Split, 13–5, July 29

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

358 nodes: 18 round start, 161 clock, 161 action, 18 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on
Anonymous#a83029	Reyna	+45.51%	16	10	4	2,715
Anonymous#b4fc81	Miks	+19.58%	16	10	11	2,863
SN0RLAX	Cypher	+1.94%	19	13	7	3,271
MLK	Sova	-0.95%	17	13	4	2,721
Anonymous#573a57	Phoenix	-3.61%	15	13	2	2,696
Red · opponents
Anonymous#876416	Sage	+15.91%	19	14	3	3,836
Anonymous#51d61b	Clove	-4.15%	14	19	3	2,524
Anonymous#d54273	Jett	-16.22%	8	16	4	1,843
Anonymous#d12be0	Skye	-26.58%	9	17	4	2,008
Anonymous#f98bf9	Iso	-31.44%	9	17	0	1,998

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 12 · MLK · death debit

-9.41% match win probability points
at 7–4
Round 9 · MLK · kill credit

+7.27% match win probability points
at 5–3
Round 13 · SN0RLAX · death debit

-7.04% match win probability points
at 7–5

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	50.1%	+0.06%
16.2s	Clock	—	49.7%	-0.31%
16.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#51d61b	52.7%	+2.94%
16.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f98bf9	55.6%	+2.94%
21.4s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → SN0RLAX	54.1%	-1.54%
24.5s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#876416	56.6%	+2.47%
28.4s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → MLK	55.2%	-1.39%
34.4s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → Anonymous#b4fc81	50.5%	-4.66%
43.9s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#d12be0	55.5%	+5.03%
45.3s	Plant	Anonymous#d54273	54.8%	-0.69%
47.2s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#d54273	57.8%	+2.99%
55.6s	Defuse	Anonymous#a83029	58.1%	+0.23%
55.6s	Terminal	—	58.1%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 9 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.1%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 2,800 · eco
Anonymous#a83029·	+0.74%	Kill credit+0.60%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.23%Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.02%	Classic	850	150	0	48
Anonymous#b4fc81·	-5.35%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.63%	Classic	850	50	0	0
SN0RLAXopening kill traded	+4.66%	Kill credit+5.88%Death debit-1.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.37%	Classic	100	200	2	244
MLKtrade	+1.03%	Kill credit+2.47%Death debit-1.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering+0.01%	Classic	0	800	1	100
Anonymous#573a57·	+8.06%	Kill credit+7.42%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.71%	Classic	1,000	50	2	225
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 3,500 · eco
Anonymous#876416trade traded	-1.08%	Kill credit+1.54%Death debit-2.47%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.20%	Ghost	700	100	1	105
Anonymous#51d61bopening death	-3.30%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.94%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.42%	Classic	150	800	0	0
Anonymous#d54273clutch lost	-2.58%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.99%Plant+0.69%Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.35%	Sheriff	800	0	0	0
Anonymous#d12be0trade	+1.11%	Kill credit+6.05%Death debit-5.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.02%	Ghost	1,050	0	2	315
Anonymous#f98bf9traded	-3.30%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.94%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.42%	Sheriff	800	0	0	0

Round 2 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering1–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	63.2%	+5.19%
2.2s	Clock	—	63.1%	-0.17%
2.2s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#573a57	59.9%	-3.21%
5.5s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d54273	62.4%	+2.56%
6.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d12be0	64.6%	+2.19%
12.9s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#51d61b	65.6%	+0.95%
31.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#f98bf9	65.9%	+0.32%
33.8s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#a83029	65.6%	-0.29%
36.4s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#876416	66.1%	+0.48%
36.4s	Terminal	—	66.1%	+0.05%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			66.1%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 15,900 · half
Anonymous#a83029traded	+0.10%	Kill credit+0.42%Death debit-0.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	3,050	1,500	1	187
Anonymous#b4fc81trade	+0.60%	Kill credit+0.57%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.06%	Sheriff	2,100	1,300	1	55
SN0RLAX·	-0.04%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering<0.01%	Stinger	2,200	900	0	0
MLKmulti kill	+6.08%	Kill credit+5.51%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.61%	Odin	3,850	150	3	336
Anonymous#573a57opening death	-3.61%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.36%	Odin	4,700	250	0	22
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 4,500 · eco
Anonymous#876416clutch lost opening kill trade	+3.40%	Kill credit+3.51%Death debit-0.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.34%	Sheriff	1,000	1,700	2	316
Anonymous#51d61b·	-1.01%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.95%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.10%	Sheriff	1,550	1,600	0	0
Anonymous#d54273·	-2.81%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.28%	Ghost	500	1,700	0	21
Anonymous#d12be0·	-2.39%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.24%	Ghost	1,450	1,400	0	0
Anonymous#f98bf9traded	-0.32%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.03%	Classic	0	2,200	0	0

Round 3 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering2–0Round leverage0.1542Leverage index0.96×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	64.1%	-2.02%
16.4s	Clock	—	63.8%	-0.26%
16.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f98bf9	67.1%	+3.27%
19.2s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → Anonymous#a83029	67.2%	+0.05%
28.2s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#51d61b	70.4%	+3.23%
38.5s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → SN0RLAX	67.6%	-2.82%
38.7s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#d12be0	71.4%	+3.84%
76.8s	Clock	—	71.4%	+0.02%
76.8s	Plant	Anonymous#876416	70.2%	-1.28%
77.5s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#d54273	72.8%	+2.65%
78.5s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → MLK	70.9%	-1.95%
92.4s	Clock	—	70.4%	-0.41%
92.4s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#876416	73.7%	+3.26%
103.5s	Clock	—	73.6%	-0.09%
103.5s	Defuse	Anonymous#b4fc81	73.8%	+0.21%
103.5s	Terminal	—	73.8%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			73.8%	+7.71%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,750 · half
Anonymous#a83029	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#b4fc81trade	+7.68%	Kill credit+7.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.21%Alive clock-0.31%Centering+0.70%	Vandal	5,600	250	2	240
SN0RLAXtraded	-3.41%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.82%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.53%	Stinger	2,200	3,400	0	23
MLKopening kill	+1.26%	Kill credit+3.27%Death debit-1.95%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.01%	Odin	3,850	3,750	1	223
Anonymous#573a57·	+6.13%	Kill credit+5.90%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.31%Centering+0.53%	Guardian	3,850	0	2	453
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 16,800 · half
Anonymous#876416clutch lost	+0.31%	Kill credit+1.95%Death debit-3.26%Plant+1.28%Defuse·Alive clock+0.45%Centering-0.12%	Vandal	4,600	100	1	254
Anonymous#51d61b·	-3.80%	Kill credit-0.05%Death debit-3.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.57%	Sheriff	1,550	3,050	1	159
Anonymous#d54273·	-3.10%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.50%	Sheriff	2,000	2,100	0	0
Anonymous#d12be0·	-1.26%	Kill credit+2.82%Death debit-3.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.29%	Vandal	4,250	500	1	267
Anonymous#f98bf9opening death	-3.79%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.57%	Phantom	4,400	200	0	0

Round 4 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–0Round leverage0.1402Leverage index0.87×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	72.4%	-1.45%
10.3s	Clock	—	72.1%	-0.29%
10.3s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → MLK	69.5%	-2.54%
18.8s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → Anonymous#b4fc81	67.8%	-1.75%
40.6s	Plant	Anonymous#51d61b	67.6%	-0.22%
41.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d54273	68.0%	+0.41%
43.5s	Clock	—	68.0%	-0.01%
43.5s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → SN0RLAX	67.2%	-0.81%
50.1s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#573a57	66.8%	-0.32%
50.1s	Terminal	—	66.8%	-0.03%
Round total · 14 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			66.8%	-7.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 18,550 · half
Anonymous#a83029	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#b4fc81·	-2.08%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.25%	Vandal	5,600	2,850	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-0.56%	Kill credit+0.41%Death debit-0.81%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.09%	Vandal	4,000	2,700	1	205
MLKopening death	-2.97%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.35%	Odin	4,200	3,450	0	0
Anonymous#573a57·	-0.48%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.08%	Vandal	4,750	2,500	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 20,150 · full
Anonymous#876416·	+0.40%	Kill credit+0.32%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,000	200	1	160
Anonymous#51d61b·	+2.25%	Kill credit+1.75%Death debit·Plant+0.22%Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.23%	Phantom	4,650	2,400	1	150
Anonymous#d54273traded	-0.43%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.07%	Phantom	4,100	1,400	0	0
Anonymous#d12be0opening kill trade	+3.81%	Kill credit+3.35%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.40%	Guardian	3,600	950	2	390
Anonymous#f98bf9·	+0.04%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	3,800	100	0	0

Round 5 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–1Round leverage0.1602Leverage index0.99×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	67.1%	+0.33%
22.6s	Clock	—	66.7%	-0.42%
22.6s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#573a57	63.7%	-3.01%
25.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#f98bf9	67.1%	+3.35%
35.9s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → MLK	63.4%	-3.68%
39.0s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#51d61b	67.6%	+4.21%
42.1s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#a83029	62.7%	-4.92%
43.7s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#d12be0	67.6%	+4.89%
46.4s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#b4fc81	61.4%	-6.20%
56.8s	Clock	—	61.4%	+0.01%
56.8s	Plant	Anonymous#d54273	60.5%	-0.90%
82.6s	Clock	—	59.9%	-0.58%
82.6s	Revive	Anonymous#876416	59.2%	-0.66%
82.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d12be0	59.9%	+0.66%
86.5s	Clock	—	59.7%	-0.18%
86.5s	Kill	Anonymous#d54273 → SN0RLAX	58.9%	-0.84%
86.5s	Terminal	—	58.8%	-0.06%
Round total · 24 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.8%	-8.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 22,000 · full
Anonymous#a83029·	+2.85%	Kill credit+7.56%Death debit-4.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.28%	Vandal	4,800	2,300	2	320
Anonymous#b4fc81·	+5.34%	Kill credit+4.89%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.53%	Vandal	4,800	750	1	240
SN0RLAXclutch lost	-1.23%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.27%Centering-0.12%	Vandal	4,000	400	1	130
MLK·	-4.18%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.42%	Phantom	3,900	1,450	0	72
Anonymous#573a57opening death	-3.44%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.34%	Phantom	4,500	150	0	35
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,600 · full
Anonymous#876416multi kill opening kill trade	+12.00%	Kill credit+10.63%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.18%Centering+1.20%	Vandal	4,600	2,400	4	800
Anonymous#51d61btraded	-3.49%	Kill credit+0.98%Death debit-4.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.35%	Phantom	4,650	4,900	0	94
Anonymous#d54273trade	+0.95%	Kill credit+0.67%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.18%Centering+0.09%	Phantom	4,100	800	1	35
Anonymous#d12be0traded	-5.15%	Kill credit+0.17%Death debit-4.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.52%	Vandal	4,850	3,400	0	120
Anonymous#f98bf9·	-3.63%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.36%	Phantom	4,400	2,400	0	0

Round 6 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–2Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	56.0%	-2.82%
20.1s	Clock	—	55.7%	-0.30%
20.1s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → Anonymous#a83029	53.3%	-2.41%
23.4s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → Anonymous#b4fc81	51.6%	-1.64%
24.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#51d61b	52.4%	+0.74%
31.0s	Kill	Anonymous#d54273 → Anonymous#573a57	51.3%	-1.13%
33.3s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → MLK	50.4%	-0.80%
37.7s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → SN0RLAX	50.0%	-0.40%
37.7s	Terminal	—	50.0%	-0.05%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	-8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 15,250 · half
Anonymous#a83029opening death	-2.74%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.27%	Vandal	4,800	1,000	0	0
Anonymous#b4fc81·	-1.89%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.19%	Guardian	3,800	350	0	0
SN0RLAXclutch lost	-0.51%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.05%	Ghost	1,600	1,000	0	0
MLK·	-0.14%	Kill credit+0.74%Death debit-0.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.01%	Guardian	3,250	600	1	178
Anonymous#573a57·	-1.32%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.13%	Sheriff	1,800	1,350	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,750 · full
Anonymous#876416·	+0.51%	Kill credit+0.40%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.05%	Vandal	4,600	5,000	1	160
Anonymous#51d61b·	-0.75%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.08%	Phantom	4,650	4,150	0	0
Anonymous#d54273·	+1.32%	Kill credit+1.13%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.13%	Phantom	4,250	3,150	1	150
Anonymous#d12be0·	+1.89%	Kill credit+1.64%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.19%	Vandal	4,850	2,100	1	200
Anonymous#f98bf9opening kill	+3.64%	Kill credit+3.21%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.36%	Phantom	4,400	1,800	2	316

Round 7 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering3–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	48.4%	-1.60%
15.9s	Clock	—	48.0%	-0.43%
15.9s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#f98bf9	52.3%	+4.36%
18.5s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → MLK	48.8%	-3.54%
32.5s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#876416	54.3%	+5.53%
37.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d54273	57.4%	+3.04%
41.5s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#51d61b	58.8%	+1.48%
49.7s	Revive	Anonymous#51d61b	57.4%	-1.45%
49.7s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → Anonymous#573a57	54.9%	-2.46%
58.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#d12be0	58.5%	+3.52%
63.9s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → Anonymous#b4fc81	56.8%	-1.66%
75.4s	Clock	—	56.8%	+0.04%
75.4s	Plant	Anonymous#51d61b	55.2%	-1.60%
76.6s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → SN0RLAX	49.1%	-6.16%
82.2s	Clock	—	48.9%	-0.16%
82.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#51d61b	58.8%	+9.83%
96.2s	Clock	—	58.7%	-0.03%
96.2s	Defuse	Anonymous#a83029	59.3%	+0.55%
96.2s	Terminal	—	59.3%	·
Round total · 28 nodes, 9 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			59.3%	+9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 19,250 · half
Anonymous#a83029clutch won multi kill opening kill	+15.84%	Kill credit+14.17%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.55%Alive clock-0.26%Centering+1.37%	Phantom	4,800	0	3	370
Anonymous#b4fc81·	+2.74%	Kill credit+4.42%Death debit-1.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.06%	Guardian	3,550	500	1	195
SN0RLAX·	-2.01%	Kill credit+4.62%Death debit-6.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.41%	Bulldog	3,150	350	1	303
MLK·	-3.04%	Kill credit+1.11%Death debit-3.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.52%	Guardian	3,250	450	0	65
Anonymous#573a57·	+3.50%	Kill credit+3.45%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.14%	Vandal	4,500	0	1	259
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 23,550 · full
Anonymous#876416·	-2.35%	Kill credit+3.54%Death debit-5.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.45%	Vandal	4,600	8,200	1	160
Anonymous#51d61bclutch lost multi kill	-3.48%	Kill credit+6.59%Death debit-11.31%Plant+1.60%Defuse·Alive clock+0.20%Centering-0.56%	Phantom	4,650	3,100	3	353
Anonymous#d54273·	-2.16%	Kill credit+1.23%Death debit-3.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.43%	Phantom	5,050	6,350	0	129
Anonymous#d12be0clutch lost	-4.06%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.62%	Vandal	4,850	5,300	0	0
Anonymous#f98bf9opening death	-4.99%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.71%	Phantom	4,400	4,700	0	0

Round 8 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering4–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	57.6%	-1.69%
38.0s	Clock	—	57.2%	-0.34%
38.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d54273	61.8%	+4.59%
39.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → SN0RLAX	59.0%	-2.80%
42.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f98bf9	63.8%	+4.75%
48.3s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#51d61b	66.5%	+2.72%
49.3s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#573a57	64.2%	-2.29%
58.9s	Plant	Anonymous#876416	62.5%	-1.77%
60.4s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#d12be0	67.2%	+4.74%
65.4s	Clock	—	67.2%	-0.04%
65.4s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → MLK	64.4%	-2.76%
67.7s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#876416	68.4%	+4.01%
78.2s	Defuse	Anonymous#b4fc81	68.5%	+0.16%
78.2s	Terminal	—	68.5%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			68.5%	+9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 16,450 · half
Anonymous#a83029·	+4.96%	Kill credit+4.74%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering+0.30%	Spectre	3,500	800	1	156
Anonymous#b4fc81trade	+3.43%	Kill credit+3.21%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.16%Alive clock-0.09%Centering+0.15%	Phantom	4,800	2,350	1	195
SN0RLAXopening kill traded	+2.75%	Kill credit+5.54%Death debit-2.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.08%	Ghost	1,600	1,450	1	210
MLKtrade traded	+1.74%	Kill credit+4.60%Death debit-2.76%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.02%	Guardian	3,250	200	1	178
Anonymous#573a57·	+0.19%	Kill credit+2.72%Death debit-2.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.17%	Bulldog	3,300	150	1	169
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 20,650 · full
Anonymous#876416clutch lost trade	+3.04%	Kill credit+5.05%Death debit-4.01%Plant+1.77%Defuse·Alive clock+0.11%Centering+0.11%	Vandal	4,600	5,100	2	354
Anonymous#51d61btraded	-3.17%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.51%	Sheriff	2,550	3,500	0	0
Anonymous#d54273opening death traded	-4.61%	Kill credit+0.56%Death debit-4.59%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.65%	Phantom	4,250	4,650	0	78
Anonymous#d12be0·	-5.41%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.73%	Vandal	4,850	3,600	0	40
Anonymous#f98bf9trade	-2.93%	Kill credit+2.24%Death debit-4.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.49%	Phantom	4,400	2,800	1	195

Round 9 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering5–3Round leverage0.1746Leverage index1.08×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	66.9%	-1.61%
7.7s	Clock	—	66.6%	-0.38%
7.7s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#573a57	64.8%	-1.75%
15.1s	Kill	Anonymous#d54273 → Anonymous#b4fc81	62.2%	-2.64%
16.9s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#d12be0	63.3%	+1.16%
23.0s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#a83029	61.1%	-2.23%
24.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d54273	62.4%	+1.30%
26.6s	Plant	Anonymous#51d61b	61.9%	-0.51%
33.2s	Clock	—	61.8%	-0.06%
33.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f98bf9	65.7%	+3.92%
40.3s	Clock	—	65.2%	-0.59%
40.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#876416	72.4%	+7.27%
48.9s	Clock	—	71.6%	-0.86%
48.9s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → SN0RLAX	66.0%	-5.54%
54.1s	Clock	—	64.8%	-1.22%
54.1s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → MLK	60.0%	-4.83%
54.1s	Terminal	—	59.8%	-0.16%
Round total · 22 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			59.8%	-8.73%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 18,050 · half
Anonymous#a83029·	-1.58%	Kill credit+0.93%Death debit-2.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.21%	Vandal	4,800	2,300	1	154
Anonymous#b4fc81·	-2.82%	Kill credit+0.23%Death debit-2.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.33%	Phantom	4,800	3,950	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-1.33%	Kill credit+5.22%Death debit-5.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.83%Centering-0.18%	Bulldog	3,150	1,000	2	342
MLKclutch lost	+0.38%	Kill credit+7.27%Death debit-4.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-2.05%Centering-0.01%	Guardian	3,250	150	1	200
Anonymous#573a57opening death	-2.09%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.26%	Sheriff	2,050	2,700	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,150 · full
Anonymous#876416opening kill	-3.28%	Kill credit+3.98%Death debit-7.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.39%Centering-0.38%	Vandal	4,600	4,300	2	337
Anonymous#51d61bclutch won	+14.78%	Kill credit+10.37%Death debit·Plant+0.51%Defuse·Alive clock+2.47%Centering+1.43%	Phantom	4,650	2,150	2	258
Anonymous#d54273·	+0.93%	Kill credit+2.12%Death debit-1.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,250	3,450	1	205
Anonymous#d12be0·	-0.68%	Kill credit+0.53%Death debit-1.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.12%	Vandal	4,250	2,450	0	0
Anonymous#f98bf9·	-4.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering-0.48%	Phantom	4,400	1,800	0	39

Round 10 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering5–4Round leverage0.1964Leverage index1.22×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	57.2%	-2.62%
22.6s	Clock	—	56.8%	-0.36%
22.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#d12be0	61.6%	+4.80%
29.2s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#f98bf9	66.2%	+4.56%
39.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d54273	68.4%	+2.20%
41.6s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#51d61b	69.4%	+0.97%
45.1s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#573a57	69.2%	-0.14%
46.0s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#876416	69.6%	+0.38%
46.0s	Terminal	—	69.6%	+0.04%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			69.6%	+9.82%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 16,750 · half
Anonymous#a83029opening kill trade	+4.74%	Kill credit+4.34%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.47%	Vandal	4,800	500	2	440
Anonymous#b4fc81·	+6.05%	Kill credit+5.52%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.61%	Vandal	4,800	1,850	1	160
SN0RLAX·	+2.45%	Kill credit+2.28%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.24%	Sheriff	1,900	900	1	169
MLK·	-0.08%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering<0.01%	Ghost	500	1,750	0	0
Anonymous#573a57traded	+0.62%	Kill credit+0.78%Death debit-0.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.06%	Vandal	4,750	700	1	117
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,750 · full
Anonymous#876416clutch lost trade	-0.21%	Kill credit+0.11%Death debit-0.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,600	4,100	1	120
Anonymous#51d61btraded	-0.97%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit-0.97%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.10%	Phantom	4,650	4,250	0	148
Anonymous#d54273·	-2.37%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.24%	Vandal	4,250	3,050	0	0
Anonymous#d12be0opening death	-5.26%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.53%	Vandal	4,850	1,550	0	70
Anonymous#f98bf9·	-4.98%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.50%	Vandal	4,400	700	0	0

Round 11 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering6–4Round leverage0.1833Leverage index1.14×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	72.4%	+2.79%
20.0s	Clock	—	72.0%	-0.43%
20.0s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → Anonymous#573a57	68.5%	-3.49%
29.9s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#876416	72.7%	+4.21%
46.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#51d61b	76.3%	+3.61%
56.9s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → Anonymous#b4fc81	73.0%	-3.28%
59.8s	Revive	Anonymous#51d61b	68.1%	-4.95%
59.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#51d61b	73.0%	+4.95%
64.8s	Clock	—	73.1%	+0.03%
64.8s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d12be0	76.9%	+3.83%
67.7s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → MLK	73.7%	-3.25%
68.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f98bf9	76.9%	+3.20%
74.3s	Clock	—	76.9%	+0.03%
74.3s	Kill	Anonymous#d54273 → SN0RLAX	72.2%	-4.67%
80.0s	Clock	—	72.3%	+0.09%
80.0s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#d54273	78.5%	+6.21%
80.0s	Terminal	—	78.8%	+0.28%
Round total · 24 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			78.8%	+9.16%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 23,850 · full
Anonymous#a83029clutch won	+7.87%	Kill credit+7.05%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.79%	Phantom	4,800	2,450	1	243
Anonymous#b4fc81·	+3.64%	Kill credit+3.36%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering+0.36%	Vandal	4,800	1,050	1	160
SN0RLAXtrade	-1.70%	Kill credit+3.20%Death debit-4.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.17%	Vandal	4,800	3,600	2	400
MLKtraded	+4.58%	Kill credit+7.44%Death debit-3.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.46%	Vandal	4,700	3,450	2	280
Anonymous#573a57opening death	-3.97%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.49%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.40%	Phantom	4,750	2,300	0	35
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 17,200 · half
Anonymous#876416·	-4.58%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.46%	Vandal	4,600	2,300	0	40
Anonymous#51d61bopening kill	-0.04%	Kill credit+3.49%Death debit-3.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	1,850	1	297
Anonymous#d54273clutch lost	-1.76%	Kill credit+4.67%Death debit-6.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.18%	Vandal	4,250	1,050	1	142
Anonymous#d12be0traded	-4.17%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.42%	Guardian	3,200	650	1	156
Anonymous#f98bf9trade	+0.13%	Kill credit+3.25%Death debit-3.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.01%	Classic	500	2,600	1	280

Round 12 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering7–4Round leverage0.1571Leverage index0.98×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	80.7%	+1.88%
36.2s	Clock	—	80.3%	-0.36%
36.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#d12be0	82.8%	+2.46%
38.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → Anonymous#a83029	80.3%	-2.46%
39.3s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → SN0RLAX	76.4%	-3.92%
43.7s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#51d61b	80.6%	+4.19%
44.2s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#573a57	75.8%	-4.84%
45.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → Anonymous#b4fc81	72.1%	-3.63%
58.6s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f98bf9	74.4%	+2.28%
66.4s	Clock	—	74.4%	+0.03%
66.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d54273	80.3%	+5.90%
68.4s	Clock	—	80.4%	+0.03%
68.4s	Revive	Anonymous#876416	74.1%	-6.28%
68.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f98bf9	80.6%	+6.47%
70.4s	Clock	—	80.6%	+0.01%
70.4s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → MLK	71.2%	-9.41%
70.4s	Terminal	—	70.9%	-0.21%
Round total · 24 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			70.9%	-7.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 23,150 · full
Anonymous#a83029opening kill	-0.08%	Kill credit+2.46%Death debit-2.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,800	3,950	1	140
Anonymous#b4fc81trade	+0.54%	Kill credit+4.19%Death debit-3.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.05%	Vandal	4,800	0	1	160
SN0RLAXtraded	-4.43%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.44%	Odin	4,300	2,200	0	0
MLKclutch lost multi kill	-7.98%	Kill credit+2.28%Death debit-9.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.80%	Odin	4,500	2,650	3	380
Anonymous#573a57·	-5.46%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.55%	Phantom	4,750	800	0	78
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 19,750 · half
Anonymous#876416clutch won trade	+15.90%	Kill credit+14.25%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+1.59%	Vandal	4,600	800	2	342
Anonymous#51d61btraded	-0.29%	Kill credit+3.86%Death debit-4.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.03%	Phantom	4,950	100	1	162
Anonymous#d54273traded	+0.95%	Kill credit+0.78%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.09%	Sheriff	1,950	1,850	0	100
Anonymous#d12be0opening death traded	-2.66%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.27%	Guardian	3,850	100	0	0
Anonymous#f98bf9trade traded	+3.50%	Kill credit+5.36%Death debit-2.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.35%	Vandal	4,400	800	2	360

Round 13 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering7–5Round leverage0.1934Leverage index1.20×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	70.8%	-0.19%
24.0s	Clock	—	71.1%	+0.39%
24.0s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → Anonymous#573a57	66.6%	-4.59%
26.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#51d61b	69.4%	+2.88%
40.8s	Kill	Anonymous#d54273 → MLK	65.9%	-3.55%
41.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d54273	70.4%	+4.51%
43.5s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → Anonymous#b4fc81	65.0%	-5.38%
49.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d12be0	70.3%	+5.25%
52.5s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#876416	76.9%	+6.68%
56.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → SN0RLAX	69.9%	-7.04%
59.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#f98bf9	80.3%	+10.36%
59.7s	Terminal	—	80.6%	+0.35%
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			80.6%	+9.67%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 3,400 · eco
Anonymous#a83029clutch won trade	+16.72%	Kill credit+14.97%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering+1.67%	Classic	850	150	2	208
Anonymous#b4fc81·	-3.08%	Kill credit+2.53%Death debit-5.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.31%	Classic	850	50	0	52
SN0RLAXmulti kill trade traded	+5.80%	Kill credit+12.19%Death debit-7.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering+0.58%	Ghost	700	100	3	394
MLKtraded	-3.85%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.55%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.39%	Classic	0	800	0	44
Anonymous#573a57opening death traded	-5.01%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.59%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.50%	Classic	1,000	50	0	0
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 3,500 · eco
Anonymous#876416·	-5.53%	Kill credit+1.78%Death debit-6.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.55%	Classic	700	100	0	140
Anonymous#51d61bopening kill	+1.81%	Kill credit+4.59%Death debit-2.88%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.18%	Classic	150	800	1	156
Anonymous#d54273·	-1.17%	Kill credit+3.54%Death debit-4.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.12%	Sheriff	800	0	1	211
Anonymous#d12be0·	-0.34%	Kill credit+5.01%Death debit-5.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.03%	Ghost	1,050	0	1	228
Anonymous#f98bf9clutch lost	-5.34%	Kill credit+5.63%Death debit-10.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.53%	Sheriff	800	0	1	214

Round 14 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering8–5Round leverage0.1611Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	85.5%	+4.84%
14.3s	Clock	—	85.5%	+0.06%
14.3s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#876416	86.5%	+1.01%
17.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#51d61b	87.5%	+0.93%
23.1s	Plant	SN0RLAX	87.7%	+0.23%
29.4s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#f98bf9	88.1%	+0.46%
30.7s	Kill	Anonymous#d54273 → Anonymous#a83029	87.9%	-0.19%
31.6s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#d54273	88.4%	+0.44%
32.2s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d12be0	88.6%	+0.25%
32.2s	Terminal	—	88.7%	+0.03%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			88.7%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 15,800 · half
Anonymous#a83029traded	-0.22%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.05%	Marshal	2,250	1,800	0	0
Anonymous#b4fc81·	+0.50%	Kill credit+0.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.03%	Guardian	3,550	0	1	130
SN0RLAX·	+1.06%	Kill credit+0.74%Death debit·Plant+0.23%Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.08%	Stinger	2,700	1,500	1	88
MLK·	+0.57%	Kill credit+0.52%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.03%	Odin	3,850	250	1	164
Anonymous#573a57opening kill trade	+1.51%	Kill credit+1.37%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.13%	Bulldog	3,450	150	2	193
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 3,000 · eco
Anonymous#876416opening death	-1.16%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.14%	Classic	300	1,700	0	123
Anonymous#51d61b·	-1.07%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.93%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.13%	Ghost	650	2,400	0	0
Anonymous#d54273·	-0.32%	Kill credit+0.19%Death debit-0.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.05%	Marshal	1,100	1,000	1	202
Anonymous#d12be0clutch lost	-0.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.05%	Classic	950	1,400	0	22
Anonymous#f98bf9·	-0.55%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.08%	Classic	0	2,100	0	52

Round 15 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering9–5Round leverage0.1172Leverage index0.73×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	88.5%	-0.17%
6.8s	Clock	—	88.7%	+0.25%
6.8s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#51d61b	91.2%	+2.46%
17.6s	Kill	Anonymous#876416 → Anonymous#a83029	88.6%	-2.58%
20.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#876416	91.7%	+3.07%
25.3s	Kill	Anonymous#d54273 → SN0RLAX	88.8%	-2.85%
25.6s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f98bf9	92.5%	+3.71%
36.7s	Plant	Anonymous#b4fc81	93.0%	+0.42%
42.7s	Clock	—	93.0%	+0.04%
42.7s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#d12be0	94.1%	+1.11%
51.7s	Clock	—	94.1%	+0.04%
51.7s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#d54273	94.5%	+0.35%
51.7s	Terminal	—	94.5%	+0.03%
Round total · 18 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			94.5%	+5.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 18,450 · half
Anonymous#a83029traded	-2.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.33%	Phantom	4,800	1,200	0	0
Anonymous#b4fc81·	+1.67%	Kill credit+1.05%Death debit·Plant+0.42%Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.13%	Guardian	3,550	2,500	0	149
SN0RLAXtrade	-0.02%	Kill credit+2.82%Death debit-2.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.04%	Stinger	2,700	3,800	1	83
MLKopening kill	+6.06%	Kill credit+5.42%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.56%	Odin	3,850	3,750	2	325
Anonymous#573a57·	+1.58%	Kill credit+1.39%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.12%	Bulldog	3,550	2,600	2	316
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 18,700 · half
Anonymous#876416·	-0.64%	Kill credit+2.58%Death debit-3.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.11%	Vandal	4,100	0	1	280
Anonymous#51d61bopening death	-2.83%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.33%	Phantom	4,650	300	0	51
Anonymous#d54273clutch lost	+2.62%	Kill credit+2.85%Death debit-0.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering+0.22%	Sheriff	1,950	1,800	1	275
Anonymous#d12be0·	-1.35%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.11%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.18%	Guardian	3,600	850	0	0
Anonymous#f98bf9·	-4.22%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.71%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.46%	Vandal	4,400	100	0	40

Round 16 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering10–5Round leverage0.0703Leverage index0.44×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	96.2%	+1.66%
29.9s	Clock	—	96.3%	+0.10%
29.9s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#d12be0	97.0%	+0.68%
29.9s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#51d61b	97.4%	+0.45%
30.4s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → Anonymous#b4fc81	97.1%	-0.30%
38.6s	Plant	SN0RLAX	97.3%	+0.20%
43.9s	Clock	—	97.3%	+0.01%
43.9s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#876416	97.7%	+0.35%
44.3s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#f98bf9	97.9%	+0.21%
45.5s	Kill	Anonymous#d54273 → Anonymous#a83029	97.8%	-0.09%
47.9s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#d54273	98.0%	+0.22%
47.9s	Terminal	—	98.0%	+0.02%
Round total · 18 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			98.0%	+3.52%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,550 · full
Anonymous#a83029traded	-0.12%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	4,800	600	0	40
Anonymous#b4fc81opening kill	-0.36%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.06%	Phantom	4,300	4,700	2	387
SN0RLAX·	+0.21%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.20%Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,500	3,400	0	0
MLK·	-0.02%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Odin	4,200	6,450	0	0
Anonymous#573a57multi kill trade	+0.85%	Kill credit+0.78%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Vandal	4,750	4,700	3	560
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 12,550 · half
Anonymous#876416·	-0.40%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit-0.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.07%	Sheriff	1,400	1,900	0	145
Anonymous#51d61b	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#d54273clutch lost	-0.20%	Kill credit+0.07%Death debit-0.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Phantom	4,050	1,000	1	156
Anonymous#d12be0opening death traded	+0.04%	Kill credit+0.06%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,250	450	0	0
Anonymous#f98bf9trade	<0.01%	Kill credit+0.24%Death debit-0.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Classic	300	3,000	1	182

Round 17 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering11–5Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	98.5%	+0.47%
9.5s	Clock	—	98.6%	+0.05%
9.5s	Kill	Anonymous#573a57 → Anonymous#d12be0	98.9%	+0.32%
16.7s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#876416	99.2%	+0.34%
19.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f98bf9 → SN0RLAX	99.0%	-0.18%
31.3s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → Anonymous#a83029	98.3%	-0.75%
34.1s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → Anonymous#573a57	97.3%	-1.00%
38.3s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → MLK	96.7%	-0.64%
39.5s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#f98bf9	97.1%	+0.44%
52.3s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#d54273	98.3%	+1.20%
59.4s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#51d61b	99.6%	+1.27%
59.4s	Terminal	—	99.6%	+0.04%
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			99.6%	+1.56%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 23,050 · full
Anonymous#a83029·	-0.82%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.08%	Vandal	4,800	0	0	0
Anonymous#b4fc81clutch won multi kill	+2.86%	Kill credit+2.57%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.29%	Phantom	4,800	3,900	3	506
SN0RLAX·	-0.09%	Kill credit+0.09%Death debit-0.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,500	5,200	0	80
MLK·	-0.32%	Kill credit+0.34%Death debit-0.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Odin	4,200	9,000	1	176
Anonymous#573a57opening kill	-0.47%	Kill credit+0.57%Death debit-1.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,750	8,350	1	234
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 17,100 · half
Anonymous#876416·	-0.39%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	4,600	200	0	0
Anonymous#51d61bclutch lost multi kill	+1.24%	Kill credit+2.39%Death debit-1.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.12%	Classic	1,750	2,750	3	462
Anonymous#d54273·	-1.35%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.13%	Phantom	4,050	200	0	84
Anonymous#d12be0opening death	-0.36%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Marshal	2,300	1,450	0	0
Anonymous#f98bf9·	-0.30%	Kill credit+0.18%Death debit-0.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,400	1,700	1	240

Round 18 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering12–5Round leverage0.0078Leverage index0.05×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	99.7%	+0.11%
11.4s	Clock	—	99.7%	+0.01%
11.4s	Kill	Anonymous#d12be0 → Anonymous#573a57	99.5%	-0.20%
11.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d12be0	99.7%	+0.20%
16.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#d54273	99.9%	+0.12%
19.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f98bf9	99.9%	+0.09%
26.7s	Kill	Anonymous#51d61b → MLK	99.9%	-0.06%
27.3s	Kill	Anonymous#b4fc81 → Anonymous#51d61b	100.0%	+0.08%
32.7s	Revive	Anonymous#51d61b	99.9%	-0.08%
32.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a83029 → Anonymous#51d61b	100.0%	+0.08%
34.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#876416	100.0%	+0.03%
34.3s	Terminal	—	100.0%	<0.01%
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			100.0%	+0.39%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,800 · full
Anonymous#a83029·	+0.14%	Kill credit+0.12%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.01%	Phantom	4,800	1,750	2	409
Anonymous#b4fc81trade	+0.10%	Kill credit+0.09%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.01%	Phantom	4,550	3,250	1	234
SN0RLAXmulti kill trade	+0.36%	Kill credit+0.32%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,500	4,300	3	600
MLKtraded	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Odin	4,200	4,800	0	0
Anonymous#573a57opening death traded	-0.22%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	4,750	4,500	0	0
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 17,550 · half
Anonymous#876416clutch lost	-0.03%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Classic	1,700	1,600	0	0
Anonymous#51d61b·	-0.03%	Kill credit+0.06%Death debit-0.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	2,000	1	234
Anonymous#d54273·	-0.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Sheriff	1,950	1,300	0	55
Anonymous#d12be0opening kill	<0.01%	Kill credit+0.20%Death debit-0.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,850	450	1	200
Anonymous#f98bf9·	-0.10%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	4,400	900	0	80