Haven, 6–3, August 4

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

168 nodes: 9 round start, 75 clock, 75 action, 9 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on
Anonymous#f76a2c	Vyse	+20.67%	9	5	3	1,712
MLK	Sova	+5.91%	14	6	1	2,190
Anonymous#039a80	Skye	-2.36%	7	6	3	1,400
SN0RLAX	Harbor	-4.56%	5	4	5	711
Trzzcko	Raze	-15.00%	5	7	4	1,361
Red · opponents
Anonymous#36be7d	Sage	+10.52%	7	8	0	831
Anonymous#612e4c	Omen	+7.58%	4	7	5	1,226
Anonymous#41a086	Phoenix	-2.04%	4	8	2	1,060
Anonymous#a6d58a	Cypher	-4.70%	7	8	4	1,072
Anonymous#66198e	Neon	-16.02%	6	9	1	1,045

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 5 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+7.74% match win probability points
at 2–2
Round 7 · MLK · kill credit

+7.04% match win probability points
at 3–3
Round 3 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+5.74% match win probability points
at 1–1

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	52.2%	+2.22%
5.2s	Clock	—	52.0%	-0.21%
5.2s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#41a086	54.6%	+2.57%
6.4s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#612e4c	56.3%	+1.74%
6.4s	Kill	Anonymous#a6d58a → Anonymous#f76a2c	55.0%	-1.28%
19.1s	Clock	—	55.1%	+0.05%
19.1s	Kill	Anonymous#039a80 → Anonymous#a6d58a	57.0%	+1.86%
28.2s	Kill	Anonymous#36be7d → Trzzcko	55.3%	-1.66%
30.2s	Kill	Anonymous#36be7d → MLK	52.2%	-3.04%
39.4s	Kill	Anonymous#36be7d → SN0RLAX	46.9%	-5.30%
43.9s	Clock	—	46.9%	-0.01%
43.9s	Kill	Anonymous#66198e → Anonymous#039a80	42.1%	-4.80%
43.9s	Terminal	—	41.9%	-0.19%
Round total · 18 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			41.9%	-8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 3,000 · eco
Anonymous#f76a2copening kill	+1.77%	Kill credit+2.91%Death debit-1.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.18%	Ghost	500	100	1	192
MLK·	-3.41%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.34%	Classic	0	800	0	52
Anonymous#039a80clutch lost	-3.31%	Kill credit+1.86%Death debit-4.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.33%	Ghost	900	150	1	200
SN0RLAX·	-5.92%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.59%	Shorty	800	0	0	22
Trzzcko·	-0.33%	Kill credit+1.39%Death debit-1.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.03%	Ghost	800	0	1	95
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 1,100 · eco
Anonymous#36be7dmulti kill	+11.15%	Kill credit+10.01%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+1.12%	Classic	0	800	3	256
Anonymous#612e4c·	-1.89%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.19%	Classic	150	800	0	40
Anonymous#41a086opening death traded	-2.52%	Kill credit+0.26%Death debit-2.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.25%	Classic	250	800	0	52
Anonymous#a6d58atrade	+0.16%	Kill credit+1.99%Death debit-1.86%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.02%	Ghost	700	100	1	75
Anonymous#66198e·	+4.30%	Kill credit+3.84%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.43%	Classic	0	800	1	123

Round 2 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering0–1Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	38.9%	-3.07%
18.4s	Clock	—	38.9%	-0.02%
18.4s	Kill	Anonymous#a6d58a → Trzzcko	36.7%	-2.12%
27.7s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#41a086	39.3%	+2.55%
27.9s	Kill	Anonymous#36be7d → MLK	37.1%	-2.20%
28.3s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#612e4c	41.6%	+4.51%
32.1s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#66198e	46.1%	+4.53%
32.5s	Kill	Anonymous#36be7d → SN0RLAX	41.1%	-5.00%
37.5s	Plant	Anonymous#36be7d	40.0%	-1.17%
41.6s	Clock	—	39.9%	-0.06%
41.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#a6d58a	46.4%	+6.53%
42.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#36be7d	49.8%	+3.39%
51.9s	Defuse	Anonymous#f76a2c	50.0%	+0.18%
51.9s	Terminal	—	50.0%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 4,900 · eco
Anonymous#f76a2cmulti kill	+19.33%	Kill credit+17.38%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.18%Alive clock-0.04%Centering+1.80%	Sheriff	1,550	500	4	756
MLK·	+0.24%	Kill credit+2.55%Death debit-2.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.11%	Classic	0	2,700	1	156
Anonymous#039a80·	-0.19%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.15%	Classic	400	2,100	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-4.96%	Kill credit+0.68%Death debit-5.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.63%	Bucky	1,750	700	0	68
Trzzckoopening death	-1.51%	Kill credit+0.91%Death debit-2.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.29%	Ghost	1,200	550	0	90
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 10,300 · light
Anonymous#36be7dclutch lost trade	+3.81%	Kill credit+5.76%Death debit-3.39%Plant+1.17%Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.25%	Ghost	1,400	3,500	2	225
Anonymous#612e4c·	-4.60%	Kill credit+0.50%Death debit-4.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.59%	Guardian	3,750	200	0	0
Anonymous#41a086traded	-2.98%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.55%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.43%	Ghost	1,750	2,300	0	0
Anonymous#a6d58aopening kill	-4.45%	Kill credit+2.63%Death debit-6.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.58%	Stinger	2,500	600	1	158
Anonymous#66198e·	-4.69%	Kill credit+0.44%Death debit-4.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.60%	Ghost	900	3,600	0	120

Round 3 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering1–1Round leverage0.1682Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	50.5%	+0.54%
13.2s	Clock	—	50.2%	-0.31%
13.2s	Kill	Anonymous#36be7d → Trzzcko	47.2%	-3.03%
31.1s	Kill	Anonymous#039a80 → Anonymous#41a086	51.4%	+4.24%
43.0s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#a6d58a	54.9%	+3.46%
48.5s	Clock	—	54.9%	+0.01%
48.5s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#612e4c	56.7%	+1.75%
58.9s	Clock	—	56.7%	+0.01%
58.9s	Kill	Anonymous#66198e → Anonymous#039a80	54.7%	-2.03%
59.8s	Plant	Anonymous#36be7d	53.0%	-1.69%
85.3s	Clock	—	50.4%	-2.60%
85.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#66198e	56.1%	+5.74%
85.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#36be7d	58.3%	+2.23%
97.0s	Clock	—	54.2%	-4.08%
97.0s	Defuse	MLK	58.4%	+4.17%
97.0s	Terminal	—	58.4%	·
Round total · 20 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.4%	+8.41%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,300 · half
Anonymous#f76a2c·	+1.68%	Kill credit+3.97%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-2.28%Centering<0.01%	Guardian	3,850	3,350	2	415
MLK·	+5.74%	Kill credit+3.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+4.17%Alive clock-2.28%Centering+0.40%	Odin	4,200	1,700	1	139
Anonymous#039a80·	+2.54%	Kill credit+4.54%Death debit-2.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.08%	Stinger	3,550	3,550	1	283
SN0RLAX·	+3.31%	Kill credit+5.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-2.28%Centering+0.15%	Judge	3,350	550	1	116
Trzzckoopening death	-3.63%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.54%	Marshal	2,350	1,600	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 16,200 · half
Anonymous#36be7dclutch lost opening kill	+4.08%	Kill credit+3.03%Death debit-2.23%Plant+1.69%Defuse·Alive clock+1.36%Centering+0.23%	Vandal	4,600	1,800	1	218
Anonymous#612e4c·	-2.07%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.39%	Classic	800	1,850	0	0
Anonymous#41a086·	-4.84%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.66%	Vandal	4,750	0	0	0
Anonymous#a6d58a·	-3.97%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.58%	Sheriff	1,650	1,550	0	0
Anonymous#66198e·	-2.83%	Kill credit+2.03%Death debit-5.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+1.35%Centering-0.46%	Vandal	4,400	1,400	1	184

Round 4 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering2–1Round leverage0.1682Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	60.4%	+2.02%
12.6s	Clock	—	60.1%	-0.28%
12.6s	Kill	Anonymous#66198e → Anonymous#039a80	55.7%	-4.42%
19.8s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#41a086	58.5%	+2.81%
20.8s	Kill	Anonymous#41a086 → MLK	54.2%	-4.35%
22.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#36be7d	58.6%	+4.36%
23.6s	Kill	Anonymous#612e4c → Anonymous#f76a2c	53.5%	-5.05%
27.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#66198e	58.6%	+5.07%
39.3s	Kill	Anonymous#a6d58a → SN0RLAX	53.0%	-5.62%
48.4s	Kill	Anonymous#612e4c → Trzzcko	50.1%	-2.89%
48.4s	Terminal	—	50.0%	-0.08%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	-8.41%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 22,000 · full
Anonymous#f76a2c·	-0.20%	Kill credit+4.92%Death debit-5.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,700	5,250	1	160
MLK·	-2.39%	Kill credit+2.25%Death debit-4.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.24%	Odin	4,500	4,600	1	134
Anonymous#039a80opening death	-3.85%	Kill credit+1.01%Death debit-4.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.38%	Vandal	4,850	2,300	0	108
SN0RLAX·	-1.80%	Kill credit+4.06%Death debit-5.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.18%	Judge	3,350	2,250	1	102
Trzzckoclutch lost	-3.26%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.33%	Vandal	4,600	1,750	0	55
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 19,100 · half
Anonymous#36be7dtraded	-4.79%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.48%	Vandal	4,400	500	0	0
Anonymous#612e4ctrade	+10.12%	Kill credit+9.05%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+1.01%	Vandal	4,650	50	2	506
Anonymous#41a086·	+1.77%	Kill credit+4.35%Death debit-2.81%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.18%	Ghost	1,750	1,550	1	151
Anonymous#a6d58a·	+5.05%	Kill credit+4.50%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.51%	Vandal	4,100	150	1	160
Anonymous#66198eopening kill	-0.66%	Kill credit+4.42%Death debit-5.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	4,200	400	1	188

Round 5 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering2–2Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	51.1%	+1.06%
25.0s	Clock	—	50.8%	-0.25%
25.0s	Kill	Anonymous#039a80 → Anonymous#36be7d	53.5%	+2.66%
42.9s	Kill	Anonymous#41a086 → Anonymous#039a80	50.7%	-2.77%
59.6s	Clock	—	50.7%	+0.04%
59.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f76a2c → Anonymous#a6d58a	55.6%	+4.92%
73.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#41a086	57.7%	+2.05%
73.8s	Clock	—	57.7%	+0.03%
73.8s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#612e4c	58.6%	+0.85%
74.4s	Plant	Anonymous#66198e	58.4%	-0.15%
76.0s	Kill	Anonymous#66198e → MLK	57.9%	-0.57%
79.5s	Clock	—	57.8%	-0.01%
79.5s	Kill	Anonymous#66198e → Anonymous#f76a2c	55.8%	-2.03%
80.7s	Kill	Anonymous#66198e → Trzzcko	50.7%	-5.14%
81.6s	Clock	—	50.6%	-0.10%
81.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#66198e	58.3%	+7.74%
90.3s	Clock	—	58.3%	-0.01%
90.3s	Defuse	SN0RLAX	58.8%	+0.50%
90.3s	Terminal	—	58.8%	·
Round total · 24 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.8%	+8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 15,350 · half
Anonymous#f76a2ctraded	+3.10%	Kill credit+4.92%Death debit-2.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.25%	Vandal	4,050	2,950	1	189
MLK·	+1.83%	Kill credit+2.32%Death debit-0.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.12%	Odin	4,500	2,500	2	245
Anonymous#039a80opening kill	+0.20%	Kill credit+3.06%Death debit-2.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.04%	Frenzy	2,400	2,750	1	208
SN0RLAXclutch won trade	+8.93%	Kill credit+7.74%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.50%Alive clock-0.14%Centering+0.83%	Bucky	2,350	2,000	1	68
Trzzckotraded	-5.63%	Kill credit+0.17%Death debit-5.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.63%	Marshal	2,050	1,600	0	101
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 13,300 · half
Anonymous#36be7dopening death	-2.96%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.36%	Classic	1,100	2,700	0	0
Anonymous#612e4ctraded	+0.16%	Kill credit+1.03%Death debit-0.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,650	1,950	0	120
Anonymous#41a086traded	+0.90%	Kill credit+2.89%Death debit-2.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.03%	Ghost	1,750	3,400	1	343
Anonymous#a6d58a·	-5.04%	Kill credit+0.41%Death debit-4.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.57%	Odin	4,600	2,950	0	119
Anonymous#66198eclutch lost multi kill trade	-1.48%	Kill credit+6.19%Death debit-7.74%Plant+0.15%Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering-0.21%	Sheriff	1,200	2,400	3	272

Round 6 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–2Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	59.1%	+0.25%
12.7s	Clock	—	58.7%	-0.33%
12.7s	Kill	Anonymous#039a80 → Anonymous#66198e	62.4%	+3.62%
14.8s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#36be7d	65.1%	+2.74%
19.6s	Kill	Anonymous#612e4c → Anonymous#039a80	63.3%	-1.76%
27.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a6d58a → Anonymous#f76a2c	59.0%	-4.30%
28.2s	Kill	Anonymous#41a086 → SN0RLAX	54.4%	-4.65%
30.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a6d58a → Trzzcko	51.0%	-3.37%
31.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#a6d58a	52.8%	+1.75%
33.9s	Kill	Anonymous#612e4c → MLK	50.1%	-2.70%
33.9s	Terminal	—	50.0%	-0.08%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	-8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,350 · full
Anonymous#f76a2ctraded	-4.85%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.48%	Phantom	4,050	1,750	0	0
MLKclutch lost trade	+1.53%	Kill credit+4.14%Death debit-2.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.15%	Odin	4,500	3,050	2	192
Anonymous#039a80opening kill	+1.99%	Kill credit+3.62%Death debit-1.76%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.20%	Vandal	4,850	1,500	1	160
SN0RLAX·	-5.04%	Kill credit+0.18%Death debit-4.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.50%	Judge	3,350	1,000	0	102
Trzzckotraded	-3.62%	Kill credit+0.18%Death debit-3.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.36%	Vandal	4,600	2,900	0	274
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 21,750 · full
Anonymous#36be7d·	-2.97%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.30%	Vandal	4,600	1,000	0	0
Anonymous#612e4ctrade	+6.13%	Kill credit+5.45%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.61%	Vandal	4,400	100	2	360
Anonymous#41a086·	+5.23%	Kill credit+4.65%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.52%	Vandal	4,750	1,300	1	160
Anonymous#a6d58atraded	+5.54%	Kill credit+6.67%Death debit-1.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.55%	Vandal	4,100	1,050	2	240
Anonymous#66198eopening death	-3.95%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.39%	Vandal	3,900	1,300	0	40

Round 7 focal side won

Won byBlue · timer expiredScore entering3–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	46.4%	-3.60%
17.9s	Clock	—	46.2%	-0.23%
17.9s	Kill	Anonymous#41a086 → Anonymous#039a80	44.0%	-2.12%
19.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#66198e	46.4%	+2.35%
20.0s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#41a086	51.9%	+5.52%
25.8s	Kill	Anonymous#a6d58a → Trzzcko	48.5%	-3.41%
72.4s	Clock	—	48.6%	+0.09%
72.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#612e4c	55.6%	+7.04%
79.7s	Clock	—	55.7%	+0.08%
79.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a6d58a → Anonymous#f76a2c	51.3%	-4.44%
81.2s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#a6d58a	56.9%	+5.58%
93.3s	Clock	—	57.1%	+0.29%
93.3s	Revive	Anonymous#36be7d	52.3%	-4.81%
93.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#66198e	57.1%	+4.81%
94.6s	Kill	Anonymous#36be7d → MLK	52.3%	-4.82%
100.0s	Timer expired	—	52.3%	·
100.0s	Terminal	—	59.3%	+6.95%
Round total · 24 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			59.3%	+9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 13,150 · half
Anonymous#f76a2ctraded	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	3,900	2,300	0	0
MLKmulti kill trade	-2.79%	Kill credit+2.35%Death debit-4.82%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.28%	Odin	4,500	1,150	5	860
Anonymous#039a80opening death traded	-2.41%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.24%	Sheriff	2,400	1,900	0	0
SN0RLAXclutch won	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Bucky	2,350	750	1	120
Trzzcko·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Classic	0	1,900	0	5
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 21,100 · full
Anonymous#36be7dclutch lost trade	+5.40%	Kill credit+4.82%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.54%	Vandal	4,600	100	1	80
Anonymous#612e4c·	+0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,650	3,000	0	0
Anonymous#41a086opening kill	+2.41%	Kill credit+2.12%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.24%	Vandal	4,750	3,050	1	314
Anonymous#a6d58a·	+0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,300	150	2	320
Anonymous#66198etraded	-2.56%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.26%	Spectre	2,800	1,500	0	40

Round 8 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering4–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	63.7%	+4.46%
59.0s	Clock	—	63.5%	-0.20%
59.0s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#66198e	65.2%	+1.68%
66.7s	Kill	Anonymous#039a80 → Anonymous#a6d58a	66.7%	+1.44%
69.1s	Kill	Anonymous#039a80 → Anonymous#41a086	67.9%	+1.22%
71.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#36be7d	68.3%	+0.43%
72.2s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#612e4c	68.5%	+0.22%
72.2s	Terminal	—	68.5%	+0.03%
Round total · 12 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			68.5%	+9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 20,900 · full
Anonymous#f76a2c·	-0.04%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	3,900	900	0	0
MLK·	-0.04%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering<0.01%	Odin	4,200	950	0	0
Anonymous#039a80·	+2.59%	Kill credit+2.37%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.26%	Phantom	4,850	1,000	2	363
SN0RLAX·	+1.03%	Kill credit+0.97%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.10%	Judge	3,350	1,600	1	113
Trzzckoopening kill	+1.79%	Kill credit+1.65%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.18%	Vandal	4,600	3,200	2	410
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 11,300 · light
Anonymous#36be7d·	-0.43%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.04%	Classic	700	1,900	0	52
Anonymous#612e4cclutch lost	-0.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,650	850	0	120
Anonymous#41a086·	-1.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.13%	Vandal	4,750	1,000	0	0
Anonymous#a6d58a·	-1.56%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.16%	Sheriff	1,000	1,650	0	0
Anonymous#66198eopening death	-1.82%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.18%	Classic	200	3,400	0	78

Round 9 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering5–3Round leverage0.1746Leverage index1.08×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	71.5%	+2.92%
15.4s	Clock	—	71.2%	-0.28%
15.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#36be7d	73.7%	+2.56%
27.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#66198e	75.9%	+2.16%
32.1s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#41a086	76.6%	+0.69%
34.1s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#a6d58a	77.1%	+0.49%
38.1s	Kill	Anonymous#039a80 → Anonymous#612e4c	77.3%	+0.16%
38.1s	Terminal	—	77.3%	+0.03%
Round total · 12 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			77.3%	+8.73%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 22,550 · full
Anonymous#f76a2c·	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,050	3,400	0	0
MLKopening kill	+5.22%	Kill credit+4.75%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.52%	Odin	4,900	3,250	2	412
Anonymous#039a80·	+0.08%	Kill credit+0.13%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	5,650	4,100	1	78
SN0RLAX·	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering<0.01%	Judge	3,350	3,500	0	0
Trzzcko·	+1.25%	Kill credit+1.18%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.12%	Vandal	4,600	5,300	2	331
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 16,650 · half
Anonymous#36be7dopening death	-2.78%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.28%	Vandal	4,600	400	0	0
Anonymous#612e4cclutch lost	-0.12%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.01%	Sheriff	1,950	1,900	0	80
Anonymous#41a086·	-0.70%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.07%	Ghost	1,750	2,250	0	40
Anonymous#a6d58a·	-0.49%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.49%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	3,950	100	0	0
Anonymous#66198e·	-2.34%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.23%	Vandal	4,400	1,400	0	0