Haven, 13–7, August 8

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

372 nodes: 20 round start, 166 clock, 166 action, 20 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Red · the side the four played on
Anonymous#84c6ab	Jett	+34.45%	27	11	4	4,418
SN0RLAX	Cypher	+16.36%	18	9	5	3,533
Trzzcko	Omen	+14.79%	19	14	8	3,088
MLK	Sova	-4.55%	10	13	5	2,197
Anonymous#c3001c	Neon	-8.32%	12	17	6	2,518
Blue · opponents
Anonymous#5c7b17	Tejo	+8.25%	24	16	4	4,505
Anonymous#9ae0ac	Clove	-3.84%	12	16	4	2,049
Anonymous#2d69cd	Jett	-11.76%	12	20	4	2,313
Anonymous#cff9b0	Phoenix	-13.81%	12	17	5	2,890
Anonymous#d8ce8f	Miks	-31.57%	4	17	5	1,277

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 11 · MLK · death debit

-8.73% match win probability points
at 6–4
Round 11 · MLK · kill credit

+7.63% match win probability points
at 6–4
Round 5 · SN0RLAX · death debit

-6.65% match win probability points
at 3–1

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	48.4%	-1.63%
13.3s	Clock	—	48.6%	+0.20%
13.3s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → SN0RLAX	45.6%	-2.96%
14.7s	Clock	—	45.6%	-0.01%
14.7s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#cff9b0	48.7%	+3.08%
21.1s	Clock	—	48.6%	-0.07%
21.1s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → Anonymous#c3001c	44.9%	-3.69%
21.1s	Plant	MLK	45.7%	+0.79%
22.9s	Clock	—	45.8%	+0.10%
22.9s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → MLK	43.7%	-2.08%
23.0s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#5c7b17	45.8%	+2.09%
31.9s	Clock	—	46.1%	+0.28%
31.9s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#2d69cd	50.8%	+4.75%
35.5s	Clock	—	51.2%	+0.37%
35.5s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → Anonymous#84c6ab	45.4%	-5.78%
37.2s	Clock	—	45.5%	+0.03%
37.2s	Kill	Anonymous#d8ce8f → Trzzcko	42.1%	-3.31%
46.9s	Clock	—	42.2%	+0.07%
46.9s	Defuse	Anonymous#9ae0ac	41.9%	-0.28%
46.9s	Terminal	—	41.9%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 2 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			41.9%	-8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 2,700 · eco
Anonymous#84c6ab·	-3.77%	Kill credit+2.09%Death debit-5.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.38%Centering-0.46%	Bandit	600	200	1	167
SN0RLAXopening death traded	-3.33%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.41%	Classic	400	200	0	0
Trzzckoclutch lost trade	+5.39%	Kill credit+7.83%Death debit-3.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.41%Centering+0.46%	Ghost	900	50	2	210
MLK·	-1.46%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.08%Plant+0.79%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.23%	Classic	0	800	0	0
Anonymous#c3001c·	-4.17%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.50%	Ghost	800	0	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 4,100 · eco
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-2.46%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.32%	Classic	950	0	0	0
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	+5.96%	Kill credit+5.78%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.34%Centering+0.52%	Classic	900	50	1	118
Anonymous#2d69cd·	+0.89%	Kill credit+5.77%Death debit-4.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.14%Centering+0.01%	Ghost	500	300	2	306
Anonymous#cff9b0opening kill	-0.26%	Kill credit+2.96%Death debit-3.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.10%	Ghost	900	150	1	175
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	+3.21%	Kill credit+3.31%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.34%Centering+0.24%	Ghost	850	50	1	90

Round 2 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–1Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	36.9%	-5.07%
14.1s	Clock	—	37.0%	+0.14%
14.1s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	40.4%	+3.37%
23.3s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → MLK	37.7%	-2.66%
28.5s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#cff9b0	41.5%	+3.80%
31.7s	Plant	Trzzcko	43.2%	+1.72%
44.6s	Clock	—	43.9%	+0.63%
44.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#84c6ab	40.7%	-3.17%
47.1s	Clock	—	41.1%	+0.44%
47.1s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#5c7b17	46.4%	+5.21%
50.9s	Clock	—	46.5%	+0.15%
50.9s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → Trzzcko	41.5%	-5.04%
58.7s	Clock	—	42.8%	+1.32%
58.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#2d69cd	47.6%	+4.85%
68.8s	Clock	—	49.1%	+1.45%
68.8s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#9ae0ac	49.9%	+0.87%
68.8s	Terminal	—	50.0%	+0.05%
Round total · 20 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 4,700 · eco
Anonymous#84c6abopening kill traded	+4.78%	Kill credit+7.46%Death debit-3.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.19%Centering+0.31%	Classic	400	2,200	2	313
SN0RLAX·	+7.36%	Kill credit+5.02%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+1.77%Centering+0.56%	Ghost	1,500	1,300	1	150
Trzzckotrade	+1.59%	Kill credit+4.55%Death debit-5.04%Plant+1.72%Defuse·Alive clock+0.38%Centering-0.01%	Marshal	2,100	700	1	101
MLK·	-3.12%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.48%	Ghost	500	2,500	0	0
Anonymous#c3001c·	+2.97%	Kill credit+1.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+1.77%Centering+0.13%	Classic	200	2,000	1	288
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 13,850 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17traded	-1.22%	Kill credit+4.67%Death debit-5.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.39%Centering-0.29%	Bulldog	3,000	150	2	232
Anonymous#9ae0acclutch lost	-3.42%	Kill credit+0.53%Death debit-0.87%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-2.57%Centering-0.51%	Marshal	2,600	1,300	0	0
Anonymous#2d69cdtrade	-1.22%	Kill credit+5.04%Death debit-4.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-1.12%Centering-0.29%	Guardian	3,200	500	1	260
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-4.45%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.62%	Sheriff	1,650	1,950	0	0
Anonymous#d8ce8fopening death	-3.27%	Kill credit+0.63%Death debit-3.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.50%	Spectre	3,400	700	0	52

Round 3 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering1–1Round leverage0.1682Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	53.9%	+3.86%
2.9s	Clock	—	53.9%	+0.05%
2.9s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#2d69cd	55.8%	+1.86%
9.3s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → Anonymous#c3001c	53.3%	-2.44%
20.2s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#9ae0ac	55.8%	+2.52%
33.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#cff9b0	57.2%	+1.39%
40.8s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#5c7b17	57.9%	+0.67%
50.8s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	58.4%	+0.48%
50.8s	Terminal	—	58.4%	+0.04%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.4%	+8.41%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 19,550 · half
Anonymous#84c6abmulti kill	+3.52%	Kill credit+3.16%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.35%	Vandal	4,450	1,450	3	480
SN0RLAX·	+1.56%	Kill credit+1.39%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.16%	Marshal	2,850	2,650	1	185
Trzzcko·	+0.57%	Kill credit+0.50%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.06%	Stinger	3,650	1,950	0	0
MLK·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Odin	4,200	1,600	0	0
Anonymous#c3001copening kill	-0.64%	Kill credit+1.86%Death debit-2.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.06%	Phantom	4,400	1,100	1	105
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 9,400 · light
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-0.75%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.08%	Sheriff	1,350	1,250	0	0
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	-2.81%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.28%	Sheriff	1,950	1,850	0	0
Anonymous#2d69cdopening death	-2.07%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.86%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.21%	Sheriff	1,350	1,400	0	0
Anonymous#cff9b0·	+1.16%	Kill credit+2.44%Death debit-1.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.12%	Sheriff	2,050	2,050	1	168
Anonymous#d8ce8fclutch lost	-0.54%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Sheriff	2,700	700	0	0

Round 4 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering2–1Round leverage0.1682Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	57.8%	-0.58%
14.4s	Clock	—	58.1%	+0.25%
14.4s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#c3001c	54.6%	-3.45%
16.1s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#2d69cd	58.2%	+3.56%
20.3s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#5c7b17	61.6%	+3.36%
23.2s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#d8ce8f	64.7%	+3.14%
27.4s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#cff9b0	66.2%	+1.54%
32.9s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#9ae0ac	66.8%	+0.54%
32.9s	Terminal	—	66.8%	+0.04%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			66.8%	+8.41%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 20,350 · full
Anonymous#84c6abmulti kill	+9.27%	Kill credit+8.30%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.93%	Vandal	4,450	5,000	4	697
SN0RLAX·	+0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	2,850	5,950	0	0
Trzzcko·	+3.55%	Kill credit+3.14%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.35%	Stinger	3,650	4,850	1	135
MLK·	+0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Odin	5,000	4,900	0	0
Anonymous#c3001copening death	-2.98%	Kill credit+0.71%Death debit-3.45%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.30%	Phantom	4,400	400	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 20,050 · full
Anonymous#5c7b17opening kill	-0.72%	Kill credit+2.76%Death debit-3.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.07%	Phantom	3,450	350	1	234
Anonymous#9ae0acclutch lost	-0.27%	Kill credit+0.34%Death debit-0.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.03%	Phantom	4,650	200	0	39
Anonymous#2d69cd·	-3.63%	Kill credit+0.34%Death debit-3.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.36%	Guardian	3,650	550	0	65
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-1.77%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.18%	Vandal	4,750	150	0	0
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	-3.55%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.35%	Guardian	3,550	350	0	0

Round 5 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering3–1Round leverage0.1602Leverage index0.99×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	70.5%	+3.64%
14.6s	Clock	—	70.6%	+0.15%
14.6s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → Anonymous#84c6ab	68.2%	-2.42%
19.9s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#cff9b0	70.4%	+2.16%
28.7s	Plant	MLK	71.2%	+0.84%
29.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#2d69cd	72.8%	+1.64%
30.3s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#d8ce8f	74.0%	+1.18%
32.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#c3001c	73.2%	-0.80%
46.1s	Clock	—	73.5%	+0.29%
46.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Trzzcko	70.9%	-2.64%
49.8s	Clock	—	71.2%	+0.29%
49.8s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → SN0RLAX	64.5%	-6.65%
65.5s	Clock	—	69.6%	+5.13%
65.5s	Defuse	Anonymous#9ae0ac	58.8%	-10.83%
65.5s	Terminal	—	58.8%	·
Round total · 20 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.8%	-8.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 25,100 · full
Anonymous#84c6abopening death	-2.38%	Kill credit+0.33%Death debit-2.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.32%	Vandal	4,450	7,800	0	80
SN0RLAX·	-5.72%	Kill credit+1.31%Death debit-6.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.27%Centering-0.66%	Vandal	4,800	5,700	1	40
Trzzcko·	-2.89%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering-0.37%	Phantom	5,450	5,300	0	0
MLKclutch lost	+3.54%	Kill credit+2.16%Death debit·Plant+0.84%Defuse·Alive clock+0.27%Centering+0.27%	Odin	5,700	6,500	1	152
Anonymous#c3001c·	+0.37%	Kill credit+1.18%Death debit-0.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.05%	Phantom	4,700	2,200	1	234
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 12,800 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17multi kill trade	+3.37%	Kill credit+3.44%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.32%Centering+0.25%	Phantom	3,450	150	3	409
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	+6.94%	Kill credit+6.65%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.32%Centering+0.61%	Bucky	2,250	1,450	1	160
Anonymous#2d69cdopening kill	+0.74%	Kill credit+2.42%Death debit-1.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,150	1,300	1	170
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-2.53%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.34%	Sheriff	2,050	1,850	0	110
Anonymous#d8ce8ftraded	-1.44%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.23%	Spectre	2,900	1,150	0	22

Round 6 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering3–2Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	58.8%	-0.05%
4.9s	Clock	—	59.2%	+0.40%
4.9s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → Anonymous#84c6ab	55.3%	-3.89%
18.9s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → MLK	52.6%	-2.64%
27.6s	Plant	Trzzcko	53.5%	+0.89%
35.6s	Clock	—	53.7%	+0.18%
35.6s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → Trzzcko	51.4%	-2.32%
35.8s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#c3001c	50.4%	-1.01%
39.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#2d69cd	50.5%	+0.16%
41.2s	Clock	—	50.6%	+0.05%
41.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d8ce8f	51.3%	+0.70%
54.1s	Clock	—	52.4%	+1.17%
54.1s	Defuse	Anonymous#cff9b0	50.0%	-2.44%
54.1s	Terminal	—	50.0%	·
Round total · 18 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	-8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,600 · full
Anonymous#84c6abopening death	-4.34%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.52%	Vandal	4,450	5,100	0	0
SN0RLAXclutch lost trade	+1.07%	Kill credit+0.86%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.20%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,500	3,600	2	365
Trzzckotraded	-1.53%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.32%Plant+0.89%Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering-0.24%	Vandal	4,650	3,200	0	40
MLK·	-2.95%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.38%	Phantom	4,600	5,000	0	0
Anonymous#c3001c·	-1.07%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering-0.20%	Phantom	4,400	700	0	108
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 21,400 · full
Anonymous#5c7b17·	+4.33%	Kill credit+4.12%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering+0.34%	Phantom	4,200	3,000	2	423
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	-0.24%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering-0.11%	Vandal	5,450	3,500	0	19
Anonymous#2d69cdopening kill	+5.98%	Kill credit+5.75%Death debit-0.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering+0.51%	Sheriff	2,200	2,500	2	250
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-0.24%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering-0.11%	Vandal	4,750	550	0	0
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	-1.02%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering-0.19%	Vandal	4,800	150	0	0

Round 7 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	49.6%	-0.36%
16.7s	Clock	—	50.0%	+0.40%
16.7s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#cff9b0	53.6%	+3.59%
25.9s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → Anonymous#c3001c	50.3%	-3.38%
32.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d8ce8f	54.0%	+3.77%
34.0s	Plant	MLK	55.3%	+1.24%
36.7s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → MLK	51.4%	-3.85%
36.9s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#5c7b17	56.0%	+4.57%
38.6s	Clock	—	56.0%	+0.05%
38.6s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#2d69cd	58.5%	+2.45%
47.1s	Clock	—	58.6%	+0.08%
47.1s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → Trzzcko	57.6%	-0.96%
47.1s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#9ae0ac	59.2%	+1.60%
47.1s	Terminal	—	59.3%	+0.06%
Round total · 20 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			59.3%	+9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,500 · full
Anonymous#84c6abtrade	+1.78%	Kill credit+1.60%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering+0.05%	Operator	6,250	2,100	1	150
SN0RLAX·	+4.19%	Kill credit+3.77%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering+0.29%	Vandal	4,300	2,400	1	160
Trzzckotrade traded	+5.18%	Kill credit+5.62%Death debit-0.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering+0.39%	Vandal	4,650	1,850	2	240
MLKtraded	-2.40%	Kill credit+0.49%Death debit-3.85%Plant+1.24%Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.36%	Odin	4,900	3,500	0	76
Anonymous#c3001copening kill	+1.20%	Kill credit+4.50%Death debit-3.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,400	2,400	1	429
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 23,650 · full
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-5.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.66%	Phantom	4,800	4,650	0	0
Anonymous#9ae0acclutch lost	-1.06%	Kill credit+0.96%Death debit-1.60%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.19%Centering-0.23%	Vandal	5,450	6,100	1	160
Anonymous#2d69cd·	+4.30%	Kill credit+6.55%Death debit-2.45%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering+0.31%	Vandal	4,300	1,650	2	148
Anonymous#cff9b0opening death	-3.47%	Kill credit+0.68%Death debit-3.59%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.47%	Vandal	5,550	2,300	0	160
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	-4.41%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.57%	Guardian	3,550	400	0	130

Round 8 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	62.1%	+2.78%
16.2s	Clock	—	62.4%	+0.35%
16.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#cff9b0	64.2%	+1.84%
21.5s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#9ae0ac	66.3%	+2.04%
27.9s	Kill	Anonymous#d8ce8f → Anonymous#c3001c	65.0%	-1.24%
31.9s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	67.0%	+1.99%
32.0s	Revive	Anonymous#9ae0ac	64.7%	-2.34%
32.0s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#9ae0ac	67.0%	+2.34%
46.0s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → MLK	65.3%	-1.74%
51.6s	Clock	—	65.3%	-0.01%
51.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Trzzcko	60.4%	-4.90%
53.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5c7b17	66.4%	+5.97%
60.8s	Clock	—	66.3%	-0.02%
60.8s	Plant	SN0RLAX	67.1%	+0.77%
75.1s	Clock	—	67.3%	+0.16%
75.1s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#2d69cd	68.5%	+1.22%
75.1s	Terminal	—	68.5%	+0.06%
Round total · 24 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			68.5%	+9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,200 · full
Anonymous#84c6abtrade	+1.42%	Kill credit+1.22%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering+0.07%	Operator	6,250	5,600	2	310
SN0RLAXopening kill trade	+8.27%	Kill credit+6.62%Death debit·Plant+0.77%Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering+0.75%	Vandal	4,300	4,500	2	365
Trzzckotraded	-1.87%	Kill credit+3.23%Death debit-4.90%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.26%	Vandal	4,650	1,250	1	160
MLK·	-1.94%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.27%	Phantom	4,600	2,600	1	195
Anonymous#c3001ctraded	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.08%	Phantom	4,400	1,500	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 16,550 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-0.89%	Kill credit+5.31%Death debit-5.97%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.17%	Phantom	4,800	2,100	2	340
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	-0.95%	Kill credit+1.33%Death debit-2.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.17%	Phantom	4,650	4,150	0	146
Anonymous#2d69cdclutch lost	-1.67%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.20%Centering-0.24%	Spectre	2,000	2,200	0	44
Anonymous#cff9b0opening death	-2.21%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.30%	Marshal	2,200	2,600	0	101
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	-0.16%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.09%	Spectre	2,900	200	1	156

Round 9 focal side won

Won byRed · detonateScore entering5–3Round leverage0.1746Leverage index1.08×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	68.6%	+0.09%
7.9s	Clock	—	69.0%	+0.39%
7.9s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	71.9%	+2.87%
18.3s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#5c7b17	74.3%	+2.42%
18.7s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#2d69cd	76.0%	+1.72%
26.2s	Plant	MLK	76.3%	+0.28%
31.2s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → Anonymous#84c6ab	76.0%	-0.37%
41.8s	Clock	—	76.1%	+0.10%
41.8s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#cff9b0	76.9%	+0.84%
69.0s	Clock	—	77.1%	+0.25%
69.0s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → Trzzcko	77.1%	-0.06%
70.4s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → Anonymous#c3001c	76.9%	-0.24%
71.2s	Detonate	—	76.9%	·
71.2s	Terminal	—	77.3%	+0.42%
Round total · 20 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			77.3%	+8.73%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,500 · full
Anonymous#84c6abopening kill	+5.71%	Kill credit+5.46%Death debit-0.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering+0.54%	Operator	6,250	4,950	2	400
SN0RLAXtrade	+0.35%	Kill credit+0.17%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,300	6,700	1	242
Trzzckotraded	+1.03%	Kill credit+0.85%Death debit-0.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering+0.08%	Vandal	4,650	3,350	1	273
MLK·	+1.99%	Kill credit+1.38%Death debit·Plant+0.28%Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering+0.17%	Odin	4,900	1,900	1	75
Anonymous#c3001ctraded	-0.11%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering-0.04%	Phantom	4,400	900	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 22,050 · full
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-2.81%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.31%	Phantom	4,800	450	0	0
Anonymous#9ae0acclutch lost	-0.14%	Kill credit+0.28%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.38%Centering-0.04%	Phantom	4,650	2,500	2	234
Anonymous#2d69cd·	-2.03%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.23%	Phantom	4,300	150	0	117
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-0.69%	Kill credit+0.38%Death debit-0.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering-0.10%	Vandal	4,750	850	1	280
Anonymous#d8ce8fopening death	-3.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.87%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.36%	Guardian	3,550	50	0	0

Round 10 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering6–3Round leverage0.1527Leverage index0.95×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	79.2%	+1.95%
10.1s	Clock	—	79.5%	+0.29%
10.1s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → SN0RLAX	75.7%	-3.82%
12.0s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#9ae0ac	79.2%	+3.50%
12.2s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#84c6ab	74.9%	-4.31%
21.0s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#2d69cd	78.7%	+3.85%
27.8s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → Anonymous#c3001c	73.8%	-4.93%
33.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Trzzcko	70.5%	-3.27%
51.6s	Plant	MLK	70.9%	+0.42%
52.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → MLK	69.7%	-1.24%
63.4s	Defuse	Anonymous#5c7b17	69.6%	-0.06%
63.4s	Terminal	—	69.6%	·
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			69.6%	-7.64%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,700 · full
Anonymous#84c6ab·	-4.77%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.52%	Vandal	4,450	4,750	0	0
SN0RLAXopening death traded	-3.45%	Kill credit+0.70%Death debit-3.82%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.39%	Phantom	4,300	7,600	0	152
Trzzcko·	+0.65%	Kill credit+3.85%Death debit-3.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,650	2,450	1	160
MLKclutch lost trade	+2.21%	Kill credit+2.80%Death debit-1.24%Plant+0.42%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.18%	Odin	4,900	5,400	1	133
Anonymous#c3001c·	-5.46%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.93%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.59%	Phantom	4,400	0	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 17,400 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17multi kill	+9.69%	Kill credit+8.82%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.93%	Phantom	3,650	50	3	722
Anonymous#9ae0acopening kill	+0.25%	Kill credit+3.82%Death debit-3.50%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	4,650	1,500	1	234
Anonymous#2d69cd·	-4.38%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.48%	Marshal	1,900	1,350	0	0
Anonymous#cff9b0·	+5.37%	Kill credit+4.93%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.50%	Guardian	3,500	850	1	195
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	-0.11%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	3,700	50	0	0

Round 11 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering6–4Round leverage0.1833Leverage index1.14×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	66.5%	-3.10%
16.2s	Clock	—	66.8%	+0.31%
16.2s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#d8ce8f	70.4%	+3.58%
20.9s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#cff9b0	74.3%	+3.93%
43.2s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#c3001c	72.0%	-2.38%
46.2s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → SN0RLAX	67.4%	-4.52%
50.3s	Clock	—	67.4%	-0.02%
50.3s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#2d69cd	72.6%	+5.22%
50.8s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → Trzzcko	66.8%	-5.90%
54.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#5c7b17	74.4%	+7.63%
57.0s	Clock	—	74.4%	-0.03%
57.0s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → MLK	65.6%	-8.73%
63.7s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#9ae0ac	78.5%	+12.88%
63.7s	Terminal	—	78.8%	+0.31%
Round total · 20 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			78.8%	+9.16%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 15,450 · half
Anonymous#84c6abclutch won	+11.49%	Kill credit+10.30%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+1.15%	Classic	550	6,950	1	140
SN0RLAXtraded	-4.08%	Kill credit+0.79%Death debit-4.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.41%	Phantom	4,300	4,900	0	175
Trzzckotrade	+2.80%	Kill credit+8.36%Death debit-5.90%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.28%	Phantom	4,300	1,150	2	214
MLK·	+2.48%	Kill credit+10.92%Death debit-8.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.25%	Phantom	4,600	3,900	1	433
Anonymous#c3001copening kill	+0.60%	Kill credit+2.86%Death debit-2.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.06%	Sheriff	1,700	800	1	159
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 23,300 · full
Anonymous#5c7b17traded	-3.95%	Kill credit+4.13%Death debit-7.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.40%	Phantom	4,800	1,900	1	234
Anonymous#9ae0acclutch lost trade	-1.33%	Kill credit+11.70%Death debit-12.88%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.13%	Phantom	4,650	450	2	234
Anonymous#2d69cdtraded	-0.54%	Kill credit+4.79%Death debit-5.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,300	450	1	154
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-3.43%	Kill credit+0.90%Death debit-3.93%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.34%	Phantom	4,750	2,450	0	108
Anonymous#d8ce8fopening death	-4.04%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.40%	Vandal	4,800	1,700	0	0

Round 12 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering7–4Round leverage0.1571Leverage index0.98×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	80.5%	+1.69%
16.8s	Clock	—	80.8%	+0.30%
16.8s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	83.0%	+2.19%
18.1s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#2d69cd	84.5%	+1.46%
27.3s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#5c7b17	85.7%	+1.22%
33.1s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → Anonymous#c3001c	85.2%	-0.49%
34.3s	Plant	MLK	85.6%	+0.46%
46.3s	Clock	—	85.7%	+0.06%
46.3s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → Trzzcko	84.7%	-1.02%
53.6s	Clock	—	84.9%	+0.20%
53.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#cff9b0	86.2%	+1.32%
57.8s	Clock	—	86.2%	+0.04%
57.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#9ae0ac	86.6%	+0.38%
57.8s	Terminal	—	86.7%	+0.03%
Round total · 18 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			86.7%	+7.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,400 · full
Anonymous#84c6abopening kill	+2.56%	Kill credit+2.19%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.16%Centering+0.21%	Phantom	4,450	8,000	1	156
SN0RLAX·	+2.01%	Kill credit+1.70%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.16%Centering+0.16%	Vandal	4,300	700	2	478
Trzzcko·	+0.52%	Kill credit+1.46%Death debit-1.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	500	1	156
MLK·	+0.63%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.46%Defuse·Alive clock+0.16%Centering+0.02%	Phantom	4,600	3,200	0	39
Anonymous#c3001c·	+0.82%	Kill credit+1.22%Death debit-0.49%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.04%	Phantom	4,400	2,800	1	126
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 18,300 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-1.47%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.19%	Phantom	4,200	150	0	39
Anonymous#9ae0acclutch lost	+0.17%	Kill credit+0.82%Death debit-0.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.23%Centering-0.03%	Spectre	3,000	150	1	123
Anonymous#2d69cd·	-1.52%	Kill credit+0.20%Death debit-1.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.20%	Spectre	2,800	150	0	104
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-1.18%	Kill credit+0.49%Death debit-1.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.19%Centering-0.16%	Vandal	4,750	100	1	314
Anonymous#d8ce8fopening death	-2.56%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.30%	Guardian	3,550	850	0	136

Round 13 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering8–4Round leverage0.1208Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	86.4%	-0.26%
6.7s	Clock	—	86.2%	-0.16%
6.7s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#cff9b0	88.5%	+2.23%
12.5s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#2d69cd	90.8%	+2.29%
30.7s	Clock	—	90.8%	+0.03%
30.7s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → SN0RLAX	89.6%	-1.20%
31.9s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#84c6ab	86.5%	-3.04%
34.3s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#d8ce8f	89.9%	+3.36%
34.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#c3001c	86.6%	-3.34%
41.6s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#9ae0ac	90.5%	+3.94%
45.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Trzzcko	86.2%	-4.28%
47.0s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → MLK	80.8%	-5.41%
47.0s	Terminal	—	80.6%	-0.19%
Round total · 20 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			80.6%	-6.04%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 2,500 · eco
Anonymous#84c6ab·	-0.86%	Kill credit+2.29%Death debit-3.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.09%	Sheriff	800	0	1	110
SN0RLAX·	-1.36%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.14%	Classic	100	200	0	0
Trzzcko·	-4.79%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.48%	Ghost	900	50	0	0
MLKclutch lost	-2.55%	Kill credit+3.15%Death debit-5.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.25%	Classic	0	800	1	125
Anonymous#c3001copening kill	+3.35%	Kill credit+6.38%Death debit-3.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.33%	Ghost	700	100	2	295
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 4,100 · eco
Anonymous#5c7b17clutch won multi kill trade	+17.22%	Kill credit+15.47%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+1.72%	Ghost	800	150	4	473
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	-3.02%	Kill credit+1.20%Death debit-3.94%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.30%	Classic	900	50	1	159
Anonymous#2d69cd·	-2.51%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.25%	Sheriff	800	0	0	0
Anonymous#cff9b0opening death	-2.44%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.24%	Ghost	900	150	0	0
Anonymous#d8ce8ftraded	-3.04%	Kill credit+0.61%Death debit-3.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.30%	Ghost	700	200	0	80

Round 14 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering8–5Round leverage0.1611Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	78.0%	-2.61%
8.3s	Clock	—	78.0%	-0.05%
8.3s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	81.2%	+3.27%
33.0s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#84c6ab	77.9%	-3.30%
35.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5c7b17	83.6%	+5.71%
46.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#cff9b0	87.1%	+3.46%
65.9s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#9ae0ac	88.2%	+1.08%
83.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#2d69cd	88.6%	+0.47%
83.1s	Terminal	—	88.7%	+0.04%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			88.7%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 7,900 · light
Anonymous#84c6abopening kill traded	+0.72%	Kill credit+3.96%Death debit-3.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Spectre	2,000	100	1	240
SN0RLAXmulti kill trade	+9.93%	Kill credit+8.94%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.99%	Ghost	1,100	700	3	440
Trzzcko·	+1.19%	Kill credit+1.08%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.12%	Stinger	2,000	100	1	135
MLK·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Ghost	500	2,400	0	0
Anonymous#c3001c·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,300	100	0	6
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 13,150 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-3.40%	Kill credit+2.64%Death debit-5.71%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.34%	Bulldog	3,850	750	1	56
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	-1.19%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.12%	Marshal	2,700	700	0	0
Anonymous#2d69cdclutch lost	-0.51%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.47%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Marshal	1,900	1,100	0	170
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-3.83%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.38%	Sheriff	2,050	1,500	0	96
Anonymous#d8ce8fopening death	-2.88%	Kill credit+0.66%Death debit-3.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.29%	Spectre	2,650	650	0	104

Round 15 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering9–5Round leverage0.1172Leverage index0.73×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	91.6%	+2.90%
6.9s	Clock	—	91.5%	-0.11%
6.9s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#9ae0ac	92.7%	+1.21%
7.3s	Kill	Anonymous#d8ce8f → Anonymous#c3001c	90.5%	-2.12%
21.8s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → MLK	87.7%	-2.82%
24.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5c7b17	90.7%	+3.00%
34.6s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → SN0RLAX	87.4%	-3.29%
34.6s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	91.1%	+3.69%
42.4s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#cff9b0	93.5%	+2.41%
53.7s	Clock	—	93.5%	-0.01%
53.7s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → Trzzcko	91.0%	-2.55%
54.6s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#2d69cd	94.3%	+3.36%
54.6s	Terminal	—	94.5%	+0.20%
Round total · 20 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			94.5%	+5.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,700 · half
Anonymous#84c6abclutch won trade	+6.23%	Kill credit+5.64%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.62%	Vandal	4,300	1,750	2	240
SN0RLAX·	+0.48%	Kill credit+3.74%Death debit-3.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.05%	Spectre	3,200	2,700	1	214
Trzzckotraded	+0.02%	Kill credit+2.60%Death debit-2.55%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering<0.01%	Bulldog	3,800	1,700	1	174
MLK·	-2.62%	Kill credit+0.48%Death debit-2.82%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.26%	Stinger	3,300	800	0	62
Anonymous#c3001copening kill	-1.03%	Kill credit+1.21%Death debit-2.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.10%	Spectre	3,100	1,900	1	152
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 9,300 · light
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-2.32%	Kill credit+0.89%Death debit-3.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.23%	Bulldog	2,750	250	0	169
Anonymous#9ae0acopening death traded	-1.32%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.13%	Classic	600	2,600	0	0
Anonymous#2d69cdclutch lost	-1.42%	Kill credit+2.04%Death debit-3.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.14%	Frenzy	1,000	2,150	1	35
Anonymous#cff9b0·	+3.35%	Kill credit+5.40%Death debit-2.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering+0.33%	Sheriff	2,050	1,600	2	280
Anonymous#d8ce8ftrade	-1.36%	Kill credit+2.45%Death debit-3.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.14%	Spectre	2,900	300	1	258

Round 16 focal side won

Won byRed · defuseScore entering10–5Round leverage0.0703Leverage index0.44×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	95.4%	+0.85%
21.8s	Clock	—	95.3%	-0.10%
21.8s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → Anonymous#c3001c	93.5%	-1.80%
25.8s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	95.0%	+1.55%
34.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#2d69cd	96.7%	+1.65%
34.7s	Plant	Anonymous#cff9b0	96.2%	-0.53%
38.7s	Clock	—	96.0%	-0.12%
38.7s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#5c7b17	97.2%	+1.12%
47.0s	Clock	—	97.0%	-0.12%
47.0s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → SN0RLAX	95.8%	-1.21%
48.4s	Clock	—	95.8%	-0.08%
48.4s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#9ae0ac	97.5%	+1.78%
51.3s	Clock	—	97.5%	-0.02%
51.3s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → MLK	96.5%	-1.00%
52.6s	Clock	—	96.5%	-0.02%
52.6s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#cff9b0	98.0%	+1.50%
64.4s	Clock	—	97.9%	-0.14%
64.4s	Defuse	Trzzcko	98.0%	+0.19%
64.4s	Terminal	—	98.0%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			98.0%	+3.52%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,500 · full
Anonymous#84c6ab·	+2.78%	Kill credit+2.67%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering+0.23%	Vandal	4,450	900	2	320
SN0RLAX·	-1.49%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.20%	Phantom	4,000	1,400	0	0
Trzzckotrade	+3.12%	Kill credit+2.98%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering+0.26%	Phantom	4,050	1,100	2	436
MLKtraded	+0.87%	Kill credit+1.95%Death debit-1.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering+0.03%	Phantom	4,600	2,800	1	252
Anonymous#c3001copening death	-2.08%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.26%	Phantom	4,400	1,200	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 18,700 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17·	-1.24%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.18%	Bulldog	2,750	50	0	77
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	-1.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.16%Centering-0.24%	Phantom	4,650	950	0	0
Anonymous#2d69cd·	-1.87%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.24%	Vandal	4,450	300	0	40
Anonymous#cff9b0clutch lost multi kill opening kill	+3.53%	Kill credit+4.01%Death debit-1.50%Plant+0.53%Defuse·Alive clock+0.19%Centering+0.30%	Phantom	4,150	500	3	542
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	-1.76%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.55%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.23%	Sheriff	2,700	500	0	55

Round 17 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering11–5Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	98.6%	+0.60%
22.6s	Clock	—	98.6%	-0.04%
22.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#cff9b0	99.0%	+0.38%
25.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#9ae0ac	99.3%	+0.36%
30.3s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#84c6ab	99.1%	-0.23%
70.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d8ce8f	99.5%	+0.36%
71.8s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#2d69cd	99.6%	+0.08%
77.3s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#5c7b17	99.6%	+0.04%
77.3s	Terminal	—	99.6%	<0.01%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			99.6%	+1.56%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,350 · full
Anonymous#84c6ab·	-0.26%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,450	2,950	0	0
SN0RLAXopening kill	+0.81%	Kill credit+0.74%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.08%	Phantom	4,000	2,800	2	337
Trzzcko·	+0.09%	Kill credit+0.09%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,050	800	1	218
MLK·	+0.40%	Kill credit+0.36%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.04%	Phantom	4,450	2,100	1	156
Anonymous#c3001c·	+0.03%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,400	0	1	156
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 14,750 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17clutch lost	+0.21%	Kill credit+0.23%Death debit-0.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.02%	Bulldog	2,600	800	1	454
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	-0.40%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Phantom	4,400	100	0	0
Anonymous#2d69cd·	-0.08%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	1,500	2,550	0	0
Anonymous#cff9b0opening death	-0.41%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Sheriff	2,050	2,500	0	0
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	-0.39%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	4,200	300	0	0

Round 18 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering12–5Round leverage0.0078Leverage index0.05×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	99.7%	+0.09%
7.7s	Clock	—	99.7%	-0.01%
7.7s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → MLK	99.5%	-0.18%
26.1s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → SN0RLAX	99.4%	-0.13%
31.6s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#cff9b0	99.5%	+0.12%
32.4s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#2d69cd	99.7%	+0.20%
32.9s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#d8ce8f	99.9%	+0.19%
33.4s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → Trzzcko	99.7%	-0.20%
33.8s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#c3001c	99.4%	-0.30%
34.0s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#5c7b17	99.7%	+0.29%
65.1s	Kill	Anonymous#9ae0ac → Anonymous#84c6ab	99.2%	-0.44%
65.1s	Terminal	—	99.2%	<0.01%
Round total · 20 nodes, 8 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			99.2%	-0.39%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 22,250 · full
Anonymous#84c6abclutch lost multi kill trade	+0.07%	Kill credit+0.50%Death debit-0.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,300	2,050	3	475
SN0RLAX·	-0.15%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Phantom	4,000	5,600	0	35
Trzzcko·	+0.05%	Kill credit+0.24%Death debit-0.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	2,600	1	175
MLKopening death	-0.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	4,600	4,000	0	13
Anonymous#c3001ctraded	-0.29%	Kill credit+0.05%Death debit-0.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Phantom	4,700	1,900	0	150
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 20,300 · full
Anonymous#5c7b17opening kill	+0.22%	Kill credit+0.49%Death debit-0.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.02%	Phantom	4,050	0	2	331
Anonymous#9ae0acclutch won trade	+0.71%	Kill credit+0.63%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Phantom	3,250	100	2	312
Anonymous#2d69cdtraded	-0.07%	Kill credit+0.13%Death debit-0.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,450	1,550	1	160
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-0.13%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Phantom	4,750	1,100	0	33
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	-0.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	3,800	200	0	80

Round 19 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering12–6Round leverage0.0156Leverage index0.10×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	99.4%	+0.17%
6.1s	Clock	—	99.4%	-0.02%
6.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#84c6ab	99.0%	-0.36%
17.0s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#5c7b17	99.3%	+0.31%
29.6s	Plant	Anonymous#9ae0ac	99.2%	-0.14%
42.7s	Clock	—	99.1%	-0.07%
42.7s	Kill	Anonymous#2d69cd → SN0RLAX	98.8%	-0.32%
50.5s	Clock	—	98.8%	-0.03%
50.5s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#2d69cd	99.0%	+0.23%
52.7s	Clock	—	99.0%	-0.03%
52.7s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → Anonymous#c3001c	98.7%	-0.30%
57.3s	Clock	—	98.6%	-0.03%
57.3s	Kill	Anonymous#cff9b0 → MLK	98.5%	-0.15%
62.1s	Kill	Anonymous#d8ce8f → Trzzcko	98.4%	-0.03%
62.1s	Terminal	—	98.4%	<0.01%
Round total · 18 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			98.4%	-0.78%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,900 · full
Anonymous#84c6abopening death	-0.42%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.06%	Vandal	4,450	500	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-0.40%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.05%	Phantom	4,000	3,100	0	0
Trzzckoclutch lost	+0.13%	Kill credit+0.23%Death debit-0.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	650	1	261
MLK·	-0.24%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.04%	Odin	4,750	1,550	0	92
Anonymous#c3001c·	-0.04%	Kill credit+0.31%Death debit-0.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	4,050	50	1	156
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 19,600 · half
Anonymous#5c7b17opening kill	+0.04%	Kill credit+0.36%Death debit-0.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Phantom	3,450	100	1	156
Anonymous#9ae0ac·	+0.20%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.14%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	1,900	0	0
Anonymous#2d69cd·	+0.12%	Kill credit+0.33%Death debit-0.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,450	650	1	290
Anonymous#cff9b0·	+0.51%	Kill credit+0.42%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.04%	Phantom	4,150	400	2	328
Anonymous#d8ce8f·	+0.10%	Kill credit+0.06%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,900	650	1	114

Round 20 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering12–7Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	98.0%	-0.41%
23.7s	Clock	—	98.0%	-0.05%
23.7s	Kill	Anonymous#c3001c → Anonymous#d8ce8f	98.8%	+0.78%
25.0s	Kill	Anonymous#5c7b17 → Anonymous#c3001c	98.2%	-0.57%
26.3s	Kill	Anonymous#84c6ab → Anonymous#5c7b17	99.0%	+0.84%
30.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#cff9b0	99.7%	+0.63%
35.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#2d69cd	99.9%	+0.27%
38.6s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#9ae0ac	100.0%	+0.06%
38.6s	Terminal	—	100.0%	<0.01%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			100.0%	+1.56%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 16,000 · half
Anonymous#84c6abtrade	+0.92%	Kill credit+0.84%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.09%	Outlaw	3,350	100	1	140
SN0RLAX·	+0.29%	Kill credit+0.27%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.03%	Phantom	4,000	1,000	1	195
Trzzcko·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Shorty	1,450	2,150	0	0
MLK·	+0.76%	Kill credit+0.69%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.08%	Phantom	4,300	50	2	394
Anonymous#c3001copening kill traded	+0.23%	Kill credit+0.78%Death debit-0.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.02%	Spectre	2,900	50	1	154
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 22,100 · full
Anonymous#5c7b17trade	-0.30%	Kill credit+0.57%Death debit-0.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Phantom	3,450	300	1	156
Anonymous#9ae0acclutch lost	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.06%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,650	4,050	0	111
Anonymous#2d69cd·	-0.29%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,450	50	0	0
Anonymous#cff9b0·	-0.69%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.07%	Phantom	4,750	2,500	0	0
Anonymous#d8ce8fopening death traded	-0.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.09%	Phantom	4,800	2,350	0	0