chronicaria/MWPA

All matches

Lotus, 13–7

July 22 · 20 rounds · TheMarias played for Blue, against Red.

Map
Lotus
Started
July 22
Score
13–7 for Blue
Result
won
Focal players
TheMarias
Lobby divisions
Iron 3 to Silver 1

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

398 nodes: 20 round start, 179 clock, 179 action, 20 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

WhoThe instrumentThe box score
NameAgentMWPAKDADamage
Blue · the side the four played on
Anonymous#7ddf23Reyna+38.54%23854,466
Anonymous#e3d3b3Sage+26.53%231233,778
TheMariasClove+12.53%181663,293
Anonymous#b993bcChamber-11.13%141822,480
Anonymous#2fe093Neon-27.54%51621,042
Red · opponents
Anonymous#89912cCypher+8.32%171543,461
Anonymous#20c419Phoenix+3.16%221763,765
Anonymous#46a785Fade+0.44%1615103,230
Anonymous#4d0f2cBrimstone-23.47%71781,229
Anonymous#b36a3fReyna-27.37%81951,592

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

  1. Round 16 · TheMarias · kill credit

    +6.56% match win probability points

    at 9–6
  2. Round 11 · TheMarias · kill credit

    +5.48% match win probability points

    at 5–5
  3. Round 7 · TheMarias · death debit

    -5.34% match win probability points

    at 2–4

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—50.3%+0.27%
2.5sClock—50.1%-0.20%
2.5sKillAnonymous#b36a3f → Anonymous#2fe09347.0%-3.03%
17.4sClock—47.0%-0.01%
17.4sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#4d0f2c50.1%+3.12%
18.9sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#b36a3f54.8%+4.69%
21.6sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#e3d3b350.9%-3.90%
27.7sKillAnonymous#20c419 → TheMarias46.8%-4.10%
27.9sPlantAnonymous#89912c45.7%-1.15%
29.5sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#46a78549.5%+3.85%
34.3sClock—49.4%-0.09%
34.3sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#7ddf2344.0%-5.41%
40.1sClock—44.0%-0.05%
40.1sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#20c41949.4%+5.38%
54.5sClock—47.7%-1.67%
54.5sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#b993bc42.2%-5.53%
54.5sTerminal—41.9%-0.22%
Round total · 22 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed41.9%-8.06%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 3,650 · eco
Anonymous#7ddf23·-1.61%Kill credit+4.16%Death debit-5.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.28%Ghost950501225
Anonymous#e3d3b3·+3.13%Kill credit+6.88%Death debit-3.90%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.20%Ghost80002315
TheMarias·-2.84%Kill credit+1.71%Death debit-4.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.40%Classic30065000
Anonymous#b993bcclutch lost-3.51%Kill credit+4.30%Death debit-5.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-1.81%Centering-0.47%Ghost8000146
Anonymous#2fe093opening death-3.54%Kill credit·Death debit-3.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.47%Sheriff800000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 3,750 · eco
Anonymous#89912cclutch won+8.05%Kill credit+4.42%Death debit·Plant+1.15%Defuse·Alive clock+1.79%Centering+0.69%Ghost5003001181
Anonymous#20c419multi kill trade+9.29%Kill credit+13.74%Death debit-5.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.11%Centering+0.81%Classic8502003379
Anonymous#46a785traded-4.36%Kill credit·Death debit-3.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.55%Classic650150048
Anonymous#4d0f2ctraded-2.68%Kill credit+0.78%Death debit-3.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.38%Classic75015000
Anonymous#b36a3fopening kill traded-1.92%Kill credit+3.03%Death debit-4.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.31%Sheriff1,00001145

Round 2 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–1Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—38.3%-3.66%
21.1sClock—38.2%-0.06%
21.1sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#b993bc36.7%-1.52%
28.6sPlantAnonymous#20c41936.2%-0.45%
34.9sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#7ddf2335.3%-0.96%
35.3sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#2fe09334.5%-0.78%
38.4sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#b36a3f34.8%+0.32%
52.7sClock—34.7%-0.11%
52.7sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#e3d3b334.2%-0.49%
55.1sClock—34.2%-0.01%
55.1sKillAnonymous#89912c → TheMarias33.9%-0.27%
55.1sTerminal—33.9%-0.04%
Round total · 16 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed33.9%-8.06%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 2,800 · eco
Anonymous#7ddf23·-1.14%Kill credit·Death debit-0.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.16%Classic2002,15000
Anonymous#e3d3b3·-0.32%Kill credit+0.32%Death debit-0.49%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.08%Classic1,1001,2001159
TheMariasclutch lost-0.44%Kill credit·Death debit-0.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.09%Classic1502,550078
Anonymous#b993bcopening death-1.75%Kill credit·Death debit-1.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.22%Classic4001,70000
Anonymous#2fe093·-0.93%Kill credit·Death debit-0.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.14%Frenzy950950078
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 9,700 · light
Anonymous#89912copening kill+1.99%Kill credit+1.79%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.15%Sheriff1,5003,1002220
Anonymous#20c419·+2.12%Kill credit+1.45%Death debit·Plant+0.45%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.17%Spectre3,1001,8502230
Anonymous#46a785·+0.86%Kill credit+0.78%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.04%Guardian3,3501001130
Anonymous#4d0f2c·<0.01%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.05%Classic7502,80000
Anonymous#b36a3f·-0.39%Kill credit·Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.08%Sheriff1,0002,70000

Round 3 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–2Round leverage0.1542Leverage index0.96×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—31.9%-1.95%
4.6sClock—31.7%-0.24%
4.6sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#b993bc29.5%-2.16%
22.0sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#b36a3f32.5%+2.97%
22.6sPlantAnonymous#4d0f2c31.4%-1.07%
29.0sClock—31.3%-0.10%
29.0sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#2fe09328.9%-2.48%
33.1sClock—28.8%-0.07%
33.1sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#e3d3b327.3%-1.46%
33.8sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#20c41928.8%+1.48%
44.5sClock—28.3%-0.48%
44.5sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#7ddf2326.7%-1.65%
50.6sClock—26.6%-0.08%
50.6sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#4d0f2c27.2%+0.56%
55.8sClock—26.9%-0.31%
55.8sKillAnonymous#89912c → TheMarias26.2%-0.63%
55.8sTerminal—26.2%-0.05%
Round total · 20 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed26.2%-7.71%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,400 · half
Anonymous#7ddf23·-0.68%Kill credit+1.48%Death debit-1.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.34%Centering-0.17%Vandal4,5502001160
Anonymous#e3d3b3·+1.46%Kill credit+2.97%Death debit-1.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering+0.04%Spectre2,7001,5001175
TheMariasclutch lost-1.00%Kill credit+0.56%Death debit-0.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.73%Centering-0.21%Vandal4,6504501160
Anonymous#b993bcopening death-2.57%Kill credit·Death debit-2.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.36%Vandal4,100000
Anonymous#2fe093·-2.95%Kill credit·Death debit-2.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.40%Ghost1,4002,45000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,650 · full
Anonymous#89912cmulti kill opening kill+6.08%Kill credit+5.14%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.43%Centering+0.50%Operator5,5002,1003450
Anonymous#20c419·-1.30%Kill credit+0.33%Death debit-1.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.24%Phantom5,2002,6500105
Anonymous#46a785·+3.52%Kill credit+2.84%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.43%Centering+0.24%Guardian3,9501,9002488
Anonymous#4d0f2c·+0.82%Kill credit+0.06%Death debit-0.56%Plant+1.07%Defuse·Alive clock+0.28%Centering-0.02%Spectre3,2005,050052
Anonymous#b36a3f·-3.37%Kill credit·Death debit-2.97%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.44%Vandal4,8001,40000

Round 4 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–3Round leverage0.1402Leverage index0.87×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—22.8%-3.35%
7.2sClock—22.7%-0.11%
7.2sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#b993bc21.6%-1.06%
16.6sKillAnonymous#4d0f2c → TheMarias20.6%-1.09%
17.3sKillAnonymous#2fe093 → Anonymous#89912c21.2%+0.66%
22.7sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#7ddf2320.2%-0.98%
33.3sPlantAnonymous#46a78520.0%-0.28%
56.2sClock—19.8%-0.13%
56.2sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#e3d3b319.4%-0.40%
62.1sClock—19.4%-0.03%
62.1sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#2fe09319.2%-0.21%
62.6sReviveAnonymous#e3d3b319.4%+0.16%
62.6sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#20c41919.4%+0.08%
64.7sClock—19.4%-0.04%
64.7sKillAnonymous#b36a3f → Anonymous#b993bc19.2%-0.19%
64.7sTerminal—19.2%-0.03%
Round total · 22 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed19.2%-7.01%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 12,900 · half
Anonymous#7ddf23·-0.02%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%Sheriff1,8501,6500147
Anonymous#e3d3b3·-0.02%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%Spectre3,3001,70000
TheMarias·-0.02%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%Vandal3,50020000
Anonymous#b993bcclutch lost opening death trade-1.47%Kill credit·Death debit-1.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.15%Classic1,1501,7501205
Anonymous#2fe093clutch lost traded-0.02%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%Ares3,1002,7501165
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 24,800 · full
Anonymous#89912copening kill+1.21%Kill credit+1.06%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.12%Operator6,0005,3001251
Anonymous#20c419multi kill traded+0.05%Kill credit+0.02%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%Phantom4,7502,0503450
Anonymous#46a785·+0.06%Kill credit+0.02%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering<0.01%Vandal4,6004,900080
Anonymous#4d0f2c·+0.04%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering<0.01%Vandal4,6503,8001137
Anonymous#b36a3ftrade+0.21%Kill credit+0.15%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.02%Vandal4,8005501160

Round 5 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering0–4Round leverage0.1201Leverage index0.75×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—18.0%-1.14%
2.4sClock—17.8%-0.19%
2.4sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#b36a3f20.9%+3.12%
4.7sKillAnonymous#46a785 → TheMarias18.2%-2.71%
8.9sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#4d0f2c21.5%+3.25%
11.1sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#b993bc19.3%-2.20%
20.6sClock—19.3%+0.03%
20.6sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#89912c22.6%+3.30%
23.1sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#e3d3b319.3%-3.28%
23.2sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#46a78523.4%+4.04%
29.8sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#20c41925.1%+1.73%
29.8sTerminal—25.2%+0.06%
Round total · 18 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed25.2%+6.01%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 19,000 · half
Anonymous#7ddf23·+6.38%Kill credit+5.77%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.64%Vandal4,8004002280
Anonymous#e3d3b3·<0.01%Kill credit+3.30%Death debit-3.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering<0.01%Vandal4,60001240
TheMariasopening kill+0.41%Kill credit+3.12%Death debit-2.71%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.04%Guardian3,400501195
Anonymous#b993bc·+1.13%Kill credit+3.25%Death debit-2.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.11%Classic1,8003,1501255
Anonymous#2fe093·-0.03%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering<0.01%Vandal4,4001,95000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 24,900 · full
Anonymous#89912ctrade traded-1.19%Kill credit+2.20%Death debit-3.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.12%Phantom4,3004,3001150
Anonymous#20c419clutch lost trade+1.75%Kill credit+3.28%Death debit-1.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.18%Phantom4,7501,6001220
Anonymous#46a785trade-1.45%Kill credit+2.71%Death debit-4.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.15%Phantom4,6006,5001140
Anonymous#4d0f2ctraded-3.57%Kill credit·Death debit-3.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.36%Vandal4,6506,65000
Anonymous#b36a3fopening death traded-3.42%Kill credit·Death debit-3.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.34%Operator6,6003,55000

Round 6 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering1–4Round leverage0.1442Leverage index0.90×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—26.4%+1.25%
1.9sClock—26.2%-0.26%
1.9sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#46a78528.5%+2.34%
4.8sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#89912c30.5%+2.03%
11.3sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#b36a3f31.7%+1.18%
14.8sKillAnonymous#4d0f2c → Anonymous#b993bc31.3%-0.47%
37.3sClock—31.3%+0.01%
37.3sPlantAnonymous#20c41930.9%-0.35%
48.9sClock—30.8%-0.15%
48.9sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#4d0f2c32.0%+1.26%
59.4sClock—31.9%-0.13%
59.4sKillAnonymous#20c419 → TheMarias31.3%-0.57%
61.9sClock—31.0%-0.28%
61.9sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#20c41932.3%+1.25%
63.9sClock—32.3%-0.03%
63.9sDefuseAnonymous#2fe09332.4%+0.12%
63.9sTerminal—32.4%·
Round total · 20 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed32.4%+7.21%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 22,500 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23trade+2.50%Kill credit+2.51%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.22%Centering+0.21%Phantom4,8002,1002507
Anonymous#e3d3b3·-0.29%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.22%Centering-0.07%Spectre3,30060000
TheMariastraded-0.81%Kill credit·Death debit-0.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.12%Vandal3,50035000
Anonymous#b993bcmulti kill opening kill+5.54%Kill credit+5.55%Death debit-0.47%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.51%Operator6,5002,4503450
Anonymous#2fe093·-0.16%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.12%Alive clock-0.22%Centering-0.06%Vandal4,4003,95000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 19,900 · half
Anonymous#89912c·-2.24%Kill credit·Death debit-2.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.27%Phantom4,0002,10000
Anonymous#20c419clutch lost+0.17%Kill credit+0.57%Death debit-1.25%Plant+0.35%Defuse·Alive clock+0.53%Centering-0.03%Classic1,8502,4501195
Anonymous#46a785opening death-2.59%Kill credit·Death debit-2.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.30%Vandal4,6004,70000
Anonymous#4d0f2ctrade-0.90%Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-1.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering-0.13%Vandal4,6504,550123
Anonymous#b36a3ftraded-1.20%Kill credit+0.09%Death debit-1.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.16%Vandal4,8001,5500127

Round 7 focal side lost

Won byRed · detonateScore entering2–4Round leverage0.1669Leverage index1.04×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—32.7%+0.28%
5.6sClock—32.3%-0.40%
5.6sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#89912c35.8%+3.50%
5.8sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#4d0f2c38.1%+2.29%
10.4sClock—38.1%+0.01%
10.4sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#46a78539.7%+1.66%
12.6sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#2fe09339.0%-0.69%
19.1sKillAnonymous#b36a3f → Anonymous#e3d3b337.2%-1.88%
21.9sClock—37.2%+0.01%
21.9sKillAnonymous#b36a3f → Anonymous#7ddf2333.1%-4.12%
43.3sClock—33.1%+0.02%
43.3sPlantAnonymous#b36a3f31.6%-1.48%
50.5sClock—31.4%-0.17%
50.5sKillAnonymous#20c419 → TheMarias26.1%-5.34%
75.5sClock—25.0%-1.11%
75.5sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#b36a3f28.0%+3.03%
88.3sClock—25.8%-2.24%
88.3sDetonate—25.8%·
88.3sTerminal—24.0%-1.72%
Round total · 22 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed24.0%-8.35%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 24,050 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23·-2.28%Kill credit+2.29%Death debit-4.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.38%Phantom4,8004,8001140
Anonymous#e3d3b3opening kill+3.39%Kill credit+5.16%Death debit-1.88%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.19%Phantom4,6007002381
TheMarias·-6.26%Kill credit·Death debit-5.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.15%Centering-0.77%Outlaw3,55015000
Anonymous#b993bcclutch lost+1.81%Kill credit+3.03%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-1.26%Centering+0.03%Operator6,7004,8501159
Anonymous#2fe093·-1.01%Kill credit·Death debit-0.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.25%Vandal4,4006,75000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 23,250 · full
Anonymous#89912copening death-3.96%Kill credit·Death debit-3.50%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.54%Operator4,80010000
Anonymous#20c419clutch won+6.12%Kill credit+4.96%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.70%Centering+0.46%Phantom4,4001,5502273
Anonymous#46a785·-1.92%Kill credit·Death debit-1.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.34%Vandal4,6003,50000
Anonymous#4d0f2c·-2.62%Kill credit·Death debit-2.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.41%Vandal4,6503,10000
Anonymous#b36a3f·+6.74%Kill credit+7.07%Death debit-3.03%Plant+1.48%Defuse·Alive clock+0.70%Centering+0.53%Vandal4,8001002441

Round 8 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering2–5Round leverage0.1484Leverage index0.92×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—24.6%+0.61%
11.5sClock—24.3%-0.33%
11.5sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#b36a3f26.9%+2.63%
22.1sClock—27.0%+0.03%
22.1sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#b993bc23.1%-3.85%
24.3sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#46a78527.3%+4.15%
27.5sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#89912c29.9%+2.63%
30.9sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#20c41931.2%+1.26%
35.0sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#4d0f2c31.4%+0.27%
35.0sTerminal—31.5%+0.03%
Round total · 14 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed31.5%+7.42%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,700 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23trade+3.62%Kill credit+3.32%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.36%Vandal4,8002,5001160
Anonymous#e3d3b3·+2.22%Kill credit+2.06%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.22%Spectre3,3001002390
TheMarias·+3.19%Kill credit+2.93%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.32%Stinger2,5001501172
Anonymous#b993bcopening kill traded-1.43%Kill credit+2.63%Death debit-3.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.14%Operator6,7005,8501150
Anonymous#2fe093·-0.07%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering<0.01%Vandal4,4004,75000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 20,950 · full
Anonymous#89912c·-2.85%Kill credit·Death debit-2.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.29%Phantom3,40010000
Anonymous#20c419·-1.33%Kill credit·Death debit-1.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.13%Phantom4,7504,000078
Anonymous#46a785·-0.27%Kill credit+3.85%Death debit-4.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.03%Vandal4,6002,9001200
Anonymous#4d0f2cclutch lost-0.24%Kill credit·Death debit-0.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.02%Vandal4,6502,30000
Anonymous#b36a3fopening death-2.85%Kill credit·Death debit-2.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.28%Vandal3,55045000

Round 9 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering3–5Round leverage0.1746Leverage index1.08×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—36.8%+5.40%
9.1sClock—36.7%-0.17%
9.1sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#89912c37.8%+1.11%
14.7sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#e3d3b335.8%-2.02%
21.4sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#4d0f2c37.8%+1.99%
23.3sKillAnonymous#b36a3f → TheMarias34.5%-3.27%
24.8sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#2fe09329.8%-4.74%
35.8sReviveTheMarias34.9%+5.11%
35.8sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#b36a3f37.6%+2.72%
49.0sPlantAnonymous#46a78536.6%-1.01%
55.9sClock—36.5%-0.10%
55.9sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#20c41939.2%+2.74%
59.5sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#b993bc37.3%-1.88%
70.4sClock—36.6%-0.69%
70.4sDefuseTheMarias40.2%+3.54%
70.4sTerminal—40.2%·
Round total · 24 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed40.2%+8.73%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 25,150 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23·-0.96%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.41%Centering-0.55%Vandal4,8005,25000
Anonymous#e3d3b3opening kill-1.55%Kill credit+1.11%Death debit-2.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.61%Phantom4,6001,8001135
TheMariasmulti kill+1.54%Kill credit+1.99%Death debit-3.27%Plant·Defuse+3.54%Alive clock-0.41%Centering-0.30%Vandal4,6502,2003492
Anonymous#b993bc·+0.38%Kill credit+2.74%Death debit-1.88%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.42%Operator6,7003,1001150
Anonymous#2fe093·-0.54%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.51%Vandal4,4007,75000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 8,250 · light
Anonymous#89912copening death-1.70%Kill credit·Death debit-1.11%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.62%Classic1001,90000
Anonymous#20c419traded-1.24%Kill credit+1.99%Death debit-2.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.58%Spectre3,4503,0502351
Anonymous#46a785clutch lost trade+3.73%Kill credit+2.03%Death debit·Plant+1.01%Defuse·Alive clock+0.77%Centering-0.08%Spectre3,3001,7001277
Anonymous#4d0f2ctraded-2.09%Kill credit+0.53%Death debit-1.99%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.66%Classic7503,80000
Anonymous#b36a3ftrade+2.44%Kill credit+2.62%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.21%Classic6502,350126

Round 10 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering4–5Round leverage0.1964Leverage index1.22×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—40.3%+0.08%
5.9sClock—39.8%-0.46%
5.9sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#89912c43.8%+3.96%
6.0sKillAnonymous#46a785 → TheMarias38.6%-5.13%
9.8sClock—38.6%-0.01%
9.8sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#b36a3f44.1%+5.48%
15.7sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#2fe09338.9%-5.21%
18.4sKillAnonymous#4d0f2c → Anonymous#b993bc34.5%-4.37%
22.2sClock—34.5%+0.01%
22.2sPlantAnonymous#46a78533.6%-0.90%
22.9sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#20c41938.9%+5.23%
27.3sClock—38.7%-0.22%
27.3sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#46a78546.0%+7.36%
29.3sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#4d0f2c49.8%+3.83%
41.2sDefuseAnonymous#7ddf2350.0%+0.16%
41.2sTerminal—50.0%·
Round total · 22 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed50.0%+9.82%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 22,250 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23·+4.09%Kill credit+3.83%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.16%Alive clock-0.20%Centering+0.30%Vandal4,8007,7501160
Anonymous#e3d3b3·+13.66%Kill credit+12.59%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.20%Centering+1.26%Phantom4,6008002429
TheMariasopening kill-1.52%Kill credit+3.96%Death debit-5.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.26%Operator6,4504,2001150
Anonymous#b993bc·+1.02%Kill credit+5.48%Death debit-4.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering<0.01%Classic2,0005,3001150
Anonymous#2fe093·-6.01%Kill credit·Death debit-5.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.71%Vandal4,4005,10000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,800 · full
Anonymous#89912copening death traded-4.41%Kill credit·Death debit-3.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.55%Phantom4,20050000
Anonymous#20c419·-5.83%Kill credit·Death debit-5.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.69%Phantom4,7502,25000
Anonymous#46a785trade+5.38%Kill credit+11.22%Death debit-7.36%Plant+0.90%Defuse·Alive clock+0.20%Centering+0.43%Vandal4,60002502
Anonymous#4d0f2cclutch lost-0.27%Kill credit+3.49%Death debit-3.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.20%Centering-0.13%Vandal4,6501,9501114
Anonymous#b36a3f·-6.10%Kill credit·Death debit-5.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering-0.72%Vandal4,60085000

Round 11 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering5–5Round leverage0.2095Leverage index1.30×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—52.4%+2.36%
4.1sClock—52.0%-0.36%
4.1sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#b993bc47.1%-4.92%
5.5sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#b36a3f51.4%+4.27%
10.4sClock—51.3%-0.01%
10.4sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#2fe09346.2%-5.14%
41.6sClock—46.2%-0.03%
41.6sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#46a78551.7%+5.48%
48.3sPlantAnonymous#20c41949.3%-2.34%
54.2sClock—49.0%-0.27%
54.2sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#4d0f2c55.0%+5.97%
66.8sClock—53.9%-1.13%
66.8sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#89912c58.9%+5.03%
71.1sClock—58.4%-0.55%
71.1sReviveAnonymous#e3d3b359.4%+1.02%
71.1sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#2fe09358.4%-1.02%
72.9sClock—58.2%-0.19%
72.9sKillAnonymous#20c419 → TheMarias55.0%-3.15%
73.0sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#20c41960.2%+5.24%
83.5sClock—57.7%-2.52%
83.5sDefuseAnonymous#7ddf2360.5%+2.75%
83.5sTerminal—60.5%·
Round total · 26 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed60.5%+10.47%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 24,950 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23multi kill trade+12.03%Kill credit+9.50%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+2.75%Alive clock-1.40%Centering+1.18%Vandal4,8004,4003520
Anonymous#e3d3b3·-1.58%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-1.40%Centering-0.18%Phantom4,6003,20000
TheMariastraded-3.69%Kill credit·Death debit-3.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.14%Centering-0.39%Phantom4,6503,3502429
Anonymous#b993bcopening death-5.57%Kill credit·Death debit-4.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.58%Operator6,5007,50000
Anonymous#2fe093traded-5.82%Kill credit·Death debit-5.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.61%Vandal4,4004,20000
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 20,200 · full
Anonymous#89912copening kill+6.22%Kill credit+5.55%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering+0.60%Guardian3,5504501325
Anonymous#20c419clutch lost-2.74%Kill credit+2.52%Death debit-5.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.27%Centering-0.30%Guardian4,1002,0502325
Anonymous#46a785·+5.77%Kill credit+5.14%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering+0.55%Guardian3,7001001195
Anonymous#4d0f2c·+0.06%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.02%Vandal4,650800040
Anonymous#b36a3f·-4.69%Kill credit·Death debit-4.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.49%Vandal4,20055000

Round 12 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering6–5Round leverage0.2095Leverage index1.30×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—62.4%+1.91%
6.2sClock—62.0%-0.36%
6.2sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#89912c65.2%+3.15%
11.4sKillAnonymous#b36a3f → Anonymous#b993bc61.4%-3.75%
13.8sKillAnonymous#2fe093 → Anonymous#b36a3f66.4%+4.96%
18.0sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#2fe09361.5%-4.86%
21.2sClock—61.5%+0.01%
21.2sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#46a78566.7%+5.20%
23.8sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#4d0f2c69.9%+3.20%
30.1sKillAnonymous#20c419 → TheMarias67.8%-2.19%
34.0sReviveTheMarias70.0%+2.21%
34.0sKillAnonymous#20c419 → TheMarias67.8%-2.18%
34.2sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#20c41970.8%+3.07%
34.2sTerminal—70.9%+0.11%
Round total · 22 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed70.9%+10.47%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 25,750 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23·-0.08%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering<0.01%Vandal4,8006,30000
Anonymous#e3d3b3trade+3.33%Kill credit+3.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.33%Vandal4,6005,9001200
TheMariastrade traded+5.67%Kill credit+7.36%Death debit-2.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.57%Vandal4,6502,2502200
Anonymous#b993bcopening kill traded-0.74%Kill credit+3.15%Death debit-3.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.07%Operator7,3002,3001255
Anonymous#2fe093trade traded+1.19%Kill credit+6.00%Death debit-4.86%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.12%Vandal4,4003,0001354
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 20,650 · full
Anonymous#89912copening death-3.42%Kill credit·Death debit-3.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.34%Phantom3,60025000
Anonymous#20c419clutch lost-0.90%Kill credit+2.19%Death debit-3.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.09%Phantom5,0501,4502195
Anonymous#46a785trade+0.11%Kill credit+5.23%Death debit-5.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.01%Guardian3,50001269
Anonymous#4d0f2c·-3.06%Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-3.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.31%Vandal4,30050080
Anonymous#b36a3ftraded-2.10%Kill credit+3.00%Death debit-4.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.21%Vandal4,200450180

Round 13 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering7–5Round leverage0.1934Leverage index1.20×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—71.2%+0.27%
2.1sClock—71.3%+0.12%
2.1sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#46a78574.8%+3.42%
14.2sClock—74.9%+0.12%
14.2sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#4d0f2c77.6%+2.69%
15.8sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#b993bc75.9%-1.66%
23.4sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#20c41978.5%+2.60%
24.5sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#b36a3f79.8%+1.27%
29.7sPlantAnonymous#2fe09380.0%+0.23%
40.1sClock—80.0%+0.01%
40.1sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#89912c80.5%+0.53%
40.1sTerminal—80.6%+0.07%
Round total · 16 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed80.6%+9.67%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 3,750 · eco
Anonymous#7ddf23·+2.34%Kill credit+2.08%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.21%Ghost9001001135
Anonymous#e3d3b3·+2.03%Kill credit+1.80%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.18%Ghost80002245
TheMarias·+3.60%Kill credit+3.21%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.34%Ghost6503001165
Anonymous#b993bcopening kill+1.99%Kill credit+3.42%Death debit-1.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.18%Classic60001159
Anonymous#2fe093·+0.28%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.23%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%Ghost800000
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 3,200 · eco
Anonymous#89912cclutch lost-0.69%Kill credit·Death debit-0.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.09%Classic0200052
Anonymous#20c419·-1.50%Kill credit+1.33%Death debit-2.60%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.17%Classic8502001130
Anonymous#46a785opening death-3.86%Kill credit·Death debit-3.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.41%Classic60020000
Anonymous#4d0f2c·-2.71%Kill credit+0.33%Death debit-2.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.29%Classic75015000
Anonymous#b36a3f·-1.50%Kill credit·Death debit-1.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.17%Sheriff1,0000055

Round 14 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering8–5Round leverage0.1611Leverage index1.00×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—84.8%+4.21%
18.5sClock—84.9%+0.10%
18.5sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#46a78586.4%+1.43%
25.4sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#4d0f2c87.3%+0.94%
34.6sPlantAnonymous#2fe09387.6%+0.26%
36.9sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#20c41988.2%+0.62%
38.3sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#b36a3f88.5%+0.28%
47.6sKillAnonymous#2fe093 → Anonymous#89912c88.6%+0.17%
47.6sTerminal—88.7%+0.03%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed88.7%+8.06%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 12,200 · light
Anonymous#7ddf23opening kill+2.49%Kill credit+2.24%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.22%Spectre3,7505502378
Anonymous#e3d3b3·+1.09%Kill credit+0.98%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.08%Sheriff1,9002,600295
TheMarias·<0.01%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.03%Stinger3,3501,10000
Anonymous#b993bc·+0.06%Kill credit+0.06%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.02%Sheriff1,2002,700096
Anonymous#2fe093·+0.47%Kill credit+0.17%Death debit·Plant+0.26%Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.02%Ghost2,0002,1001120
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 4,100 · eco
Anonymous#89912cclutch lost-0.25%Kill credit·Death debit-0.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.05%Classic01,5000130
Anonymous#20c419·-0.74%Kill credit·Death debit-0.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.10%Ghost1,7501,40000
Anonymous#46a785opening death-1.64%Kill credit·Death debit-1.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.19%Classic6001,700052
Anonymous#4d0f2c·-1.10%Kill credit·Death debit-0.94%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.14%Classic7501,650079
Anonymous#b36a3f·-0.36%Kill credit·Death debit-0.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.06%Sheriff1,0001,10000

Round 15 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering9–5Round leverage0.1172Leverage index0.73×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—89.3%+0.67%
18.5sClock—89.5%+0.12%
18.5sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#b993bc87.0%-2.45%
18.8sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#4d0f2c89.1%+2.09%
21.1sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#b36a3f91.3%+2.18%
23.1sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#2fe09388.0%-3.30%
30.5sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#7ddf2384.7%-3.31%
32.0sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#e3d3b383.3%-1.35%
52.4sKillAnonymous#89912c → TheMarias82.8%-0.46%
52.4sTerminal—82.8%-0.03%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed82.8%-5.86%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 14,450 · half
Anonymous#7ddf23·-1.72%Kill credit+1.75%Death debit-3.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.17%Spectre4,0002,550152
Anonymous#e3d3b3·-0.99%Kill credit+0.44%Death debit-1.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.10%Sheriff1,9005,8000110
TheMariasclutch lost+1.84%Kill credit+2.09%Death debit-0.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.18%Stinger2,9504,4001184
Anonymous#b993bcopening death-2.70%Kill credit·Death debit-2.45%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.27%Sheriff2,0004,80000
Anonymous#2fe093·-3.64%Kill credit·Death debit-3.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.36%Spectre3,6003,0000106
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 12,850 · half
Anonymous#89912cmulti kill opening kill+8.10%Kill credit+7.31%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.81%Phantom3,90004741
Anonymous#20c419·+3.64%Kill credit+3.30%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.36%Spectre3,1001,3001169
Anonymous#46a785·-0.02%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%Vandal4,10020000
Anonymous#4d0f2c·-2.35%Kill credit·Death debit-2.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.24%Classic7503,40003
Anonymous#b36a3f·-2.15%Kill credit+0.27%Death debit-2.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.22%Sheriff1,0002,700055

Round 16 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering9–6Round leverage0.1641Leverage index1.02×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—82.8%-0.05%
15.9sClock—83.1%+0.38%
15.9sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#2fe09379.9%-3.24%
21.3sClock—79.9%-0.02%
21.3sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#89912c82.8%+2.90%
23.9sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#20c41986.6%+3.84%
28.4sKillAnonymous#4d0f2c → Anonymous#7ddf2382.2%-4.40%
37.4sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#46a78587.0%+4.81%
37.7sKillAnonymous#b36a3f → Anonymous#b993bc81.6%-5.41%
38.7sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#b36a3f88.2%+6.56%
44.7sClock—88.1%-0.01%
44.7sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#4d0f2c90.9%+2.77%
44.7sTerminal—91.0%+0.10%
Round total · 18 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed91.0%+8.20%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 23,050 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23·-0.54%Kill credit+3.84%Death debit-4.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.05%Vandal4,800501160
Anonymous#e3d3b3·+3.29%Kill credit+2.90%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.33%Spectre3,3005,1001162
TheMariastrade+10.43%Kill credit+9.33%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+1.04%Phantom4,6502,2002356
Anonymous#b993bctraded-0.60%Kill credit+4.81%Death debit-5.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.06%Operator5,9001,0001255
Anonymous#2fe093opening death-3.51%Kill credit·Death debit-3.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.35%Vandal4,4001,00000
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 22,700 · full
Anonymous#89912copening kill-0.42%Kill credit+2.59%Death debit-2.90%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.04%Phantom3,9002,2001311
Anonymous#20c419traded-3.37%Kill credit+0.88%Death debit-3.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.34%Spectre4,2503,0500130
Anonymous#46a785traded-4.21%Kill credit+1.08%Death debit-4.81%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.42%Vandal5,1002,500040
Anonymous#4d0f2cclutch lost trade+1.49%Kill credit+4.17%Death debit-2.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.15%Vandal4,6501,8501160
Anonymous#b36a3ftrade-2.55%Kill credit+4.33%Death debit-6.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.26%Vandal4,8001,1001280

Round 17 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering10–6Round leverage0.1094Leverage index0.68×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—91.1%+0.06%
5.6sClock—91.2%+0.10%
5.6sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#b993bc88.5%-2.68%
19.8sClock—88.5%-0.01%
19.8sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#e3d3b386.5%-1.96%
22.5sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#20c41987.8%+1.26%
36.2sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#4d0f2c90.6%+2.87%
37.4sKillAnonymous#2fe093 → Anonymous#b36a3f93.2%+2.57%
37.4sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#2fe09390.4%-2.80%
43.0sClock—90.4%-0.01%
43.0sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#46a78594.3%+3.90%
69.0sClock—94.2%-0.05%
69.0sPlantAnonymous#7ddf2394.9%+0.70%
94.7sClock—95.4%+0.49%
94.7sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#89912c96.4%+0.99%
94.7sTerminal—96.5%+0.06%
Round total · 20 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed96.5%+5.47%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 17,800 · half
Anonymous#7ddf23·+6.38%Kill credit+4.88%Death debit·Plant+0.70%Defuse·Alive clock+0.23%Centering+0.57%Marshal2,8506002397
Anonymous#e3d3b3traded-2.24%Kill credit·Death debit-1.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.29%Spectre3,3005,50000
TheMariastrade+4.77%Kill credit+4.13%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.23%Centering+0.41%Vandal3,3005,6002360
Anonymous#b993bcopening death-3.03%Kill credit·Death debit-2.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.37%Operator6,0003,10000
Anonymous#2fe093·-0.32%Kill credit+2.57%Death debit-2.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.10%Bucky2,3501,8501104
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 17,350 · half
Anonymous#89912cclutch lost-0.94%Kill credit+0.67%Death debit-0.99%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.46%Centering-0.16%Phantom3,700400075
Anonymous#20c419·+0.24%Kill credit+1.57%Death debit-1.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.05%Phantom4,7501,0501195
Anonymous#46a785opening kill trade+1.05%Kill credit+4.92%Death debit-3.90%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.04%Guardian3,9504502273
Anonymous#4d0f2c·-3.28%Kill credit·Death debit-2.87%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.40%Vandal4,050000
Anonymous#b36a3ftraded-2.64%Kill credit+0.28%Death debit-2.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.33%Ghost9002,700065

Round 18 focal side lost

Won byRed · defuseScore entering11–6Round leverage0.0547Leverage index0.34×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—97.7%+1.25%
15.8sClock—97.8%+0.04%
15.8sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#20c41998.3%+0.51%
31.9sKillAnonymous#b36a3f → TheMarias97.3%-0.94%
36.8sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#e3d3b395.6%-1.78%
39.2sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#b993bc94.5%-1.06%
39.3sPlantAnonymous#2fe09394.8%+0.25%
42.3sReviveTheMarias96.4%+1.62%
42.3sKillAnonymous#89912c → TheMarias94.8%-1.62%
47.7sClock—94.8%+0.02%
47.7sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#7ddf2394.0%-0.80%
62.0sClock—94.1%+0.09%
62.0sKillAnonymous#2fe093 → Anonymous#b36a3f94.7%+0.58%
62.4sClock—94.8%+0.11%
62.4sKillAnonymous#46a785 → Anonymous#2fe09393.8%-0.98%
81.3sClock—95.7%+1.91%
81.3sDefuseAnonymous#4d0f2c93.8%-1.95%
81.3sTerminal—93.8%·
Round total · 24 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed93.8%-2.73%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 19,900 · half
Anonymous#7ddf23·-0.87%Kill credit·Death debit-0.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.09%Vandal4,8003,850015
Anonymous#e3d3b3opening kill+0.46%Kill credit+0.41%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.04%Odin4,9004,1001152
TheMarias·-0.80%Kill credit+0.22%Death debit-0.94%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.08%Phantom4,6507,6500218
Anonymous#b993bc·<0.01%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%Classic2,0004,70000
Anonymous#2fe093clutch lost-0.33%Kill credit+0.47%Death debit-0.98%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.22%Centering-0.04%Bulldog3,5502,1001115
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 11,550 · light
Anonymous#89912c·-0.62%Kill credit+0.16%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.71%Centering-0.07%Marshal9501,5502404
Anonymous#20c419opening death-0.38%Kill credit+0.19%Death debit-0.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%Classic1,8502,400052
Anonymous#46a785multi kill trade+1.00%Kill credit+1.62%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.71%Centering+0.10%Judge3,2005003296
Anonymous#4d0f2c·+1.38%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse+1.95%Alive clock-0.71%Centering+0.13%Classic7501,7500113
Anonymous#b36a3ftraded+0.14%Kill credit+0.76%Death debit-0.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.01%Vandal4,800700180

Round 19 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering11–7Round leverage0.0938Leverage index0.58×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—93.8%+0.03%
11.5sClock—94.0%+0.20%
11.5sKillAnonymous#46a785 → TheMarias92.2%-1.75%
12.3sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#46a78594.1%+1.83%
13.8sKillAnonymous#20c419 → Anonymous#e3d3b391.7%-2.37%
14.0sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#20c41994.0%+2.29%
31.9sClock—94.0%-0.02%
31.9sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#4d0f2c96.6%+2.64%
37.7sPlantAnonymous#7ddf2397.0%+0.42%
46.1sClock—97.1%+0.06%
46.1sKillAnonymous#b993bc → Anonymous#b36a3f98.1%+1.01%
46.5sKillAnonymous#7ddf23 → Anonymous#89912c98.4%+0.32%
46.5sTerminal—98.4%+0.03%
Round total · 18 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed98.4%+4.69%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,800 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23multi kill trade+8.35%Kill credit+7.08%Death debit·Plant+0.42%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.79%Vandal4,8001,6504760
Anonymous#e3d3b3traded-2.64%Kill credit·Death debit-2.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.31%Vandal4,6002,60000
TheMariasopening death traded-1.94%Kill credit·Death debit-1.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.24%Vandal4,6501,85000
Anonymous#b993bc·+1.14%Kill credit+1.01%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.07%Operator6,3501,5501150
Anonymous#2fe093·+0.01%Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.04%Vandal4,4003,30000
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 23,150 · full
Anonymous#89912cclutch lost-0.48%Kill credit·Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.09%Phantom4,30045000
Anonymous#20c419·<0.01%Kill credit+2.37%Death debit-2.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.04%Phantom4,7501,5001288
Anonymous#46a785opening kill-0.18%Kill credit+1.75%Death debit-1.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.06%Vandal4,3502,8501160
Anonymous#4d0f2c·-3.01%Kill credit·Death debit-2.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.34%Odin4,9503,100076
Anonymous#b36a3f·-1.24%Kill credit·Death debit-1.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.17%Phantom4,8002,20000

Round 20 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering12–7Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the roundNode kindNameMatch win probabilityMove
0.0sRound start—98.7%+0.24%
14.5sClock—98.7%+0.05%
14.5sKillAnonymous#89912c → Anonymous#2fe09398.2%-0.53%
20.0sReviveAnonymous#e3d3b398.7%+0.52%
20.0sKillAnonymous#4d0f2c → Anonymous#2fe09398.2%-0.53%
20.5sKillAnonymous#4d0f2c → Anonymous#b993bc97.5%-0.73%
23.5sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#46a78597.9%+0.46%
23.9sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#89912c98.6%+0.64%
25.4sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#20c41999.3%+0.77%
37.9sPlantTheMarias99.5%+0.15%
41.2sKillAnonymous#e3d3b3 → Anonymous#b36a3f99.9%+0.40%
44.3sKillAnonymous#4d0f2c → Anonymous#e3d3b399.7%-0.20%
51.2sClock—99.7%+0.02%
51.2sKillTheMarias → Anonymous#4d0f2c100.0%+0.28%
51.2sTerminal—100.0%+0.01%
Round total · 24 nodes, 9 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed100.0%+1.56%
WhoWhat they were worthThe kit and the box score
NameMWPA0WeaponLoadoutCreditsKDamage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 25,850 · full
Anonymous#7ddf23·+0.24%Kill credit+0.21%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%Vandal4,8004,0500270
Anonymous#e3d3b3multi kill+2.12%Kill credit+2.11%Death debit-0.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.20%Odin4,9001,7004590
TheMarias·+0.43%Kill credit+0.22%Death debit·Plant+0.15%Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.03%Odin5,2503,7001134
Anonymous#b993bc·-0.82%Kill credit·Death debit-0.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.10%Operator6,5003,85000
Anonymous#2fe093opening death-0.59%Kill credit·Death debit-0.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.07%Vandal4,4003,50000
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 19,750 · half
Anonymous#89912copening kill-0.15%Kill credit+0.53%Death debit-0.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.03%Spectre2,600501171
Anonymous#20c419·-0.88%Kill credit·Death debit-0.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.10%Spectre3,1001,35000
Anonymous#46a785·-0.54%Kill credit·Death debit-0.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.07%Vandal4,600800080
Anonymous#4d0f2cclutch lost multi kill trade+0.62%Kill credit+0.89%Death debit-0.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.05%Vandal4,6509003352
Anonymous#b36a3ftraded-0.43%Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.06%Phantom4,800200078