round leverage0.1222Leverage index0.76×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	85.3%	+1.94%
16.5s	Clock	—	85.4%	+0.03%
16.5s	Kill	Anonymous#f4727a → SN0RLAX	83.1%	-2.24%
29.4s	Clock	—	83.1%	-0.02%
29.4s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#a9697d	79.6%	-3.46%
31.4s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#eb56cc	81.8%	+2.19%
56.9s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#1d1a47	85.4%	+3.61%
60.3s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#f4727a	87.5%	+2.06%
72.2s	Plant	Anonymous#13eea8	88.1%	+0.61%
81.2s	Clock	—	88.2%	+0.11%
81.2s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#bfa1d1	89.0%	+0.85%
83.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5c1462 → Anonymous#13eea8	88.2%	-0.83%
84.3s	Clock	—	88.2%	+0.02%
84.3s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#5c1462	89.4%	+1.19%
84.3s	Terminal	—	89.5%	+0.06%
Round total · 20 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			89.5%	+6.11%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,650 · full
Anonymous#4d0084·	+4.94%	Kill credit+4.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.43%	Vandal	4,400	8,650	2	320
SN0RLAXopening death	-2.55%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.32%	Phantom	4,600	1,250	0	39
Anonymous#ba1a15multi kill trade	+6.03%	Kill credit+5.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.54%	Vandal	4,600	7,200	3	456
Anonymous#13eea8traded	-0.28%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.83%Plant+0.61%Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.09%	Vandal	4,800	6,350	0	40
Anonymous#a9697dtraded	-3.92%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.45%	Operator	6,250	2,900	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 16,400 · half
Anonymous#eb56cc·	+1.35%	Kill credit+3.46%Death debit-2.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Odin	4,400	350	1	324
Anonymous#1d1a47·	-4.08%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.47%	Vandal	4,800	850	0	40
Anonymous#f4727aopening kill	-0.37%	Kill credit+1.79%Death debit-2.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.10%	Ghost	1,250	2,750	1	259
Anonymous#bfa1d1·	-1.07%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.17%	Marshal	1,500	2,600	0	0
Anonymous#5c1462clutch lost	-0.07%	Kill credit+1.28%Death debit-1.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	4,450	950	1	163

Round 10 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering7–2Round leverage0.0916Leverage index0.57×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	90.7%	+1.20%
4.9s	Clock	—	90.7%	+0.04%
4.9s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#a9697d	88.5%	-2.23%
6.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f4727a	90.6%	+2.13%
11.9s	Kill	Anonymous#bfa1d1 → SN0RLAX	88.1%	-2.49%
20.6s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#1d1a47	90.7%	+2.60%
26.1s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#eb56cc	92.5%	+1.75%
31.1s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#5c1462	93.7%	+1.19%
34.5s	Kill	Anonymous#bfa1d1 → Anonymous#13eea8	92.8%	-0.82%
36.9s	Revive	Anonymous#ba1a15	93.6%	+0.80%
36.9s	Kill	Anonymous#a9697d → Anonymous#bfa1d1	94.0%	+0.40%
36.9s	Terminal	—	94.1%	+0.03%
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			94.1%	+4.58%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,850 · full
Anonymous#4d0084·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,400	7,650	1	160
SN0RLAX·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,600	3,300	1	255
Anonymous#ba1a15·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	4,900	2	322
Anonymous#13eea8traded	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,800	4,400	0	39
Anonymous#a9697dopening death trade	-2.47%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.25%	Vandal	4,450	2,300	1	240
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 17,650 · half
Anonymous#eb56cc·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Classic	1,200	2,450	0	0
Anonymous#1d1a47opening kill	+2.47%	Kill credit+2.23%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.25%	Vandal	4,450	200	1	360
Anonymous#f4727a·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	1,450	0	46
Anonymous#bfa1d1clutch lost	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Outlaw	3,550	2,100	2	378
Anonymous#5c1462·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Guardian	3,800	550	0	0

Round 11 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering8–2Round leverage0.0611Leverage index0.38×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	94.8%	+0.75%
16.0s	Clock	—	94.9%	+0.03%
16.0s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#a9697d	93.4%	-1.50%
21.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#eb56cc	94.6%	+1.22%
23.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f4727a	95.8%	+1.22%
40.5s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#bfa1d1	96.6%	+0.75%
53.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5c1462	96.9%	+0.36%
53.6s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#13eea8	96.8%	-0.12%
54.8s	Plant	Anonymous#ba1a15	96.9%	+0.11%
76.8s	Clock	—	96.9%	+0.04%
76.8s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#4d0084	96.6%	-0.31%
87.0s	Clock	—	96.8%	+0.20%
87.0s	Revive	Anonymous#4d0084	97.0%	+0.17%
87.0s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#4d0084	96.8%	-0.17%
94.5s	Clock	—	97.0%	+0.16%
94.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#1d1a47	97.1%	+0.13%
94.5s	Terminal	—	97.1%	+0.01%
Round total · 24 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			97.1%	+3.05%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,850 · full
Anonymous#4d0084·	+0.34%	Kill credit+0.60%Death debit-0.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,400	8,650	1	160
SN0RLAXmulti kill	+3.25%	Kill credit+2.84%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+0.31%	Phantom	4,600	2,700	5	1,640
Anonymous#ba1a15·	+0.49%	Kill credit+0.25%Death debit·Plant+0.11%Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,600	7,400	0	94
Anonymous#13eea8·	-0.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,800	3,300	0	0
Anonymous#a9697dopening death	-1.67%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.50%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.18%	Vandal	4,450	4,800	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 18,800 · half
Anonymous#eb56ccopening kill	+0.29%	Kill credit+1.50%Death debit-1.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.02%	Phantom	3,900	1,450	1	234
Anonymous#1d1a47clutch lost multi kill	+0.03%	Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-0.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.21%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,000	0	3	609
Anonymous#f4727a·	-1.38%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.15%	Spectre	3,000	2,100	0	26
Anonymous#bfa1d1·	-0.79%	Kill credit+0.06%Death debit-0.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.09%	Vandal	4,050	1,500	0	120
Anonymous#5c1462·	-0.42%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	3,850	150	0	0

Round 12 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering9–2Round leverage0.0349Leverage index0.22×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	97.4%	+0.29%
9.2s	Clock	—	97.4%	+0.02%
9.2s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → SN0RLAX	96.9%	-0.55%
16.9s	Kill	Anonymous#13eea8 → Anonymous#1d1a47	97.6%	+0.68%
40.1s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#eb56cc	98.1%	+0.57%
61.6s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#5c1462	98.5%	+0.36%
71.4s	Kill	Anonymous#bfa1d1 → Anonymous#a9697d	98.0%	-0.51%
77.8s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#f4727a	98.6%	+0.60%
79.6s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#bfa1d1	98.9%	+0.27%
79.6s	Terminal	—	98.9%	+0.01%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			98.9%	+1.75%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 25,700 · full
Anonymous#4d0084multi kill	+1.37%	Kill credit+1.23%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.14%	Vandal	4,650	4,500	3	520
SN0RLAXopening death	-0.60%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.55%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.06%	Phantom	4,600	2,200	0	0
Anonymous#ba1a15·	+0.63%	Kill credit+0.57%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.06%	Vandal	4,600	8,300	1	200
Anonymous#13eea8·	+0.75%	Kill credit+0.68%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.08%	Vandal	5,600	1,400	1	120
Anonymous#a9697d·	-0.56%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.06%	Operator	6,250	2,400	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 20,450 · full
Anonymous#eb56cc·	-0.52%	Kill credit+0.10%Death debit-0.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Odin	4,200	150	0	58
Anonymous#1d1a47opening kill	-0.15%	Kill credit+0.55%Death debit-0.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	4,200	0	1	234
Anonymous#f4727a·	-0.67%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.60%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.07%	Phantom	4,550	850	0	0
Anonymous#bfa1d1clutch lost	+0.15%	Kill credit+0.41%Death debit-0.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.01%	Vandal	4,450	100	1	120
Anonymous#5c1462·	-0.40%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Judge	3,050	300	0	0

Round 13 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering10–2Round leverage0.0161Leverage index0.10×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	99.0%	+0.09%
17.1s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#eb56cc	99.3%	+0.29%
17.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f4727a	99.5%	+0.22%
18.1s	Kill	Anonymous#bfa1d1 → Anonymous#a9697d	99.3%	-0.18%
18.2s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#13eea8	98.9%	-0.37%
25.5s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#5c1462	99.4%	+0.43%
28.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#1d1a47	99.6%	+0.23%
51.2s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#bfa1d1	99.7%	+0.07%
51.2s	Terminal	—	99.7%	<0.01%
Round total · 16 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			99.7%	+0.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 3,950 · eco
Anonymous#4d0084opening kill	+0.33%	Kill credit+0.29%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.03%	Ghost	800	150	1	105
SN0RLAX·	+0.51%	Kill credit+0.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.05%	Classic	700	100	2	330
Anonymous#ba1a15·	+0.55%	Kill credit+0.50%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.06%	Ghost	800	0	2	184
Anonymous#13eea8·	-0.41%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Ghost	950	50	0	0
Anonymous#a9697d·	-0.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Ghost	700	100	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 3,850 · eco
Anonymous#eb56ccopening death	-0.33%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Classic	800	0	0	55
Anonymous#1d1a47·	+0.15%	Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-0.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.02%	Bandit	1,000	0	1	152
Anonymous#f4727a·	-0.25%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Classic	750	200	0	26
Anonymous#bfa1d1clutch lost	+0.12%	Kill credit+0.18%Death debit-0.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.01%	Ghost	500	300	1	130
Anonymous#5c1462·	-0.47%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Ghost	800	0	0	0

Round 14 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering11–2Round leverage0.0054Leverage index0.03×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	99.9%	+0.18%
15.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#bfa1d1	99.9%	+0.04%
17.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a9697d → Anonymous#eb56cc	99.9%	+0.03%
21.7s	Kill	Anonymous#5c1462 → SN0RLAX	99.9%	-0.02%
24.9s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#f4727a	99.9%	+0.02%
28.3s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#5c1462	99.9%	<0.01%
37.6s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#1d1a47	100.0%	<0.01%
37.6s	Terminal	—	100.0%	<0.01%
Round total · 14 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			100.0%	+0.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 16,250 · half
Anonymous#4d0084·	+0.01%	Kill credit+0.01%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	3,450	50	2	320
SN0RLAXopening kill	+0.03%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,300	800	1	233
Anonymous#ba1a15·	+0.02%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,450	450	1	78
Anonymous#13eea8·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	2,850	400	0	0
Anonymous#a9697d·	+0.03%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Outlaw	3,200	100	1	140
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 3,650 · eco
Anonymous#eb56cc·	-0.03%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Classic	1,000	1,500	0	26
Anonymous#1d1a47clutch lost	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit<0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Sheriff	1,000	1,300	0	0
Anonymous#f4727a·	-0.02%	Kill credit<0.01%Death debit-0.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Classic	750	1,700	0	78
Anonymous#bfa1d1opening death	-0.04%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Ghost	900	1,500	0	0
Anonymous#5c1462·	<0.01%	Kill credit+0.01%Death debit<0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Classic	0	1,900	1	52

Round 15 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering12–2Round leverage0.0010Leverage index0.01×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	99.9%	<0.01%
7.8s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#ba1a15	99.9%	-0.02%
21.2s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#a9697d	99.9%	-0.01%
34.1s	Plant	Anonymous#5c1462	99.9%	<0.01%
36.6s	Kill	Anonymous#13eea8 → Anonymous#bfa1d1	99.9%	<0.01%
38.5s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → SN0RLAX	99.9%	<0.01%
48.1s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → Anonymous#13eea8	99.9%	<0.01%
61.8s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#4d0084	99.9%	<0.01%
61.8s	Terminal	—	99.9%	<0.01%
Round total · 16 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			99.9%	-0.05%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 19,200 · half
Anonymous#4d0084clutch lost	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit<0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	2,450	1,150	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit<0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Bulldog	3,750	500	0	35
Anonymous#ba1a15opening death	-0.02%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,750	3,650	0	0
Anonymous#13eea8·	<0.01%	Kill credit<0.01%Death debit<0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	5,300	250	1	378
Anonymous#a9697d·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Outlaw	3,950	2,150	0	140
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 21,200 · full
Anonymous#eb56cc·	+0.02%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,500	0	2	209
Anonymous#1d1a47multi kill opening kill	+0.03%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	3,700	200	3	480
Anonymous#f4727a·	<0.01%	Kill credit<0.01%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	50	0	140
Anonymous#bfa1d1·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit<0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	3,900	0	0	0
Anonymous#5c1462·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant<0.01%Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,450	50	0	0

Round 16 focal side won

Won byRed · defuseScore entering12–3Round leverage0.0020Leverage index0.01×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	99.9%	-0.02%
20.8s	Kill	Anonymous#eb56cc → SN0RLAX	99.9%	-0.02%
21.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a9697d → Anonymous#bfa1d1	99.9%	+0.03%
30.8s	Kill	Anonymous#4d0084 → Anonymous#eb56cc	99.9%	+0.05%
47.4s	Kill	Anonymous#f4727a → Anonymous#4d0084	99.9%	-0.05%
50.9s	Kill	Anonymous#f4727a → Anonymous#a9697d	99.8%	-0.05%
74.6s	Plant	Anonymous#5c1462	99.8%	-0.01%
76.3s	Kill	Anonymous#1d1a47 → Anonymous#13eea8	99.8%	-0.02%
87.3s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#1d1a47	99.8%	+0.01%
89.1s	Kill	Anonymous#ba1a15 → Anonymous#5c1462	99.9%	+0.06%
109.6s	Clock	—	99.8%	-0.05%
109.6s	Defuse	Anonymous#ba1a15	100.0%	+0.16%
109.6s	Terminal	—	100.0%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 9 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			100.0%	+0.10%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 15,950 · half
Anonymous#4d0084·	-0.03%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Marshal	3,250	150	1	55
SN0RLAXopening death	-0.04%	Kill credit<0.01%Death debit-0.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Bandit	2,300	550	0	0
Anonymous#ba1a15clutch won	+0.19%	Kill credit+0.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.16%Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Bulldog	3,750	2,500	2	280
Anonymous#13eea8·	-0.02%	Kill credit+0.01%Death debit-0.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Marshal	2,850	200	0	202
Anonymous#a9697d·	-0.05%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit-0.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Guardian	3,800	800	1	308
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 21,800 · full
Anonymous#eb56ccopening kill	-0.05%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit-0.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	4,700	2,500	1	293
Anonymous#1d1a47·	-0.02%	Kill credit+0.01%Death debit-0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,800	2,400	1	181
Anonymous#f4727aclutch lost	+0.15%	Kill credit+0.10%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	2,100	2	273
Anonymous#bfa1d1·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Bulldog	3,200	100	0	35
Anonymous#5c1462·	-0.08%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.06%Plant+0.01%Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	4,450	2,800	0	0