Haven, 6–13, June 25

Match win probability curve, action by action

The curve is drawn by quad-app.js. Without it, every round below is still open.

364 nodes: 19 round start, 163 clock, 163 action, 19 terminal. The curve steps at a round boundary and the step is real: the match model runs every future round at a constant win probability of 0.5, so a boundary is the score talking, and the round-start node then moves it to the model's price on the round about to be played. Across the 2,046 rounds of this act the median step is 1.5 match win probability points and the largest is 10.9; neither end of it is a player.

All ten players

Everyone but the four is a match-scoped pseudonym: the same person in two matches carries two unrelated names, and nothing here links them.

Who		The instrument	The box score
Name	Agent	MWPA	K	D	A	Damage
Red · the side the four played on
Anonymous#73cdb2	Phoenix	+13.48%	21	14	2	3,894
Anonymous#566492	Sage	-4.08%	10	16	7	2,046
Anonymous#e7fb6f	Miks	-4.54%	11	17	2	1,905
SN0RLAX	Breach	-18.90%	17	17	1	3,097
Anonymous#3f59a6	Reyna	-29.78%	2	19	3	808
Blue · opponents
Anonymous#67cf80	Reyna	+28.32%	22	12	5	4,274
Anonymous#19f4d7	Jett	+16.56%	16	13	9	3,226
Anonymous#8bfeb6	Chamber	+3.15%	12	10	4	2,168
Anonymous#bd3b12	Cypher	+3.04%	17	12	6	3,155
Anonymous#c20f96	Miks	-7.24%	16	14	11	2,893

The three biggest swings

Single events, signed, and only the four: a death debit ranks here as one.

Round 6 · SN0RLAX · death debit

-4.77% match win probability points
at 2–3
Round 3 · SN0RLAX · death debit

-3.78% match win probability points
at 2–0
Round 7 · SN0RLAX · kill credit

+3.77% match win probability points
at 3–3

Round by round

Selecting a round on the figure opens it here.

Abilities do not exist in this data at any grain — four integers per player-match, null in every round record — so smokes, flashes and mollies are absent from every number here. Revives are UNCREDITED rather than absent: a revive is a timed event, so the curve moves under one and the round timeline prints that move beside whoever cast it, but revive is not one of the five credit types and no player's ledger carries it. The five are the whole ledger, and no cell renders a zero for utility.

Round 1 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering0–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	50.5%	+0.49%
11.6s	Clock	—	50.7%	+0.18%
11.6s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → SN0RLAX	47.5%	-3.20%
16.8s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#bd3b12	50.5%	+3.04%
25.5s	Plant	Anonymous#566492	51.5%	+0.94%
33.6s	Clock	—	51.7%	+0.26%
33.6s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#3f59a6	47.7%	-4.00%
37.1s	Clock	—	47.9%	+0.16%
37.1s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#8bfeb6	51.1%	+3.21%
37.7s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#67cf80	55.3%	+4.17%
40.1s	Clock	—	55.4%	+0.18%
40.1s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#73cdb2	51.5%	-3.96%
40.3s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#566492	45.6%	-5.91%
44.0s	Clock	—	45.6%	+0.02%
44.0s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#c20f96	51.0%	+5.37%
48.9s	Clock	—	51.8%	+0.83%
48.9s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#19f4d7	57.9%	+6.05%
48.9s	Terminal	—	58.1%	+0.21%
Round total · 22 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.1%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 4,050 · eco
Anonymous#73cdb2·	+3.75%	Kill credit+7.21%Death debit-3.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.21%Centering+0.28%	Ghost	950	100	2	225
Anonymous#566492trade traded	-2.53%	Kill credit+2.57%Death debit-5.91%Plant+0.94%Defuse·Alive clock+0.21%Centering-0.35%	Ghost	800	0	1	178
Anonymous#e7fb6fclutch won trade	+13.78%	Kill credit+11.42%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+1.07%Centering+1.28%	Ghost	700	200	2	295
SN0RLAXopening death	-3.62%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.20%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.46%	Classic	700	100	0	0
Anonymous#3f59a6traded	-3.72%	Kill credit+0.64%Death debit-4.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering-0.47%	Ghost	900	100	0	90
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 2,900 · eco
Anonymous#67cf80traded	-4.90%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.14%Centering-0.58%	Ghost	900	100	0	0
Anonymous#19f4d7clutch lost trade	-4.50%	Kill credit+3.17%Death debit-6.05%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-1.07%Centering-0.54%	Sheriff	800	0	1	110
Anonymous#8bfeb6traded	+0.61%	Kill credit+4.00%Death debit-3.21%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.14%Centering-0.03%	Classic	0	800	1	104
Anonymous#bd3b12opening kill	+0.03%	Kill credit+3.20%Death debit-3.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.09%	Classic	500	100	1	109
Anonymous#c20f96trade	+1.11%	Kill credit+6.70%Death debit-5.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.24%Centering+0.02%	Classic	700	200	1	152

Round 2 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering1–0Round leverage0.1612Leverage index1.00×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	62.4%	+4.35%
10.6s	Clock	—	62.5%	+0.07%
10.6s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#67cf80	63.8%	+1.37%
15.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c20f96	64.8%	+0.92%
24.1s	Plant	Anonymous#566492	65.0%	+0.26%
29.0s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#19f4d7	65.5%	+0.52%
33.4s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#8bfeb6	65.9%	+0.35%
39.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#bd3b12	66.1%	+0.18%
39.6s	Terminal	—	66.1%	+0.03%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			66.1%	+8.06%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 12,750 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2opening kill	+1.51%	Kill credit+1.37%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.12%	Spectre	2,850	1,400	1	156
Anonymous#566492·	+0.28%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant+0.26%Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering<0.01%	Ares	3,300	200	0	0
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.03%	Ghost	2,050	2,450	0	0
SN0RLAXmulti kill	+2.18%	Kill credit+1.97%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.19%	Stinger	2,200	1,650	4	474
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.03%	Sheriff	2,350	1,450	0	46
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 3,400 · eco
Anonymous#67cf80opening death	-1.56%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.18%	Classic	400	2,000	0	182
Anonymous#19f4d7·	-0.63%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.09%	Classic	150	1,950	0	26
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-0.43%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.07%	Marshal	1,650	1,250	0	0
Anonymous#bd3b12clutch lost	-0.26%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.18%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.05%	Classic	500	1,500	0	52
Anonymous#c20f96·	-1.06%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.01%Centering-0.13%	Classic	700	1,700	0	0

Round 3 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering2–0Round leverage0.1542Leverage index0.96×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	65.4%	-0.70%
12.7s	Clock	—	65.6%	+0.14%
12.7s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#73cdb2	62.9%	-2.67%
14.1s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#bd3b12	65.8%	+2.95%
19.8s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → SN0RLAX	62.0%	-3.78%
21.7s	Plant	Anonymous#566492	63.1%	+1.02%
26.9s	Clock	—	63.4%	+0.29%
26.9s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	60.0%	-3.31%
30.1s	Clock	—	60.1%	+0.07%
30.1s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#3f59a6	58.8%	-1.27%
32.2s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#566492	58.5%	-0.39%
42.3s	Defuse	Anonymous#c20f96	58.4%	-0.05%
42.3s	Terminal	—	58.4%	·
Round total · 18 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			58.4%	-7.71%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 17,200 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2opening death traded	-2.73%	Kill credit+0.29%Death debit-2.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.38%	Spectre	3,450	3,300	0	130
Anonymous#566492clutch lost	+0.76%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.39%Plant+1.02%Defuse·Alive clock+0.16%Centering-0.03%	Ares	3,300	3,200	0	140
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	-3.66%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering-0.47%	Vandal	4,950	2,750	0	0
SN0RLAXtrade	-1.67%	Kill credit+2.36%Death debit-3.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.27%	Stinger	2,800	4,050	1	104
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-1.03%	Kill credit+0.29%Death debit-1.27%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.16%Centering-0.21%	Sheriff	2,700	3,500	0	50
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 18,600 · half
Anonymous#67cf80·	+4.56%	Kill credit+4.33%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering+0.35%	Phantom	4,200	600	2	304
Anonymous#19f4d7·	-0.25%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.13%	Phantom	4,250	100	0	0
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-0.25%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.12%Centering-0.13%	Marshal	2,550	1,400	0	0
Anonymous#bd3b12opening kill	-1.05%	Kill credit+2.14%Death debit-2.95%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.21%	Spectre	3,000	800	1	210
Anonymous#c20f96·	+5.31%	Kill credit+4.96%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.05%Alive clock-0.12%Centering+0.43%	Vandal	4,600	100	2	280

Round 4 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering2–1Round leverage0.1682Leverage index1.04×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	59.1%	+0.70%
13.0s	Clock	—	59.3%	+0.20%
13.0s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	55.2%	-4.08%
15.1s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#566492	52.8%	-2.39%
20.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c20f96	55.0%	+2.17%
22.2s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#67cf80	60.0%	+5.04%
25.0s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#73cdb2	54.4%	-5.66%
39.3s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → SN0RLAX	50.9%	-3.46%
39.9s	Kill	Anonymous#3f59a6 → Anonymous#bd3b12	52.8%	+1.92%
47.9s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#3f59a6	50.1%	-2.74%
47.9s	Terminal	—	50.0%	-0.10%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	-8.41%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 22,250 · full
Anonymous#73cdb2·	-0.65%	Kill credit+5.04%Death debit-5.66%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.07%	Vandal	4,750	1,400	1	200
Anonymous#566492·	-2.61%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.26%	Ares	3,300	2,500	0	0
Anonymous#e7fb6fopening death	-4.49%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.45%	Vandal	4,800	700	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-1.39%	Kill credit+2.17%Death debit-3.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.14%	Phantom	4,600	1,850	1	273
Anonymous#3f59a6clutch lost	-0.87%	Kill credit+1.92%Death debit-2.74%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.09%	Vandal	4,800	1,300	1	160
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 20,050 · full
Anonymous#67cf80opening kill traded	+2.81%	Kill credit+7.61%Death debit-5.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+0.28%	Vandal	4,800	2,800	2	560
Anonymous#19f4d7multi kill trade	+10.51%	Kill credit+9.50%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering+1.05%	Phantom	4,450	1,550	3	361
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-0.05%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering<0.01%	Spectre	3,200	4,200	0	0
Anonymous#bd3b12·	-1.57%	Kill credit+0.55%Death debit-1.92%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.16%	Spectre	2,800	1,000	0	110
Anonymous#c20f96·	-1.68%	Kill credit+0.69%Death debit-2.17%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.17%	Vandal	4,800	2,200	0	120

Round 5 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering2–2Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	46.8%	-3.16%
8.7s	Clock	—	47.1%	+0.27%
8.7s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → SN0RLAX	44.8%	-2.34%
10.5s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#3f59a6	43.0%	-1.75%
11.7s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#73cdb2	41.9%	-1.08%
13.3s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#19f4d7	42.5%	+0.56%
16.1s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	41.5%	-0.96%
28.4s	Revive	Anonymous#566492	42.4%	+0.92%
28.4s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#3f59a6	41.5%	-0.93%
33.1s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#566492	41.2%	-0.29%
33.1s	Terminal	—	41.2%	-0.03%
Round total · 18 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			41.2%	-8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 15,200 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2traded	+0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,400	200	0	0
Anonymous#566492clutch lost	-0.26%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.03%	Ares	3,300	2,300	0	0
Anonymous#e7fb6ftrade	+0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering<0.01%	Sheriff	2,350	1,650	1	159
SN0RLAXopening death traded	-2.55%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.25%	Stinger	2,800	1,650	0	0
Anonymous#3f59a6traded	-1.88%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.19%	Sheriff	2,350	2,000	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 22,650 · full
Anonymous#67cf80trade	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Operator	6,000	1,100	1	150
Anonymous#19f4d7multi kill opening kill traded	+4.55%	Kill credit+4.15%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.46%	Phantom	4,450	4,750	3	685
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,600	5,900	0	144
Anonymous#bd3b12·	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Ares	2,800	800	0	0
Anonymous#c20f96·	+0.20%	Kill credit+0.23%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.02%	Vandal	4,800	1,200	2	240

Round 6 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering2–3Round leverage0.1762Leverage index1.09×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	38.9%	-2.33%
14.1s	Clock	—	39.2%	+0.31%
14.1s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	36.5%	-2.68%
20.6s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#8bfeb6	38.8%	+2.31%
22.0s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#3f59a6	35.4%	-3.39%
40.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#19f4d7	38.9%	+3.46%
46.0s	Plant	Anonymous#566492	40.8%	+1.91%
50.3s	Clock	—	40.9%	+0.17%
50.3s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → SN0RLAX	36.2%	-4.77%
71.0s	Clock	—	38.7%	+2.50%
71.0s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#c20f96	43.4%	+4.75%
71.2s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#566492	36.3%	-7.15%
81.0s	Clock	—	40.8%	+4.56%
81.0s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#bd3b12	46.3%	+5.44%
81.8s	Clock	—	46.7%	+0.42%
81.8s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#67cf80	49.9%	+3.19%
81.8s	Terminal	—	50.0%	+0.14%
Round total · 22 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			50.0%	+8.81%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 19,300 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2clutch won	+16.42%	Kill credit+8.63%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+6.34%Centering+1.45%	Sheriff	2,650	1,300	2	320
Anonymous#566492·	+3.33%	Kill credit+7.06%Death debit-7.15%Plant+1.91%Defuse·Alive clock+1.37%Centering+0.14%	Ares	3,300	2,300	2	307
Anonymous#e7fb6fopening death	-3.12%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.68%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.50%	Vandal	4,800	850	0	0
SN0RLAX·	-2.31%	Kill credit+2.76%Death debit-4.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.12%Centering-0.42%	Bulldog	3,750	800	1	70
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-3.14%	Kill credit+0.69%Death debit-3.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.50%	Vandal	4,800	1,000	0	80
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 24,150 · full
Anonymous#67cf80clutch lost opening kill	-1.81%	Kill credit+5.39%Death debit-3.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-3.65%Centering-0.37%	Operator	6,000	4,300	2	485
Anonymous#19f4d7·	-3.37%	Kill credit+0.68%Death debit-3.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.53%	Phantom	4,450	4,450	0	50
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-2.85%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.48%	Vandal	4,900	8,400	0	0
Anonymous#bd3b12trade	+1.82%	Kill credit+10.50%Death debit-5.44%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-3.23%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,000	3,400	2	376
Anonymous#c20f96traded	-4.96%	Kill credit+1.43%Death debit-4.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.95%Centering-0.69%	Vandal	4,800	4,300	0	40

Round 7 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering3–3Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	49.7%	-0.30%
3.6s	Clock	—	50.0%	+0.26%
3.6s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#3f59a6	46.6%	-3.36%
11.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c20f96	50.4%	+3.77%
14.6s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#73cdb2	45.3%	-5.08%
18.8s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#566492	42.6%	-2.65%
38.4s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → SN0RLAX	41.2%	-1.48%
40.0s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	40.8%	-0.40%
40.0s	Terminal	—	40.7%	-0.04%
Round total · 14 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			40.7%	-9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 24,350 · full
Anonymous#73cdb2·	-5.58%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.56%	Vandal	5,550	3,400	0	0
Anonymous#566492·	-2.88%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.65%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.29%	Vandal	4,600	1,800	0	0
Anonymous#e7fb6fclutch lost	-0.39%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	4,800	250	0	0
SN0RLAX·	+2.60%	Kill credit+3.77%Death debit-1.48%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.26%	Phantom	4,600	400	1	280
Anonymous#3f59a6opening death	-3.68%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.37%	Vandal	4,800	150	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 23,750 · full
Anonymous#67cf80multi kill opening kill	+12.35%	Kill credit+11.17%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+1.24%	Operator	5,500	1,300	3	535
Anonymous#19f4d7·	+0.30%	Kill credit+0.32%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.03%	Phantom	4,450	2,300	1	72
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	+1.59%	Kill credit+1.48%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering+0.16%	Phantom	4,900	5,100	1	156
Anonymous#bd3b12·	-0.06%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,100	1,200	0	0
Anonymous#c20f96·	-4.25%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.42%	Vandal	4,800	1,750	0	0

Round 8 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering3–4Round leverage0.1855Leverage index1.15×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	36.5%	-4.20%
14.3s	Clock	—	36.8%	+0.28%
14.3s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → SN0RLAX	34.8%	-2.00%
16.2s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#c20f96	37.3%	+2.53%
21.4s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#566492	34.1%	-3.23%
30.0s	Plant	Anonymous#3f59a6	35.1%	+1.00%
32.2s	Clock	—	35.1%	+0.03%
32.2s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#bd3b12	39.1%	+4.00%
37.8s	Clock	—	39.7%	+0.57%
37.8s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	35.6%	-4.13%
47.9s	Clock	—	36.3%	+0.77%
47.9s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#73cdb2	32.6%	-3.78%
49.0s	Clock	—	32.6%	+0.01%
49.0s	Kill	Anonymous#3f59a6 → Anonymous#67cf80	34.5%	+1.96%
52.4s	Clock	—	35.1%	+0.53%
52.4s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#3f59a6	31.6%	-3.45%
59.7s	Clock	—	32.0%	+0.35%
59.7s	Defuse	Anonymous#19f4d7	31.5%	-0.51%
59.7s	Terminal	—	31.5%	·
Round total · 22 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			31.5%	-9.27%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 13,250 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2·	+0.82%	Kill credit+4.00%Death debit-3.78%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.64%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,750	1,400	1	290
Anonymous#566492trade	-0.84%	Kill credit+2.53%Death debit-3.23%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.20%	Ares	3,300	300	1	150
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	-4.44%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.25%Centering-0.56%	Classic	900	1,850	0	40
SN0RLAXopening death traded	-2.29%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.34%	Stinger	2,200	1,000	0	0
Anonymous#3f59a6clutch lost	+0.64%	Kill credit+1.96%Death debit-3.45%Plant+1.00%Defuse·Alive clock+1.19%Centering-0.05%	Sheriff	2,100	1,650	1	150
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 24,050 · full
Anonymous#67cf80traded	+4.58%	Kill credit+6.71%Death debit-1.96%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.51%Centering+0.34%	Operator	6,000	4,200	2	252
Anonymous#19f4d7·	+3.58%	Kill credit+3.78%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.51%Alive clock-0.96%Centering+0.24%	Phantom	4,450	5,150	1	156
Anonymous#8bfeb6trade	+2.65%	Kill credit+3.45%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.96%Centering+0.15%	Vandal	4,700	8,300	1	194
Anonymous#bd3b12·	-4.64%	Kill credit·Death debit-4.00%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.58%	Phantom	4,100	3,800	0	35
Anonymous#c20f96opening kill	-0.06%	Kill credit+2.64%Death debit-2.53%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.06%Centering-0.12%	Vandal	4,800	750	1	274

Round 9 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering3–5Round leverage0.1746Leverage index1.08×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	29.4%	-2.03%
4.4s	Clock	—	29.7%	+0.25%
4.4s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → SN0RLAX	27.6%	-2.07%
7.5s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#3f59a6	25.0%	-2.62%
12.3s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#bd3b12	26.3%	+1.33%
17.8s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#19f4d7	30.0%	+3.67%
28.5s	Revive	Anonymous#566492	34.4%	+4.46%
28.5s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#3f59a6	29.8%	-4.69%
29.9s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#c20f96	35.2%	+5.40%
32.6s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#8bfeb6	39.0%	+3.84%
37.2s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#566492	37.1%	-1.89%
54.1s	Plant	Anonymous#73cdb2	38.0%	+0.89%
69.8s	Clock	—	38.3%	+0.28%
69.8s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#67cf80	40.1%	+1.84%
69.8s	Terminal	—	40.2%	+0.07%
Round total · 24 nodes, 9 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			40.2%	+8.73%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 20,200 · full
Anonymous#73cdb2multi kill	+7.00%	Kill credit+5.31%Death debit·Plant+0.89%Defuse·Alive clock+0.19%Centering+0.61%	Vandal	4,500	50	3	755
Anonymous#566492·	-0.94%	Kill credit+1.08%Death debit-1.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.18%	Ares	3,300	300	0	0
Anonymous#e7fb6ftrade	+5.32%	Kill credit+4.69%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.19%Centering+0.44%	Vandal	4,800	550	2	320
SN0RLAXopening death	-2.34%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.32%	Stinger	2,800	1,600	0	0
Anonymous#3f59a6traded	-2.96%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.62%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering-0.38%	Phantom	4,800	200	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 24,000 · full
Anonymous#67cf80clutch lost multi kill opening kill	+4.81%	Kill credit+6.58%Death debit-1.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.33%Centering+0.39%	Operator	5,750	2,050	3	450
Anonymous#19f4d7·	-0.16%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.10%	Phantom	4,450	5,050	0	0
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-4.43%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.53%	Vandal	4,900	7,800	0	80
Anonymous#bd3b12·	-0.16%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.10%	Phantom	4,100	2,500	0	134
Anonymous#c20f96·	-6.15%	Kill credit·Death debit-5.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.05%Centering-0.70%	Vandal	4,800	2,950	1	160

Round 10 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering4–5Round leverage0.1964Leverage index1.22×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	37.9%	-2.28%
28.1s	Clock	—	38.2%	+0.34%
28.1s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#3f59a6	35.8%	-2.39%
29.9s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → SN0RLAX	33.0%	-2.89%
31.4s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#bd3b12	34.3%	+1.36%
32.2s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#566492	32.4%	-1.91%
35.0s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#8bfeb6	34.3%	+1.89%
35.1s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#73cdb2	31.3%	-3.03%
37.8s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	30.4%	-0.85%
37.8s	Terminal	—	30.4%	-0.05%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			30.4%	-9.82%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 19,800 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2·	-1.19%	Kill credit+1.89%Death debit-3.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.12%	Vandal	4,750	2,350	1	370
Anonymous#566492trade	-0.54%	Kill credit+1.36%Death debit-1.91%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.05%	Ares	3,300	700	1	174
Anonymous#e7fb6fclutch lost	-0.87%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.09%	Vandal	4,800	2,450	0	0
SN0RLAXtraded	-3.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.31%	Phantom	4,600	1,000	0	0
Anonymous#3f59a6opening death	-2.58%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.26%	Sheriff	2,350	1,800	0	25
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 24,000 · full
Anonymous#67cf80·	-0.07%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering<0.01%	Operator	5,750	800	0	0
Anonymous#19f4d7trade	+4.50%	Kill credit+4.12%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.45%	Phantom	4,450	1,100	2	553
Anonymous#8bfeb6opening kill traded	-0.05%	Kill credit+1.91%Death debit-1.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,900	5,100	1	140
Anonymous#bd3b12traded	+2.05%	Kill credit+3.27%Death debit-1.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.21%	Phantom	4,100	100	1	350
Anonymous#c20f96trade	+1.89%	Kill credit+1.76%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.07%Centering+0.19%	Vandal	4,800	1,050	1	80

Round 11 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering4–6Round leverage0.1833Leverage index1.14×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	27.8%	-2.61%
19.7s	Clock	—	28.1%	+0.32%
19.7s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → SN0RLAX	25.7%	-2.37%
30.8s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#3f59a6	23.6%	-2.07%
37.3s	Plant	Anonymous#566492	24.5%	+0.88%
37.7s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	22.5%	-2.03%
48.3s	Clock	—	22.6%	+0.09%
48.3s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#566492	21.6%	-0.97%
49.6s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#19f4d7	21.8%	+0.19%
51.1s	Clock	—	21.8%	+0.03%
51.1s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#73cdb2	21.3%	-0.57%
64.0s	Clock	—	21.3%	+0.06%
64.0s	Defuse	Anonymous#8bfeb6	21.2%	-0.11%
64.0s	Terminal	—	21.2%	·
Round total · 18 nodes, 4 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			21.2%	-9.16%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 18,000 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2clutch lost	-0.41%	Kill credit+0.15%Death debit-0.57%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.14%Centering-0.13%	Vandal	4,750	100	1	167
Anonymous#566492·	-0.04%	Kill credit+0.04%Death debit-0.97%Plant+0.88%Defuse·Alive clock+0.11%Centering-0.10%	Ares	3,300	200	0	0
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	-2.29%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.32%	Vandal	4,800	350	0	0
SN0RLAXopening death	-2.67%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.37%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.36%	Stinger	2,800	300	0	27
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-2.34%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.06%Centering-0.33%	Sheriff	2,350	2,250	0	0
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 21,950 · full
Anonymous#67cf80opening kill	+4.93%	Kill credit+4.63%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.10%Centering+0.40%	Operator	6,000	650	2	300
Anonymous#19f4d7traded	+1.52%	Kill credit+1.73%Death debit-0.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.08%Centering+0.06%	Sheriff	2,350	2,350	1	200
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-0.09%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.11%Alive clock-0.10%Centering-0.10%	Phantom	4,700	7,100	0	0
Anonymous#bd3b12·	+1.09%	Kill credit+1.18%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.10%Centering+0.02%	Phantom	4,100	1,900	1	180
Anonymous#c20f96trade	+0.29%	Kill credit+0.46%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.10%Centering-0.06%	Vandal	4,800	2,450	1	160

Round 12 focal side lost

Won byBlue · defuseScore entering4–7Round leverage0.1571Leverage index0.98×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	18.6%	-2.59%
3.5s	Clock	—	18.8%	+0.20%
3.5s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → SN0RLAX	16.9%	-1.90%
14.2s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#67cf80	19.4%	+2.52%
28.1s	Plant	Anonymous#566492	20.9%	+1.43%
37.6s	Clock	—	21.4%	+0.48%
37.6s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#73cdb2	17.6%	-3.73%
42.2s	Clock	—	18.1%	+0.44%
42.2s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#3f59a6	15.2%	-2.89%
43.3s	Clock	—	15.2%	+0.04%
43.3s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#c20f96	17.3%	+2.13%
43.8s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	14.4%	-2.99%
49.9s	Clock	—	14.7%	+0.32%
49.9s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#566492	13.4%	-1.25%
51.0s	Revive	Anonymous#566492	14.6%	+1.15%
51.0s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	13.4%	-1.15%
55.8s	Clock	—	13.5%	+0.09%
55.8s	Defuse	Anonymous#19f4d7	13.3%	-0.16%
55.8s	Terminal	—	13.3%	·
Round total · 24 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			13.3%	-7.86%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · attack · loadout 17,550 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2·	-4.13%	Kill credit·Death debit-3.73%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.16%Centering-0.56%	Bucky	3,500	150	0	54
Anonymous#566492clutch lost	+2.82%	Kill credit+0.93%Death debit·Plant+1.43%Defuse·Alive clock+0.33%Centering+0.13%	Ares	3,300	0	0	148
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	+1.01%	Kill credit+3.72%Death debit-2.99%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.33%Centering-0.05%	Sheriff	2,350	1,500	2	228
SN0RLAXopening death	-2.23%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.90%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.04%Centering-0.37%	Spectre	3,600	100	0	0
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-3.04%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.89%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.31%Centering-0.45%	Vandal	4,800	1,050	0	72
Blue · opponents · defense · loadout 24,850 · full
Anonymous#67cf80opening kill	-0.24%	Kill credit+2.50%Death debit-2.52%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.04%Centering-0.17%	Operator	6,600	2,600	1	239
Anonymous#19f4d7trade	+4.89%	Kill credit+4.70%Death debit·Plant·Defuse+0.16%Alive clock-0.31%Centering+0.34%	Phantom	4,450	1,500	2	234
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	+0.96%	Kill credit+1.32%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.31%Centering-0.05%	Vandal	4,900	8,800	0	180
Anonymous#bd3b12multi kill	+2.80%	Kill credit+2.98%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.31%Centering+0.13%	Phantom	4,100	4,700	3	273
Anonymous#c20f96traded	-2.84%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.28%Centering-0.44%	Vandal	4,800	5,100	0	144

Round 13 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering4–8Round leverage0.1208Leverage index0.75×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	13.6%	+0.24%
9.6s	Clock	—	13.5%	-0.11%
9.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#19f4d7	16.0%	+2.58%
12.1s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → SN0RLAX	13.8%	-2.26%
22.1s	Plant	Anonymous#8bfeb6	13.0%	-0.78%
28.1s	Clock	—	13.0%	-0.04%
28.1s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	10.4%	-2.56%
28.4s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#bd3b12	12.9%	+2.47%
38.1s	Clock	—	12.4%	-0.45%
38.1s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#73cdb2	9.3%	-3.08%
41.0s	Clock	—	9.3%	-0.05%
41.0s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#3f59a6	8.0%	-1.30%
43.9s	Clock	—	7.9%	-0.05%
43.9s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#c20f96	8.6%	+0.63%
47.4s	Clock	—	8.4%	-0.14%
47.4s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#566492	7.4%	-1.07%
47.4s	Terminal	—	7.3%	-0.07%
Round total · 20 nodes, 3 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			7.3%	-6.04%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 4,050 · eco
Anonymous#73cdb2·	-1.52%	Kill credit+1.97%Death debit-3.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.18%Centering-0.23%	Ghost	950	100	1	75
Anonymous#566492clutch lost	-0.46%	Kill credit+1.12%Death debit-1.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.40%Centering-0.12%	Ghost	800	0	1	208
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	-2.97%	Kill credit·Death debit-2.56%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering-0.37%	Ghost	700	200	0	0
SN0RLAXopening kill	+0.24%	Kill credit+2.58%Death debit-2.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.02%Centering-0.05%	Classic	700	100	1	144
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-1.76%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.30%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.20%Centering-0.25%	Ghost	900	100	0	60
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 3,700 · eco
Anonymous#67cf80trade	+2.24%	Kill credit+1.81%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.28%Centering+0.15%	Ghost	900	100	1	135
Anonymous#19f4d7opening death traded	-2.43%	Kill credit+0.45%Death debit-2.58%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.32%	Sheriff	800	0	0	88
Anonymous#8bfeb6multi kill trade	+6.33%	Kill credit+4.72%Death debit·Plant+0.78%Defuse·Alive clock+0.28%Centering+0.56%	Sheriff	800	0	3	360
Anonymous#bd3b12·	-2.11%	Kill credit+0.62%Death debit-2.47%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.03%Centering-0.29%	Classic	500	100	0	88
Anonymous#c20f96traded	+2.43%	Kill credit+2.68%Death debit-0.63%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.22%Centering+0.16%	Classic	700	200	1	158

Round 14 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering4–9Round leverage0.0806Leverage index0.50×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	5.5%	-1.85%
11.8s	Clock	—	5.4%	-0.02%
11.8s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#19f4d7	6.7%	+1.29%
16.0s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → SN0RLAX	5.4%	-1.28%
17.1s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#8bfeb6	7.4%	+1.99%
26.5s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	5.8%	-1.67%
30.1s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#3f59a6	4.4%	-1.39%
31.5s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#566492	3.6%	-0.72%
37.5s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#73cdb2	3.3%	-0.34%
37.5s	Terminal	—	3.3%	-0.03%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			3.3%	-4.03%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 7,750 · light
Anonymous#73cdb2clutch lost	-0.38%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Ghost	950	1,700	0	0
Anonymous#566492trade	+1.68%	Kill credit+2.24%Death debit-0.72%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.17%	Classic	1,700	700	1	208
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	-1.86%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.67%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.19%	Ghost	1,800	400	0	0
SN0RLAXopening kill traded	-0.28%	Kill credit+1.03%Death debit-1.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Bandit	1,700	1,200	1	72
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-1.55%	Kill credit·Death debit-1.39%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.15%	Sheriff	1,600	800	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 14,600 · half
Anonymous#67cf80·	+1.55%	Kill credit+1.39%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.15%	Outlaw	3,950	350	1	140
Anonymous#19f4d7opening death traded	-1.14%	Kill credit+0.26%Death debit-1.29%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.11%	Marshal	1,100	2,200	0	101
Anonymous#8bfeb6trade	-1.06%	Kill credit+1.02%Death debit-1.99%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.11%	Marshal	2,950	1,750	1	159
Anonymous#bd3b12·	+2.29%	Kill credit+2.06%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.23%	Spectre	3,000	200	2	283
Anonymous#c20f96·	+0.75%	Kill credit+0.67%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.08%	Guardian	3,600	450	1	130

Round 15 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering4–10Round leverage0.0439Leverage index0.27×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	2.7%	-0.54%
7.4s	Clock	—	2.7%	-0.03%
7.4s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#566492	1.9%	-0.76%
21.4s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	1.6%	-0.31%
22.8s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#3f59a6	1.3%	-0.28%
26.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#19f4d7	1.5%	+0.16%
32.1s	Plant	Anonymous#8bfeb6	1.4%	-0.13%
52.6s	Clock	—	1.3%	-0.04%
52.6s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#8bfeb6	1.6%	+0.26%
53.9s	Clock	—	1.6%	-0.01%
53.9s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → SN0RLAX	1.2%	-0.35%
54.6s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#c20f96	1.5%	+0.26%
61.2s	Clock	—	1.4%	-0.10%
61.2s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#67cf80	2.3%	+0.95%
69.2s	Clock	—	1.6%	-0.78%
69.2s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#73cdb2	1.1%	-0.46%
69.2s	Terminal	—	1.1%	-0.02%
Round total · 22 nodes, 5 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			1.1%	-2.20%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 15,650 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2clutch lost	-0.26%	Kill credit+1.16%Death debit-0.46%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.92%Centering-0.04%	Vandal	4,500	50	2	360
Anonymous#566492opening death	-0.81%	Kill credit+0.05%Death debit-0.76%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.09%	Ares	3,300	400	0	53
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	-0.37%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.31%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Sheriff	2,350	1,100	0	0
SN0RLAX·	+0.03%	Kill credit+0.43%Death debit-0.35%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.03%Centering<0.01%	Bulldog	3,150	650	2	334
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-0.33%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.05%	Sheriff	2,350	1,250	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 19,600 · half
Anonymous#67cf80·	-0.89%	Kill credit+0.09%Death debit-0.95%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.07%Centering-0.10%	Outlaw	4,200	3,350	0	140
Anonymous#19f4d7·	+0.16%	Kill credit+0.31%Death debit-0.16%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,450	1,050	1	195
Anonymous#8bfeb6traded	-0.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.26%Plant+0.13%Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering-0.03%	Marshal	3,350	2,100	0	0
Anonymous#bd3b12clutch won multi kill trade	+2.05%	Kill credit+1.00%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.86%Centering+0.19%	Spectre	3,800	3,500	3	298
Anonymous#c20f96opening kill	+0.57%	Kill credit+0.76%Death debit-0.26%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.02%Centering+0.04%	Guardian	3,800	3,650	1	260

Round 16 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering4–11Round leverage0.0176Leverage index0.11×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	0.9%	-0.15%
9.8s	Clock	—	0.9%	-0.02%
9.8s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#67cf80	1.3%	+0.38%
31.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#19f4d7	1.6%	+0.34%
33.0s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → Anonymous#3f59a6	1.4%	-0.22%
39.9s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#8bfeb6	1.7%	+0.32%
50.5s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → SN0RLAX	1.5%	-0.24%
61.0s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#bd3b12	1.9%	+0.36%
64.9s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#c20f96	1.9%	+0.08%
64.9s	Terminal	—	2.0%	<0.01%
Round total · 16 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			2.0%	+0.88%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 20,250 · full
Anonymous#73cdb2·	+0.15%	Kill credit+0.14%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.02%	Phantom	3,750	0	1	63
Anonymous#566492opening kill	+0.74%	Kill credit+0.67%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Ares	3,300	700	2	255
Anonymous#e7fb6f·	+0.02%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,450	100	0	143
SN0RLAX·	+0.47%	Kill credit+0.67%Death debit-0.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.05%	Guardian	3,950	500	2	585
Anonymous#3f59a6·	-0.25%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.22%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Phantom	4,800	0	0	35
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 23,250 · full
Anonymous#67cf80opening death	-0.42%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Phantom	4,200	3,100	0	0
Anonymous#19f4d7·	-0.38%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.34%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Phantom	4,450	500	0	0
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-0.33%	Kill credit+0.02%Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Vandal	4,500	1,300	0	74
Anonymous#bd3b12·	-0.13%	Kill credit+0.24%Death debit-0.36%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Phantom	5,300	6,800	1	292
Anonymous#c20f96clutch lost	+0.12%	Kill credit+0.19%Death debit-0.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.01%	Vandal	4,800	2,900	1	160

Round 17 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering5–11Round leverage0.0312Leverage index0.19×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	2.3%	+0.33%
6.4s	Clock	—	2.2%	-0.04%
6.4s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	1.5%	-0.77%
14.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#19f4d7	2.0%	+0.47%
15.3s	Kill	Anonymous#67cf80 → Anonymous#3f59a6	1.1%	-0.81%
20.2s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#67cf80	1.9%	+0.75%
20.5s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#566492	1.1%	-0.79%
21.2s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#8bfeb6	1.9%	+0.84%
22.2s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#73cdb2	0.8%	-1.12%
28.4s	Plant	Anonymous#c20f96	0.7%	-0.10%
50.2s	Clock	—	0.6%	-0.08%
50.2s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#c20f96	1.6%	+0.93%
52.6s	Clock	—	1.5%	-0.05%
52.6s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → SN0RLAX	0.4%	-1.10%
52.6s	Terminal	—	0.4%	-0.03%
Round total · 22 nodes, 7 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.4%	-1.56%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 21,250 · full
Anonymous#73cdb2trade	+0.50%	Kill credit+1.58%Death debit-1.12%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.04%	Phantom	4,750	1,850	2	273
Anonymous#566492traded	-0.89%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.79%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.10%	Ares	3,300	500	0	30
Anonymous#e7fb6fopening death	-0.87%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.77%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.10%	Vandal	4,450	2,300	0	0
SN0RLAXclutch lost	+0.17%	Kill credit+1.40%Death debit-1.10%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock-0.14%Centering<0.01%	Guardian	3,950	400	2	461
Anonymous#3f59a6traded	-0.92%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.81%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.10%	Vandal	4,800	2,000	0	40
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 18,100 · half
Anonymous#67cf80opening kill traded	+0.74%	Kill credit+1.42%Death debit-0.75%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.06%	Phantom	4,200	1,700	2	360
Anonymous#19f4d7·	-0.35%	Kill credit+0.16%Death debit-0.47%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Classic	1,550	1,200	0	117
Anonymous#8bfeb6traded	-0.06%	Kill credit+0.79%Death debit-0.84%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Guardian	3,250	550	1	160
Anonymous#bd3b12clutch won trade	+1.08%	Kill credit+0.88%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock+0.10%Centering+0.10%	Phantom	4,300	2,000	1	105
Anonymous#c20f96trade traded	+0.60%	Kill credit+1.34%Death debit-0.93%Plant+0.10%Defuse·Alive clock+0.05%Centering+0.05%	Vandal	4,800	550	1	231

Round 18 focal side won

Won byRed · eliminationScore entering5–12Round leverage0.0078Leverage index0.05×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	0.3%	-0.07%
23.3s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#c20f96	0.5%	+0.19%
26.3s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#8bfeb6	0.6%	+0.13%
29.0s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#bd3b12	0.7%	+0.08%
34.2s	Kill	Anonymous#19f4d7 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	0.7%	-0.04%
34.8s	Kill	Anonymous#566492 → Anonymous#19f4d7	0.8%	+0.07%
44.8s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#67cf80	0.8%	+0.03%
44.8s	Terminal	—	0.8%	<0.01%
Round total · 14 nodes, 6 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.8%	+0.39%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 19,500 · half
Anonymous#73cdb2·	+0.12%	Kill credit+0.11%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.01%	Phantom	4,750	250	2	323
Anonymous#566492trade	+0.08%	Kill credit+0.07%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Ares	2,950	150	1	165
Anonymous#e7fb6fopening kill traded	+0.31%	Kill credit+0.32%Death debit-0.04%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.03%	Vandal	4,800	200	2	480
SN0RLAX·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Stinger	2,800	150	0	0
Anonymous#3f59a6·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,200	100	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 22,250 · full
Anonymous#67cf80clutch lost	-0.03%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.03%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Operator	5,750	100	0	0
Anonymous#19f4d7·	-0.04%	Kill credit+0.03%Death debit-0.07%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,450	450	1	228
Anonymous#8bfeb6·	-0.14%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.13%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.01%	Marshal	2,950	1,700	0	0
Anonymous#bd3b12·	-0.08%	Kill credit<0.01%Death debit-0.08%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,500	4,100	0	143
Anonymous#c20f96opening death	-0.21%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.19%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Vandal	4,600	50	0	0

Round 19 focal side lost

Won byBlue · eliminationScore entering6–12Round leverage0.0156Leverage index0.10×

Time into the round	Node kind	Name	Match win probability	Move
0.0s	Round start	—	1.1%	+0.31%
4.0s	Clock	—	1.1%	-0.02%
4.0s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#3f59a6	0.8%	-0.32%
11.7s	Kill	SN0RLAX → Anonymous#67cf80	1.0%	+0.24%
17.2s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#19f4d7	1.3%	+0.28%
17.5s	Kill	Anonymous#bd3b12 → SN0RLAX	0.9%	-0.38%
18.9s	Kill	Anonymous#e7fb6f → Anonymous#bd3b12	1.3%	+0.45%
21.9s	Kill	Anonymous#c20f96 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	0.9%	-0.40%
31.7s	Kill	Anonymous#73cdb2 → Anonymous#c20f96	1.4%	+0.43%
35.3s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#73cdb2	0.9%	-0.50%
38.5s	Revive	Anonymous#566492	1.4%	+0.50%
38.5s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#e7fb6f	0.9%	-0.50%
40.5s	Kill	Anonymous#8bfeb6 → Anonymous#566492	0.0%	-0.85%
40.5s	Terminal	—	0.0%	-0.02%
Round total · 24 nodes, 10 of them clock drift under 0.01%, summed here and not listed			0.0%	-0.78%

Who	What they were worth		The kit and the box score
Name	MWPA	0	Weapon	Loadout	Credits	K	Damage
Red · the side the four played on · defense · loadout 24,300 · full
Anonymous#73cdb2·	<0.01%	Kill credit·Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Vandal	4,750	2,300	1	133
Anonymous#566492clutch lost	-0.95%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.85%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.10%	Ares	3,300	2,050	0	30
Anonymous#e7fb6ftrade	+0.30%	Kill credit+0.68%Death debit-0.40%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.03%	Vandal	4,800	400	2	240
SN0RLAXtraded	-0.09%	Kill credit+0.30%Death debit-0.38%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,600	3,150	1	273
Anonymous#3f59a6opening death	-0.36%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.32%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.04%	Operator	6,850	2,000	0	0
Blue · opponents · attack · loadout 12,950 · half
Anonymous#67cf80·	-0.27%	Kill credit·Death debit-0.24%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.03%	Stinger	2,150	500	0	42
Anonymous#19f4d7traded	-0.22%	Kill credit+0.08%Death debit-0.28%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering-0.02%	Classic	1,550	1,550	0	50
Anonymous#8bfeb6clutch won multi kill trade	+0.95%	Kill credit+0.85%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.10%	Sheriff	2,800	1,600	3	417
Anonymous#bd3b12traded	-0.08%	Kill credit+0.38%Death debit-0.45%Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering<0.01%	Phantom	4,300	2,100	1	117
Anonymous#c20f96opening kill trade traded	+0.72%	Kill credit+0.64%Death debit·Plant·Defuse·Alive clock<0.01%Centering+0.07%	Sheriff	2,150	500	2	304