Lotus, 7–13, June 29

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

358 nodes: 20 round start, 159 clock, 159 action, 20 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on
Anonymous#543012	Gekko	+3.25%	15	15	4	2,761
SN0RLAX	Breach	+0.42%	15	16	5	2,690
Anonymous#81e48f	Clove	-8.16%	11	18	2	2,234
Anonymous#fe8c86	Iso	-10.13%	10	18	5	2,651
Anonymous#b2944a	Cypher	-23.25%	9	16	3	2,169
Red · opponents
Anonymous#0652da	Miks	+35.22%	30	13	4	5,105
Anonymous#251018	Vyse	+21.61%	15	10	4	2,623
Anonymous#da712e	Phoenix	+11.08%	16	11	5	3,325
Anonymous#ae53b3	Fade	-14.64%	10	14	6	2,145
Anonymous#a935d6	Sage	-15.40%	10	12	5	1,539

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 11 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+4.58% match win probability points
at 4–6
Round 6 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+4.48% match win probability points
at 4–1
Round 2 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+4.19% match win probability points
at 1–0

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	50.9%	+0.91%
8.9s	Clock	—	50.6%	-0.27%
8.9s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#b2944a	47.7%	-2.96%
16.7s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#0652da	50.9%	+3.21%
22.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#251018	54.7%	+3.80%
28.0s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#da712e	56.9%	+2.17%
31.0s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#ae53b3	57.6%	+0.74%
32.5s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#a935d6	58.0%	+0.39%
32.5s	Terminal	—	58.1%	+0.06%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.1%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 3,600 · eco
Anonymous#543012multi kill	+6.71%	Kill credit+6.09%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.67%	Frenzy	750	50	3	257
SN0RLAX·	+3.49%	Kill credit+3.19%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.35%	Classic	700	100	1	182
Anonymous#81e48f·	+0.37%	Kill credit+0.39%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.04%	Classic	750	200	1	166
Anonymous#fe8c86·	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Bandit	600	200	0	0
Anonymous#b2944aopening death	-2.64%	Kill credit+0.64%Death debit-2.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.26%	Ghost	800	0	0	55
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 3,050 · eco
Anonymous#0652daopening kill	-0.22%	Kill credit+2.96%Death debit-3.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.02%	Ghost	850	50	1	174
Anonymous#251018·	-4.17%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.42%	Classic	300	300	0	0
Anonymous#da712e·	-2.35%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.24%	Sheriff	1,050	0	0	32
Anonymous#ae53b3·	-0.76%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.08%	Classic	250	550	0	132
Anonymous#a935d6clutch lost	-0.38%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.04%	Bandit	600	200	0	39

Round 2 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering1–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	61.2%	+3.19%
4.5s	Clock	—	61.0%	-0.22%
4.5s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#b2944a	57.3%	-3.70%
15.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#a935d6	60.6%	+3.26%
21.7s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	56.5%	-4.09%
24.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#da712e	60.7%	+4.19%
31.3s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#ae53b3	63.8%	+3.16%
35.1s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#251018	65.4%	+1.57%
43.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#0652da	66.1%	+0.65%
43.6s	Terminal	—	66.1%	+0.06%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			66.1%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 11,900 · light
Anonymous#543012·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering<0.01%	Ghost	1,450	3,000	0	13
SN0RLAXmulti kill	+8.95%	Kill credit+8.10%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.89%	Bandit	1,700	1,600	3	404
Anonymous#81e48f·	+5.20%	Kill credit+4.73%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.52%	Phantom	4,250	350	2	372
Anonymous#fe8c86·	-4.59%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.46%	Bandit	1,750	2,050	0	39
Anonymous#b2944aopening death	-4.16%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.42%	Spectre	2,750	450	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 7,550 · light
Anonymous#0652daclutch lost opening kill	+7.98%	Kill credit+7.79%Death debit-0.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.80%	Ghost	2,050	200	2	361
Anonymous#251018·	-1.69%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.17%	Classic	700	1,600	0	0
Anonymous#da712e·	-4.60%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.46%	Sheriff	2,100	50	0	50
Anonymous#ae53b3·	-3.46%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.35%	Classic	700	1,750	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6·	-3.57%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.36%	Spectre	2,000	100	0	52

Round 3 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering2–0Round leverage0.1542Leverage index0.96×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	70.0%	+3.87%
18.9s	Clock	—	69.8%	-0.23%
18.9s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#251018	71.9%	+2.17%
22.8s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#ae53b3	72.7%	+0.81%
25.7s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#da712e	73.4%	+0.66%
26.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → Anonymous#81e48f	73.2%	-0.22%
27.6s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#543012	72.1%	-1.09%
31.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#0652da	73.4%	+1.27%
42.0s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → SN0RLAX	72.3%	-1.09%
42.6s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#a935d6	73.7%	+1.47%
42.6s	Terminal	—	73.8%	+0.09%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			73.8%	+7.71%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,050 · full
Anonymous#543012traded	-0.98%	Kill credit+0.25%Death debit-1.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.10%	Spectre	3,650	5,000	0	104
SN0RLAXtrade traded	-0.14%	Kill credit+1.01%Death debit-1.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.01%	Spectre	3,900	3,700	1	92
Anonymous#81e48f·	+0.44%	Kill credit+0.66%Death debit-0.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.04%	Phantom	5,450	2,150	1	191
Anonymous#fe8c86trade	+2.48%	Kill credit+2.28%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.25%	Vandal	4,400	1,150	2	200
Anonymous#b2944aopening kill	+2.36%	Kill credit+2.17%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.24%	Guardian	3,650	0	1	195
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 11,150 · light
Anonymous#0652da·	-0.15%	Kill credit+1.09%Death debit-1.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.01%	Ghost	2,400	1,400	1	212
Anonymous#251018opening death	-2.36%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.24%	Spectre	2,900	1,200	0	20
Anonymous#da712etraded	-0.63%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.06%	Sheriff	2,650	200	0	110
Anonymous#ae53b3·	-0.85%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.81%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.09%	Ghost	1,200	3,150	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6clutch lost trade	-0.17%	Kill credit+1.27%Death debit-1.47%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.02%	Spectre	2,000	500	2	240

Round 4 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering3–0Round leverage0.1402Leverage index0.87×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	74.7%	+0.84%
12.0s	Clock	—	74.4%	-0.23%
12.0s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → SN0RLAX	71.6%	-2.83%
31.4s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#da712e	74.7%	+3.10%
33.3s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#b2944a	71.6%	-3.08%
35.3s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#a935d6	74.8%	+3.20%
39.2s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	70.7%	-4.17%
40.1s	Plant	Anonymous#251018	69.7%	-0.97%
44.6s	Clock	—	69.6%	-0.08%
44.6s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#ae53b3	73.4%	+3.76%
45.4s	Clock	—	73.3%	-0.05%
45.4s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#81e48f	68.6%	-4.75%
46.6s	Clock	—	68.6%	-0.01%
46.6s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#0652da	73.1%	+4.56%
47.0s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#251018	80.4%	+7.33%
56.0s	Clock	—	80.4%	-0.01%
56.0s	Defuse	Anonymous#543012	80.8%	+0.40%
56.0s	Terminal	—	80.8%	·
Round total · 24 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			80.8%	+7.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 19,850 · half
Anonymous#543012clutch won trade	-0.23%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering-0.12%	Phantom	4,450	4,100	2	323
SN0RLAXopening death	-3.30%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.43%	Stinger	2,800	4,100	0	19
Anonymous#81e48ftraded	-1.33%	Kill credit+3.76%Death debit-4.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering-0.23%	Phantom	4,650	1,300	2	275
Anonymous#fe8c86·	-1.24%	Kill credit+3.20%Death debit-4.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.22%	Vandal	4,400	3,050	1	299
Anonymous#b2944a·	-0.14%	Kill credit+3.10%Death debit-3.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.11%	Guardian	3,550	2,000	1	178
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 19,300 · half
Anonymous#0652damulti kill opening kill trade	+14.11%	Kill credit+12.70%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+1.31%	Spectre	3,150	2,000	4	408
Anonymous#251018clutch lost	+1.08%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.97%Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+0.01%	Phantom	4,400	0	0	39
Anonymous#da712etraded	-2.53%	Kill credit+0.87%Death debit-3.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.35%	Bulldog	3,550	400	0	210
Anonymous#ae53b3traded	-2.81%	Kill credit+1.26%Death debit-3.76%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.38%	Vandal	4,600	2,150	0	80
Anonymous#a935d6traded	-3.61%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.46%	Vandal	3,600	200	0	0

Round 5 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–0Round leverage0.1201Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	82.3%	+1.46%
10.1s	Clock	—	82.1%	-0.23%
10.1s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	79.4%	-2.68%
12.8s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#251018	81.7%	+2.30%
12.8s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#81e48f	78.5%	-3.14%
14.6s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#b2944a	76.2%	-2.33%
15.2s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#0652da	77.9%	+1.69%
16.5s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → Anonymous#543012	75.5%	-2.40%
32.0s	Plant	Anonymous#ae53b3	75.3%	-0.16%
49.8s	Clock	—	75.3%	-0.08%
49.8s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → SN0RLAX	74.9%	-0.40%
49.8s	Terminal	—	74.8%	-0.03%
Round total · 18 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			74.8%	-6.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 22,300 · full
Anonymous#543012trade	-0.87%	Kill credit+1.69%Death debit-2.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.10%	Phantom	4,450	3,350	1	156
SN0RLAXclutch lost	-0.60%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.08%	Phantom	4,600	2,750	0	35
Anonymous#81e48f·	-1.00%	Kill credit+2.30%Death debit-3.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.12%	Phantom	4,650	3,350	1	164
Anonymous#fe8c86opening death	-3.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.32%	Vandal	4,400	2,050	0	0
Anonymous#b2944atraded	-2.66%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.33%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.28%	Vandal	4,200	700	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 19,400 · half
Anonymous#0652daopening kill traded	+3.13%	Kill credit+4.47%Death debit-1.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.30%	Guardian	4,150	2,150	2	440
Anonymous#251018traded	-1.82%	Kill credit+0.63%Death debit-2.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.20%	Spectre	3,100	400	0	77
Anonymous#da712etrade	+2.85%	Kill credit+2.51%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.27%	Vandal	3,950	150	1	160
Anonymous#ae53b3trade	+3.95%	Kill credit+3.34%Death debit·Plant+0.16%Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.38%	Vandal	4,600	1,000	2	360
Anonymous#a935d6·	+0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	3,600	100	0	0

Round 6 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–1Round leverage0.1442Leverage index0.90×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	73.4%	-1.47%
20.7s	Clock	—	73.1%	-0.27%
20.7s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#81e48f	70.9%	-2.15%
29.0s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#543012	69.5%	-1.48%
36.9s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#a935d6	70.4%	+0.98%
43.5s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → Anonymous#b2944a	68.9%	-1.54%
47.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#251018	70.2%	+1.28%
49.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#0652da	74.7%	+4.48%
52.5s	Plant	Anonymous#ae53b3	73.1%	-1.59%
60.1s	Clock	—	72.9%	-0.19%
60.1s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → SN0RLAX	69.1%	-3.75%
64.9s	Clock	—	69.0%	-0.09%
64.9s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#ae53b3	73.9%	+4.83%
78.1s	Clock	—	72.3%	-1.59%
78.1s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#fe8c86	67.8%	-4.52%
78.1s	Terminal	—	67.6%	-0.14%
Round total · 22 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			67.6%	-7.21%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,850 · half
Anonymous#543012·	-1.74%	Kill credit+0.13%Death debit-1.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.33%	Spectre	2,800	3,200	0	88
SN0RLAX·	+1.61%	Kill credit+5.51%Death debit-3.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.14%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,300	2,050	2	302
Anonymous#81e48fopening death	-2.63%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.42%	Phantom	4,650	1,400	0	0
Anonymous#fe8c86clutch lost	-1.64%	Kill credit+5.03%Death debit-4.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-1.82%Centering-0.32%	Vandal	4,400	50	1	332
Anonymous#b2944a·	-0.94%	Kill credit+0.91%Death debit-1.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.25%	Spectre	2,700	0	1	130
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,400 · full
Anonymous#0652daopening kill	-1.40%	Kill credit+3.33%Death debit-4.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.30%	Phantom	4,800	1,950	2	234
Anonymous#251018·	-1.54%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.31%	Vandal	4,050	150	0	13
Anonymous#da712eclutch won	+9.99%	Kill credit+7.37%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+1.78%Centering+0.84%	Vandal	4,750	2,300	2	280
Anonymous#ae53b3·	-1.85%	Kill credit+1.54%Death debit-4.83%Plant+1.59%Defuse·Alive clock+0.19%Centering-0.34%	Vandal	4,600	4,250	1	200
Anonymous#a935d6·	+0.13%	Kill credit+1.20%Death debit-0.98%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.15%	Vandal	4,200	2,100	0	160

Round 7 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–2Round leverage0.1669Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	63.6%	-4.01%
3.4s	Clock	—	63.4%	-0.23%
3.4s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#0652da	66.5%	+3.17%
9.0s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#81e48f	64.2%	-2.33%
19.2s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → SN0RLAX	61.4%	-2.79%
28.6s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#a935d6	64.2%	+2.78%
33.1s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#543012	61.5%	-2.71%
35.2s	Plant	Anonymous#ae53b3	61.0%	-0.49%
37.6s	Clock	—	61.0%	-0.02%
37.6s	Revive	Anonymous#a935d6	60.1%	-0.87%
37.6s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#b2944a	59.6%	-0.53%
41.7s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#0652da	59.8%	+0.20%
47.5s	Clock	—	59.8%	-0.02%
47.5s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#fe8c86	59.3%	-0.46%
47.5s	Terminal	—	59.3%	-0.04%
Round total · 22 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			59.3%	-8.35%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 11,700 · light
Anonymous#543012·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Classic	1,550	3,000	0	0
SN0RLAX·	+0.65%	Kill credit+0.63%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.07%	Spectre	3,300	1,550	0	0
Anonymous#81e48fopening kill	+2.76%	Kill credit+2.53%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.28%	Marshal	2,100	2,300	1	202
Anonymous#fe8c86clutch lost trade	-0.41%	Kill credit+0.16%Death debit-0.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.04%	Spectre	2,200	650	1	110
Anonymous#b2944atraded	<0.01%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,550	50	1	232
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,550 · full
Anonymous#0652daopening death	-3.69%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.37%	Vandal	4,800	1,500	1	200
Anonymous#251018·	+0.57%	Kill credit+0.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.06%	Vandal	3,800	0	2	360
Anonymous#da712e·	+0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,750	4,400	2	318
Anonymous#ae53b3·	+0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	3,350	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6·	+0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	800	0	0

Round 8 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	57.6%	-1.71%
24.6s	Clock	—	57.2%	-0.38%
24.6s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#543012	54.6%	-2.62%
28.2s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#a935d6	58.2%	+3.66%
29.4s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#ae53b3	63.3%	+5.08%
33.1s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	58.6%	-4.70%
39.6s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#b2944a	53.6%	-5.03%
53.1s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#81e48f	51.0%	-2.58%
54.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#da712e	53.1%	+2.14%
55.2s	Plant	Anonymous#0652da	52.0%	-1.13%
59.8s	Clock	—	51.9%	-0.07%
59.8s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → SN0RLAX	50.1%	-1.83%
59.8s	Terminal	—	50.0%	-0.08%
Round total · 20 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	-9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 18,650 · half
Anonymous#543012opening death	-3.13%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.43%	Vandal	4,450	2,000	0	0
SN0RLAXclutch lost trade	+0.05%	Kill credit+2.14%Death debit-1.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.14%Centering-0.11%	Stinger	2,800	1,850	1	176
Anonymous#81e48ftraded	-3.08%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.42%	Phantom	4,650	1,350	0	0
Anonymous#fe8c86·	+4.27%	Kill credit+8.74%Death debit-4.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.31%	Vandal	3,750	200	2	360
Anonymous#b2944a·	-5.80%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.69%	Spectre	3,000	250	0	88
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,150 · full
Anonymous#0652damulti kill opening kill trade	+11.43%	Kill credit+9.16%Death debit·Plant+1.13%Defuse·Alive clock+0.11%Centering+1.03%	Vandal	4,800	3,900	3	520
Anonymous#251018·	+5.59%	Kill credit+5.03%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.11%Centering+0.45%	Vandal	3,400	3,350	1	179
Anonymous#da712e·	+0.45%	Kill credit+2.58%Death debit-2.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	4,750	4,600	1	200
Anonymous#ae53b3traded	-5.68%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.68%	Vandal	4,600	6,150	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6traded	-4.11%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.52%	Vandal	4,600	200	0	0

Round 9 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–4Round leverage0.1964Leverage index1.22×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	50.0%	+0.04%
10.4s	Clock	—	49.7%	-0.34%
10.4s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#0652da	54.3%	+4.59%
18.7s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → Anonymous#b2944a	50.7%	-3.60%
25.3s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#81e48f	45.4%	-5.25%
47.5s	Plant	Anonymous#da712e	44.3%	-1.12%
54.2s	Clock	—	44.1%	-0.19%
54.2s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#fe8c86	41.9%	-2.27%
57.6s	Clock	—	41.8%	-0.06%
57.6s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#da712e	44.0%	+2.24%
64.9s	Clock	—	43.5%	-0.53%
64.9s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → SN0RLAX	41.0%	-2.56%
65.0s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#ae53b3	42.4%	+1.43%
71.5s	Clock	—	42.1%	-0.30%
71.5s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → Anonymous#543012	40.3%	-1.80%
71.5s	Terminal	—	40.2%	-0.09%
Round total · 20 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			40.2%	-9.82%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 20,400 · full
Anonymous#543012clutch lost trade	+1.13%	Kill credit+3.66%Death debit-1.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.73%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,450	1,000	2	312
SN0RLAXtraded	-3.44%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.43%Centering-0.46%	Phantom	4,600	1,050	0	0
Anonymous#81e48f·	-6.04%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.72%	Phantom	4,650	200	0	0
Anonymous#fe8c86opening kill traded	+2.31%	Kill credit+4.59%Death debit-2.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering+0.12%	Vandal	3,500	200	1	320
Anonymous#b2944a·	-4.19%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.60%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.53%	Spectre	3,200	350	0	26
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 21,050 · full
Anonymous#0652daopening death	-5.15%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.59%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.63%	Vandal	4,800	6,250	0	0
Anonymous#251018·	+6.22%	Kill credit+5.25%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.46%Centering+0.51%	Vandal	4,200	5,650	1	153
Anonymous#da712e·	+1.30%	Kill credit+2.27%Death debit-2.24%Plant+1.12%Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,750	3,800	1	160
Anonymous#ae53b3·	+5.46%	Kill credit+6.15%Death debit-1.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.31%Centering+0.43%	Vandal	4,600	4,850	2	321
Anonymous#a935d6·	+2.39%	Kill credit+1.80%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.46%Centering+0.13%	Spectre	2,700	1,000	1	200

Round 10 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–5Round leverage0.1964Leverage index1.22×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	36.3%	-3.85%
4.0s	Clock	—	36.0%	-0.31%
4.0s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	34.1%	-1.94%
9.6s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#0652da	36.6%	+2.51%
10.3s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → Anonymous#b2944a	33.5%	-3.11%
22.7s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → SN0RLAX	31.7%	-1.75%
39.5s	Plant	Anonymous#ae53b3	31.4%	-0.31%
42.9s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#543012	30.8%	-0.64%
56.0s	Clock	—	30.8%	-0.02%
56.0s	Revive	Anonymous#a935d6	30.7%	-0.07%
56.0s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#81e48f	30.4%	-0.29%
56.0s	Terminal	—	30.4%	-0.04%
Round total · 18 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			30.4%	-9.82%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 15,100 · half
Anonymous#543012·	-0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,550	1,750	0	156
SN0RLAX·	-0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,700	1,500	0	249
Anonymous#81e48fclutch lost	-0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,350	350	0	0
Anonymous#fe8c86opening death	-2.22%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.94%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.22%	Vandal	3,500	0	0	0
Anonymous#b2944a·	+2.72%	Kill credit+2.51%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.27%	Spectre	3,000	550	1	156
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,950 · full
Anonymous#0652daopening kill traded	-0.57%	Kill credit+1.94%Death debit-2.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.06%	Vandal	4,800	5,100	2	400
Anonymous#251018·	+0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,200	8,800	0	0
Anonymous#da712e·	+0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,750	3,000	1	200
Anonymous#ae53b3·	+0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	3,950	1	160
Anonymous#a935d6trade	+0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	2,800	1	160

Round 11 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–6Round leverage0.1833Leverage index1.14×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	28.1%	-2.23%
5.4s	Clock	—	27.8%	-0.33%
5.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#a935d6	32.4%	+4.58%
9.3s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#b2944a	28.7%	-3.73%
22.0s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → SN0RLAX	24.6%	-4.10%
25.5s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#543012	22.6%	-1.99%
36.0s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#fe8c86	21.8%	-0.81%
38.7s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#81e48f	21.2%	-0.51%
38.7s	Terminal	—	21.2%	-0.05%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			21.2%	-9.16%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,650 · half
Anonymous#543012·	-2.28%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.99%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.23%	Spectre	3,150	2,050	0	0
SN0RLAXopening kill	+0.46%	Kill credit+4.58%Death debit-4.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.05%	Vandal	4,600	250	1	200
Anonymous#81e48fclutch lost	-0.64%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.06%	Spectre	3,350	250	0	0
Anonymous#fe8c86·	-0.97%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.81%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.10%	Guardian	3,100	0	0	0
Anonymous#b2944a·	-4.22%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.42%	Guardian	3,450	100	0	65
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,950 · full
Anonymous#0652damulti kill	+7.00%	Kill credit+6.23%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.70%	Vandal	4,800	7,550	3	534
Anonymous#251018·	+0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,200	8,500	0	6
Anonymous#da712e·	+5.52%	Kill credit+4.90%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.55%	Vandal	4,750	5,150	2	320
Anonymous#ae53b3·	+0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	5,950	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6opening death	-5.02%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.50%	Vandal	4,600	4,600	0	0

Round 12 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering4–7Round leverage0.1571Leverage index0.98×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	18.8%	-2.39%
5.7s	Clock	—	18.6%	-0.23%
5.7s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#251018	21.8%	+3.27%
5.9s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#fe8c86	19.3%	-2.57%
11.6s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#0652da	23.9%	+4.67%
13.0s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#a935d6	27.2%	+3.30%
15.0s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#ae53b3	28.7%	+1.48%
23.1s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#da712e	29.0%	+0.30%
23.1s	Terminal	—	29.1%	+0.03%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			29.1%	+7.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,000 · half
Anonymous#543012multi kill	+10.78%	Kill credit+9.75%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+1.08%	Phantom	4,450	1,050	4	741
SN0RLAX·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,300	250	0	0
Anonymous#81e48f·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Ares	3,350	150	0	0
Anonymous#fe8c86opening kill	+0.72%	Kill credit+3.27%Death debit-2.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.07%	Guardian	3,100	0	1	195
Anonymous#b2944a·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,800	100	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,800 · full
Anonymous#0652da·	-5.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.51%	Vandal	4,800	7,750	0	40
Anonymous#251018opening death traded	-3.01%	Kill credit+0.51%Death debit-3.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.30%	Vandal	4,050	9,000	0	0
Anonymous#da712eclutch lost trade	+2.01%	Kill credit+2.06%Death debit-0.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.20%	Vandal	4,750	7,400	1	120
Anonymous#ae53b3·	-1.60%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.16%	Vandal	4,600	8,950	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6·	-3.62%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.36%	Vandal	4,600	3,700	0	0

Round 13 focal side lost

Won byRed · defuseScore entering5–7Round leverage0.1934Leverage index1.20×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	28.0%	-1.04%
6.9s	Clock	—	28.4%	+0.36%
6.9s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → SN0RLAX	24.5%	-3.86%
8.4s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#da712e	28.3%	+3.78%
18.4s	Plant	Anonymous#543012	29.6%	+1.29%
20.7s	Clock	—	29.6%	+0.07%
20.7s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#ae53b3	33.6%	+3.95%
22.3s	Clock	—	33.6%	+0.05%
22.3s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#81e48f	28.6%	-5.03%
23.4s	Clock	—	28.6%	+0.03%
23.4s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#543012	24.0%	-4.63%
24.5s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#fe8c86	20.8%	-3.18%
31.1s	Clock	—	20.8%	+0.01%
31.1s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#b2944a	19.5%	-1.30%
38.7s	Defuse	Anonymous#0652da	19.4%	-0.13%
38.7s	Terminal	—	19.4%	·
Round total · 20 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			19.4%	-9.67%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 3,500 · eco
Anonymous#543012·	-2.92%	Kill credit+0.76%Death debit-4.63%Plant+1.29%Defuse·Alive clock+0.11%Centering-0.43%	Classic	550	250	0	104
SN0RLAXopening death traded	-4.37%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.86%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.58%	Classic	700	100	0	0
Anonymous#81e48ftrade	+2.10%	Kill credit+6.97%Death debit-5.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+0.07%	Classic	750	200	2	185
Anonymous#fe8c86·	-3.57%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.11%Centering-0.50%	Bandit	800	0	0	39
Anonymous#b2944aclutch lost	-1.47%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering-0.29%	Ghost	700	0	0	90
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 3,750 · eco
Anonymous#0652da·	+0.57%	Kill credit+0.64%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.13%Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.08%	Ghost	850	50	0	30
Anonymous#251018multi kill trade	+14.44%	Kill credit+13.25%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering+1.30%	Sheriff	800	0	4	636
Anonymous#da712eopening kill	-0.14%	Kill credit+3.86%Death debit-3.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.16%	Sheriff	1,050	0	1	159
Anonymous#ae53b3traded	-4.64%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.95%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.61%	Classic	250	550	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6·	<0.01%	Kill credit+0.26%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.14%	Ghost	800	0	0	0

Round 14 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering5–8Round leverage0.1611Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	15.8%	-3.55%
29.7s	Clock	—	16.0%	+0.16%
29.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → SN0RLAX	13.4%	-2.61%
35.0s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → Anonymous#543012	12.2%	-1.16%
38.4s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → Anonymous#81e48f	11.7%	-0.50%
39.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → Anonymous#b2944a	11.5%	-0.22%
50.0s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	11.4%	-0.15%
50.0s	Terminal	—	11.3%	-0.03%
Round total · 12 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			11.3%	-8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 4,800 · eco
Anonymous#543012·	-1.26%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.13%	Classic	950	2,050	0	0
SN0RLAXopening death	-2.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.29%	Ghost	1,600	1,150	0	0
Anonymous#81e48f·	-0.52%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.50%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.05%	Classic	1,150	2,250	0	104
Anonymous#fe8c86clutch lost	-0.13%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.01%	Bandit	800	1,600	0	178
Anonymous#b2944a·	-0.21%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.02%	Classic	300	1,900	0	0
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 9,550 · light
Anonymous#0652da·	+0.13%	Kill credit+0.15%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.01%	Marshal	3,300	900	1	159
Anonymous#251018·	+0.25%	Kill credit+0.26%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.03%	Sheriff	1,950	2,300	0	88
Anonymous#da712e·	-0.04%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering<0.01%	Sheriff	2,650	800	0	0
Anonymous#ae53b3·	+1.07%	Kill credit+0.99%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.11%	Classic	450	3,100	1	234
Anonymous#a935d6multi kill opening kill	+3.56%	Kill credit+3.24%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.36%	Ghost	1,200	2,300	3	180

Round 15 focal side lost

Won byRed · defuseScore entering5–9Round leverage0.1172Leverage index0.73×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	10.2%	-1.11%
14.5s	Clock	—	10.4%	+0.16%
14.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#ae53b3	12.4%	+2.06%
19.8s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → SN0RLAX	10.2%	-2.25%
25.6s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#81e48f	7.4%	-2.82%
27.2s	Plant	Anonymous#543012	8.2%	+0.79%
30.5s	Clock	—	8.4%	+0.19%
30.5s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#b2944a	6.6%	-1.76%
33.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → Anonymous#543012	5.8%	-0.80%
40.7s	Clock	—	5.8%	+0.04%
40.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → Anonymous#fe8c86	5.5%	-0.34%
44.7s	Defuse	Anonymous#251018	5.5%	-0.03%
44.7s	Terminal	—	5.5%	·
Round total · 18 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			5.5%	-5.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 17,750 · half
Anonymous#543012·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.80%Plant+0.79%Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering-0.08%	Stinger	2,050	2,650	0	148
SN0RLAXopening kill	-0.26%	Kill credit+2.06%Death debit-2.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.11%	Stinger	2,800	750	1	162
Anonymous#81e48f·	-3.19%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.82%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.40%	Phantom	4,650	350	0	117
Anonymous#fe8c86clutch lost	-0.32%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering-0.11%	Vandal	4,100	100	0	120
Anonymous#b2944a·	-1.94%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.76%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.28%	Vandal	4,150	150	0	80
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 20,050 · full
Anonymous#0652da·	+1.84%	Kill credit+1.83%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering+0.10%	Marshal	3,300	3,350	1	239
Anonymous#251018·	+5.47%	Kill credit+5.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.03%Alive clock-0.09%Centering+0.46%	Phantom	4,850	1,900	2	342
Anonymous#da712e·	-0.19%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.10%	Bulldog	4,700	350	0	19
Anonymous#ae53b3opening death	-2.42%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.32%	Bandit	2,300	4,600	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6·	+1.00%	Kill credit+1.08%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,900	1,500	2	228

Round 16 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering5–10Round leverage0.0703Leverage index0.44×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	4.4%	-1.11%
11.4s	Clock	—	4.5%	+0.12%
11.4s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#ae53b3	5.3%	+0.82%
21.2s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#b2944a	4.2%	-1.10%
22.3s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#a935d6	6.0%	+1.80%
22.6s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#81e48f	4.5%	-1.54%
23.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#da712e	6.6%	+2.14%
27.4s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → SN0RLAX	4.6%	-2.02%
31.2s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#543012	2.7%	-1.92%
33.4s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	2.0%	-0.67%
33.4s	Terminal	—	2.0%	-0.04%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			2.0%	-3.52%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 16,950 · half
Anonymous#543012·	-2.10%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.21%	Spectre	3,150	2,950	0	26
SN0RLAXtrade	+0.55%	Kill credit+2.50%Death debit-2.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.06%	Spectre	3,300	1,050	1	260
Anonymous#81e48ftraded	-0.09%	Kill credit+1.44%Death debit-1.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%	Ares	3,350	550	1	150
Anonymous#fe8c86clutch lost	-0.72%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	3,500	0	0	0
Anonymous#b2944aopening kill	-0.28%	Kill credit+0.82%Death debit-1.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.03%	Guardian	3,650	0	1	195
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 26,050 · full
Anonymous#0652damulti kill trade	+4.99%	Kill credit+4.51%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.50%	Vandal	5,600	5,200	3	394
Anonymous#251018·	+0.95%	Kill credit+0.88%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.09%	Phantom	5,200	3,950	1	39
Anonymous#da712etrade traded	-0.58%	Kill credit+1.64%Death debit-2.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.06%	Phantom	5,550	1,950	1	423
Anonymous#ae53b3opening death	-0.70%	Kill credit+0.22%Death debit-0.82%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	4,600	3,700	0	120
Anonymous#a935d6traded	-2.03%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.20%	Vandal	5,100	3,200	0	0

Round 17 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering5–11Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	1.5%	-0.50%
11.7s	Clock	—	1.5%	+0.05%
11.7s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → SN0RLAX	1.1%	-0.42%
20.9s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → Anonymous#fe8c86	0.8%	-0.34%
27.9s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#ae53b3	0.9%	+0.20%
34.0s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#b2944a	0.6%	-0.31%
37.2s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#81e48f	0.5%	-0.19%
37.8s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#543012	0.4%	-0.06%
37.8s	Terminal	—	0.4%	<0.01%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.4%	-1.56%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 17,200 · half
Anonymous#543012clutch lost	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,450	1,950	0	51
SN0RLAXopening death	-0.46%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.05%	Spectre	3,300	1,050	0	0
Anonymous#81e48f·	-0.02%	Kill credit+0.16%Death debit-0.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,350	650	1	88
Anonymous#fe8c86·	-0.32%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.03%	Guardian	3,100	0	0	65
Anonymous#b2944a·	-0.33%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.03%	Spectre	3,000	200	0	48
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 24,400 · full
Anonymous#0652da·	+0.39%	Kill credit+0.36%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	5,600	7,700	2	400
Anonymous#251018opening kill	+0.46%	Kill credit+0.42%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering+0.05%	Phantom	4,850	7,150	1	156
Anonymous#da712e·	+0.20%	Kill credit+0.19%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,750	1,050	1	204
Anonymous#ae53b3·	+0.15%	Kill credit+0.34%Death debit-0.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering+0.01%	Vandal	4,600	2,800	1	200
Anonymous#a935d6·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	1,800	0	0

Round 18 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering5–12Round leverage0.0078Leverage index0.05×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	0.3%	-0.14%
10.6s	Clock	—	0.3%	+0.01%
10.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#ae53b3	0.4%	+0.09%
17.9s	Kill	Anonymous#fe8c86 → Anonymous#a935d6	0.5%	+0.19%
21.1s	Plant	Anonymous#543012	0.6%	+0.05%
24.8s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#da712e	0.7%	+0.13%
34.9s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#251018	0.8%	+0.04%
40.6s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	0.8%	<0.01%
43.4s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#0652da	0.8%	+0.02%
43.4s	Terminal	—	0.8%	<0.01%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.8%	+0.39%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 16,650 · half
Anonymous#543012trade	+0.07%	Kill credit+0.01%Death debit·Plant+0.05%Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,150	2,000	1	53
SN0RLAXopening kill	+0.10%	Kill credit+0.09%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Bulldog	3,750	400	1	175
Anonymous#81e48f·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Guardian	4,000	350	0	0
Anonymous#fe8c86traded	+0.21%	Kill credit+0.19%Death debit<0.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.02%	Bulldog	2,950	150	1	274
Anonymous#b2944a·	+0.18%	Kill credit+0.17%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.01%	Spectre	2,800	100	2	311
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 26,350 · full
Anonymous#0652daclutch lost	-0.03%	Kill credit<0.01%Death debit-0.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	5,600	3,200	1	200
Anonymous#251018·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Phantom	5,000	5,600	0	35
Anonymous#da712e·	-0.16%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Operator	6,550	3,850	0	0
Anonymous#ae53b3opening death	-0.11%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,600	1,850	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6·	-0.22%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,600	3,300	0	0

Round 19 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering6–12Round leverage0.0156Leverage index0.10×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	0.8%	+0.02%
14.6s	Clock	—	0.8%	+0.03%
14.6s	Kill	Anonymous#0652da → Anonymous#fe8c86	0.5%	-0.30%
15.9s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#da712e	0.9%	+0.36%
18.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#0652da	1.2%	+0.34%
25.3s	Plant	Anonymous#543012	1.3%	+0.07%
25.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#251018	1.5%	+0.17%
32.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a935d6 → Anonymous#81e48f	1.4%	-0.09%
34.4s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → Anonymous#543012	1.1%	-0.32%
36.7s	Clock	—	1.1%	+0.02%
36.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#a935d6	1.4%	+0.36%
44.9s	Clock	—	1.5%	+0.02%
44.9s	Kill	Anonymous#ae53b3 → SN0RLAX	1.0%	-0.45%
46.7s	Clock	—	1.0%	+0.03%
46.7s	Revive	Anonymous#81e48f	1.5%	+0.42%
46.7s	Kill	Anonymous#81e48f → Anonymous#81e48f	1.0%	-0.42%
53.8s	Clock	—	1.1%	+0.11%
53.8s	Kill	Anonymous#b2944a → Anonymous#ae53b3	1.5%	+0.40%
53.8s	Terminal	—	1.6%	+0.01%
Round total · 26 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			1.6%	+0.78%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 23,200 · full
Anonymous#543012·	+0.39%	Kill credit+0.29%Death debit·Plant+0.07%Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.03%	Vandal	4,450	3,950	1	40
SN0RLAXmulti kill trade	+0.61%	Kill credit+0.55%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.05%	Vandal	4,600	3,400	3	434
Anonymous#81e48ftraded	-0.10%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,650	3,500	1	220
Anonymous#fe8c86opening death traded	-0.30%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	3,500	150	0	120
Anonymous#b2944aclutch won	+0.56%	Kill credit+0.40%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.11%Centering+0.05%	Operator	6,000	2,300	1	200
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 21,050 · full
Anonymous#0652daopening kill	-0.06%	Kill credit+0.30%Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	4,800	1,300	1	160
Anonymous#251018·	-0.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,400	3,250	0	0
Anonymous#da712e·	-0.41%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,750	1,600	0	40
Anonymous#ae53b3clutch lost	-0.58%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering-0.06%	Sheriff	2,500	1,950	2	338
Anonymous#a935d6·	+0.08%	Kill credit+0.09%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	1,100	1	280

Round 20 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering7–12Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	1.4%	-0.14%
7.0s	Clock	—	1.5%	+0.06%
7.0s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#fe8c86	0.9%	-0.55%
7.9s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → SN0RLAX	0.5%	-0.47%
8.9s	Kill	Anonymous#251018 → Anonymous#81e48f	0.2%	-0.28%
8.9s	Kill	Anonymous#543012 → Anonymous#251018	0.3%	+0.12%
15.1s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#543012	0.1%	-0.24%
16.8s	Kill	Anonymous#da712e → Anonymous#b2944a	0.0%	-0.06%
16.8s	Terminal	—	0.0%	<0.01%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.0%	-1.56%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 21,600 · full
Anonymous#543012trade	-0.12%	Kill credit+0.12%Death debit-0.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.01%	Phantom	4,450	3,250	1	189
SN0RLAXtraded	-0.51%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.47%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,600	2,700	0	0
Anonymous#81e48ftraded	-0.30%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,650	2,750	0	0
Anonymous#fe8c86opening death traded	-0.60%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.55%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.06%	Guardian	3,400	50	0	0
Anonymous#b2944aclutch lost	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,500	4,300	0	120
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 21,800 · full
Anonymous#0652da·	+0.04%	Kill credit+0.05%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,800	0	0	0
Anonymous#251018multi kill opening kill	+1.29%	Kill credit+1.30%Death debit-0.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering+0.13%	Vandal	4,400	1,750	3	480
Anonymous#da712e·	+0.27%	Kill credit+0.25%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering+0.03%	Vandal	4,400	0	2	320
Anonymous#ae53b3·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	400	0	0
Anonymous#a935d6·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	3,600	100	0	0