Breeze, 13–7, August 9

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

392 nodes: 20 round start, 176 clock, 176 action, 20 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Red · the side the four played on
Anonymous#3f2d9a	Sage	+22.42%	20	13	6	3,926
MLK	Sova	+10.80%	20	14	2	3,215
Anonymous#bca104	Chamber	+6.13%	13	13	2	2,096
SN0RLAX	Cypher	+4.33%	16	16	4	2,783
Trzzcko	Viper	-3.20%	16	11	4	3,195
Blue · opponents
Anonymous#926163	Gekko	+7.21%	17	17	5	3,739
Anonymous#54dd60	Cypher	+3.70%	19	16	3	3,632
Anonymous#f95864	Miks	-9.57%	10	19	10	2,087
Anonymous#d9b8dd	Reyna	-13.34%	13	15	6	2,245
Anonymous#ea1a7f	Chamber	-28.48%	8	18	2	1,628

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 18 · MLK · defuse

+11.32% match win probability points
at 10–7
Round 13 · MLK · kill credit

+6.85% match win probability points
at 8–4
Round 5 · MLK · death debit

-5.34% match win probability points
at 3–1

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	48.8%	-1.22%
16.4s	Clock	—	49.0%	+0.20%
16.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f95864	52.2%	+3.26%
18.6s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#926163	54.1%	+1.86%
19.3s	Plant	MLK	54.8%	+0.75%
35.2s	Clock	—	55.0%	+0.19%
35.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#ea1a7f	56.7%	+1.70%
35.6s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → SN0RLAX	56.0%	-0.76%
39.8s	Clock	—	56.1%	+0.10%
39.8s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → MLK	55.1%	-1.00%
45.4s	Clock	—	55.4%	+0.31%
45.4s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Anonymous#3f2d9a	52.3%	-3.13%
49.4s	Clock	—	53.2%	+0.92%
49.4s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Trzzcko	48.2%	-5.01%
51.0s	Clock	—	49.3%	+1.13%
51.0s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Anonymous#bca104	43.1%	-6.25%
60.5s	Clock	—	50.9%	+7.84%
60.5s	Defuse	Anonymous#d9b8dd	41.9%	-8.95%
60.5s	Terminal	—	41.9%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			41.9%	-8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 2,500 · eco
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	-3.33%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.21%Centering-0.41%	Classic	700	100	0	52
MLK·	-0.24%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.00%Plant+0.75%Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering-0.10%	Classic	0	800	0	8
Anonymous#bca104clutch lost	-3.37%	Kill credit+1.49%Death debit-6.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+1.80%Centering-0.41%	Ghost	700	100	1	120
SN0RLAXopening kill	+5.07%	Kill credit+5.33%Death debit-0.76%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.08%Centering+0.43%	Classic	600	200	2	274
Trzzcko·	-4.91%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.01%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.67%Centering-0.57%	Classic	500	300	0	22
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 3,100 · eco
Anonymous#926163·	-1.50%	Kill credit+0.63%Death debit-1.86%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.22%	Classic	0	800	0	78
Anonymous#54dd60multi kill trade	+10.40%	Kill credit+10.77%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-1.34%Centering+0.97%	Ghost	500	0	3	400
Anonymous#f95864opening death	-3.74%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.45%	Frenzy	900	0	0	0
Anonymous#d9b8dd·	+3.71%	Kill credit+4.75%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-1.34%Centering+0.30%	Sheriff	1,000	0	2	379
Anonymous#ea1a7ftraded	-2.09%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.10%Centering-0.28%	Classic	700	100	0	0

Round 2 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–1Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	37.3%	-4.65%
16.9s	Clock	—	37.4%	+0.14%
16.9s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → MLK	35.7%	-1.73%
44.4s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#ea1a7f	37.5%	+1.81%
59.4s	Clock	—	37.5%	+0.04%
59.4s	Plant	Trzzcko	38.7%	+1.18%
65.3s	Clock	—	38.9%	+0.22%
65.3s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#d9b8dd	44.0%	+5.02%
71.7s	Clock	—	44.3%	+0.32%
71.7s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → Anonymous#3f2d9a	40.7%	-3.62%
74.1s	Clock	—	41.0%	+0.32%
74.1s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#f95864	45.5%	+4.51%
77.4s	Clock	—	45.7%	+0.19%
77.4s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → SN0RLAX	41.0%	-4.70%
85.6s	Clock	—	42.0%	+1.05%
85.6s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Anonymous#bca104	37.4%	-4.63%
94.9s	Clock	—	42.4%	+4.99%
94.9s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#926163	46.1%	+3.67%
97.7s	Clock	—	47.2%	+1.10%
97.7s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#54dd60	49.9%	+2.72%
97.7s	Terminal	—	50.0%	+0.11%
Round total · 22 nodes, 1 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 3,000 · eco
Anonymous#3f2d9atraded	+1.50%	Kill credit+4.92%Death debit-3.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering+0.03%	Classic	700	1,600	1	208
MLKopening death	-2.03%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.32%	Ghost	500	2,500	0	0
Anonymous#bca104trade	-0.30%	Kill credit+3.61%Death debit-4.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.87%Centering-0.15%	Classic	0	2,500	1	26
SN0RLAX·	-3.86%	Kill credit+1.00%Death debit-4.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.34%Centering-0.50%	Ghost	1,300	1,800	0	105
Trzzckoclutch won multi kill	+18.02%	Kill credit+8.20%Death debit·Plant+1.18%Defuse·Alive clock+6.96%Centering+1.68%	Classic	500	2,000	3	535
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 9,950 · light
Anonymous#926163·	+2.36%	Kill credit+9.33%Death debit-3.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-3.42%Centering+0.12%	Marshal	1,350	2,450	2	245
Anonymous#54dd60clutch lost opening kill	-6.64%	Kill credit+1.39%Death debit-2.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-4.52%Centering-0.78%	Marshal	2,550	1,050	1	136
Anonymous#f95864·	-1.88%	Kill credit+3.24%Death debit-4.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.31%Centering-0.31%	Spectre	2,700	650	1	96
Anonymous#d9b8dd·	-5.01%	Kill credit+0.72%Death debit-5.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.62%	Sheriff	2,250	2,150	0	55
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-2.17%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.81%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.34%	Classic	1,100	2,400	0	0

Round 3 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering1–1Round leverage0.1682Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	53.3%	+3.32%
3.4s	Clock	—	53.4%	+0.05%
3.4s	Kill	Anonymous#ea1a7f → SN0RLAX	50.6%	-2.73%
16.4s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#d9b8dd	54.2%	+3.53%
41.3s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Trzzcko	50.0%	-4.18%
62.1s	Clock	—	49.9%	-0.06%
62.1s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#ea1a7f	53.1%	+3.15%
65.6s	Clock	—	53.0%	-0.01%
65.6s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#f95864	56.3%	+3.29%
76.2s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Anonymous#3f2d9a	50.8%	-5.54%
79.5s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#54dd60	55.2%	+4.43%
82.6s	Clock	—	54.8%	-0.40%
82.6s	Plant	MLK	56.8%	+1.98%
116.2s	Clock	—	57.7%	+0.90%
116.2s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#926163	58.4%	+0.65%
116.2s	Terminal	—	58.4%	+0.06%
Round total · 20 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.4%	+8.41%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 17,500 · half
Anonymous#3f2d9amulti kill	+4.67%	Kill credit+9.96%Death debit-5.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.27%	Phantom	4,600	500	3	525
MLK·	+2.96%	Kill credit+0.65%Death debit·Plant+1.98%Defuse·Alive clock+0.23%Centering+0.10%	Phantom	3,900	1,900	1	78
Anonymous#bca104·	+4.96%	Kill credit+4.43%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.23%Centering+0.30%	Vandal	4,100	1,900	1	160
SN0RLAXopening death	-3.24%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.52%	Marshal	1,950	3,250	0	0
Trzzcko·	-4.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.68%	Marshal	2,950	4,400	0	32
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 9,900 · light
Anonymous#926163clutch lost	+8.10%	Kill credit+8.62%Death debit-0.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.49%Centering+0.61%	Marshal	1,900	2,850	2	350
Anonymous#54dd60·	-4.72%	Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-4.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.67%	Classic	0	3,150	0	156
Anonymous#f95864·	-3.45%	Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-3.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.54%	Spectre	2,700	400	0	60
Anonymous#d9b8dd·	-3.74%	Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-3.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.57%	Phantom	4,100	150	0	70
Anonymous#ea1a7fopening kill	-0.67%	Kill credit+2.73%Death debit-3.15%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.27%	Classic	1,200	3,500	1	159

Round 4 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering2–1Round leverage0.1682Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	59.0%	+0.64%
20.6s	Clock	—	59.3%	+0.28%
20.6s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#926163	62.8%	+3.49%
24.1s	Plant	MLK	63.6%	+0.76%
26.5s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → SN0RLAX	60.8%	-2.80%
27.0s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#f95864	64.1%	+3.30%
33.7s	Clock	—	64.2%	+0.12%
33.7s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#d9b8dd	65.6%	+1.37%
40.9s	Clock	—	65.7%	+0.11%
40.9s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#ea1a7f	66.5%	+0.78%
46.9s	Clock	—	66.5%	+0.03%
46.9s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Anonymous#bca104	66.3%	-0.18%
47.5s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#54dd60	66.8%	+0.48%
47.5s	Terminal	—	66.8%	+0.04%
Round total · 18 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			66.8%	+8.41%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 20,400 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9aopening kill trade	+4.46%	Kill credit+3.97%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering+0.37%	Vandal	4,600	300	2	360
MLK·	+1.76%	Kill credit+0.78%Death debit·Plant+0.76%Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering+0.10%	Phantom	4,200	5,100	1	195
Anonymous#bca104trade traded	+2.77%	Kill credit+2.64%Death debit-0.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering+0.20%	Vandal	2,900	5,400	1	120
SN0RLAXtraded	-3.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.39%	Phantom	4,300	2,650	0	0
Trzzcko·	+2.31%	Kill credit+2.03%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering+0.15%	Vandal	4,400	3,800	1	246
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 17,400 · half
Anonymous#926163opening death	-4.03%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.49%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.48%	Vandal	4,450	1,200	0	80
Anonymous#54dd60clutch lost	-0.61%	Kill credit+0.18%Death debit-0.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.18%Centering-0.14%	Vandal	4,500	1,050	1	120
Anonymous#f95864·	-0.69%	Kill credit+2.80%Death debit-3.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.15%	Spectre	2,700	700	1	156
Anonymous#d9b8dd·	-1.72%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.10%Centering-0.25%	Bucky	1,450	1,300	0	0
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-1.12%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.15%Centering-0.19%	Vandal	4,300	2,000	0	0

Round 5 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–1Round leverage0.1602Leverage index0.99×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	68.1%	+1.26%
5.2s	Clock	—	68.3%	+0.25%
5.2s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#d9b8dd	71.0%	+2.69%
29.8s	Kill	Anonymous#ea1a7f → MLK	67.8%	-3.25%
29.8s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#f95864	71.6%	+3.79%
49.2s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#54dd60	73.4%	+1.89%
52.3s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Trzzcko	71.8%	-1.67%
64.3s	Clock	—	71.7%	-0.04%
64.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#926163	73.8%	+2.02%
66.6s	Kill	Anonymous#ea1a7f → Anonymous#bca104	71.6%	-2.11%
77.1s	Clock	—	71.6%	-0.03%
77.1s	Plant	SN0RLAX	72.8%	+1.22%
84.4s	Clock	—	73.0%	+0.15%
84.4s	Kill	Anonymous#ea1a7f → SN0RLAX	67.7%	-5.26%
86.0s	Clock	—	67.8%	+0.09%
86.0s	Revive	Anonymous#3f2d9a	73.2%	+5.34%
86.0s	Kill	Anonymous#ea1a7f → MLK	67.8%	-5.34%
89.3s	Clock	—	67.9%	+0.09%
89.3s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#ea1a7f	74.7%	+6.77%
89.3s	Terminal	—	74.8%	+0.15%
Round total · 26 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			74.8%	+8.01%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,000 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9aclutch won trade	+7.68%	Kill credit+6.77%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering+0.77%	Vandal	4,600	2,300	1	234
MLKtraded	-3.56%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.36%	Vandal	4,600	8,200	1	120
Anonymous#bca104opening kill	+3.05%	Kill credit+2.69%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.30%	Vandal	4,100	4,800	2	320
SN0RLAXtraded	+0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,300	1,650	0	64
Trzzcko·	+0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,400	7,100	1	160
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 19,100 · half
Anonymous#926163trade	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	1,900	2,200	1	303
Anonymous#54dd60traded	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,100	50	0	60
Anonymous#f95864·	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,250	150	0	117
Anonymous#d9b8ddopening death	-3.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.69%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.30%	Vandal	4,350	50	0	0
Anonymous#ea1a7fclutch lost multi kill	-4.07%	Kill credit+3.25%Death debit-6.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.14%Centering-0.41%	Vandal	4,500	800	4	675

Round 6 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–1Round leverage0.1442Leverage index0.90×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	77.3%	+2.51%
15.4s	Clock	—	77.5%	+0.19%
15.4s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → SN0RLAX	74.1%	-3.40%
26.1s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#ea1a7f	77.5%	+3.42%
37.1s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#54dd60	79.5%	+1.91%
47.2s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#f95864	80.8%	+1.37%
53.6s	Plant	MLK	81.2%	+0.40%
55.8s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#926163	81.8%	+0.54%
55.9s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d9b8dd	82.0%	+0.25%
55.9s	Terminal	—	82.0%	+0.03%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			82.0%	+7.21%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,000 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	+1.58%	Kill credit+1.42%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.12%	Vandal	4,600	4,100	1	312
MLK·	+0.66%	Kill credit+0.20%Death debit·Plant+0.40%Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.03%	Phantom	4,600	4,800	1	99
Anonymous#bca104·	+5.92%	Kill credit+5.33%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.55%	Vandal	4,100	4,600	2	320
SN0RLAXopening death	-3.78%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.42%	Phantom	4,300	450	0	0
Trzzcko·	+0.60%	Kill credit+0.54%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,400	5,100	1	329
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 15,500 · half
Anonymous#926163opening kill	+2.34%	Kill credit+2.72%Death debit-0.54%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.19%	Vandal	4,450	1,150	1	197
Anonymous#54dd60·	-2.21%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.91%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.26%	Sheriff	1,700	1,250	0	55
Anonymous#f95864·	-0.86%	Kill credit+0.68%Death debit-1.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.13%	Spectre	2,700	950	0	44
Anonymous#d9b8ddclutch lost	-0.36%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.25%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.08%	Bucky	2,150	1,250	0	0
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-3.89%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.43%	Vandal	4,500	400	0	0

Round 7 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering5–1Round leverage0.1214Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	84.2%	+2.16%
8.9s	Clock	—	84.3%	+0.13%
8.9s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Anonymous#3f2d9a	81.3%	-2.99%
24.7s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Trzzcko	78.2%	-3.13%
28.0s	Plant	MLK	78.9%	+0.68%
38.3s	Clock	—	79.0%	+0.15%
38.3s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#926163	80.7%	+1.67%
39.6s	Clock	—	80.8%	+0.13%
39.6s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f95864	84.2%	+3.38%
45.4s	Clock	—	84.7%	+0.46%
45.4s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → MLK	80.8%	-3.91%
54.2s	Clock	—	81.8%	+1.07%
54.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#ea1a7f	84.7%	+2.89%
55.9s	Clock	—	85.0%	+0.30%
55.9s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#54dd60	87.3%	+2.28%
56.8s	Clock	—	87.3%	+0.01%
56.8s	Defuse	Anonymous#d9b8dd	76.0%	-11.35%
56.8s	Terminal	—	76.0%	·
Round total · 20 nodes, 2 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			76.0%	-6.07%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,000 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9aopening death	-3.37%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.99%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.41%	Vandal	4,600	6,200	0	40
MLK·	+2.25%	Kill credit+5.05%Death debit-3.91%Plant+0.68%Defuse·Alive clock+0.27%Centering+0.16%	Phantom	4,600	8,150	2	339
Anonymous#bca104·	+3.01%	Kill credit+1.82%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.96%Centering+0.23%	Vandal	4,100	7,300	1	74
SN0RLAX·	+4.20%	Kill credit+2.89%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.96%Centering+0.35%	Phantom	4,300	2,550	1	156
Trzzcko·	-3.02%	Kill credit+0.46%Death debit-3.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.37%	Vandal	4,400	5,700	0	80
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 15,450 · half
Anonymous#926163·	-0.46%	Kill credit+1.38%Death debit-1.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.11%	Marshal	1,900	2,350	0	181
Anonymous#54dd60·	+3.52%	Kill credit+6.26%Death debit-2.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.75%Centering+0.28%	Vandal	3,900	50	2	339
Anonymous#f95864·	-3.93%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.46%	Phantom	4,000	200	0	35
Anonymous#d9b8ddclutch won opening kill	+1.75%	Kill credit+2.39%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.75%Centering+0.11%	Judge	3,750	800	1	51
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-3.96%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.60%Centering-0.46%	Classic	1,900	1,800	0	0

Round 8 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering5–2Round leverage0.1484Leverage index0.92×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	77.5%	+1.55%
21.9s	Clock	—	77.8%	+0.25%
21.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#926163	79.9%	+2.14%
24.6s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#d9b8dd	81.7%	+1.79%
26.0s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#f95864	82.6%	+0.86%
28.9s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → MLK	82.2%	-0.37%
29.9s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#54dd60	82.9%	+0.70%
37.6s	Plant	Anonymous#3f2d9a	83.0%	+0.15%
40.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#ea1a7f	83.4%	+0.32%
40.5s	Terminal	—	83.4%	+0.03%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			83.4%	+7.42%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 21,800 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9atrade	+1.06%	Kill credit+0.78%Death debit·Plant+0.15%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.09%	Phantom	4,600	4,500	1	73
MLKtraded	-0.22%	Kill credit+0.14%Death debit-0.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.04%	Phantom	4,600	5,100	0	78
Anonymous#bca104·	+0.04%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	3,900	7,800	0	0
SN0RLAXopening kill	+2.30%	Kill credit+2.04%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.22%	Phantom	4,300	4,650	2	296
Trzzcko·	+3.22%	Kill credit+2.86%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.31%	Vandal	4,400	3,800	2	331
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 18,150 · half
Anonymous#926163opening death	-2.45%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.26%	Phantom	4,450	900	0	105
Anonymous#54dd60·	-0.43%	Kill credit+0.37%Death debit-0.70%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.06%	Sheriff	1,400	1,650	1	194
Anonymous#f95864·	-1.02%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.86%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.12%	Spectre	2,700	1,100	0	52
Anonymous#d9b8dd·	-2.07%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.79%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.22%	Vandal	4,800	3,300	0	0
Anonymous#ea1a7fclutch lost	-0.43%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.06%	Vandal	4,800	700	0	40

Round 9 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering6–2Round leverage0.1222Leverage index0.76×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	86.5%	+3.08%
28.7s	Clock	—	86.6%	+0.09%
28.7s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#f95864	87.4%	+0.84%
32.9s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Trzzcko	85.8%	-1.61%
33.9s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → MLK	82.0%	-3.78%
57.8s	Clock	—	82.0%	-0.03%
57.8s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Anonymous#bca104	79.0%	-2.99%
59.0s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Anonymous#3f2d9a	77.6%	-1.38%
61.5s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → SN0RLAX	77.3%	-0.30%
61.5s	Terminal	—	77.3%	-0.02%
Round total · 14 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			77.3%	-6.11%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,000 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	-1.53%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.15%	Phantom	4,600	7,500	0	150
MLK·	-4.18%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.42%	Phantom	4,600	4,350	0	0
Anonymous#bca104·	-3.31%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.99%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.33%	Vandal	4,100	8,800	0	0
SN0RLAXclutch lost	-0.33%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Phantom	4,300	7,050	0	35
Trzzckoopening kill	-0.83%	Kill credit+0.84%Death debit-1.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.08%	Vandal	4,400	6,300	1	232
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 11,600 · light
Anonymous#926163·	+3.31%	Kill credit+2.99%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.33%	Marshal	1,650	1,450	1	167
Anonymous#54dd60·	+0.63%	Kill credit+0.58%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.06%	Marshal	1,350	1,900	1	303
Anonymous#f95864opening death traded	-0.96%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.10%	Bucky	1,950	1,650	0	37
Anonymous#d9b8ddmulti kill trade	+7.21%	Kill credit+6.50%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.72%	Odin	5,100	1,000	3	400
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Classic	1,550	1,750	0	0

Round 10 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering6–3Round leverage0.1527Leverage index0.95×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	78.0%	+0.72%
15.6s	Clock	—	78.2%	+0.24%
15.6s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Trzzcko	74.6%	-3.63%
16.0s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#926163	78.0%	+3.38%
23.3s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → SN0RLAX	73.6%	-4.39%
23.6s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#f95864	78.1%	+4.47%
31.0s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#54dd60	81.0%	+2.96%
35.7s	Plant	MLK	82.0%	+0.99%
45.6s	Clock	—	82.2%	+0.19%
45.6s	Kill	Anonymous#bca104 → Anonymous#d9b8dd	84.3%	+2.12%
47.9s	Clock	—	84.3%	+0.03%
47.9s	Revive	Anonymous#3f2d9a	84.6%	+0.23%
47.9s	Kill	Anonymous#ea1a7f → SN0RLAX	84.3%	-0.23%
57.0s	Clock	—	84.4%	+0.08%
57.0s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#ea1a7f	84.9%	+0.46%
57.0s	Terminal	—	84.9%	+0.03%
Round total · 22 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			84.9%	+7.64%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 21,800 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9atrade	+0.08%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	5,100	1	160
MLK·	+0.59%	Kill credit+0.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.06%	Phantom	4,600	2,350	1	210
Anonymous#bca104multi kill trade	+3.83%	Kill credit+3.38%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering+0.38%	Phantom	3,900	5,100	3	545
SN0RLAXtraded	-4.82%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.48%	Phantom	4,300	4,750	0	39
Trzzckoopening death traded	-3.98%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.40%	Vandal	4,400	4,500	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 20,500 · full
Anonymous#926163opening kill	-0.58%	Kill credit+2.90%Death debit-3.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.06%	Vandal	4,450	3,400	1	211
Anonymous#54dd60·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	2,050	3,500	0	0
Anonymous#f95864·	+5.63%	Kill credit+5.11%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.56%	Phantom	4,600	650	1	156
Anonymous#d9b8dd·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Odin	5,100	3,400	0	26
Anonymous#ea1a7fclutch lost	-0.65%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.06%	Vandal	4,300	3,450	1	240

Round 11 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering7–3Round leverage0.1222Leverage index0.76×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	85.3%	+0.39%
12.8s	Clock	—	85.5%	+0.16%
12.8s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Trzzcko	82.7%	-2.74%
13.9s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d9b8dd	85.6%	+2.92%
15.1s	Kill	Anonymous#ea1a7f → MLK	82.2%	-3.46%
27.9s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Anonymous#bca104	80.0%	-2.18%
29.1s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → SN0RLAX	79.0%	-0.95%
36.6s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#926163	79.4%	+0.35%
37.7s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#54dd60	81.0%	+1.63%
41.9s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#ea1a7f	84.8%	+3.73%
77.6s	Clock	—	84.7%	-0.07%
77.6s	Plant	Anonymous#3f2d9a	86.0%	+1.27%
113.6s	Clock	—	89.3%	+3.30%
113.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → Anonymous#3f2d9a	83.4%	-5.87%
122.2s	Clock	—	87.4%	+3.97%
122.2s	Defuse	Anonymous#f95864	78.8%	-8.57%
122.2s	Terminal	—	78.8%	·
Round total · 24 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			78.8%	-6.11%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,000 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9aclutch lost multi kill	+4.73%	Kill credit+5.71%Death debit-5.87%Plant+1.27%Defuse·Alive clock+3.26%Centering+0.35%	Vandal	4,600	8,100	3	640
MLKtrade	-0.70%	Kill credit+2.92%Death debit-3.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.20%	Phantom	4,600	4,450	1	312
Anonymous#bca104·	-2.53%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.38%	Phantom	4,100	7,800	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-1.16%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.95%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.24%	Phantom	4,300	3,850	0	0
Trzzckoopening death traded	-3.15%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.44%	Phantom	4,400	3,900	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 20,750 · full
Anonymous#926163·	+2.91%	Kill credit+3.13%Death debit-0.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering+0.16%	Vandal	4,450	1,350	2	320
Anonymous#54dd60·	-1.99%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.33%	Vandal	4,200	1,000	0	34
Anonymous#f95864clutch won	+2.22%	Kill credit+5.39%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-3.26%Centering+0.09%	Spectre	2,700	650	1	234
Anonymous#d9b8ddopening kill traded	-0.38%	Kill credit+2.74%Death debit-2.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.17%	Odin	5,100	850	1	184
Anonymous#ea1a7ftrade	+0.06%	Kill credit+3.94%Death debit-3.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.12%	Vandal	4,300	1,450	1	234

Round 12 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering7–4Round leverage0.1571Leverage index0.98×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	79.0%	+0.20%
21.7s	Clock	—	79.4%	+0.35%
21.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d9b8dd	82.0%	+2.61%
22.0s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → SN0RLAX	79.4%	-2.60%
22.2s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#f95864	82.8%	+3.43%
25.9s	Plant	MLK	83.7%	+0.86%
33.8s	Clock	—	83.7%	+0.08%
33.8s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → MLK	80.8%	-2.95%
41.4s	Clock	—	81.4%	+0.59%
41.4s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#54dd60	84.7%	+3.28%
49.9s	Clock	—	85.0%	+0.30%
49.9s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#926163	86.2%	+1.26%
51.1s	Clock	—	86.2%	+0.02%
51.1s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#ea1a7f	86.6%	+0.39%
51.1s	Terminal	—	86.7%	+0.03%
Round total · 18 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			86.7%	+7.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,500 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9amulti kill trade	+9.20%	Kill credit+7.97%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.40%Centering+0.83%	Vandal	4,600	4,400	3	440
MLK·	-2.32%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.95%Plant+0.86%Defuse·Alive clock+0.09%Centering-0.32%	Phantom	4,600	2,950	0	39
Anonymous#bca104·	+0.34%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.40%Centering-0.05%	Operator	6,600	2,400	0	0
SN0RLAXopening kill traded	-0.59%	Kill credit+2.09%Death debit-2.60%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.14%	Phantom	4,300	1,750	1	117
Trzzcko·	+1.36%	Kill credit+0.91%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.40%Centering+0.05%	Phantom	4,400	2,200	1	221
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 22,300 · full
Anonymous#926163·	-1.99%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.44%Centering-0.28%	Vandal	4,450	550	0	35
Anonymous#54dd60·	-0.79%	Kill credit+2.95%Death debit-3.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.29%Centering-0.16%	Vandal	4,000	0	1	200
Anonymous#f95864trade	-1.67%	Kill credit+2.08%Death debit-3.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.25%	Phantom	4,800	2,550	1	65
Anonymous#d9b8ddopening death traded	-2.49%	Kill credit+0.52%Death debit-2.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.34%	Judge	4,550	400	0	99
Anonymous#ea1a7fclutch lost	-1.05%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.47%Centering-0.19%	Vandal	4,500	550	0	0

Round 13 focal side won

Won byRed · defuseScore entering8–4Round leverage0.1208Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	85.8%	-0.82%
14.5s	Clock	—	85.7%	-0.16%
14.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#ea1a7f	87.8%	+2.16%
26.8s	Clock	—	87.9%	+0.04%
26.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#926163	90.1%	+2.26%
26.9s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → SN0RLAX	88.8%	-1.38%
28.2s	Plant	Anonymous#f95864	88.0%	-0.75%
33.0s	Clock	—	87.8%	-0.17%
33.0s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Trzzcko	85.4%	-2.40%
37.3s	Clock	—	85.3%	-0.11%
37.3s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Anonymous#3f2d9a	82.6%	-2.72%
40.0s	Clock	—	82.6%	-0.03%
40.0s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → Anonymous#bca104	81.3%	-1.33%
41.5s	Clock	—	81.2%	-0.03%
41.5s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f95864	81.8%	+0.59%
45.6s	Clock	—	81.7%	-0.08%
45.6s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d9b8dd	85.3%	+3.59%
47.7s	Clock	—	85.2%	-0.13%
47.7s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#54dd60	92.0%	+6.85%
59.5s	Clock	—	91.1%	-0.98%
59.5s	Defuse	MLK	92.7%	+1.64%
59.5s	Terminal	—	92.7%	·
Round total · 24 nodes, 2 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			92.7%	+6.04%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 1,800 · eco
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	-3.22%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.10%Centering-0.40%	Classic	700	100	0	26
MLKclutch won multi kill trade	+11.76%	Kill credit+11.03%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.36%Centering+1.10%	Classic	0	800	3	288
Anonymous#bca104traded	-1.69%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.33%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.24%	Ghost	700	100	0	30
SN0RLAXopening kill	+3.27%	Kill credit+4.42%Death debit-1.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.25%	Classic	100	200	2	188
Trzzcko·	-2.82%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.36%	Classic	300	300	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 3,500 · eco
Anonymous#926163traded	-2.57%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.33%	Ghost	500	300	0	23
Anonymous#54dd60clutch lost trade	-2.79%	Kill credit+4.10%Death debit-6.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.31%Centering-0.35%	Ghost	600	0	2	330
Anonymous#f95864·	+1.72%	Kill credit+1.33%Death debit-0.59%Plant+0.75%Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering+0.10%	Frenzy	900	0	1	100
Anonymous#d9b8dd·	-1.21%	Kill credit+2.40%Death debit-3.59%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.18%Centering-0.20%	Sheriff	1,000	0	1	110
Anonymous#ea1a7fopening death	-2.45%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.32%	Classic	500	300	0	0

Round 14 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering9–4Round leverage0.0806Leverage index0.50×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	94.9%	+2.24%
18.8s	Clock	—	94.9%	-0.08%
18.8s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#54dd60	95.7%	+0.80%
19.5s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#ea1a7f	96.3%	+0.61%
21.8s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Anonymous#3f2d9a	95.9%	-0.39%
35.7s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#926163	96.4%	+0.57%
41.7s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#f95864	96.6%	+0.19%
41.8s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Anonymous#bca104	96.5%	-0.10%
42.5s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d9b8dd	96.7%	+0.17%
42.5s	Terminal	—	96.7%	+0.02%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			96.7%	+4.03%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 14,900 · half
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	-0.28%	Kill credit+0.16%Death debit-0.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.03%	Marshal	2,650	450	0	0
MLKopening kill	+1.38%	Kill credit+1.26%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.14%	Odin	4,700	200	2	249
Anonymous#bca104traded	-0.09%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit-0.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,450	650	0	66
SN0RLAXtrade	+0.13%	Kill credit+0.13%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.01%	Spectre	2,700	500	1	104
Trzzcko·	+0.83%	Kill credit+0.76%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering+0.08%	Stinger	2,400	1,000	2	292
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 6,100 · light
Anonymous#926163·	-0.27%	Kill credit+0.31%Death debit-0.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.03%	Marshal	1,900	600	1	202
Anonymous#54dd60opening death	-0.88%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.80%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.09%	Classic	100	2,600	0	0
Anonymous#f95864·	-0.15%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.02%	Spectre	2,700	50	0	104
Anonymous#d9b8ddclutch lost	-0.06%	Kill credit+0.10%Death debit-0.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%	Classic	200	2,400	1	156
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-0.62%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.06%	Classic	1,200	1,800	0	0

Round 15 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering10–4Round leverage0.0439Leverage index0.27×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	96.4%	-0.29%
11.9s	Clock	—	96.4%	-0.06%
11.9s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Anonymous#bca104	95.5%	-0.89%
36.9s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Trzzcko	95.1%	-0.41%
43.9s	Plant	Anonymous#ea1a7f	95.0%	-0.12%
64.4s	Clock	—	94.9%	-0.05%
64.4s	Kill	Anonymous#ea1a7f → SN0RLAX	94.7%	-0.20%
65.6s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → Anonymous#3f2d9a	94.6%	-0.09%
68.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f95864	94.6%	+0.02%
69.9s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#ea1a7f	94.7%	+0.07%
70.1s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → MLK	94.5%	-0.14%
70.1s	Terminal	—	94.5%	-0.01%
Round total · 18 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			94.5%	-2.20%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 15,650 · half
Anonymous#3f2d9atraded	-0.15%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.03%	Classic	700	2,750	0	0
MLKclutch lost trade	-0.12%	Kill credit+0.08%Death debit-0.14%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.02%	Odin	5,400	2,900	2	295
Anonymous#bca104opening death	-1.02%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.11%	Vandal	3,750	100	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-0.27%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.04%	Spectre	2,700	3,200	0	27
Trzzcko·	-0.48%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.41%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.06%	Spectre	3,100	3,200	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 18,850 · half
Anonymous#926163trade	+0.14%	Kill credit+0.11%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	2,500	700	1	202
Anonymous#54dd60·	+0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.01%	Vandal	4,500	600	0	0
Anonymous#f95864traded	+0.13%	Kill credit+0.12%Death debit-0.02%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	2,700	350	1	192
Anonymous#d9b8ddopening kill	+1.46%	Kill credit+1.30%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.13%	Phantom	4,550	650	2	331
Anonymous#ea1a7ftraded	+0.30%	Kill credit+0.20%Death debit-0.07%Plant+0.12%Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,600	100	1	240

Round 16 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering10–5Round leverage0.0703Leverage index0.44×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	94.5%	-0.01%
27.9s	Clock	—	94.5%	-0.07%
27.9s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Trzzcko	92.9%	-1.51%
43.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d9b8dd	94.6%	+1.66%
49.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#54dd60	96.4%	+1.82%
52.8s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → MLK	94.5%	-1.89%
56.5s	Plant	Anonymous#926163	93.8%	-0.75%
66.9s	Clock	—	93.6%	-0.21%
66.9s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → Anonymous#bca104	92.3%	-1.32%
70.7s	Clock	—	92.1%	-0.14%
70.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#f95864	94.0%	+1.84%
81.0s	Clock	—	93.5%	-0.49%
81.0s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Anonymous#3f2d9a	91.6%	-1.85%
87.2s	Clock	—	91.5%	-0.16%
87.2s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → SN0RLAX	91.0%	-0.43%
87.2s	Terminal	—	91.0%	-0.03%
Round total · 20 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			91.0%	-3.52%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 18,850 · half
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	-2.58%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.40%Centering-0.33%	Vandal	4,600	50	0	80
MLK·	-2.20%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.29%	Phantom	4,600	1,300	0	0
Anonymous#bca104traded	-1.64%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering-0.24%	Marshal	1,550	650	0	0
SN0RLAXclutch lost multi kill trade	+4.74%	Kill credit+5.33%Death debit-0.43%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.56%Centering+0.40%	Phantom	3,900	700	3	436
Trzzckoopening death	-1.77%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.51%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.25%	Phantom	4,200	1,000	0	39
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 20,200 · full
Anonymous#926163·	+3.37%	Kill credit+1.90%Death debit·Plant+0.75%Defuse·Alive clock+0.45%Centering+0.26%	Vandal	4,450	1,000	2	274
Anonymous#54dd60opening kill	-0.42%	Kill credit+1.51%Death debit-1.82%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.12%	Vandal	4,300	3,300	1	240
Anonymous#f95864·	+1.99%	Kill credit+3.58%Death debit-1.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering+0.12%	Phantom	4,250	200	2	526
Anonymous#d9b8dd·	-1.91%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.01%Centering-0.27%	Phantom	4,350	4,350	0	0
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	+0.42%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.45%Centering-0.03%	Marshal	2,850	2,200	0	0

Round 17 focal side lost

Won byBlue · detonateScore entering10–6Round leverage0.1094Leverage index0.68×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	89.4%	-1.64%
13.6s	Clock	—	89.2%	-0.14%
13.6s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → SN0RLAX	87.8%	-1.44%
17.1s	Plant	Anonymous#926163	87.4%	-0.41%
33.4s	Clock	—	87.3%	-0.11%
33.4s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Anonymous#3f2d9a	86.6%	-0.65%
38.6s	Clock	—	86.6%	-0.04%
38.6s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → MLK	86.0%	-0.62%
40.6s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#f95864	86.1%	+0.12%
54.6s	Clock	—	85.8%	-0.32%
54.6s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#926163	85.9%	+0.19%
60.6s	Clock	—	85.9%	-0.08%
60.6s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#ea1a7f	86.5%	+0.58%
62.1s	Detonate	—	86.5%	·
62.1s	Terminal	—	85.5%	-0.90%
Round total · 18 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			85.5%	-5.47%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 14,600 · half
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	-0.80%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit-0.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.12%	Stinger	1,800	950	0	69
MLK·	-0.82%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering-0.12%	Phantom	4,250	150	0	0
Anonymous#bca104·	-0.35%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.27%Centering-0.08%	Guardian	3,100	150	1	195
SN0RLAXopening death	-1.63%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-1.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.20%	Spectre	2,700	500	0	117
Trzzckomulti kill	+0.57%	Kill credit+0.83%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.27%Centering+0.02%	Spectre	2,750	950	3	416
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 20,900 · full
Anonymous#926163opening kill	+1.95%	Kill credit+1.44%Death debit-0.19%Plant+0.41%Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering+0.15%	Vandal	4,450	3,150	1	307
Anonymous#54dd60·	+0.83%	Kill credit+0.62%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,100	2,700	1	160
Anonymous#f95864·	-0.11%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.05%	Phantom	4,600	2,800	0	0
Anonymous#d9b8ddclutch won	+0.86%	Kill credit+0.65%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering+0.04%	Vandal	4,800	3,300	1	120
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-0.51%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering-0.09%	Marshal	2,950	2,300	0	0

Round 18 focal side won

Won byRed · defuseScore entering10–7Round leverage0.1641Leverage index1.02×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	83.1%	-2.41%
49.8s	Clock	—	82.9%	-0.26%
49.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#d9b8dd	87.1%	+4.17%
50.2s	Kill	Anonymous#f95864 → SN0RLAX	84.6%	-2.42%
53.9s	Plant	Anonymous#926163	83.2%	-1.39%
54.6s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#926163	87.7%	+4.45%
62.7s	Clock	—	87.3%	-0.36%
62.7s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#ea1a7f	91.4%	+4.07%
71.0s	Clock	—	90.9%	-0.51%
71.0s	Kill	Trzzcko → Anonymous#f95864	93.2%	+2.27%
73.0s	Clock	—	93.1%	-0.02%
73.0s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Anonymous#bca104	92.4%	-0.77%
78.0s	Clock	—	91.6%	-0.75%
78.0s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Anonymous#3f2d9a	88.0%	-3.58%
78.4s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Trzzcko	82.7%	-5.31%
80.9s	Clock	—	82.4%	-0.31%
80.9s	Defuse	MLK	93.8%	+11.32%
80.9s	Terminal	—	93.8%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			93.8%	+8.20%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 16,000 · half
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	-1.10%	Kill credit+3.26%Death debit-3.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.52%Centering-0.25%	Phantom	4,250	300	1	86
MLKclutch won	+5.12%	Kill credit+5.27%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.52%Centering+0.37%	Spectre	2,700	1,050	1	352
Anonymous#bca104·	-1.32%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.28%Centering-0.27%	Vandal	4,100	350	0	0
SN0RLAXopening kill	+1.73%	Kill credit+4.17%Death debit-2.42%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.03%	Ghost	900	2,000	1	195
Trzzcko·	-4.11%	Kill credit+2.27%Death debit-5.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.52%Centering-0.55%	Phantom	4,050	2,050	1	225
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 22,850 · full
Anonymous#926163·	-3.50%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.45%Plant+1.39%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.49%	Phantom	4,450	2,200	0	70
Anonymous#54dd60clutch lost multi kill	+10.74%	Kill credit+8.61%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+1.20%Centering+0.94%	Vandal	4,100	1,800	4	745
Anonymous#f95864trade	+1.13%	Kill credit+3.00%Death debit-2.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.43%Centering-0.03%	Phantom	4,600	1,850	1	113
Anonymous#d9b8ddopening death traded	-4.19%	Kill credit+0.48%Death debit-4.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.56%	Vandal	4,800	6,300	0	114
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-4.49%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.17%Centering-0.59%	Vandal	4,900	1,500	0	40

Round 19 focal side won

Won byRed · defuseScore entering11–7Round leverage0.0938Leverage index0.58×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	93.0%	-0.77%
16.9s	Clock	—	92.8%	-0.14%
16.9s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d9b8dd	95.1%	+2.24%
18.0s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → MLK	92.8%	-2.29%
27.0s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#f95864	95.8%	+3.04%
29.6s	Plant	Anonymous#926163	95.1%	-0.78%
35.6s	Clock	—	94.8%	-0.22%
35.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#926163	97.3%	+2.44%
39.2s	Clock	—	97.2%	-0.04%
39.2s	Kill	Anonymous#54dd60 → Anonymous#bca104	95.6%	-1.61%
40.3s	Clock	—	95.6%	-0.02%
40.3s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#54dd60	97.8%	+2.20%
44.1s	Clock	—	97.7%	-0.06%
44.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#ea1a7f	98.4%	+0.65%
59.5s	Clock	—	98.3%	-0.11%
59.5s	Defuse	SN0RLAX	98.4%	+0.14%
59.5s	Terminal	—	98.4%	·
Round total · 20 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			98.4%	+4.69%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 17,050 · half
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	+3.16%	Kill credit+3.04%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering+0.24%	Sheriff	1,500	2,000	1	159
MLKopening kill	-0.18%	Kill credit+2.24%Death debit-2.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.10%	Odin	4,600	50	1	167
Anonymous#bca104traded	-1.98%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.61%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.09%Centering-0.28%	Vandal	3,100	450	0	40
SN0RLAXmulti kill trade	+5.67%	Kill credit+5.30%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering+0.49%	Phantom	4,000	700	3	630
Trzzcko·	-0.22%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.10%	Phantom	3,850	1,200	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 21,050 · full
Anonymous#926163trade	+0.22%	Kill credit+1.83%Death debit-2.44%Plant+0.78%Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering-0.06%	Vandal	4,450	200	1	259
Anonymous#54dd60·	-0.60%	Kill credit+1.61%Death debit-2.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.13%Centering-0.14%	Vandal	4,100	3,300	1	160
Anonymous#f95864·	-3.44%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.42%	Phantom	4,600	0	0	0
Anonymous#d9b8ddopening death traded	-2.03%	Kill credit+0.46%Death debit-2.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.28%	Phantom	4,800	4,100	0	0
Anonymous#ea1a7fclutch lost	-0.60%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.19%Centering-0.14%	Stinger	3,100	1,400	0	0

Round 20 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering12–7Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	98.8%	+0.38%
12.1s	Clock	—	98.8%	-0.04%
12.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#f95864	99.2%	+0.40%
27.8s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#ea1a7f	99.6%	+0.45%
60.0s	Kill	Anonymous#3f2d9a → Anonymous#54dd60	99.9%	+0.23%
65.6s	Kill	Anonymous#d9b8dd → Anonymous#3f2d9a	99.8%	-0.09%
67.3s	Kill	Anonymous#926163 → Anonymous#bca104	99.5%	-0.24%
70.0s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#926163	99.9%	+0.34%
77.1s	Kill	MLK → Anonymous#d9b8dd	100.0%	+0.13%
77.1s	Terminal	—	100.0%	<0.01%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			100.0%	+1.56%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,650 · full
Anonymous#3f2d9a·	+0.65%	Kill credit+0.69%Death debit-0.09%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Phantom	5,400	3,500	2	312
MLKmulti kill opening kill trade	+0.88%	Kill credit+0.80%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.09%	Phantom	4,600	1,950	3	386
Anonymous#bca104traded	-0.20%	Kill credit+0.07%Death debit-0.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	3,500	150	0	80
SN0RLAX·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,000	2,800	0	0
Trzzcko·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,150	800	0	35
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 19,000 · half
Anonymous#926163·	-0.08%	Kill credit+0.26%Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Marshal	2,500	600	1	130
Anonymous#54dd60·	-0.25%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,100	1,900	0	0
Anonymous#f95864opening death	-0.43%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Spectre	2,700	600	0	0
Anonymous#d9b8ddclutch lost	-0.05%	Kill credit+0.08%Death debit-0.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,800	2,650	1	150
Anonymous#ea1a7f·	-0.50%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.45%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,900	0	0	0