Haven, 5–13, July 26

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

322 nodes: 18 round start, 143 clock, 143 action, 18 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on
Anonymous#f2ebaa	Deadlock	+10.92%	14	17	2	2,761
SN0RLAX	Omen	-0.17%	7	6	2	1,136
Anonymous#ab0ae5	Sage	-0.98%	8	14	7	1,700
Anonymous#e21e26	Phoenix	-3.93%	18	17	9	4,257
MLK	Sova	-14.61%	7	17	3	1,994
Red · opponents
Anonymous#3c8e72	Miks	+9.52%	19	8	5	3,019
Anonymous#eaad1a	Jett	+8.13%	16	12	5	3,185
Anonymous#41e078	Sage	-0.32%	12	11	13	2,447
Anonymous#5ad0dc	Phoenix	-2.68%	12	11	12	3,129
Anonymous#a707bb	Skye	-5.89%	12	12	10	2,525

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 11 · MLK · death debit

-4.28% match win probability points
at 4–6
Round 11 · MLK · kill credit

+4.05% match win probability points
at 4–6
Round 5 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+3.94% match win probability points
at 0–4

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	49.4%	-0.59%
9.4s	Clock	—	49.4%	-0.02%
9.4s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#eaad1a	52.3%	+2.91%
9.7s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → SN0RLAX	48.9%	-3.38%
22.6s	Clock	—	49.0%	+0.12%
22.6s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → MLK	46.2%	-2.83%
26.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#a707bb	50.1%	+3.92%
30.6s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → Anonymous#e21e26	45.3%	-4.86%
34.2s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#f2ebaa	43.3%	-2.00%
38.7s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#ab0ae5	42.0%	-1.23%
38.7s	Terminal	—	41.9%	-0.09%
Round total · 16 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			41.9%	-8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 2,700 · eco
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	+2.16%	Kill credit+3.92%Death debit-2.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.22%	Classic	300	100	1	128
SN0RLAX·	-3.76%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.38%	Ghost	650	300	0	30
Anonymous#ab0ae5clutch lost	-1.34%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.13%	Classic	700	100	0	0
Anonymous#e21e26opening kill	-2.14%	Kill credit+2.91%Death debit-4.86%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.21%	Classic	1,050	0	1	122
MLK·	-3.12%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.31%	Classic	0	800	0	26
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 4,000 · eco
Anonymous#3c8e72multi kill	+8.32%	Kill credit+7.52%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.83%	Classic	700	200	3	294
Anonymous#eaad1aopening death	-2.87%	Kill credit+0.32%Death debit-2.91%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.29%	Classic	550	250	0	78
Anonymous#41e078·	+4.29%	Kill credit+3.89%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.43%	Ghost	800	0	1	240
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	+2.47%	Kill credit+2.25%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.25%	Ghost	1,000	50	1	167
Anonymous#a707bb·	-4.02%	Kill credit+0.32%Death debit-3.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.40%	Classic	950	100	0	66

Round 2 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–1Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	38.9%	-3.07%
9.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → MLK	36.9%	-2.00%
11.2s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#e21e26	35.5%	-1.40%
15.0s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#ab0ae5	34.8%	-0.69%
23.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#a707bb	35.6%	+0.78%
24.2s	Plant	Anonymous#5ad0dc	35.1%	-0.46%
45.7s	Clock	—	35.0%	-0.12%
45.7s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#41e078	36.2%	+1.25%
46.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#f2ebaa	34.7%	-1.52%
49.5s	Clock	—	34.6%	-0.09%
49.5s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → SN0RLAX	33.9%	-0.67%
49.5s	Terminal	—	33.9%	-0.06%
Round total · 18 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			33.9%	-8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 5,000 · light
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	-0.43%	Kill credit+1.25%Death debit-1.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.09%	Classic	500	1,800	1	156
SN0RLAXclutch lost	-0.10%	Kill credit+0.78%Death debit-0.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.15%Centering-0.06%	Marshal	1,700	650	1	202
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-0.82%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.13%	Classic	700	1,600	0	26
Anonymous#e21e26·	-1.61%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.21%	Sheriff	1,600	900	0	46
MLKopening death	-2.27%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.27%	Ghost	500	2,200	0	30
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 10,950 · light
Anonymous#3c8e72·	+1.57%	Kill credit+1.40%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.11%	Ghost	1,000	3,700	1	150
Anonymous#eaad1a·	+1.52%	Kill credit+1.36%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.11%	Classic	1,200	2,350	2	209
Anonymous#41e078traded	-1.07%	Kill credit+0.30%Death debit-1.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.15%	Spectre	3,800	200	0	0
Anonymous#5ad0dctrade	+1.89%	Kill credit+1.22%Death debit·Plant+0.46%Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.14%	Ghost	1,750	2,550	1	150
Anonymous#a707bbopening kill	+1.30%	Kill credit+2.00%Death debit-0.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.08%	Spectre	3,200	1,000	1	91

Round 3 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–2Round leverage0.1542Leverage index0.96×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	32.1%	-1.78%
10.8s	Clock	—	32.1%	-0.04%
10.8s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#e21e26	29.8%	-2.28%
18.7s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → Anonymous#ab0ae5	28.1%	-1.63%
27.3s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#5ad0dc	29.3%	+1.14%
31.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#41e078	32.9%	+3.58%
33.0s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#f2ebaa	28.5%	-4.38%
42.5s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → MLK	26.9%	-1.63%
44.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#eaad1a	28.1%	+1.22%
45.4s	Plant	Anonymous#a707bb	27.5%	-0.63%
50.5s	Clock	—	27.4%	-0.01%
50.5s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → SN0RLAX	26.2%	-1.20%
50.5s	Terminal	—	26.2%	-0.07%
Round total · 20 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			26.2%	-7.71%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,050 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	-3.68%	Kill credit+1.14%Death debit-4.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.43%	Odin	4,500	0	1	228
SN0RLAXclutch lost	-0.34%	Kill credit+0.98%Death debit-1.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.10%	Stinger	2,250	1,350	1	148
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-1.10%	Kill credit+0.72%Death debit-1.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.17%	Spectre	2,700	1,700	0	128
Anonymous#e21e26opening death	-2.34%	Kill credit+0.24%Death debit-2.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.30%	Vandal	3,700	0	0	80
MLK·	+1.29%	Kill credit+2.86%Death debit-1.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Phantom	3,900	700	1	239
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 21,350 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72·	+2.46%	Kill credit+2.26%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.18%	Vandal	5,300	2,500	2	240
Anonymous#eaad1aopening kill	+5.01%	Kill credit+5.79%Death debit-1.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.44%	Guardian	4,300	2,250	2	428
Anonymous#41e078·	-1.86%	Kill credit+1.96%Death debit-3.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.25%	Spectre	3,300	200	1	260
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	-0.84%	Kill credit+0.44%Death debit-1.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.15%	Spectre	3,950	4,450	0	66
Anonymous#a707bb·	+1.40%	Kill credit+0.68%Death debit·Plant+0.63%Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.08%	Phantom	4,500	950	0	0

Round 4 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–3Round leverage0.1402Leverage index0.87×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	23.0%	-3.13%
8.5s	Clock	—	23.0%	-0.02%
8.5s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → MLK	21.5%	-1.49%
15.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#eaad1a	22.9%	+1.38%
16.1s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → SN0RLAX	21.0%	-1.94%
20.7s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#f2ebaa	20.2%	-0.79%
22.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#ab0ae5	19.5%	-0.66%
26.4s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#41e078	19.7%	+0.17%
27.5s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#e21e26	19.2%	-0.48%
27.5s	Terminal	—	19.2%	-0.05%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			19.2%	-7.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 12,900 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	-0.88%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.79%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.09%	Frenzy	1,350	1,550	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-0.63%	Kill credit+1.38%Death debit-1.94%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.06%	Bulldog	3,200	1,600	1	150
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-0.74%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.07%	Spectre	3,300	1,500	0	26
Anonymous#e21e26clutch lost	-0.35%	Kill credit+0.17%Death debit-0.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Sheriff	1,800	1,500	1	231
MLKopening death	-1.66%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.49%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.17%	Guardian	3,250	550	0	65
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 23,750 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	5,300	4,900	0	40
Anonymous#eaad1atraded	-1.53%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.15%	Vandal	4,300	1,650	0	0
Anonymous#41e078trade traded	+1.97%	Kill credit+1.94%Death debit-0.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.20%	Vandal	4,600	2,400	1	160
Anonymous#5ad0dcopening kill trade	+2.19%	Kill credit+1.97%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.22%	Vandal	4,750	550	2	400
Anonymous#a707bb·	+1.62%	Kill credit+1.45%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.16%	Odin	4,800	3,850	2	317

Round 5 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering0–4Round leverage0.1201Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	18.2%	-0.96%
7.4s	Clock	—	18.1%	-0.08%
7.4s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → Anonymous#f2ebaa	16.1%	-2.01%
13.1s	Kill	Anonymous#ab0ae5 → Anonymous#eaad1a	17.7%	+1.54%
16.9s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#e21e26	15.5%	-2.17%
28.0s	Clock	—	15.5%	+0.01%
28.0s	Kill	Anonymous#ab0ae5 → Anonymous#a707bb	18.2%	+2.72%
35.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#3c8e72	22.2%	+3.94%
35.5s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#5ad0dc	24.6%	+2.43%
36.7s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → MLK	23.5%	-1.10%
43.7s	Kill	Anonymous#ab0ae5 → Anonymous#41e078	25.1%	+1.62%
43.7s	Terminal	—	25.2%	+0.07%
Round total · 18 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			25.2%	+6.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 20,300 · full
Anonymous#f2ebaaopening death	-2.25%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.23%	Odin	4,900	50	0	0
SN0RLAX·	+4.71%	Kill credit+4.24%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.47%	Bulldog	3,800	1,500	1	150
Anonymous#ab0ae5multi kill	+5.82%	Kill credit+5.25%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.58%	Vandal	4,600	500	3	440
Anonymous#e21e26·	-1.89%	Kill credit+0.49%Death debit-2.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.19%	Vandal	4,400	600	0	120
MLK·	+1.28%	Kill credit+2.27%Death debit-1.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.13%	Spectre	2,600	850	1	172
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 24,700 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72·	-4.36%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.94%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.44%	Vandal	5,600	8,100	0	0
Anonymous#eaad1a·	-1.69%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.17%	Vandal	4,450	700	0	0
Anonymous#41e078clutch lost opening kill trade	+1.67%	Kill credit+3.11%Death debit-1.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.17%	Vandal	4,600	2,000	2	355
Anonymous#5ad0dctraded	-0.27%	Kill credit+2.17%Death debit-2.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,750	2,850	1	320
Anonymous#a707bb·	-3.01%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.30%	Odin	5,300	6,900	0	0

Round 6 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering1–4Round leverage0.1442Leverage index0.90×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	24.0%	-1.16%
8.6s	Clock	—	23.9%	-0.11%
8.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#5ad0dc	27.2%	+3.32%
32.6s	Clock	—	27.2%	+0.02%
32.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → MLK	24.1%	-3.12%
34.5s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#ab0ae5	20.9%	-3.20%
35.5s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#a707bb	24.5%	+3.57%
55.6s	Plant	Anonymous#41e078	23.3%	-1.23%
59.8s	Clock	—	23.1%	-0.13%
59.8s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#f2ebaa	20.3%	-2.79%
65.5s	Clock	—	20.2%	-0.14%
65.5s	Revive	Anonymous#41e078	19.0%	-1.17%
65.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#5ad0dc	20.2%	+1.17%
81.8s	Clock	—	19.6%	-0.64%
81.8s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → SN0RLAX	18.4%	-1.20%
82.0s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#41e078	19.0%	+0.59%
83.2s	Clock	—	18.9%	-0.09%
83.2s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#3c8e72	22.2%	+3.32%
92.9s	Clock	—	20.0%	-2.21%
92.9s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#e21e26	18.1%	-1.90%
92.9s	Terminal	—	18.0%	-0.10%
Round total · 26 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			18.0%	-7.21%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 19,750 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaaopening kill	+3.66%	Kill credit+3.32%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.37%	Stinger	2,200	1,550	1	162
SN0RLAXtraded	-0.97%	Kill credit+0.66%Death debit-1.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.34%Centering-0.10%	Vandal	4,650	4,550	1	200
Anonymous#ab0ae5traded	-0.02%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	2,400	0	0
Anonymous#e21e26clutch lost multi kill trade	-1.45%	Kill credit+3.24%Death debit-1.90%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-2.64%Centering-0.14%	Vandal	4,400	50	3	572
MLKtraded	-0.02%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	3,900	150	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 23,450 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72·	-3.37%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.28%Centering-0.34%	Vandal	4,800	4,750	0	0
Anonymous#eaad1aclutch won	+4.46%	Kill credit+1.52%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+2.49%Centering+0.45%	Vandal	4,450	1,600	2	400
Anonymous#41e078·	+0.67%	Kill credit+0.96%Death debit-0.59%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.24%Centering+0.07%	Vandal	4,600	400	1	40
Anonymous#5ad0dcopening death	-3.40%	Kill credit+0.24%Death debit-3.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.34%	Vandal	4,750	450	0	215
Anonymous#a707bb·	+0.45%	Kill credit+0.38%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,850	1,750	2	400

Round 7 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering1–5Round leverage0.1214Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	15.4%	-2.53%
45.4s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → SN0RLAX	13.6%	-1.80%
62.7s	Plant	Anonymous#41e078	13.3%	-0.31%
77.0s	Clock	—	13.3%	-0.05%
77.0s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → MLK	12.7%	-0.53%
79.5s	Clock	—	12.7%	-0.02%
79.5s	Kill	Anonymous#ab0ae5 → Anonymous#eaad1a	13.0%	+0.32%
86.5s	Clock	—	13.0%	-0.05%
86.5s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#f2ebaa	12.5%	-0.51%
89.6s	Clock	—	12.4%	-0.05%
89.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#ab0ae5	12.1%	-0.35%
92.4s	Clock	—	12.1%	-0.03%
92.4s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#5ad0dc	12.2%	+0.09%
94.2s	Clock	—	12.1%	-0.02%
94.2s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#e21e26	11.9%	-0.21%
94.2s	Terminal	—	11.9%	-0.03%
Round total · 18 nodes, 2 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			11.9%	-6.07%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 11,950 · light
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	-0.64%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.09%	Stinger	1,800	1,850	0	9
SN0RLAXopening death	-2.04%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.23%	Vandal	4,650	2,350	0	0
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-0.21%	Kill credit+0.25%Death debit-0.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.05%	Guardian	3,350	1,150	1	260
Anonymous#e21e26clutch lost	-0.23%	Kill credit+0.14%Death debit-0.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering-0.05%	Sheriff	1,650	1,150	1	318
MLK·	-0.62%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit-0.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.09%	Ghost	500	1,550	0	185
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 20,150 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72·	+0.14%	Kill credit+0.10%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,800	3,850	0	74
Anonymous#eaad1aopening kill	+1.63%	Kill credit+1.80%Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering+0.13%	Phantom	4,450	3,750	1	195
Anonymous#41e078·	+0.53%	Kill credit+0.14%Death debit·Plant+0.31%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.02%	Sheriff	1,900	2,400	0	0
Anonymous#5ad0dctraded	+0.44%	Kill credit+0.48%Death debit-0.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.01%	Vandal	4,150	200	1	79
Anonymous#a707bbmulti kill trade	+0.99%	Kill credit+0.87%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.07%	Vandal	4,850	1,550	3	480

Round 8 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering1–6Round leverage0.0944Leverage index0.59×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	10.5%	-1.42%
18.1s	Clock	—	10.5%	-0.02%
18.1s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#f2ebaa	9.4%	-1.05%
30.3s	Kill	Anonymous#ab0ae5 → Anonymous#5ad0dc	10.7%	+1.34%
31.9s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#a707bb	13.6%	+2.85%
36.1s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → MLK	11.4%	-2.22%
41.0s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#eaad1a	14.1%	+2.75%
47.4s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#e21e26	11.5%	-2.64%
55.9s	Clock	—	11.5%	+0.02%
55.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#3c8e72	14.9%	+3.39%
74.4s	Clock	—	14.9%	+0.03%
74.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#41e078	16.6%	+1.62%
74.4s	Terminal	—	16.6%	+0.06%
Round total · 18 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			16.6%	+4.72%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,000 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaaopening death	-0.79%	Kill credit+0.34%Death debit-1.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.08%	Marshal	2,050	2,200	0	101
SN0RLAX·	+4.48%	Kill credit+4.01%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.45%	Vandal	4,650	700	2	240
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	+1.22%	Kill credit+1.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.12%	Spectre	2,700	1,050	1	164
Anonymous#e21e26·	+3.97%	Kill credit+6.22%Death debit-2.64%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.40%	Vandal	3,750	250	2	400
MLK·	-2.11%	Kill credit+0.32%Death debit-2.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.21%	Odin	3,850	100	0	76
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 22,950 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72opening kill	+0.32%	Kill credit+3.69%Death debit-3.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.03%	Vandal	4,800	6,850	2	411
Anonymous#eaad1a·	-3.06%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.31%	Vandal	4,450	2,950	0	40
Anonymous#41e078clutch lost	+0.63%	Kill credit+2.22%Death debit-1.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.06%	Vandal	5,400	4,400	1	120
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	-1.49%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.15%	Spectre	3,450	500	0	114
Anonymous#a707bb·	-3.17%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.32%	Vandal	4,850	3,900	0	0

Round 9 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering2–6Round leverage0.1222Leverage index0.76×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	16.2%	-0.42%
11.9s	Clock	—	16.1%	-0.08%
11.9s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#a707bb	18.8%	+2.67%
12.9s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#41e078	21.1%	+2.36%
14.2s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#f2ebaa	19.6%	-1.52%
25.8s	Clock	—	19.6%	+0.01%
25.8s	Plant	Anonymous#5ad0dc	18.9%	-0.77%
41.6s	Clock	—	18.1%	-0.77%
41.6s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#eaad1a	21.1%	+3.02%
44.9s	Clock	—	20.9%	-0.17%
44.9s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#5ad0dc	22.1%	+1.20%
62.0s	Clock	—	19.3%	-2.81%
62.0s	Defuse	Anonymous#ab0ae5	22.7%	+3.40%
62.0s	Terminal	—	22.7%	·
Round total · 16 nodes, 2 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			22.7%	+6.11%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 18,700 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaaopening kill	+3.42%	Kill credit+5.03%Death debit-1.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.08%	Spectre	3,300	2,600	2	333
SN0RLAX·	-1.52%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.95%Centering-0.57%	Vandal	3,500	4,100	0	16
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	+2.26%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse+3.40%Alive clock-0.95%Centering-0.19%	Spectre	3,300	2,550	0	19
Anonymous#e21e26multi kill	+3.16%	Kill credit+4.22%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.95%Centering-0.10%	Vandal	4,750	450	3	523
MLK·	-1.52%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.95%Centering-0.57%	Odin	3,850	3,100	0	16
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 20,200 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72clutch lost	+3.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+3.17%Centering-0.11%	Vandal	4,800	4,500	0	34
Anonymous#eaad1a·	-3.52%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.27%Centering-0.77%	Vandal	4,450	550	0	0
Anonymous#41e078traded	-3.07%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.72%	Vandal	4,600	1,900	0	0
Anonymous#5ad0dctrade	+0.81%	Kill credit+1.21%Death debit-1.20%Plant+0.77%Defuse·Alive clock+0.36%Centering-0.34%	Classic	1,850	1,050	1	298
Anonymous#a707bbopening death traded	-3.07%	Kill credit+0.30%Death debit-2.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.72%	Phantom	4,500	2,250	0	78

Round 10 focal side won

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering3–6Round leverage0.1527Leverage index0.95×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	20.6%	-2.08%
11.9s	Clock	—	20.5%	-0.10%
11.9s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#e21e26	17.7%	-2.79%
23.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#a707bb	20.1%	+2.32%
23.8s	Plant	Anonymous#41e078	18.9%	-1.18%
28.1s	Clock	—	18.8%	-0.07%
28.1s	Kill	Anonymous#ab0ae5 → Anonymous#eaad1a	21.5%	+2.68%
30.2s	Clock	—	21.5%	-0.04%
30.2s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → MLK	17.6%	-3.87%
33.6s	Clock	—	17.5%	-0.10%
33.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#3c8e72	21.2%	+3.72%
44.6s	Clock	—	20.3%	-0.96%
44.6s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → Anonymous#ab0ae5	16.4%	-3.84%
46.9s	Clock	—	16.3%	-0.07%
46.9s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#5ad0dc	20.5%	+4.16%
50.9s	Clock	—	20.0%	-0.51%
50.9s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#41e078	29.7%	+9.72%
60.0s	Clock	—	23.6%	-6.10%
60.0s	Defuse	Anonymous#f2ebaa	30.4%	+6.76%
60.0s	Terminal	—	30.4%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 2 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			30.4%	+7.64%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,200 · full
Anonymous#f2ebaamulti kill trade	+18.47%	Kill credit+17.14%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+6.76%Alive clock-7.27%Centering+1.85%	Phantom	4,400	2,100	4	770
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	+0.32%	Kill credit+4.92%Death debit-3.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.59%Centering-0.17%	Vandal	4,600	4,850	1	200
Anonymous#e21e26opening death	-2.80%	Kill credit+0.54%Death debit-2.79%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.51%	Vandal	4,750	3,450	0	80
MLKtraded	-4.65%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.87%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.72%	Odin	4,200	5,100	0	0
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 19,600 · half
Anonymous#3c8e72·	-0.21%	Kill credit+3.65%Death debit-3.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering-0.23%	Vandal	4,800	2,750	1	280
Anonymous#eaad1aopening kill	-0.69%	Kill credit+2.23%Death debit-2.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.28%	Classic	1,550	1,700	1	250
Anonymous#41e078clutch lost	-4.27%	Kill credit+3.84%Death debit-9.72%Plant+1.18%Defuse·Alive clock+1.11%Centering-0.68%	Vandal	4,600	700	1	120
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	-3.37%	Kill credit+0.77%Death debit-4.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.60%Centering-0.58%	Phantom	4,150	50	0	102
Anonymous#a707bb·	-2.82%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.52%	Vandal	4,500	1,400	0	40

Round 11 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–6Round leverage0.1833Leverage index1.14×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	27.7%	-2.62%
17.1s	Clock	—	27.6%	-0.12%
17.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#3c8e72	31.7%	+4.05%
28.9s	Clock	—	31.7%	+0.02%
28.9s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#eaad1a	36.1%	+4.40%
62.1s	Revive	Anonymous#41e078	32.0%	-4.09%
62.1s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → MLK	27.7%	-4.28%
70.4s	Plant	Anonymous#41e078	26.1%	-1.68%
77.3s	Clock	—	26.0%	-0.10%
77.3s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#ab0ae5	22.8%	-3.11%
83.3s	Clock	—	22.8%	-0.09%
83.3s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#e21e26	21.6%	-1.13%
84.4s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#f2ebaa	21.2%	-0.39%
84.4s	Terminal	—	21.2%	-0.04%
Round total · 18 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			21.2%	-9.16%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,850 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	-0.77%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.27%	Phantom	4,600	5,100	0	99
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-3.78%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.11%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.61%	Phantom	4,600	4,050	0	0
Anonymous#e21e26·	-1.60%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering-0.36%	Vandal	4,750	2,750	1	160
MLKopening kill	+4.32%	Kill credit+4.05%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.29%	Phantom	3,900	4,600	1	358
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 20,050 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72multi kill opening death	-1.54%	Kill credit+2.79%Death debit-4.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.36%	Vandal	4,800	1,950	3	514
Anonymous#eaad1a·	-0.06%	Kill credit+0.11%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.19%	Vandal	4,450	850	0	111
Anonymous#41e078·	+2.54%	Kill credit+0.70%Death debit·Plant+1.68%Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.10%	Guardian	3,950	150	0	0
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	+0.89%	Kill credit+0.90%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.09%	Ghost	2,350	1,150	1	108
Anonymous#a707bb·	<0.01%	Kill credit+0.11%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.19%	Vandal	4,500	1,050	0	0

Round 12 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–7Round leverage0.1571Leverage index0.98×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	18.1%	-3.07%
15.7s	Clock	—	18.0%	-0.09%
15.7s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#f2ebaa	15.9%	-2.17%
24.6s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → MLK	14.5%	-1.40%
29.9s	Plant	Anonymous#41e078	14.2%	-0.23%
45.6s	Clock	—	14.2%	-0.03%
45.6s	Kill	Anonymous#ab0ae5 → Anonymous#eaad1a	14.5%	+0.29%
49.9s	Clock	—	14.4%	-0.07%
49.9s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#ab0ae5	13.7%	-0.75%
58.3s	Clock	—	13.6%	-0.06%
58.3s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#e21e26	13.4%	-0.24%
58.3s	Terminal	—	13.3%	-0.03%
Round total · 14 nodes, 2 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			13.3%	-7.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,850 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaaopening death	-2.44%	Kill credit+0.06%Death debit-2.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.30%	Vandal	4,600	2,800	0	93
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-0.69%	Kill credit+0.23%Death debit-0.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.10%	Vandal	4,600	1,750	1	265
Anonymous#e21e26·	-0.45%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.13%Centering-0.08%	Vandal	4,750	1,350	0	155
MLK·	-1.63%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.21%	Phantom	3,900	3,200	0	105
Red · opponents · attack · loadout 23,950 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72trade	+2.28%	Kill credit+1.99%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.23%	Vandal	4,800	1,400	2	240
Anonymous#eaad1aopening kill traded	+1.80%	Kill credit+1.89%Death debit-0.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.17%	Vandal	4,450	2,750	1	280
Anonymous#41e078·	+0.29%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.23%Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	150	0	0
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	+0.31%	Kill credit+0.24%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	5,250	3,250	1	156
Anonymous#a707bb·	+0.52%	Kill credit+0.43%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering+0.03%	Vandal	4,850	2,950	0	0

Round 13 focal side lost

Won byRed · defuseScore entering4–8Round leverage0.1208Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	10.7%	-2.65%
6.9s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#41e078	13.0%	+2.28%
22.3s	Clock	—	12.9%	-0.09%
22.3s	Plant	Anonymous#ab0ae5	13.8%	+0.89%
38.7s	Clock	—	14.3%	+0.54%
38.7s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#5ad0dc	16.9%	+2.61%
53.6s	Clock	—	17.7%	+0.78%
53.6s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#e21e26	15.9%	-1.83%
54.2s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#f2ebaa	12.6%	-3.29%
54.4s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → MLK	10.3%	-2.30%
56.9s	Clock	—	11.6%	+1.27%
56.9s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#ab0ae5	8.6%	-2.99%
66.4s	Clock	—	12.2%	+3.68%
66.4s	Defuse	Anonymous#a707bb	7.3%	-4.94%
66.4s	Terminal	—	7.3%	·
Round total · 18 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			7.3%	-6.04%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 3,500 · eco
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	-3.63%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.31%Centering-0.64%	Frenzy	1,150	50	0	26
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-0.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.99%Plant+0.89%Defuse·Alive clock+1.57%Centering-0.33%	Classic	700	500	0	26
Anonymous#e21e26opening kill	+3.52%	Kill credit+4.89%Death debit-1.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.31%Centering+0.15%	Classic	1,250	200	2	186
MLK·	-2.51%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.31%Centering-0.52%	Classic	400	800	0	0
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 4,200 · eco
Anonymous#3c8e72·	-0.47%	Kill credit+1.84%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-2.02%Centering-0.29%	Classic	700	200	1	160
Anonymous#eaad1a·	+4.26%	Kill credit+6.05%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-2.02%Centering+0.23%	Bandit	600	200	2	392
Anonymous#41e078opening death	-2.84%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.55%	Ghost	800	0	0	0
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	-2.14%	Kill credit+1.06%Death debit-2.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.11%Centering-0.48%	Frenzy	1,050	0	0	133
Anonymous#a707bb·	+4.66%	Kill credit+1.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+4.94%Alive clock-2.02%Centering+0.28%	Ghost	1,050	0	1	30

Round 14 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–9Round leverage0.0806Leverage index0.50×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	4.9%	-2.41%
7.7s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → MLK	4.1%	-0.83%
24.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#a707bb	4.9%	+0.83%
40.8s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#f2ebaa	3.7%	-1.16%
46.7s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#ab0ae5	3.5%	-0.28%
52.0s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#5ad0dc	3.8%	+0.33%
53.5s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#e21e26	3.3%	-0.48%
53.5s	Terminal	—	3.3%	-0.03%
Round total · 14 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			3.3%	-4.03%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 7,650 · light
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	-0.56%	Kill credit+0.67%Death debit-1.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.06%	Ares	2,600	150	1	56
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-0.22%	Kill credit+0.08%Death debit-0.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.02%	Classic	1,100	2,100	0	0
Anonymous#e21e26·	-0.08%	Kill credit+0.42%Death debit-0.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,450	100	1	403
MLKopening death	-0.93%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.10%	Ghost	500	3,000	0	0
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 11,800 · light
Anonymous#3c8e72trade	+0.44%	Kill credit+0.39%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.05%	Ghost	1,400	3,100	1	85
Anonymous#eaad1amulti kill opening kill	+2.23%	Kill credit+1.98%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.25%	Marshal	2,500	1,700	3	303
Anonymous#41e078·	+0.26%	Kill credit+0.23%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.03%	Marshal	2,650	650	0	101
Anonymous#5ad0dctraded	-0.26%	Kill credit+0.10%Death debit-0.33%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.03%	Outlaw	3,400	0	0	238
Anonymous#a707bb·	-0.88%	Kill credit+0.05%Death debit-0.83%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.10%	Ghost	1,850	2,100	0	60

Round 15 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–10Round leverage0.0439Leverage index0.27×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	2.2%	-1.06%
8.2s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#f2ebaa	1.6%	-0.57%
9.9s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → MLK	1.3%	-0.34%
24.0s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#a707bb	1.4%	+0.13%
36.9s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#41e078	1.9%	+0.47%
41.7s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#ab0ae5	1.2%	-0.68%
43.7s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#e21e26	1.1%	-0.15%
43.7s	Terminal	—	1.1%	-0.01%
Round total · 14 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			1.1%	-2.20%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 15,350 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaaopening death	-0.64%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.07%	Vandal	3,300	50	0	0
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	-0.76%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.08%	Phantom	4,600	1,200	0	0
Anonymous#e21e26·	+0.51%	Kill credit+0.60%Death debit-0.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.06%	Phantom	3,550	0	2	312
MLK·	-0.38%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.04%	Phantom	3,900	2,100	0	0
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 20,350 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72·	+0.89%	Kill credit+0.79%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.10%	Vandal	5,300	2,300	2	297
Anonymous#eaad1aopening kill	+0.64%	Kill credit+0.57%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.07%	Outlaw	4,550	4,300	1	140
Anonymous#41e078·	-0.11%	Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-0.47%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.01%	Marshal	3,150	3,150	1	303
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	·	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering·	Spectre	2,850	2,350	0	24
Anonymous#a707bb·	-0.15%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,500	1,150	0	0

Round 16 focal side lost

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–11Round leverage0.0176Leverage index0.11×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	0.7%	-0.42%
13.3s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#ab0ae5	0.4%	-0.24%
13.9s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#f2ebaa	0.3%	-0.13%
21.8s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#a707bb	0.3%	+0.05%
23.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → MLK	0.2%	-0.11%
28.3s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → Anonymous#e21e26	0.2%	-0.03%
28.3s	Terminal	—	0.2%	<0.01%
Round total · 12 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.2%	-0.88%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 16,500 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaa·	-0.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.02%	Guardian	3,550	100	0	0
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5opening death	-0.25%	Kill credit+0.01%Death debit-0.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.03%	Odin	4,900	600	0	114
Anonymous#e21e26·	-0.04%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,150	100	0	70
MLK·	-0.08%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.11%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Phantom	3,900	1,800	1	117
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 24,550 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Vandal	5,300	5,500	0	0
Anonymous#eaad1a·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Phantom	5,050	4,600	0	0
Anonymous#41e078·	+0.07%	Kill credit+0.06%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	1,950	1	240
Anonymous#5ad0dctrade	+0.10%	Kill credit+0.09%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.01%	Phantom	4,750	4,150	1	64
Anonymous#a707bbopening kill traded	+0.34%	Kill credit+0.36%Death debit-0.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,850	3,150	2	520

Round 17 focal side won

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering4–12Round leverage0.0039Leverage index0.02×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	0.1%	-0.09%
13.3s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → Anonymous#f2ebaa	0.1%	-0.05%
15.6s	Kill	Anonymous#e21e26 → Anonymous#5ad0dc	0.1%	+0.03%
17.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#3c8e72	0.2%	+0.09%
37.8s	Kill	Anonymous#41e078 → MLK	0.1%	-0.11%
56.3s	Revive	Anonymous#ab0ae5	0.2%	+0.09%
56.3s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#41e078	0.3%	+0.11%
61.3s	Kill	Anonymous#a707bb → Anonymous#e21e26	0.1%	-0.13%
69.5s	Kill	Anonymous#ab0ae5 → Anonymous#a707bb	0.3%	+0.15%
84.3s	Plant	Anonymous#ab0ae5	0.3%	+0.04%
99.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#eaad1a	0.4%	+0.04%
99.8s	Terminal	—	0.4%	<0.01%
Round total · 22 nodes, 10 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.4%	+0.20%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 16,100 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaaopening death	-0.02%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	3,850	150	2	409
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	+0.19%	Kill credit+0.13%Death debit·Plant+0.04%Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.02%	Spectre	3,300	300	1	32
Anonymous#e21e26·	-0.12%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit-0.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,750	500	1	309
MLK·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Odin	4,200	1,400	1	196
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 22,850 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Vandal	5,300	8,400	0	80
Anonymous#eaad1aclutch lost	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Phantom	5,050	7,600	0	39
Anonymous#41e078opening kill	+0.07%	Kill credit+0.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Judge	3,250	3,300	2	508
Anonymous#5ad0dc·	<0.01%	Kill credit+0.01%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock·Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,750	7,100	0	147
Anonymous#a707bb·	-0.06%	Kill credit+0.10%Death debit-0.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	4,500	3,000	1	268

Round 18 focal side lost

Won byRed · defuseScore entering5–12Round leverage0.0078Leverage index0.05×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	0.2%	-0.17%
18.7s	Kill	Anonymous#f2ebaa → Anonymous#eaad1a	0.3%	+0.11%
23.4s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#a707bb	0.5%	+0.20%
25.7s	Kill	Anonymous#3c8e72 → Anonymous#ab0ae5	0.3%	-0.21%
42.8s	Plant	Anonymous#e21e26	0.4%	+0.09%
46.7s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#3c8e72	0.6%	+0.20%
50.1s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → MLK	0.4%	-0.19%
59.6s	Clock	—	0.5%	+0.05%
59.6s	Revive	Anonymous#41e078	0.3%	-0.21%
59.6s	Kill	Anonymous#eaad1a → Anonymous#e21e26	0.1%	-0.21%
68.6s	Clock	—	0.1%	+0.03%
68.6s	Kill	Anonymous#5ad0dc → Anonymous#f2ebaa	0.0%	-0.09%
81.9s	Clock	—	0.2%	+0.23%
81.9s	Defuse	Anonymous#eaad1a	0.0%	-0.24%
81.9s	Terminal	—	0.0%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.0%	-0.39%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Blue · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 18,150 · half
Anonymous#f2ebaaopening kill	+0.06%	Kill credit+0.11%Death debit-0.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,600	2,950	1	191
SN0RLAX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Anonymous#ab0ae5·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Odin	4,900	2,900	0	0
Anonymous#e21e26·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,750	450	0	170
MLK·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	3,900	1,800	2	409
Red · opponents · defense · loadout 25,100 · full
Anonymous#3c8e72traded	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,800	5,100	1	120
Anonymous#eaad1aopening death	+0.06%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit-0.11%Plant·Defuse+0.24%Alive clock-0.09%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,300	4,700	1	320
Anonymous#41e078·	-0.10%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	4,600	1,000	0	0
Anonymous#5ad0dctrade	-0.02%	Kill credit+0.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering<0.01%	Operator	6,550	2,700	2	348
Anonymous#a707bb·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,850	950	0	175