Lotus, 13–5, July 17

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

330 nodes: 18 round start, 147 clock, 147 action, 18 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Red · the side the four played on
Anonymous#48cca4	Clove	+29.27%	17	14	10	3,183
Anonymous#873d40	Reyna	+17.38%	20	10	3	3,207
Anonymous#567557	Phoenix	+6.58%	17	12	2	2,593
MLK	Sova	-3.68%	9	12	4	1,912
SN0RLAX	Vyse	-6.58%	12	12	8	2,612
Blue · opponents
Anonymous#2e277a	Omen	+7.34%	20	15	6	3,651
Anonymous#6c32a4	KAY/O	-8.86%	12	14	13	2,253
Anonymous#5bccb1	Breach	-9.31%	11	15	8	1,911
Anonymous#b71953	Reyna	-12.91%	14	14	3	2,425
Anonymous#c59296	Waylay	-19.24%	3	17	4	1,030

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 10 · MLK · death debit

-5.00% match win probability points
at 6–3
Round 4 · MLK · death debit

-3.60% match win probability points
at 3–0
Round 2 · MLK · kill credit

+3.52% match win probability points
at 1–0

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	48.7%	-1.32%
4.4s	Clock	—	48.9%	+0.26%
4.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c59296	51.9%	+2.92%
8.1s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → SN0RLAX	49.1%	-2.73%
9.1s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#5bccb1	52.7%	+3.59%
17.5s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#6c32a4	55.9%	+3.16%
20.6s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#567557	53.5%	-2.40%
24.5s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#2e277a	56.5%	+3.03%
30.5s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#b71953	58.0%	+1.44%
30.5s	Terminal	—	58.1%	+0.10%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.1%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 2,900 · eco
Anonymous#48cca4trade	+6.94%	Kill credit+6.20%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.69%	Classic	950	0	2	286
Anonymous#873d40·	+1.66%	Kill credit+1.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.17%	Ghost	900	100	1	140
Anonymous#567557traded	+1.37%	Kill credit+3.59%Death debit-2.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.14%	Sheriff	1,050	0	1	110
MLK·	+0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Classic	0	800	0	30
SN0RLAXopening kill	+0.28%	Kill credit+2.92%Death debit-2.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.03%	Classic	0	800	1	104
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 4,100 · eco
Anonymous#2e277a·	-0.76%	Kill credit+2.40%Death debit-3.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.08%	Classic	900	50	1	156
Anonymous#6c32a4trade	-1.15%	Kill credit+2.18%Death debit-3.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.11%	Sheriff	800	0	1	148
Anonymous#5bccb1·	-3.44%	Kill credit+0.55%Death debit-3.59%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.34%	Classic	700	100	0	0
Anonymous#b71953clutch lost	-1.66%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.17%	Ghost	900	100	0	60
Anonymous#c59296opening death traded	-3.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.33%	Ghost	800	0	0	0

Round 2 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering1–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	62.5%	+4.41%
6.6s	Clock	—	62.5%	+0.02%
6.6s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#c59296	63.6%	+1.14%
10.2s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → Anonymous#567557	61.2%	-2.45%
10.8s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → Anonymous#48cca4	56.3%	-4.84%
11.8s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#5bccb1	59.9%	+3.52%
25.2s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#6c32a4	63.3%	+3.41%
28.3s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#b71953	65.0%	+1.70%
36.1s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → MLK	62.7%	-2.23%
36.2s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#2e277a	66.0%	+3.27%
36.2s	Terminal	—	66.1%	+0.11%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			66.1%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 14,750 · half
Anonymous#48cca4opening kill traded	-4.11%	Kill credit+1.14%Death debit-4.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.41%	Sheriff	2,550	2,350	1	159
Anonymous#873d40multi kill trade	+8.59%	Kill credit+7.73%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.86%	Sheriff	2,100	2,700	3	360
Anonymous#567557traded	-2.71%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.45%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.27%	Vandal	3,750	0	0	40
MLKtrade traded	+1.44%	Kill credit+3.52%Death debit-2.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.14%	Odin	4,350	250	1	146
SN0RLAX·	+0.73%	Kill credit+0.65%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Stinger	2,000	2,300	0	144
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 5,800 · light
Anonymous#2e277aclutch lost	-1.15%	Kill credit+2.23%Death debit-3.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.12%	Stinger	2,600	50	1	123
Anonymous#6c32a4·	-2.18%	Kill credit+1.46%Death debit-3.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.22%	Sheriff	1,200	900	0	55
Anonymous#5bccb1trade	+2.56%	Kill credit+5.83%Death debit-3.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.26%	Ghost	1,600	850	2	330
Anonymous#b71953·	-1.90%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.19%	Classic	400	2,000	0	0
Anonymous#c59296opening death traded	-1.27%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.13%	Classic	0	1,900	0	0

Round 3 focal side won

Won byRed · detonateScore entering2–0Round leverage0.1542Leverage index0.96×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	67.6%	+1.45%
8.3s	Clock	—	67.9%	+0.30%
8.3s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → SN0RLAX	64.5%	-3.38%
9.5s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#2e277a	67.4%	+2.89%
26.9s	Plant	MLK	68.4%	+1.04%
44.3s	Clock	—	68.9%	+0.49%
44.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#5bccb1	71.4%	+2.52%
44.6s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#6c32a4	72.8%	+1.35%
45.6s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → MLK	71.8%	-0.96%
53.9s	Clock	—	72.2%	+0.35%
53.9s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#c59296	73.4%	+1.21%
54.0s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → Anonymous#48cca4	72.8%	-0.61%
60.5s	Clock	—	73.2%	+0.42%
60.5s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → Anonymous#873d40	71.2%	-2.02%
71.9s	Clock	—	72.2%	+1.04%
71.9s	Detonate	—	72.2%	·
71.9s	Terminal	—	73.8%	+1.59%
Round total · 22 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			73.8%	+7.71%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,300 · full
Anonymous#48cca4·	+0.62%	Kill credit+0.97%Death debit-0.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.30%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	4,650	1,500	1	160
Anonymous#873d40·	-0.28%	Kill credit+1.35%Death debit-2.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.51%Centering-0.13%	Vandal	5,600	2,200	1	347
Anonymous#567557clutch won trade	+3.02%	Kill credit+2.31%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.51%Centering+0.20%	Vandal	4,750	1,600	1	80
MLK·	+3.25%	Kill credit+2.77%Death debit-0.96%Plant+1.04%Defuse·Alive clock+0.18%Centering+0.22%	Odin	4,200	850	1	214
SN0RLAXopening death traded	-3.16%	Kill credit+0.58%Death debit-3.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.42%	Spectre	3,100	4,100	0	88
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 18,900 · half
Anonymous#2e277aopening kill	+0.36%	Kill credit+3.38%Death debit-2.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.07%	Spectre	3,000	50	1	150
Anonymous#6c32a4·	-1.38%	Kill credit+0.40%Death debit-1.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.18%Centering-0.24%	Vandal	3,300	0	0	123
Anonymous#5bccb1traded	-3.12%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.18%Centering-0.42%	Guardian	3,600	500	0	0
Anonymous#b71953clutch lost multi kill trade	+2.55%	Kill credit+3.18%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.78%Centering+0.15%	Vandal	4,800	0	3	548
Anonymous#c59296traded	-1.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.36%Centering-0.29%	Vandal	4,200	100	0	120

Round 4 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering3–0Round leverage0.1402Leverage index0.87×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	76.7%	+2.86%
6.2s	Clock	—	76.9%	+0.21%
6.2s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → SN0RLAX	73.7%	-3.20%
10.2s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#b71953	76.7%	+3.05%
12.0s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#567557	72.4%	-4.36%
12.9s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#2e277a	76.8%	+4.42%
24.4s	Kill	Anonymous#c59296 → Anonymous#48cca4	71.7%	-5.11%
24.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → MLK	68.1%	-3.60%
28.6s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#c59296	69.9%	+1.86%
30.3s	Revive	Anonymous#48cca4	75.3%	+5.37%
30.3s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → Anonymous#48cca4	69.9%	-5.38%
32.3s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → Anonymous#873d40	66.9%	-3.00%
32.3s	Terminal	—	66.8%	-0.11%
Round total · 22 nodes, 9 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			66.8%	-7.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,500 · full
Anonymous#48cca4trade traded	-0.72%	Kill credit+4.42%Death debit-5.11%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	4,650	700	1	160
Anonymous#873d40clutch lost trade	+0.09%	Kill credit+3.05%Death debit-3.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,800	1,600	2	314
Anonymous#567557traded	-4.80%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.48%	Vandal	4,750	3,700	0	0
MLK·	+0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	3,900	450	0	0
SN0RLAXopening death traded	-3.50%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.35%	Vandal	4,400	3,300	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 14,800 · half
Anonymous#2e277a·	-1.08%	Kill credit+3.49%Death debit-4.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.11%	Bulldog	3,450	100	1	175
Anonymous#6c32a4trade	+4.26%	Kill credit+3.88%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.43%	Spectre	2,000	900	1	156
Anonymous#5bccb1·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering<0.01%	Sheriff	2,150	1,750	2	320
Anonymous#b71953opening kill	+0.12%	Kill credit+3.20%Death debit-3.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.01%	Vandal	4,800	400	1	160
Anonymous#c59296traded	+5.63%	Kill credit+5.11%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.56%	Sheriff	2,400	600	1	159

Round 5 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering3–1Round leverage0.1602Leverage index0.99×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	64.3%	-2.53%
25.1s	Clock	—	64.6%	+0.30%
25.1s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → Anonymous#567557	61.7%	-2.89%
28.4s	Kill	Anonymous#c59296 → Anonymous#873d40	60.0%	-1.68%
32.1s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → Anonymous#48cca4	59.4%	-0.56%
33.2s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → MLK	59.0%	-0.43%
33.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c59296	59.1%	+0.10%
34.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5bccb1	59.5%	+0.39%
35.4s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → SN0RLAX	58.9%	-0.66%
35.4s	Terminal	—	58.8%	-0.04%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.8%	-8.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 15,500 · half
Anonymous#48cca4·	-0.47%	Kill credit+0.08%Death debit-0.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.05%	Classic	1,750	1,650	0	0
Anonymous#873d40traded	-1.81%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.18%	Bulldog	3,600	750	0	0
Anonymous#567557opening death	-3.15%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.31%	Phantom	4,750	1,700	0	0
MLK·	-0.38%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit-0.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.04%	Classic	1,000	1,350	0	78
SN0RLAXclutch lost trade	-0.23%	Kill credit+0.39%Death debit-0.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,400	1,300	2	393
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 21,700 · full
Anonymous#2e277a·	-0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,350	100	0	0
Anonymous#6c32a4multi kill trade	+1.40%	Kill credit+1.32%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.14%	Vandal	4,600	2,400	3	320
Anonymous#5bccb1traded	+0.39%	Kill credit+0.80%Death debit-0.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	5,050	2,050	0	114
Anonymous#b71953opening kill	+2.58%	Kill credit+2.38%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.26%	Vandal	4,200	100	1	286
Anonymous#c59296traded	+1.74%	Kill credit+1.73%Death debit-0.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.17%	Vandal	4,500	2,200	1	296

Round 6 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering3–2Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	56.5%	-2.34%
4.6s	Clock	—	56.8%	+0.36%
4.6s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → SN0RLAX	53.8%	-3.07%
15.1s	Clock	—	53.7%	-0.03%
15.1s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#873d40	52.2%	-1.56%
15.7s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#2e277a	53.5%	+1.30%
19.5s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → MLK	51.4%	-2.03%
21.4s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#b71953	53.2%	+1.72%
25.7s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → Anonymous#567557	50.6%	-2.57%
31.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → Anonymous#48cca4	50.0%	-0.55%
31.1s	Terminal	—	50.0%	-0.05%
Round total · 16 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	-8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 17,200 · half
Anonymous#48cca4clutch lost	-0.54%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.55%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.05%	Spectre	3,000	1,650	0	240
Anonymous#873d40traded	-1.37%	Kill credit+0.26%Death debit-1.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.14%	Ghost	1,800	2,250	0	0
Anonymous#567557trade	+0.29%	Kill credit+2.76%Death debit-2.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.03%	Vandal	4,750	200	2	360
MLKtraded	-2.19%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.22%	Guardian	3,250	500	0	0
SN0RLAXopening death	-3.33%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.33%	Vandal	4,400	50	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 23,150 · full
Anonymous#2e277aopening kill	+3.85%	Kill credit+4.84%Death debit-1.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.39%	Vandal	4,650	2,700	2	320
Anonymous#6c32a4trade	+3.12%	Kill credit+2.88%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.31%	Vandal	4,600	5,750	1	194
Anonymous#5bccb1·	+0.42%	Kill credit+0.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,600	700	1	200
Anonymous#b71953traded	-0.18%	Kill credit+1.63%Death debit-1.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,800	2,050	1	160
Anonymous#c59296·	-0.08%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,500	900	0	0

Round 7 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	46.8%	-3.24%
6.6s	Clock	—	47.1%	+0.36%
6.6s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → SN0RLAX	44.6%	-2.56%
8.9s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#c59296	47.3%	+2.75%
9.1s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#b71953	52.1%	+4.83%
13.9s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → Anonymous#567557	48.5%	-3.67%
15.4s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#6c32a4	54.2%	+5.72%
25.7s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → Anonymous#873d40	48.1%	-6.13%
32.6s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#5bccb1	55.4%	+7.34%
36.6s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#2e277a	59.2%	+3.74%
36.6s	Terminal	—	59.3%	+0.12%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			59.3%	+9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 15,700 · half
Anonymous#48cca4multi kill trade	+19.70%	Kill credit+17.66%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering+1.97%	Vandal	4,650	500	4	600
Anonymous#873d40·	-1.36%	Kill credit+4.83%Death debit-6.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.14%	Vandal	4,800	1,000	1	240
Anonymous#567557traded	-2.73%	Kill credit+1.14%Death debit-3.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.27%	Sheriff	1,800	2,300	0	0
MLK·	+0.09%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering<0.01%	Ghost	1,500	1,900	0	0
SN0RLAXopening death	-1.93%	Kill credit+0.75%Death debit-2.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.19%	Bulldog	2,950	500	0	80
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 23,150 · full
Anonymous#2e277aclutch lost opening kill	-0.04%	Kill credit+3.79%Death debit-3.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,650	1,800	1	214
Anonymous#6c32a4·	-2.35%	Kill credit+3.67%Death debit-5.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.24%	Vandal	4,600	7,950	1	200
Anonymous#5bccb1·	-2.79%	Kill credit+4.90%Death debit-7.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.28%	Vandal	4,600	2,900	1	80
Anonymous#b71953·	-5.45%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.54%	Vandal	4,800	1,350	0	0
Anonymous#c59296·	-3.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.31%	Vandal	4,500	3,600	0	0

Round 8 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	60.7%	+1.46%
16.5s	Clock	—	61.1%	+0.37%
16.5s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#c59296	64.1%	+3.00%
21.6s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#b71953	65.5%	+1.43%
26.2s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#5bccb1	67.3%	+1.79%
29.3s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#6c32a4	68.1%	+0.76%
31.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#2e277a	68.5%	+0.42%
31.6s	Terminal	—	68.5%	+0.05%
Round total · 12 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			68.5%	+9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 23,050 · full
Anonymous#48cca4·	+0.93%	Kill credit+0.76%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.09%	Vandal	4,650	2,700	1	234
Anonymous#873d40opening kill	+4.02%	Kill credit+3.54%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.40%	Vandal	4,550	100	2	137
Anonymous#567557·	+0.08%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,750	1,150	0	0
MLK·	+2.07%	Kill credit+1.79%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.21%	Vandal	4,700	1,700	1	174
SN0RLAX·	+1.53%	Kill credit+1.30%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.15%	Vandal	4,400	2,500	1	344
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 19,700 · half
Anonymous#2e277aclutch lost	-0.55%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,250	0	0	0
Anonymous#6c32a4·	-0.93%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.76%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.09%	Vandal	4,600	5,100	0	0
Anonymous#5bccb1·	-2.07%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.79%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.21%	Phantom	4,250	1,000	0	105
Anonymous#b71953·	-1.67%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.17%	Sheriff	2,100	2,050	0	0
Anonymous#c59296opening death	-3.42%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.34%	Vandal	4,500	1,000	0	80

Round 9 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering5–3Round leverage0.1746Leverage index1.08×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	70.6%	+2.04%
16.5s	Clock	—	70.9%	+0.31%
16.5s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#5bccb1	72.7%	+1.80%
21.4s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → SN0RLAX	70.2%	-2.53%
26.7s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#6c32a4	73.8%	+3.63%
30.9s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#b71953	76.0%	+2.17%
35.8s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#567557	74.8%	-1.19%
40.4s	Plant	MLK	75.3%	+0.50%
41.9s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#c59296	76.7%	+1.41%
45.4s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#48cca4	75.8%	-0.88%
46.2s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#2e277a	77.2%	+1.39%
46.2s	Terminal	—	77.3%	+0.07%
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			77.3%	+8.73%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,100 · full
Anonymous#48cca4traded	+0.63%	Kill credit+1.44%Death debit-0.88%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.01%	Vandal	4,650	4,300	0	80
Anonymous#873d40trade	+2.82%	Kill credit+2.52%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.23%	Vandal	5,600	1,800	2	282
Anonymous#567557opening kill	+3.92%	Kill credit+4.71%Death debit-1.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.34%	Vandal	4,750	3,750	2	400
MLK·	+2.50%	Kill credit+1.74%Death debit·Plant+0.50%Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.20%	Vandal	4,700	3,900	1	160
SN0RLAX·	-2.80%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.33%	Vandal	4,400	4,700	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 18,000 · half
Anonymous#2e277aclutch lost multi kill	+3.18%	Kill credit+4.37%Death debit-1.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.27%	Sheriff	2,550	200	3	487
Anonymous#6c32a4·	-3.90%	Kill credit+0.24%Death debit-3.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.44%	Vandal	4,600	3,600	0	120
Anonymous#5bccb1opening death	-2.13%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.26%	Sheriff	2,150	1,250	0	0
Anonymous#b71953·	-2.54%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.30%	Vandal	4,800	550	0	0
Anonymous#c59296·	-1.69%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.22%	Vandal	3,900	100	0	17

Round 10 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering6–3Round leverage0.1527Leverage index0.95×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	80.4%	+3.15%
27.9s	Clock	—	80.7%	+0.23%
27.9s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#6c32a4	82.3%	+1.60%
29.3s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → Anonymous#873d40	80.6%	-1.64%
30.7s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → MLK	75.6%	-5.00%
33.2s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#b71953	79.9%	+4.26%
55.0s	Plant	Anonymous#567557	80.8%	+0.95%
58.4s	Clock	—	80.9%	+0.11%
58.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c59296	83.3%	+2.35%
60.6s	Clock	—	83.3%	+0.02%
60.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#2e277a	84.4%	+1.09%
68.5s	Clock	—	84.4%	+0.04%
68.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5bccb1	84.9%	+0.44%
68.5s	Terminal	—	84.9%	+0.04%
Round total · 18 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			84.9%	+7.64%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,200 · full
Anonymous#48cca4·	+4.74%	Kill credit+4.26%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+0.38%	Vandal	4,450	3,300	1	126
Anonymous#873d40opening kill	-0.10%	Kill credit+1.60%Death debit-1.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.11%	Vandal	5,600	4,050	1	200
Anonymous#567557·	+1.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.95%Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+0.01%	Vandal	4,750	3,300	0	0
MLK·	-5.61%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.66%	Vandal	5,000	7,400	0	40
SN0RLAXmulti kill	+4.32%	Kill credit+3.88%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+0.34%	Vandal	4,400	4,100	3	480
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 14,300 · half
Anonymous#2e277a·	-1.42%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.24%	Sheriff	2,550	1,900	0	110
Anonymous#6c32a4opening death traded	-0.46%	Kill credit+1.33%Death debit-1.60%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.14%	Vandal	4,600	2,350	0	215
Anonymous#5bccb1clutch lost trade	+5.16%	Kill credit+5.31%Death debit-0.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering+0.42%	Ares	2,950	1,900	2	105
Anonymous#b71953·	-4.89%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.58%	Sheriff	2,100	2,000	0	0
Anonymous#c59296·	-2.81%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.38%	Sheriff	2,100	1,200	0	0

Round 11 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering7–3Round leverage0.1222Leverage index0.76×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	85.7%	+0.74%
10.2s	Clock	—	85.9%	+0.21%
10.2s	Kill	Anonymous#c59296 → Anonymous#48cca4	82.9%	-2.92%
15.3s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#873d40	80.8%	-2.16%
18.2s	Revive	Anonymous#48cca4	83.0%	+2.16%
18.2s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → Anonymous#48cca4	80.8%	-2.16%
22.9s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#c59296	81.7%	+0.89%
24.8s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → MLK	80.0%	-1.66%
29.7s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#567557	79.0%	-0.98%
36.5s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → SN0RLAX	78.8%	-0.22%
36.5s	Terminal	—	78.8%	-0.02%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			78.8%	-6.11%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 23,100 · full
Anonymous#48cca4opening death	-3.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.32%	Vandal	4,950	5,900	0	0
Anonymous#873d40·	+0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,800	2,950	0	0
Anonymous#567557·	-0.05%	Kill credit+0.89%Death debit-0.98%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,750	6,000	1	160
MLK·	-1.80%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.18%	Phantom	4,200	4,950	0	0
SN0RLAXclutch lost	-0.19%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,400	6,500	0	120
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 20,650 · full
Anonymous#2e277amulti kill	+3.32%	Kill credit+3.03%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.33%	Vandal	4,650	750	3	600
Anonymous#6c32a4·	+0.17%	Kill credit+0.20%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.02%	Phantom	4,600	1,100	0	0
Anonymous#5bccb1·	<0.01%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering<0.01%	Bulldog	3,400	1,800	0	0
Anonymous#b71953·	+0.14%	Kill credit+0.17%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.01%	Vandal	4,800	750	2	360
Anonymous#c59296opening kill	+1.55%	Kill credit+2.34%Death debit-0.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.16%	Spectre	3,200	900	1	200

Round 12 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering7–4Round leverage0.1571Leverage index0.98×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	78.7%	-0.06%
10.6s	Clock	—	79.1%	+0.35%
10.6s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#2e277a	81.7%	+2.64%
14.9s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#b71953	84.0%	+2.26%
39.5s	Plant	MLK	84.4%	+0.44%
40.2s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#c59296	85.8%	+1.33%
43.7s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#5bccb1	86.4%	+0.58%
44.6s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → Anonymous#48cca4	86.3%	-0.08%
46.3s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#6c32a4	86.6%	+0.34%
46.3s	Terminal	—	86.7%	+0.03%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			86.7%	+7.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 25,500 · full
Anonymous#48cca4traded	+3.40%	Kill credit+3.11%Death debit-0.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.30%	Vandal	4,950	3,200	2	520
Anonymous#873d40trade	+0.41%	Kill credit+0.34%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,800	950	1	188
Anonymous#567557opening kill	+4.15%	Kill credit+3.71%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.37%	Operator	7,350	1,150	2	310
MLK·	+0.52%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.44%Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,200	2,950	0	0
SN0RLAX·	+0.03%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	4,200	4,500	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 23,950 · full
Anonymous#2e277aopening death	-3.06%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.35%	Vandal	4,650	2,950	0	0
Anonymous#6c32a4clutch lost trade	-0.44%	Kill credit+0.06%Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.09%	Phantom	4,600	4,100	1	78
Anonymous#5bccb1traded	-0.76%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit-0.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.12%	Vandal	4,600	450	0	80
Anonymous#b71953·	-2.64%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.31%	Vandal	5,600	2,900	0	40
Anonymous#c59296·	-1.61%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.33%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.20%	Vandal	4,500	2,800	0	40

Round 13 focal side won

Won byRed · defuseScore entering8–4Round leverage0.1208Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	86.6%	-0.08%
20.0s	Clock	—	86.4%	-0.15%
20.0s	Plant	Anonymous#6c32a4	85.7%	-0.74%
21.5s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#c59296	88.1%	+2.44%
27.7s	Clock	—	88.0%	-0.09%
27.7s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#5bccb1	90.1%	+2.09%
32.1s	Clock	—	90.1%	-0.06%
32.1s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#6c32a4	91.6%	+1.50%
33.1s	Clock	—	91.5%	-0.05%
33.1s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → SN0RLAX	91.1%	-0.44%
35.1s	Clock	—	91.0%	-0.10%
35.1s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → MLK	89.6%	-1.40%
36.9s	Clock	—	89.5%	-0.10%
36.9s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#b71953	91.7%	+2.26%
40.4s	Clock	—	91.6%	-0.17%
40.4s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#567557	89.6%	-1.93%
41.0s	Clock	—	89.6%	-0.07%
41.0s	Defuse	Anonymous#48cca4	92.7%	+3.13%
41.0s	Terminal	—	92.7%	·
Round total · 20 nodes, 1 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			92.7%	+6.04%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 2,900 · eco
Anonymous#48cca4opening kill	+5.51%	Kill credit+2.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+3.13%Alive clock-0.22%Centering+0.16%	Classic	950	0	1	104
Anonymous#873d40multi kill trade	+3.50%	Kill credit+3.76%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.22%Centering-0.04%	Ghost	900	100	3	330
Anonymous#567557traded	-0.46%	Kill credit+2.09%Death debit-1.93%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.19%Centering-0.43%	Sheriff	1,050	0	1	202
MLK·	-2.09%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.60%	Classic	0	800	0	8
SN0RLAXtraded	-0.99%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.49%	Classic	0	300	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 4,050 · eco
Anonymous#2e277aclutch lost	+3.44%	Kill credit+3.05%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.44%Centering-0.04%	Sheriff	950	0	2	246
Anonymous#6c32a4·	-1.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.50%Plant+0.74%Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.51%	Sheriff	800	0	0	0
Anonymous#5bccb1·	-2.69%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.66%	Classic	700	100	0	78
Anonymous#b71953·	-1.92%	Kill credit+0.72%Death debit-2.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.20%Centering-0.58%	Sheriff	1,000	0	1	110
Anonymous#c59296opening death	-3.10%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.70%	Classic	600	200	0	0

Round 14 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering9–4Round leverage0.0806Leverage index0.50×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	95.1%	+2.41%
35.5s	Clock	—	95.0%	-0.09%
35.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c59296	95.9%	+0.86%
40.3s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → SN0RLAX	94.9%	-0.95%
40.9s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#6c32a4	95.9%	+0.92%
43.3s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → Anonymous#873d40	94.0%	-1.83%
48.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → Anonymous#567557	91.6%	-2.40%
50.5s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#5bccb1	94.0%	+2.39%
56.3s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → MLK	90.8%	-3.18%
58.5s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#48cca4	88.7%	-2.09%
58.5s	Terminal	—	88.7%	-0.06%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			88.7%	-4.03%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 12,400 · light
Anonymous#48cca4clutch lost	-2.35%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.23%	Sheriff	2,550	1,600	0	0
Anonymous#873d40·	-2.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.21%	Sheriff	2,700	2,000	0	0
Anonymous#567557traded	-1.88%	Kill credit+0.73%Death debit-2.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.19%	Sheriff	1,450	2,000	1	55
MLKtrade	-0.70%	Kill credit+2.58%Death debit-3.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.07%	Odin	3,600	200	1	370
SN0RLAXopening kill	-0.12%	Kill credit+0.86%Death debit-0.95%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.01%	Stinger	2,100	700	1	170
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 4,550 · eco
Anonymous#2e277a·	+3.05%	Kill credit+2.72%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.31%	Sheriff	950	1,800	1	260
Anonymous#6c32a4·	-1.00%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.10%	Classic	0	2,200	0	26
Anonymous#5bccb1trade	+0.55%	Kill credit+2.87%Death debit-2.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.06%	Sheriff	1,900	650	2	211
Anonymous#b71953·	+4.89%	Kill credit+4.37%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.49%	Sheriff	1,400	1,200	2	182
Anonymous#c59296opening death traded	-0.40%	Kill credit+0.48%Death debit-0.86%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.04%	Classic	300	2,100	0	78

Round 15 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering9–5Round leverage0.1172Leverage index0.73×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	87.3%	-1.37%
19.3s	Clock	—	87.1%	-0.22%
19.3s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#c59296	90.2%	+3.08%
19.8s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#6c32a4	93.1%	+2.89%
22.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5bccb1	93.9%	+0.84%
27.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#b71953	94.4%	+0.49%
28.7s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → SN0RLAX	94.3%	-0.06%
30.4s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#873d40	94.0%	-0.38%
41.6s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → Anonymous#48cca4	92.7%	-1.26%
43.0s	Kill	Anonymous#2e277a → MLK	90.0%	-2.69%
43.7s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#2e277a	94.3%	+4.29%
43.7s	Terminal	—	94.5%	+0.23%
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			94.5%	+5.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 14,450 · half
Anonymous#48cca4traded	-1.12%	Kill credit+0.29%Death debit-1.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.11%	Sheriff	2,550	1,550	0	0
Anonymous#873d40opening kill	+2.27%	Kill credit+2.47%Death debit-0.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.23%	Vandal	4,800	0	1	204
Anonymous#567557clutch won trade	+6.34%	Kill credit+5.75%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.63%	Phantom	4,350	0	2	261
MLKtraded	-2.08%	Kill credit+0.86%Death debit-2.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.21%	Ghost	500	1,800	0	60
SN0RLAX·	+2.37%	Kill credit+2.24%Death debit-0.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.24%	Stinger	2,250	200	2	323
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 19,700 · half
Anonymous#2e277aclutch lost multi kill trade	+0.14%	Kill credit+4.38%Death debit-4.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.01%	Sheriff	2,550	3,400	4	638
Anonymous#6c32a4·	-3.16%	Kill credit+0.01%Death debit-2.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.32%	Odin	4,900	3,500	0	76
Anonymous#5bccb1·	-0.89%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.09%	Sheriff	2,150	2,150	0	0
Anonymous#b71953traded	-0.50%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.49%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	5,600	0	0	0
Anonymous#c59296opening death	-3.38%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.34%	Vandal	4,500	600	0	0

Round 16 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering10–5Round leverage0.0703Leverage index0.44×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	96.2%	+1.65%
9.4s	Clock	—	96.1%	-0.10%
9.4s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → MLK	94.9%	-1.23%
13.6s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#b71953	95.8%	+0.97%
15.5s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → Anonymous#48cca4	94.0%	-1.84%
16.3s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#6c32a4	95.7%	+1.76%
17.5s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#c59296	97.1%	+1.41%
19.2s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#2e277a	97.8%	+0.68%
23.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5bccb1 → Anonymous#567557	97.3%	-0.52%
27.5s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#5bccb1	98.0%	+0.70%
27.5s	Terminal	—	98.0%	+0.04%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			98.0%	+3.52%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,850 · full
Anonymous#48cca4trade traded	-0.33%	Kill credit+1.56%Death debit-1.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,650	250	1	274
Anonymous#873d40trade	+0.95%	Kill credit+0.87%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.10%	Vandal	4,800	2,000	1	120
Anonymous#567557multi kill trade traded	+2.82%	Kill credit+3.08%Death debit-0.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.28%	Phantom	5,250	100	3	502
MLKopening death traded	-1.39%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.14%	Phantom	3,900	900	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-0.02%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%	Bulldog	3,250	50	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 12,800 · half
Anonymous#2e277atraded	-0.73%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.07%	Sheriff	2,550	3,350	0	0
Anonymous#6c32a4trade	+0.25%	Kill credit+1.96%Death debit-1.76%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.03%	Spectre	3,300	2,550	1	162
Anonymous#5bccb1clutch lost trade	-0.04%	Kill credit+0.64%Death debit-0.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%	Stinger	2,450	2,050	1	253
Anonymous#b71953opening kill traded	+0.04%	Kill credit+0.98%Death debit-0.97%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%	Sheriff	2,100	1,500	1	159
Anonymous#c59296·	-1.55%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.15%	Sheriff	2,400	400	0	0

Round 17 focal side won

Won byRed · defuseScore entering11–5Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	98.4%	+0.36%
14.4s	Clock	—	98.4%	-0.05%
14.4s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → Anonymous#48cca4	97.6%	-0.72%
22.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c59296	98.1%	+0.41%
25.6s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#2e277a	98.9%	+0.88%
27.6s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → Anonymous#567557	98.2%	-0.71%
29.3s	Plant	Anonymous#6c32a4	97.9%	-0.34%
30.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#6c32a4	98.8%	+0.91%
32.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#b71953	99.4%	+0.65%
37.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5bccb1	99.6%	+0.17%
49.3s	Defuse	MLK	99.6%	+0.01%
49.3s	Terminal	—	99.6%	·
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			99.6%	+1.56%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 20,950 · full
Anonymous#48cca4opening death	-0.84%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.12%	Guardian	4,000	50	0	0
Anonymous#873d40·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	4,800	3,750	0	40
Anonymous#567557traded	-0.84%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.71%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.12%	Phantom	4,150	150	0	35
MLKmulti kill trade	+2.67%	Kill credit+2.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.01%Alive clock-0.01%Centering+0.23%	Phantom	3,900	0	3	476
SN0RLAX·	+0.58%	Kill credit+0.57%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering+0.02%	Phantom	4,100	2,750	2	267
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 18,200 · half
Anonymous#2e277a·	-1.00%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.88%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.14%	Vandal	4,650	1,450	0	40
Anonymous#6c32a4opening kill	-0.02%	Kill credit+0.57%Death debit-0.91%Plant+0.34%Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Phantom	4,600	1,250	1	150
Anonymous#5bccb1clutch lost	-0.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.06%	Bulldog	3,400	1,500	0	35
Anonymous#b71953·	+0.20%	Kill credit+0.85%Death debit-0.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,550	0	1	200
Anonymous#c59296·	-0.48%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.08%	Classic	1,000	1,800	0	0

Round 18 focal side won

Won byRed · defuseScore entering12–5Round leverage0.0078Leverage index0.05×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	99.6%	+0.04%
15.6s	Clock	—	99.6%	-0.02%
15.6s	Kill	Anonymous#b71953 → SN0RLAX	99.5%	-0.15%
18.2s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#2e277a	99.6%	+0.16%
20.5s	Kill	Anonymous#873d40 → Anonymous#5bccb1	99.8%	+0.20%
21.0s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → Anonymous#873d40	99.7%	-0.18%
23.8s	Kill	Anonymous#567557 → Anonymous#b71953	99.8%	+0.18%
24.4s	Plant	Anonymous#c59296	99.8%	-0.06%
26.8s	Kill	Anonymous#6c32a4 → MLK	99.6%	-0.22%
35.1s	Clock	—	99.5%	-0.02%
35.1s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#6c32a4	99.9%	+0.31%
40.7s	Clock	—	99.8%	-0.01%
40.7s	Kill	Anonymous#48cca4 → Anonymous#c59296	100.0%	+0.16%
48.8s	Defuse	Anonymous#48cca4	100.0%	<0.01%
48.8s	Terminal	—	100.0%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			100.0%	+0.39%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 22,500 · full
Anonymous#48cca4·	+0.47%	Kill credit+0.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse<0.01%Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,950	1,350	2	240
Anonymous#873d40·	+0.03%	Kill credit+0.22%Death debit-0.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,800	950	1	305
Anonymous#567557·	+0.13%	Kill credit+0.15%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,750	2,150	1	78
MLK·	-0.07%	Kill credit+0.16%Death debit-0.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Phantom	3,900	2,600	1	156
SN0RLAXopening death	-0.14%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	4,100	4,650	0	99
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 22,050 · full
Anonymous#2e277a·	-0.13%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,650	350	0	132
Anonymous#6c32a4trade	+0.09%	Kill credit+0.39%Death debit-0.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,600	500	2	230
Anonymous#5bccb1traded	-0.23%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,600	100	0	0
Anonymous#b71953opening kill	-0.07%	Kill credit+0.12%Death debit-0.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	3,700	100	1	160
Anonymous#c59296clutch lost	-0.08%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.16%Plant+0.06%Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	4,500	500	0	40